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26981  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: October 05, 2014, 05:04:57 AM
Well it was an interesting ride--learned a lot, and hopefully spared from future speculations that would have gone bad.

Will still have my eye on BTC, but full fiat now.

--2011, the year I learned about BTC
--2014, the year I bought and mined BTC, but obsessed about it, lost money, etc.

Perspective is a funny thing.

See you soon, returning to BTC, possibly in early to mid to late 2015, when btc prices are in the $1.5k to $3k arena.   Embarrassed
26982  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: I am pretty confident we are the new wealthy elite, gentlemen. on: October 05, 2014, 04:59:56 AM
The time is coming...

We are only 3-6 months away from the next massive spike... and it will exceed all of your wildest dreams.

baaa, it's almost touching the 200's now....depressing...where's the spike you promised?

Did you read my post? I said 3-6 months before it happens minimum.

Jeebus christ, Bitcoin is practically guaranteed to go to the moon next year and you guys are whining about cheap coins.

Either take advantage of the current situation or don't.

I think people often confuse bitcoin for crypto in general. The writing is on the wall for crypto. It solves myriad real world problems that nothing else that has ever been invented can, or anything that will be invented for quite some time likely will. To confuse crypto currency in general for bitcoin specifically however might end up getting a lot of people burned.

You are NOT being very specific in your critique, and what are the possible solutions to this?  Educate people about different crypto currencies?  They have NO incentive to be educated until they become more invested in the ideas and/or practices of crypto, no?    Are you proposing any forward direction?


I'm only suggesting that if sufficiently superior technology comes along than it will unseat bitcoin. The markets arn't going to wait until this actually happens to price in this risk. They are already pricing it in. Infact i think its very unlikely that such a sufficiently superior technology will not emerge at some point in the future. Bitcoin security cost is high, non adaptive and wasteful. Anonymity is expensive and perhaps even at large cost involves counter-party risk and/or is potentially insufficient for certain tasks. And perhaps there is the opportunity to develop blockchains like systems that scale better. Those are just some examples. What do you do about it? Keep your ear to the ground.

I largely agree with what you are saying here; however, I will take a bit of an exception to what seems to be your assertion that bitcoin could be so jeopardized by some kind of better technology.  

In this regard, there remains a considerable advantage to first mover advantage and accordingly there would be various impediments to evolving redundant systems.  I cannot recall the exact computing power of the bitcoin network, but it is like a very large multitude the computing power of the top 500 computers in the world.  Surely, it would NOT be easy to transfer over to newer, better crypto systems because it would take a while to develop such systems, including network power.   Further, regarding some technological improvements, it would be possible for the bitcoin network to absorb some of these improvements with side chains or changes to the protocol or forks or some other adaptations... maybe NOT possible in all instances, but NOT out of the question.

I agree with your proposed solution to keep our ears to the ground because it is very likely that we would recognize some changes or needs to convert our investment into new systems b/c evolution of new systems is NOT likely to take place in a flash (and/or without some warnings).  

Notice my very specific use of the word sufficiently. I too give a lot of weight to the value of bitcoins network and infrastructure. That's why i still own a lot of it Smiley


Noted... accordingly, our thinking is probably NOT too far apart, then.   Wink Wink
26983  Economy / Speculation / Re: Who wishes they had bought bitcoin when it was $540 or so? on: October 05, 2014, 04:58:33 AM
I remember a similar topic asking who bought @ 1200$.

You can't predict the price for sure. Maybe in a couple of months there will be a topic What kind of idiot bougch @ 330$?

Don't be ridiculous MailmansDOGE.  You are changing the theme of this thread, which is discussing attempts to buy at the bottom, and we are NOT here talking about regrets about buying at the top....

Further, even though BTC prices have been in a 10 month decline, there is NO real indication that these BTC prices are going to continue to decline..... in a long term sense and to stay declined...  On the other hand, it seems much more likely that prices are going to begin to go in an upwardly direction at some point..

