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281  Local / Ekonomi, Politik, dan Budaya / Re: Kaesang Baru Jadi Anggota Kemaren, sudah jadi Ketum!, Salut!!! on: March 06, 2024, 04:02:38 PM
Orang yang bandingkan salinan C1 dengan hasil di si Rekap ya pasti terkejut lihat perbedaannya.
Kalau disebut salah input di si Rekap tapi kok begitu massive terjadi dibanyak tempat untuk suara PSI ini?
Terus kalau dipikir secara nalar, pasti akan ketahuan kalau penggelembungan suara ini benar apa adanya karena partai-partai politik punya salinan C1 sebagai bahan perbandingan.
Sebenarnya rawannya pergeseran suara ini mungkin terjadi dalam proses dari TPS ke kecamatan.
282  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: March 06, 2024, 03:15:36 PM
Shefield United have been a team every team are using to get three points in the premier league this season,they have been in terrific form that has kept them at the bottom of the table.They were beaten by Arsenal last match,and will still be beaten in their next game. They will be among teams that will not escape religation this season.
Where as the the  for the top four race is really getting intense.Aston Villa who flogged Arsenal,Mancity and other big teams are sittted right behind Arsenal at fourth position,and they will ensure they win all the games possible to be able to maintain that spot,else,their position is under threat.

Yes, Sheffield 100% will be relegate back to the Championship league again.
There are 11 games to go until the end of the season but Paddy power even already paid out on bets for Sheffield to get relegated.

All three top clubs in the Premier League table are serious about winning the trophy this season. I think Arsenal will get close to the top of the Premier League table soon. This weekend, Arsenal will enter second place in the Premier League table if they beat Brentford on Saturday, because Liverpool or Manchester City will drop points on Sunday.

Correct, no matter what is the result between Liverpool vs Mancity - Arsenal will be in the top 2 of the league if they able to beat Brentford.
This month will be crucial for Arsenal, if they able to beat Chelsea and Mancity they might become the first if Mancity able to beat Liverpool.
283  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: March 06, 2024, 02:03:41 PM
The first match was extremely suspicious, as if Bayern lost on purpose, and especially strange was the fact that previously consistently scoring Bayern did not score even one goal. This time everything fell into place and Bayern won without a chance for Lazio.
The most amazing thing is that after many years Neuer and Muller are still playing well at a high level.
There is also hope that Harry Kane will get his first trophy this season.
Tuchel is also good coach that after learning that he will leave at the end of the season did not start to scandalize, and calmly coaches and still strive for victories.

Lazio are really free now and can concentrate on Serie A.

Yep, unexpected result of the 1st leg but I dont think its suspicious.
In the 1st leg Bayern got a red card and a penalty for Lazio, also Lazio defense was quite good at that time. Bayern have 17 shoots but none of them is on target.
Neuer and Muller contracts have been extended to 2025, so we will still see both of them playing for Bayern until next year.
284  Economy / Gambling / Re: Can gambling sites provide proof of auditing that was done on their RTP? on: March 06, 2024, 01:11:13 PM
From what I know, its call the RNG audit not RTP audit.
RNG (random number generator) program on slots is responsible for determining the outcome of each spin, and RNG guarantees that the past outcomes do not affect the future results.
And this RNG usually tested by independent audit labs such as Itechlabs, Ecogra, etc.

For online slots, some of the gaming providers provide a variable RTP setting but the slots operator/casino will not able to set random numbers.
For example, slot A standard RTP is 96% and the gaming provider of slot A only provides an option to pick 94% or 96%, because of that the casino will not able to set it to any number beside 94% or 96%.
Also to change RTP, the slots operator/casino is not able to change it anytime they like because they have to request it first to the gaming provider or via the 3rd party casino software provider and it will not happen instantly.

Some of you might aware that the same slots have different RTP at different casinos, it doesnt mean that some casinos are cheating with lower the RTP but because its legal and they are allowed to do that.
I suggest to play only slots with the standard RTP from the gaming providers, how to check it?
Google it or visit the gaming provider site to check it then compare with the RTP of that slot on your favorite casino.
To check the RTP, load the game then go to Setting or Information. Any casino will not able to change any info in the information tab including the RTP info about that game.
For example,


Because of the reasons above, the slots operators/casinos dont need nor able to provide an audit of the RTP/RNG because the slots operators do not have a direct access to that program.
And Im sure many people are still not aware that they play their favorite slots with non standard RTP on certain sites.
 
