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241  Economy / Games and rounds / Re: SafeDice - Unofficial GIVEAWAY! 0.3 BTC in PRIZES on: February 08, 2015, 11:27:21 AM


Countdown:
Click here




POSITIVE EV!

Edge = 0.5%
Assuming a wager of 5BTC to win this contest, Edge = 5*0.5% = 0.025BTC.
You make a profit of 0.125BTC

Calculation of effective EV for a 5BTC wager = (5-0.025+0.15)/5 = 1.025%.  (favorable to the player)

Calculation of effective EV for a 5BTC wager = (10-0.05+0.15)/10 = 1.01%.  (favorable to the player)



https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=949266.msg10394287#msg10394287 has been updated.

I will update the statistics there when I get online everyday. On last day, I will post the pic here.


Fact: You will have a positive EV if you win #1 prize, as long as your wager is < 30BTC!

Calculation: link
242  Economy / Games and rounds / SafeDice - GIVEAWAY Contest! 0.3 BTC in PRIZES WINNERS PAID!! on: February 08, 2015, 11:22:53 AM
Positive effective EV if you win #1 as long as wager < 30BTC
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Expected_value
See 2nd post for more info!


How to participate:
1. Sign up: https://safedice.com/?r=2596 .
    Try to have the same username as here, so that it is easier to identify.
2. Post your username here.
3. Start Rolling! Smiley

Prizes:
#1. Highest Wagered referral will get 0.15BTC.
#2. Second highest referral will get 0.05BTC
#3. 20 random participants will get 0.005BTC preloaded link to your wallet. Draw will be made on 12th Feb, with all enrolled participants till date.


Start: 8 February, 2015
End: 21 February, 2015




Features of SafeDice:

Very Low 0.5% Variable House Edge
Generous Referral Program
Instant Withdrawal
Instant and Anonymous Registration
One Confirmation Deposit
Auto Betting Feature
True Provably Fair
Two-Factor Authentication
Secure SSL Access
Chat Room


Approx. wins below 0.5BTC (10% of bankroll) have only 0.5% edge.
Official thread: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=868275.0

Seeking Escrow.

ty Cheesy
243  Economy / Services / Re: ➫ ➬ Lucky Bit Signature Campaign ★ Earn up to 0.125BTC every month ★ Open Now! on: February 08, 2015, 06:47:36 AM
So how does this work? Once a payment is made, one slot is free?

Edit: I get it, now. Smiley

Edit2: Dang! I checked the time. The slots get free only around midnight in my timezone. No wonder, I am not able to grab any slot here.  Undecided
I have never been able to participate in a happy hour too because of the time.

Today, I am going to sleep only after I get the slot.  Roll Eyes
244  Economy / Gambling / Re: SafeDice.com ★ Bitcoin Dice ★ Low 0.5% Edge ★ Referral ★ Fast Cashout ★ Fair on: February 07, 2015, 06:46:29 PM
Just won some BTC there. Fairly a good site. Cheesy

I found some minor bugs, not very important. anyway, is there a bug bounty?
245  Economy / Services / Re: BitDice.me - Signature Campaign! [STARTED][ESCROWED] on: February 07, 2015, 12:34:41 PM
I would like to apply.

Name:   Watoshi-Dimobuto
Posts:   1074
Activity:   448
Position:   Sr. Member
Bitcoin address:   16kLvpNUxncRWvAitL5rU6p6EQL5QmMxtP


Changed my signature. Waiting for confirmation.
246  Economy / Gambling / Re: SafeDice.com ★ Bitcoin Dice ★ Low 0.5% Edge ★ Referral ★ Fast Cashout ★ Fair on: February 07, 2015, 08:22:21 AM
magicbeans here! made a cool win on the site. Smiley

lol, I almost lost everything in fact. martingale is really dangerous.
247  Economy / Services / Re: [BIT-X.com] [NEW RATES] Earn Bitcoins by Posting | Signature Campaign on: February 07, 2015, 07:54:27 AM
Are  any slots open for me?
I am looking for a proper signature campaign.

Edit: It is shown as Available?
248  Economy / Services / Re: BitDice.me - Signature Campaign! [STARTED][ESCROWED] on: February 07, 2015, 07:52:03 AM
I would like to apply.