Each of us makes his/her its calculations in order to decide how or if to invest or if to divest.
26984  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: October 05, 2014, 04:53:37 AM
Are the deposits on circle are holded in BTC or fiat?

depends what you deposit i guess.

My English is lacking, hm?

Another trial:

I hold BTC or Fiat on a circle Account? You know what I mean? I guess BTC, but want to be sure.

it is my understanding that circle accounts can hold BTC or Fiat(of any color), and you are free to switch back and forth at anytime, I'm guessing they won't let you do bitcoin trading with this account... its probably part of their policy that it the service should not be used to day trade bitcoin.

I don't want to trade, I only want to send a medium amount of Bitcoins to my Circle Account. It irritates me that there are coming up messages like "you received xxxx.xx $ and not xx BTC. So it's only a reference value in USD and in conclusion nothing more than another form of a Bitcoin wallet or are they converting BTC to USD on entrance?

i have no idea how they balance their books.

but yes the site will always display your balance in $ terms, they feel its easier for new users to see their balance in their local currency.

must be depressing sending bitcoin over there today and watching your balance fall 9%  Tongue

Adam: 

From your various responses, it seems that you do NOT have a Circle account.  Surely, I am NO Circle expert because I only started using it at the end of September, and on October 1, I transferred $500 into my Circle account (which translated into 1.29263 BTC.  A I type, my previous $500 is valued at $441; however, the amount of BTC has NOT changed, only the dollar equivalency of my BTC holdings.   

I have NOT yet seen any option to hold my Circle account value in fiat rather than holding in BTC - possibly Circle could add that feature later - though I have my doubts that they are going to allow such (b/c the account would convert into a trading account). 

Actually, before I opened up my account with Circle, I was wondering how Circle was going to prevent people from trading with their zero fees policy, and it appears that their outrageously low weekly limits (starting at $2,500 per week non-immediate transfer or $500 per week immediate transfer); effectively make it difficult to engage in any kind of high quantity or high frequency trading, and their weekly limitations also make these accounts very small potatoes...   Even Coinbase has higher weekly and daily limitations than Circle....  My Coinbase allows for $1,000 per week immediate and $50,000 per week, and the Coinbase limits are constantly updating in order to cause less restrictions. 

Note that my Circle account is brand new and there is a disclaimer that my weekly limits may increase with the passage of time - supposedly as I become a more longer term account holder (we will see?).
26985  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: I am pretty confident we are the new wealthy elite, gentlemen. on: October 05, 2014, 03:59:50 AM
The time is coming...

We are only 3-6 months away from the next massive spike... and it will exceed all of your wildest dreams.

baaa, it's almost touching the 200's now....depressing...where's the spike you promised?

Did you read my post? I said 3-6 months before it happens minimum.

Jeebus christ, Bitcoin is practically guaranteed to go to the moon next year and you guys are whining about cheap coins.

Either take advantage of the current situation or don't.

I think people often confuse bitcoin for crypto in general. The writing is on the wall for crypto. It solves myriad real world problems that nothing else that has ever been invented can, or anything that will be invented for quite some time likely will. To confuse crypto currency in general for bitcoin specifically however might end up getting a lot of people burned.

You are NOT being very specific in your critique, and what are the possible solutions to this?  Educate people about different crypto currencies?  They have NO incentive to be educated until they become more invested in the ideas and/or practices of crypto, no?    Are you proposing any forward direction?


I'm only suggesting that if sufficiently superior technology comes along than it will unseat bitcoin. The markets arn't going to wait until this actually happens to price in this risk. They are already pricing it in. Infact i think its very unlikely that such a sufficiently superior technology will not emerge at some point in the future. Bitcoin security cost is high, non adaptive and wasteful. Anonymity is expensive and perhaps even at large cost involves counter-party risk and/or is potentially insufficient for certain tasks. And perhaps there is the opportunity to develop blockchains like systems that scale better. Those are just some examples. What do you do about it? Keep your ear to the ground.