285  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: March 05, 2024, 12:44:35 PM
The 1st leg result was 2-0 for PSG, not 2-1. That is why PSG ML odds is quite big because in theory, draw or losing with 1 goal difference in the 2nd leg = they will be qualified into the quarter final.
This match is unpredictable, better to watch it live and see how they play before placing any bet on this match.
PSG had difficult group phase but they look to be lucky with draw for round of 16. With result from the first leg, they have high chance to participate in quarter finals and I wonder will they surprisingly win Champions League in a season they less expect about it. With some months left till leaving PSG to join Real Madrid, will Mbappe be on fire with his maximum contribution for the club in Champions League?

He is a key player for PSG attacking system and has important role in knock out matches. He can help PSG to have decisive goals in knock out matches and PSG only need him for 6 more matches in Champions League.

There is a chance that we might only see Mbappe play only in the 1st half again, same as the last match against Monaco last week.
Enrique said,
"Sooner or later, we will have to get used to playing without Kylian. It’s a decision that I made with the aim of doing the best for the team."

I didnt agree with Enrique statement, Mbappe is the top scorer of Ligue1 for the fifth consecutive season.
He also the all-time top goalscorer for PSG and he is the 1st PSG player to score 5 goals in a match.
Why waste his skill while there are still 3 months left for Mbappe in PSG?
286  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Cashing Out BTC in Exchanges Questions on: March 05, 2024, 11:28:13 AM
So what happens if people who are long term holders start cashing out decent amounts of btc in exchanges like coinbase or gemini or kraken?  Thus they send the btc from their wallet to their exchange account and then sell and these are for big amounts or amounts?  Now whether they kept their btc in their hardware wallet or electrum for a long time, there should be no issue right?


The thing is with btc price going up so much, well what happens if someone wants to sell an amount that is like 5 or even 6 figures worth of usd on coinbase or gemini or kraken?  Like imagine someone that trades btc for fiat and vice versa for hundreds of dollars but never sold for a long time because they just hold.  But now they want to sell a lot of btc that could be 5 figures worth of usd or even higher.  Do they have to be concerned if the exchanges freeze their account because they have never done a transaction like that before?  The thing is if someone is a long term holder, well they will have a good amount of btc etc.

Coinbase user able to apply a request to increase the withdrawal limit, after they agree about it then the user will be asked to provide additional documents.
https://help.coinbase.com/en-au/coinbase/trading-and-funding/buying-selling-or-converting-crypto/limits-and-account-levels
To withdraw 5 or 6 digits they must be asked for the source of funds or/and source of income to make sure the legality of the crypto you sell to them.

Coinbase do not limit how much crypto you can sell but there is a withdrawal limit $100k limit per day.
Someone ever asked how to wd $1M from coinbase on reddit, and the coinbase representative there answers like this:

Quote
Given the current limit of $100,000 per transaction, you would need to make 10 separate transactions to cash out $1 million. Please note that each transaction may be subject to fees as outlined in the context. It's always a good idea to plan your transactions ahead of time to ensure a smooth process.
source: link
287  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24 on: March 05, 2024, 10:46:27 AM

Girona lost it's confidence after they lose against Real Madrid, this might hit them hard and since they haven't experienced in this position, it's not easy for them to comeback and fix the issues.


Against Mallorca was crucial to the season, and they decided to pull out.
From 1 point behind Madrid to 7 points. Their spirit was no longer there.
Girona's football bubble burst. The free fall begins
There's no denying that they've had an incredible season, and  It was entertaining while it lasted, but they're running out of fuel.

Cant use the same strategy again and again in the big league such as LaLiga, especially when the club only has a few skillful players.
At the beginning of the season their away record is magnificent, but now they havent won at all in the last 6 away games.
Michel must do something about their strategy and their mental when away, if not - then there is a big chance they will end at the top 4th in the league under Barcelona and Atletico.
288  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: March 05, 2024, 09:55:10 AM
It's crazy the money line odds PSG to win is @2.75, that's really big considering PSG is leading and they will play with full squad. I don't expect Real Sociedad would win, probably a draw or PSG would win.

While the match Bayern Munich vs Lazio, honestly it's really unpredictable, betting Bayern Munich to win is not profitable because the odds is very low. I think both teams will score because both of them will try to score, Munich is looking for win while Lazio can find a space when Bayern Munich is too focus with their attacks.
Real sociedad is going to give PSG problem today. It's not going to be an easy game for PSG that's why their odd is so big. Sociedad are a strong side in this season champions league, the score in the first leg ended 2:1 in favour of PSG, I was thinking PSG was going to score more goals in that game but it turned out to be a close win. Sociedad will be giving their best to make sure they win this game. The PSG odd is looking pretty enticing but I don't see PSG wining this game.