Name:   Watoshi-Dimobuto
Posts:   1074
Activity:   448
Position:   Sr. Member
Bitcoin address:   16kLvpNUxncRWvAitL5rU6p6EQL5QmMxtP
249  Economy / Services / Re: ➫ ➬ Lucky Bit Signature Campaign ★ Earn up to 0.125BTC every month ★ Open Now! on: February 07, 2015, 07:43:05 AM
Sad

But, I am at a different time zone. And I tried to apply few days ago. Sad



Well, applying anyway.

Name: Watoshi-Dimobuto
Posts: 1073
Address: 16kLvpNUxncRWvAitL5rU6p6EQL5QmMxtP
Recent Bet: http://luckyb.it/check?txin=e0d2ab24ad4fe82e13db21d737a7c196f6aaa322f744292214c24c011a9f1e53:0
250  Economy / Gambling / Re: FlukyBet.com WIN 135% of your bet, 75+ % of players WIN [3rd Party escrow used] on: February 04, 2015, 06:29:29 AM
I am going to make 1 more 000 hit in 4minutes to complete the check.

EDIT: Done. https://blockchain.info/rawtx/8ede8d6cc6059e2c846c9acadd8b648ff45444fd180f86503988e73157df7c9c


The checking is complete now.

Result: The method of using timestamp as a means of determining the order is exploitable.

Suggestion: Pick a different method. any mentioned above by funtotry or me or something else.



Great work, ndnhc. Cheesy
You did good. You didn't try to steal money of players and instead helped them. You certainly deserve something. Smiley

Keep up the good work, bro,
251  Economy / Services / Re: Bitstarz.com February Signature Campaign – up to 0.1 BTC and more per month on: February 04, 2015, 02:35:54 AM
Ouch! When did this start? I saw just January thread yesterday.  I am interested.

But is it full for Sr. members? Sad
252  Economy / Services / Re: ➫ ➬ Lucky Bit Signature Campaign ★ Temporarily Closed on: February 03, 2015, 07:52:12 AM
Change of plan, folks.

It's taking longer than expected for the site to come up which means it's basically impossible to apply right now. Since this is the case, it only makes sense for me to close the program to new enrollments until this is all cleared up.

All outstanding applications are invalidated. No new applications will be accepted at this time.
Everyone will get a fair chance to enroll once I can re-open - at last word, this is expected to be about 3 days away.

Prior enrollments are not affected.

k, right. Removing my signature then.
253  Economy / Services / Re: ➫ ➬ Lucky Bit Signature Campaign ★ Earn up to 0.125BTC every month ★ Open Now! on: February 03, 2015, 06:52:08 AM
Why you guys kick people after payment? Having to re-enroll every month is a pain in the ass. If the poster is doing a good work and posting normally, why the need to re-apply?

I've run this campaign using this method for 8 months now. The purpose is to not offer preference to existing participants, and allow as many people as possible equal opportunity to enroll. Offering re-enrollment preference or reservations effectively locks out people that may want to participate. This method offers the most chances to the most people.

Well, you need not stick to it just because you were doing it till now. Most successful campaigns retain the good participants, and open the remaining slots for new participants. Of course, existing participants can leave when they want leaving up more spots. You know, building customer loyalty..



Quote
Post count: 1054 (including this)
Bitcoin Address: 16kLvpNUxncRWvAitL5rU6p6EQL5QmMxtP
Recent Bet: Down so couldn't bet. Last bet was before 7 days. Will bet after it comes online.

ty Smiley

Since you weren't able to bet, this is effectively an application reservation. This campaign doesn't allow reservations; this application is declined. Please re-apply when you are able to bet.


Sad

It isn't my fault that luckyb.it is down!? I hope it comes up soon. I will play as soon as it comes back online.

Till then you will get posts for free. Tongue


Edit: Is it possible to send a bet to the luckyb.it address now and enroll?
254  Economy / Lending / Re: 0.5 BTC Loan Request... More Details Inside... on: February 02, 2015, 03:50:33 PM
Extension has been granted till 11th of February as requested. Smiley
255  Economy / Gambling / Re: ★No.1 BITCOIN BINARY OPTIONS ★HIGHEST REWARD 190%★1% DOUBLE DICE★EXPIRY:1~720MIN on: February 02, 2015, 11:14:38 AM
is this similar to a ponzi?

ponzi? why? I thought this was a binary site.

I get winning payout instantly. It also has dice like games. How can this be a ponzi?