I largely agree with what you are saying here; however, I will take a bit of an exception to what seems to be your assertion that bitcoin could be so jeopardized by some kind of better technology. 

In this regard, there remains a considerable advantage to first mover advantage and accordingly there would be various impediments to evolving redundant systems.  I cannot recall the exact computing power of the bitcoin network, but it is like a very large multitude the computing power of the top 500 computers in the world.  Surely, it would NOT be easy to transfer over to newer, better crypto systems because it would take a while to develop such systems, including network power.   Further, regarding some technological improvements, it would be possible for the bitcoin network to absorb some of these improvements with side chains or changes to the protocol or forks or some other adaptations... maybe NOT possible in all instances, but NOT out of the question.

I agree with your proposed solution to keep our ears to the ground because it is very likely that we would recognize some changes or needs to convert our investment into new systems b/c evolution of new systems is NOT likely to take place in a flash (and/or without some warnings). 
26986  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: October 05, 2014, 03:44:46 AM
<350   - 91 (59.1%)
>350   - 63 (40.9%)


until we see such statistics , so many bulls 41% the price will keep going down

perhaps if only 10-20% bulls left the price will start rising again

I don't agree the price will be dumped 2x more times before it go up.

Must be so awesome to be able to look into the future. You must be so rich.

"Must be so awesome to be able to look into the future."

Says the guy who claims he knows it all? and constantly "tells the future"

give me a break

(edit- I don't mind people speculating on the future, it is just the constant "you guys are idiots it has done this for x months, it wil always continue to do x, really shrooms, you have no right to give other people shit on here for what they say, you and a few others just repeat the same thing over and over and over too.. really.. )

Give the kid a break, it's not his fault that he's born a retard.  Cheesy

s/he or it was born a birdie dog or a doggie birdie, so s/he / it has limit intellectual capacities (accordingly, needs to stay on the same theme, otherwise will get lost)   Sad   Cry
26987  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: October 05, 2014, 03:36:43 AM
On the other side of things.. Why would whales (traders) leave BTC market? There is a huge amount of money to be made in BTC so why leave.
They aren't leaving, just selling now to buy more later.

Source? Other than your hopes, delusions and fantasies?
I thought this is a speculation thread. If you're looking for sources here you are definitely lost in the wrong section.

EvilPanda:  Your conclusion, here, is fucked up.  Speculation does NOT mean that you can say whatever the fuck you want.

Link?? What is your source about what does speculation mean?

Gnode:  I provided a rationale in my post that you clipped.. you understand that in making any kind of claim there is logic and there is evidence... that assist us to arrive at conclusions (and/or claims that we make).  When we make claims, usually there is a combination of both logic and evidence  but it is NOT necessary to have both logic and evidence for every case that a poster makes.  Also, sometimes when the claims are NOT controversial, posters may NOT even need to provide either logic or evidence for their claim(s). 

  Hopefully my explanation here makes sense for you, to the extent that you may possibly be interested in any kind of meaningful discussion of the subject matter?   Roll Eyes
26988  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: I am pretty confident we are the new wealthy elite, gentlemen. on: October 05, 2014, 03:21:20 AM
The time is coming...

We are only 3-6 months away from the next massive spike... and it will exceed all of your wildest dreams.

baaa, it's almost touching the 200's now....depressing...where's the spike you promised?

Did you read my post? I said 3-6 months before it happens minimum.

Jeebus christ, Bitcoin is practically guaranteed to go to the moon next year and you guys are whining about cheap coins.

Either take advantage of the current situation or don't.

I think people often confuse bitcoin for crypto in general. The writing is on the wall for crypto. It solves myriad real world problems that nothing else that has ever been invented can, or anything that will be invented for quite some time likely will. To confuse crypto currency in general for bitcoin specifically however might end up getting a lot of people burned.