The 1st leg result was 2-0 for PSG, not 2-1. That is why PSG ML odds is quite big because in theory, draw or losing with 1 goal difference in the 2nd leg = they will be qualified into the quarter final.
This match is unpredictable, better to watch it live and see how they play before placing any bet on this match.

I think Bayern vs Lazio is easy to predict, Bayern will win this match but the question is with how many goals?
My guess the match could end with 1-0 or 2-1 for Bayern then continue to extra time and maybe a penalty shootout to decide which team qualify to the next stage.
289  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: What Work Now May Not Work Tomorrow on: March 03, 2024, 07:17:24 PM
How about you have you at one time of your gambling experience experienced finding patterns that you think are effective and consistent only to find out later after several days that it's not working anymore..

And are you still looking for patterns that you think will work in the long run for you.


I am a regular sports bettor, so these winning patterns might not apply to sports games. The basics of sports bets is to analyze and forecast the outcome of games and this is very unpredictable. You might find a winning pattern based on the history of teams but this might not be the case all the time. Coaches, players, injuries, suspensions, etc, of a club could affect the outcome of the games.

I have not also found any winning pattern in other casino games because I have not tried any pattern. I just place my bets and depend solely on luck. I have read that some gamblers can take advantage of loopholes in casinos and exploit it. I have no experience in such and I don't also believe that there is a stable winning pattern. If there were such, many gamblers would have made so much money. 

Everything is good until its not - Some regular minesweeper players and other games may have strategies that give them a better chance of winning more often, but its not guaranteed that it will always win all the time.
Even if he able to win a few days in a row with that "pattern" he will lose it again when trying to find a new pattern after the previous one didnt work anymore.
I have ever been using this pattern strategy when playing Baccarat a long time ago, its like a never ending cycle and we know what will happen in the long term.
290  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Premier League 2023/2024 Discussion Thread ⚽ on: March 03, 2024, 05:34:01 PM
Hehe Manutd almost give a heart attack to Mancity fans before Foden scores at 56' minute. But in the end they are leading 3-1 now, and many people who bet on Mancity must be happy right now.
And soon we will hear more gossip regarding Ten Hag in Manutd.
With this result, there is 6 points difference for Manutd to chase Tottenham if they want to participate in the Europa competition.
2014/2015 season was the last time that Manutd not join any EU competition because they finished in the top 7th back in 2013/2014 season.
291  Economy / Economics / Re: 2024 & Prediction of World War III - Effect on Cryptocurrencies on: March 03, 2024, 04:58:58 PM
If WW 3 does really happen then definitely it will become a nuke war. Any countries have nuke might use it at the beginning of the war or when they start losing to their opponent.
Crypto and human will become history, there is no way to survive after US, China and Russia launch all of their nukes.
But I doubt human really stupid to use all of the nukes in this world, if it only less than 5 perhaps human still can survive and there is still a chance crypto will be used again after the end of WW3.
292  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24 on: March 02, 2024, 08:35:49 PM
Real Sociedad is not as strong as last season, they are far behind the top four in the current standings. The defeat against Sevilla again complicated Real Sociedad chances of securing tickets to European competition next season. The best chance they have is to appear in the European Confederation League, with the condition that they have to wait for Real Betis to stumble first. In the last five matches, Real Sociedad was only able to achieve one win in La Liga, maybe in Week 28 they can secure full points because they face a mediocre club, namely Granada. The decline in performance towards the end of the season was very painful, especially after failing in the Copa del Rey.

On the other hand, Real Sociedad chance of turning things around in the second leg looks impossible, because PSG has a 2 goal advantage. It could be said that Real Sociedad progress in the Champions League this season only reached the round of 16, even though in the group phase they managed to finish in first place without being defeated. Only great luck can bring Real Sociedad through to the quarter finals, because PSG has the complete attributes to win in the second leg.

I think it will be impossible for Sociedad to enter the big 5 in the league or even become the 6th to get the ticket to Europa Conference League, due to their next opponents in April and May later where they must face Madrid, Las Palmas, Barcelona, Valencia, Betis and Atletico.



With their present performance , I dont think they will be able to get 3 points from any match above.
Also, should be not hard for PSG to beat them again next week.
293  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: March 02, 2024, 06:36:06 PM
I didn't get the opportunity to watch today's match between Liverpool and Nottingham forest, but a friend of mine who watched it was few minutes ago, telling me how tough the match was and how difficult it was for Liverpool to win the match, and based on all that he told me, I also believe it's a very deserving win for Liverpool, and a big congratulations to them for getting the full three points in that match.

