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2381  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 05, 2015, 05:15:26 PM

USA use to be somthing special...  really sad everything got all so fucked up. you guys had the "right stuff" and then USA got raped or somthing, not sure wtf happened but you had 'it' then somehow you lost 'it'.

1971

I'm no cheerleader for the gold standard but what followed...
2382  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 03, 2015, 06:55:08 PM
OTOH, depending upon the coding of the website, the operator of 'howsecureismypassword.net' may already know yours.

I find it hard to imagine a motivation for someone to set up such a site other than building a file of passwords that are good candidates to brute force...

Might be an academic interest Wink
2383  Bitcoin / Pools / Re: [1500 TH] p2pool: Decentralized, DoS-resistant, Hop-Proof pool on: December 03, 2015, 04:07:18 PM

I was thinking, maybe an altcoin tuned for p2pool (P2Pcoin?) would help promote p2pool? There are some very good clients that could be forked & tuned for best results with p2pool, but I particularly like the WLC client with it's demurrage features - maybe this could be changed slightly into creating a "pot" for future development as well as used for donations to forrestv?

Just a thought......

Interesting. Perhaps with some kind of share reward? I don't think it would gain much traction but it could be fun enough.
2384  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 03, 2015, 03:17:30 PM

Then plans will fail and life will be difficult.

Surely. But there are a few things you can do to make things easier for yourself until some degree of sustainability can be obtained. And those things are usually fairly cheap too.

And the truth is, disasters happen on a somewhat exponential scale. So being able to get along for a few weeks will keep you ready for many small things that could cause problems.
2385  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 03, 2015, 03:06:35 PM

Fun fact: Mass extinction events happen about once every 65 million years and take out about 75% of life on Earth. The Great Dying took out 90%.



Fun fact: Human beings are one of the most adaptable species ever, managing to live in hot deserts, icy polar regions and even the vacuum of space. In terms of what would take us out, we're probably 1%ers
2386  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 03, 2015, 03:04:08 PM

Am I the only one who expects to die in the apocalypse?


It's likely. But what if I don't?
2387  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 03, 2015, 02:56:34 AM
Wouldn't you rather some McDonalds?

Ugh. Philistine.
2388  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 03, 2015, 02:43:26 AM
When fiat funny money vanish, BTC will be used to build flying cars, nanotech medicine and sponsoring breastfeeding

ftfy
2389  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 02, 2015, 03:01:20 PM

Yeah, there´s probably staggering overheads, making a cup of coffee is such a complex operation that you probably need extremely high paid staff.

But Starbucks isn't selling coffee, they're selling the experience (which is just as well cause their coffee isn't all that) and some cheap conspicuous consumption.
2390  Economy / Speculation / Re: Automated posting on: December 02, 2015, 02:57:46 PM
What software is that buddy? I like the presentation Smiley

Hand-crafted Perl.
2391  Economy / Speculation / Re: Automated posting on: December 02, 2015, 01:26:05 AM

What is with the images ChartBuddy?
Only see the second last one; 1 of 4
Looks like the bubble is not the only thing that isn't working for us tonight ;(

CB only tries uploading to imgur once and if it fails, the images are broken. I'll make it retry next time I'm in the code.
2392  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin XT - Officially #REKT (also goes for BIP101 fraud) on: November 30, 2015, 09:04:09 PM

2393  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 30, 2015, 05:34:25 AM
No one clamoring for the ATH pic? Oh well, have it anyway.

2394  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 29, 2015, 05:58:59 AM
The inability to withdraw was several months old by then. I don't really know what anyone was doing on Gox at that stage anyway as there was no shortage of exchanges that actually worked properly. Bitstamp was the 'real' price that people quote.

There was a lot of denial going on (Some might claim there still is Wink). Probably something akin to Stockholm syndrome. Some were even sending $$$ to the exchange just before it completely imploded.



2395  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 29, 2015, 01:58:12 AM
Those gains were unrealised unless you sold. Yeah, it must have been great to watch the value soar, but how many actual holders sold? vs the scam pumpers that did the pump/dump?

Unrealised unless you sold *and* managed to cash out. Remember that Gox had frozen fiat withdrawals. If you were lucky or had decent spidey senses, you were using a different exchange but for many, even if they "won", they lost.
2396  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 29, 2015, 01:27:59 AM

I wish I had got into Bitcoin before that. I only got into it after the 'ATH' was over and it was in the news, then it took ages for me to find this forum and realize its significance. I experienced little rallies like the one to 660, and this latest one to 500, but the 'ATH' rally must have been awesome to experience.

It was quite something. I put it up on the main TV just to watch it though I think I missed the very top. Exciting to see 4 digits though.
2397  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 29, 2015, 01:11:26 AM
Almost forgot. Two years ago today... Kinda quiet TBH. The day before the 'ATH'

2398  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 28, 2015, 08:10:15 AM
seems a little ridiculous that in the past few months that nearly every time that the BTC price is stuck in a certain price range for a few days, someone will assess that the price seems "stable here."

If you see me say it (and I do), be sure that it is tongue-in-cheek. The fundamentals to me mean we can not stay here for too long (though the direction is up for grabs)
2399  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 28, 2015, 03:21:31 AM
Above $300, plenty of gear will be profitable post-halving. And if it isn't... it will drop off, but not faster than what is corrected by the adjustment window. As mining gets less profitable, the cheaper way to acquire them becomes the market, which adjusts incentives accordingly.



I hope so. And people say things were OK last halving. But I think I noticed in the data that the block time did lengthen out for a while after it happened. I'll have to run the numbers.

The issue isn't obtaining bitcoins though, the issue is the lengthening of the block times and the corresponding drop on the transaction rate which may then cause the price to drop and make mining even more unprofitable which...
2400  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 28, 2015, 03:17:35 AM
The span between reward halving/next difficulty adjustment: Brrrrr.

Yep. I'm actually fairly optimistic but there's a lot that goes into it. I believe the more efficient miners are running at about 33% cost at the moment (or that might be 33% profit. But somewhere in there anyway). That is a fair bit of elbow room. However, the hash rate is climbing rapidly, not all of which will be efficiency gains. I don't think miners are sitting on shelves either so it's likely climbing as fast as it can with what can be bought. Though there's two ways of looking at that. Would producers leave them sitting on shelves inactive, waiting for purchasers or have them running for "testing" (as BFL was often accused of)?

So hashrate will be climbing, price will (might) be climbing. There may be margins or not. There will be people who are willing to mine at a loss (though surely not the majority) just because and perhaps those who will be willing to mine at a loss *for now* in anticipation of higher prices. Then again, if you don't mine, the next difficulty adjustment will move further out and confidence in Bitcoin and hence, probably price will fall. But there's a prisoner's dilemma there. Block size may or may not be an issue still...

I'll be sure to have plenty of popcorn. There won't be another halving like this one.
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