Did people get that stupid to not know what a ponzi is?

yep, this is not a ponzi, it is like a gamble game between customers and casino. And casino has 20% high edge.

20% really? I don't think that is true. You can just read the news and bet. I won some like that. If you have some sense and a bit of luck, you can get the edge to be negative even.

I usually bet on oil, gold, currencies.
256  Economy / Lending / Re: .1 Loan Request Read Will Pay back .12 BTC back on Friday on: February 02, 2015, 11:09:59 AM
Your domain is not worth $160 just because you paid that much for it.

Yeah but its probably worth at least 25$

seems so. I will probably lend him after I get repayment for this one: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=915029.0
257  Economy / Lending / Re: Need Loan 0.06 BTC HAVE COLLATERAL on: February 02, 2015, 07:15:51 AM
]Do you think the lender and the OP are the same person? That would explain why he repaid despite the worthless collateral, as well as the fact that the lender accepted collateral that was very likely going to be worthless in the long run.  
Smells like same person talk to each other.
glad to see he repaid the loan, I'm worry he will request a bigger loan some day.


1. I am not the OP. I am not insane to lend myself 0.06BTC (and waste so much time in the process), would've made some sense if it was 6BTC or something.

2. The collateral was not worthless. It was worth around 0.2BTC at the time of receipt.

3. He paid back because he is a good member of the community. I have lend to people without collateral and bigger amounts. All has paid back as of yet. I have just one more loan pending.

You should be against people not paying back and not against people who pay back even though they could have run away with it.







258  Economy / Lending / Re: 0.5 BTC Loan Request... More Details Inside... on: February 02, 2015, 05:45:09 AM
I am not sure why you thought that he is going to repay this. Not only is it a bad idea to transfer debt from one entity to another (as Vod mentioned above), but his reputation is not worth the amount of the loan, and you allowed him to receive payment from his signature campaign prior to the loan becoming due causing him to have the ability to extract money from his signature campaign prior to the likely negative trust he will receive when he does not repay you

I know it is risky, but he looked like he needed it.

Dear Watoshi,
Thanks a lot, man... I am seriously glad and speechless... I will be highly obliged, grateful and indebted to you till the last breath of my life man... I am gonna clear all my bills today and will repay you as soon as I get my payment... Smiley Also, just for you, I will again ask my sig camp's manager to pay me some in advance for me to have them secured and included on the other hand for you, with the fiat which will be used by me through my earnings to buy the remaining BTC... Smiley  Cheesy I am speechless, really... Thanks a lot again... Smiley

 Cry I can't say it in words, but feeling great and crying with tears of joy... Thanks a lot dear...  Cheesy


At least, I helped someone? Cheesy
that is why I charge 0% interest to certain loans.
259  Economy / Lending / Re: Need Loan 0.06 BTC HAVE COLLATERAL on: February 02, 2015, 05:42:28 AM
Confirming receipt of payment.
https://blockchain.info/tx/970bd9ceaf3c0a8596716363fb6726d5d90ef56a639758ae94e7eea6d0c5f145

ty Smiley

Why didn't you post it here, instead?
You got repayment? I was reading this thread and I was like "sigh, yet another failed loan" Tongue

lol, I received the repayment all right. Had actually forgot about this loan, then I suddenly needed some money, so I remembered.

I have another loan of 0.5BTC to someone else. Trying to find the thread. Why did they disable the search?
I would say that you forgot about it because it was over 3 weeks overdue. IMO this late of a repayment (without some kind of a late charge) really deserves a negative trust as they did not follow through with their promise.

The search has been re-enabled and apparently is working better then it was before

lol, come on, I got the money when I needed it. Why should I give him negative trust? He kept his promise of paying back the loan even after the collateral has become useless.

He had asked me an extension and I gladly gave him that.
He also paid me 0.005BTC more.

I am okay with this and OP may lock this thread.

ty Smiley
260  Economy / Lending / Re: 0.5 BTC Loan Request... More Details Inside... on: February 02, 2015, 05:27:53 AM
Hi, repayment is almost due.

SInce price went down, you only have to pay 0.5BTC. Smiley


I will get BTC0.28 and not BTC0.2, as I am confident I will be in the top 10 posters and will get a BTC0.1 bonus, but after 28 days, that's why I took this loan dear..

I am sorry, you got only 0.189 from the campaign. I hope it will not affect your repayment as you promised.
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