You are NOT being very specific in your critique, and what are the possible solutions to this?  Educate people about different crypto currencies?  They have NO incentive to be educated until they become more invested in the ideas and/or practices of crypto, no?    Are you proposing any forward direction?



26989  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: October 05, 2014, 03:14:31 AM
<350   - 91 (59.1%)
>350   - 63 (40.9%)


until we see such statistics , so many bulls 41% the price will keep going down

perhaps if only 10-20% bulls left the price will start rising again

We do have a chinese subforum https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?board=30.0

Also, please buy a new keyboard, your SHIFT key and some other keys seem to be "out of order".

Just a reminder for everybody who can't speak English and has a broken keyboard...

My ALL CAPS gets stuck on certain words... funny that!!!    Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy
26990  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: I am pretty confident we are the new wealthy elite, gentlemen. on: October 05, 2014, 12:27:56 AM
The time is coming...

We are only 3-6 months away from the next massive spike... and it will exceed all of your wildest dreams.

baaa, it's almost touching the 200's now....depressing...where's the spike you promised?

Did you read my post? I said 3-6 months before it happens minimum.

Jeebus christ, Bitcoin is practically guaranteed to go to the moon next year and you guys are whining about cheap coins.

Either take advantage of the current situation or don't.

people said that we are guaranteed to have a nice gain year by year, no matter what the buy price. Already proved wrong.

Now you saying that we are guaranteed to get a big bubble in 2015...

People say all kinds of shit.  You need to learn to think for yourself and to take information that you get on the interwebs with a grain of salt...   Also take responsibility for your own decisions rather than suggesting that someone else tricked you into some kind of action that you would NOT have otherwise taken.   Roll Eyes
26991  Economy / Speculation / Re: rpietila Wall Observer - the Quality TA Thread ;) on: October 05, 2014, 12:21:22 AM
I am curious about long term scenarios. We all know about 21 mil max bitcoins. However, if and when COIN or BIT will start trading, what would prevent Wall Street to multiply the number of supposedly strictly restricted number of units 10 or 100 fold? Nobody ever challenged GLD ETF to show that they actually own the amount of gold they supposed to have. Brokerages already using hypothecation for stocks, which together with other techniques in case of heavily shorted stocks is rumored to vastly increase the number of shares for some companies.

On the other hand, Bill Gates could sneeze in the morning and "accidentally" use one-one and a half day worth of his dividends and bitcoin will be above $1000  Smiley.

It's impossible. There is more GLD ETF then ever has been mined. GLD in its fine print says that they will settle accounts in cash if it comes to that. It is fraud sanctioned by the US government. It keeps the price artificially suppressed so their fiat lives on. There is no audit trail. It is kabuki theater. The only ETF that I know of that has audited gold with serial numbers is Sprott Physical Gold Trust (PHYS). Same thing with silver. SLV is a fraud. PSLV is legit.

If so, the same nonsense might be repeated with COIN.

It should be trivial to provide blockchain verifiable evidence of holdings in realtime. In fact I expect this before I send them a penny from my tax free stocks wrapper.

it should be trivial to document gold holdings as well. Perhaps you know this, but Joe public does not have the knowledge to check the blockchain to verify. Even for an expert, it would take a while, and they will say that it is proprietary info.

Well some exchanges reveal their holdings in a blockchain verifiable way. The same will i am sure be true of COIN. You think a major investor is going to send them millions of dollars and just accept that they have the coins without proof? Lol.

It is totally different from gold. This is a cryptographically verifiable non counterfeitable digital token - much cooler Smiley

What BTC ETFs like COIN and other BTC investment funds need to do is to guarantee and show allocated coins, every client's holding is stored on their own individual publicly published and viewable address, rather than pooled in the total holdings account as happens on exchanges, this is like the best practice of PM funds like www.bullionvault.com except miles better as anyone can instantly see and prove that the funds are actually allocated to the clients rather than just take the business's and auditor's word for it.

+1  totally agree, Otoh!!!!
26992  Economy / Speculation / Re: rpietila Calling the Bottom on: October 05, 2014, 12:16:30 AM

so rpietila was wrong ... so what  Roll Eyes


rpietila and other cultists/bulltards are very influential. Newbs see their posts and get the impression that we'll be above 10k soon, when in fact we won't. Thus the newbs make bad investment decisions. They lose a lot of money.

These forums are spammed with a lot of bulltard gibberish about 10k coins, "exponential trend lines", "support" and "to da moon". Perhaps it's time the cultists and bulltards are exposed.



Anyone taking advice from the internet needs to take such advice with a grain of salt, to do their own research and to weigh their own risks, timeline, finances, etc.

people talk bullish and they talk bearish, but there really is NO reason to generalize them into a group and label them as either bulltards or beartards.  That kind of name calling, labeling and categorizing does NOT meaningfully contribute to better understanding the substance of the various arguments that are being made by any of these posters.
26993  Economy / Speculation / Re: rpietila Calling the Bottom on: October 05, 2014, 12:11:34 AM
So what did you say the bottom was, rpietila? 340? 

Roll Eyes

We're still hovering around that range. You can take this as me just moving the goalposts for the sake of rpietila, but this stuff is not an exact science.

Risto apologist to the rescue!

He called bottom at ~$500 in August when this thread was created, and it was clear when it was originally posted that he believed we would trend back up from that price point. He was prompted to call it on August 15 because we had just experienced a large drop, but he determined that we had bottomed out. If you read his older posts, it's pretty clear that he thought we would be back over the ATH again at this point.

Sorry, but I'm not going to let anyone wishy wash their way out of their bold predictions. Anyone is free to make any prediction they want here, but you've got to face up to it when you're wrong.

Chuckee,

Even though you are a fucking troll, and rarely do you lend any value within any of your posts; however, here you seem to be largely correct. 

Risto made a prediction, and largely he was predicting upward BTC price direction from mid-August onward. and he should take responsibility for such, especially when he (Risto) makes such predictions with such arrogance.

On the other hand, Risto made a lot of valuable contributions including in his post describing the bitcoin price situation at the time of OP.

I suspect that if Risto toned down some of his arrogance within his posts and sometimes made concessions regarding his getting things wrong (or overstating matters), he would NOT cause himself to be such a target for being told that he is wrong... .which NONE of us should expect to really be able to foretell specifics regarding BTC prices.. except for just providing and estimating probabilities.
26994  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: October 04, 2014, 11:15:46 PM
Anybody in US, or any other country where it's easy to get weapons, is willing to sell me a powerful gun??
I will pay good, probably won't be needing it for a couple of months but I just want to make sure

Check any darknet market.  They accept btc.
You might want to consider shorting or selling instead of killing, however.



How does it work with shipping? I live in sweden so

And any suggestion for a site?

if you are serious then you are too invested, I suggest you sell everything because you clearly don't understand what "invest only what you can afford to lose" means.... it is time that you sell withdraw and shut off your PC and go do something better with your life.

when you start thinking about hurting someone or yourself, it is the point when you maybe need to talk with someone, maybe you need professional help.

I suspected that if I perused a sufficient quantity of your posts, mmitech, I would run across some piece of wisdom.... and yes, finally, a piece of wisdom from mmitech!!!    Shocked Shocked Shocked

I'm not joking.  +1 to this one of mmitech's posts.   Smiley
26995  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: October 04, 2014, 10:51:02 PM
Fucking sick
so are you still thinking about borrowing money ?

I'm thinking I have no fucking choice
so probably yes. If I would have waited 1 fucking minute last time when I was buying I would of come up on the top out of this but I got this stupid fucking luck whatever I do and wherever I go...

That's why you should NOT trade.    Roll Eyes Tongue Cry
26996  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: October 04, 2014, 10:45:55 PM
On the other side of things.. Why would whales (traders) leave BTC market? There is a huge amount of money to be made in BTC so why leave.
They aren't leaving, just selling now to buy more later.

Source? Other than your hopes, delusions and fantasies?
I thought this is a speculation thread. If you're looking for sources here you are definitely lost in the wrong section.

EvilPanda:  Your conclusion, here, is fucked up.  Speculation does NOT mean that you can say whatever the fuck you want.  Your speculation will be more credible the more that it is backed up by sources and or rationale and or explanation.
26997  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: I am pretty confident we are the new wealthy elite, gentlemen. on: October 04, 2014, 10:12:17 PM
The time is coming...

We are only 3-6 months away from the next massive spike... and it will exceed all of your wildest dreams.

baaa, it's almost touching the 200's now....depressing...where's the spike you promised?

Never trust the weathy elite Wink

Who the fuck knows for sure when there is going to be a "spike," and readers of these kinds posts should take the contents of such predictions with a grain of salt that a large majority of us are speculating regarding the specifics of the price direction, to the extent that we are able to formulate any theory, the theory is merely a reflection of what we believe to be probable or likely based on the information that we have, and NOBODY, not even whale manipulators know all of the factors.

Further, in order to be at least a little more fair to Chopstick, s/he /it made the prediction about a week ago.... HELLO!  and contained in the prediction is a time line prediction of 3-6 months, we are NOT even close to the range of s/he/its prediction.  So, I would NOT be accusing Chopstick as being misleading or incorrect in any regards.  Possibly, if 8 months pass and the "spike" has NOT yet occurred, you may be able to suggest that s/he / it was incorrect in the prediction, but that may merely be a timing question rather than a substantive criticism.   Roll Eyes   Tongue
26998  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: I am pretty confident we are the new wealthy elite, gentlemen. on: October 04, 2014, 10:07:00 PM
The time is coming...

We are only 3-6 months away from the next massive spike... and it will exceed all of your wildest dreams.

baaa, it's almost touching the 200's now....depressing...where's the spike you promised?

Never trust the weathy elite Wink

I hate the fact this post is originally directed at "gentlemen...".. I'm a girl, when is everyone going to accept there are girls on here?!!?!?!?
ladies and gentlemen would be a more appropiate greeting.

There are no girls on the internet. There are only men, men dressed as women and prostitutes.

Here is your average internet girl:




That is hillarious!!!   Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy And, even if there happens to be a girl or two on the internets, these one or two girls should also find this post to be funny... but how am I to get into the mind(s) of the fairer ones?
26999  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: I am pretty confident we are the new wealthy elite, gentlemen. on: October 04, 2014, 10:02:44 PM
The time is coming...

We are only 3-6 months away from the next massive spike... and it will exceed all of your wildest dreams.

baaa, it's almost touching the 200's now....depressing...where's the spike you promised?

Never trust the weathy elite Wink

I hate the fact this post is originally directed at "gentlemen...".. I'm a girl, when is everyone going to accept there are girls on here?!!?!?!?
ladies and gentlemen would be a more appropiate greeting.


There's girls on here?  Shit, I better change my way of expressing myself!!!   Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy
27000  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: October 04, 2014, 05:24:38 PM
And here is another point: If things are manipulated by a market "deity" (he/they managed for this long and this hard, he/they obviously have a near complete control), then why would you try and stem against it? Submit and get rewarded. Watch until the "manipulation" fades. Does it truly matter whether something is manipulation or "natural" for your trading or investment success?

You have a good point there that we have to still behave in such a way to account for the manipulation and attempt to do our best, in spite of manipulations that are ongoing. 

On a related note, I will take one exception to your above described situation.  you seem to be denigrating, again, the concept of manipulation by attempting to describe it as systematic - and that is likely NOT the case.  Manipulation likely occurs because it is allowed to occur, and there are even various competing forces within the manipulation world that strive for control and/or getting their way within their sphere(s) of influence.  In this regard, it is likely safer to consider manipulation occurring within and by various manipulative and competing spheres of influence rather than merely by one or a narrow set of cooperative manipulative forces.
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