And speaking of Manchester city and Manchester united game tomorrow, who cares if Manchester city loses, in fact, I personally would like Manchester united to win the game, if it's possible for Manchester city to drop of the second place in the lague table, then let it happen, two club i am supporting to win this season's premiere league title is either Liverpool or Arsenal.
So, if the competition for the title is between Liverpool and arsenal, then I personally will consider it very tough since I wouldnt know which club the wish better luck, but Liverpool and Manchester city? Let city drop out, they've won the title too many times conservatively, let another club win it this time.

March will be a hell month for Mancity, but if they are able to beat Manutd, Liverpool, Arsenal and Aston then they deserve to be a winner again.
Because after all of these games above, City will only face a weak opponent beside Tottenham.
To be honest Manutd and Aston probably will not able to stop them at home, the only hope is Liverpool able to beat them and Arsenal able to steal at least 1 point at City home.

294  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Is it time now to use Premium VPN when playing in the casino? on: March 02, 2024, 04:56:56 PM
Most of the casino will allow us to use VPN, but usually they will not mention it on their terms nor provide a clear answer when we asks about it to their support.
Also we must be ready for the KYC anytime because our account will be marked as a multi account if other people ever used the same IP/VPN on that casino.
Even using a premium VPN will not guarantee that the IP is clean, there is still a chance that anyone ever used the IP to register on that casino.
But, the premium VPN is always the best choice if we really cannot use the original IP due to some reasons.

Regarding the case you mentioned above: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5487117.msg63746846#msg63746846
Any casino will not allow their user to have more than 1 account, but confiscated all of the funds while the other account is an empty account (never depo, play and wd) is a bit too harsh.
Some casinos will review its case by case, not just confiscated the funds and closed the account like that.
However, we havent heard the story from the casino side yet. Its too early to judge who is wrong or right.
295  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: March 01, 2024, 09:01:43 PM
Concerning Chelsea Football club, I would never agree that those guys are back to form till this season is ended. Chelsea Football club is just like a black magic, by the time you think that they are in good form and we start winning matches they will just lose to the most miserable team in the English Premier League. For them to start giving high battle with a big clubs does not mean that they are now in good form. Chelsea Football club literally needs an overhauling.

Normally, even as people have been saying that Chelsea are back to form, I still don’t agree with that because they are still suffering from some teams, sometimes even weak teams, winning Chelsea, and obviously, compared to the type of hard time that Chelsea has faced for the past season, they still have a lot to do before we can say that they are back to form. They also need to win more matches against both big clubs and weak teams. Although I know that when it comes to playing against tough teams, they always turn up and perform well, that shouldn’t be a reason that Chelsea are now back to form, so let’s see how they will continue doing. Maybe they will do what we are expecting them to do and win more matches, then we will say they are back to form.

Chelsea needs to change their manager and also sell some of their players in the next transfer window.
Or let Pochettino still handle it but give him the players he needs to compete with other big teams.
Finished in the top 12th in the league in the last season was a disaster for a big club such as Chelsea.
I think it might happen again in this season, or maybe worse after checking their fixtures.
296  Local / Topik Lainnya / Re: [Diskusi] - Semua Tentang Ibu Kota Negara (IKN) Indonesia on: March 01, 2024, 08:25:43 PM
Sedikit tambahan kenapa Ibukota harus segera dipindah,
Sebenarnya keadaan Jakarta sedang tidak baik-baik saja, hujan = pasti banjir di banyak tempat dan jika ditambah air laut pasang + hujan besar di bogor = parah.
Bagi yang tinggal di Jakarta/Jabodetabek, kalian bisa mengunjungi monumen penurunan tanah di daerah Kalibes/Kali besar/Kota.



Itu plakat teratas menunjukan tinggi tanah Jakarta Utara di thn 1974, dan plakat biru di tengah menunjukan tinggi tanah Jakarta Barat di thn 1974, dan yang paling bawah itu tinggi tanah Jakarta Timur di thn 1974 setinggi orang dewasa.
50 tahun berlalu dan sudah seperti itu, mungkin di 2045 nanti sudah tidak ada lagi yang namanya Jakarta Utara.

Istana Jakarta berserta jalan Sudirman dan sekitarnya (kantor menteri dll) itu masih terlindungi dari banjir karena adanya pintu air manggarai dan katulampa bogor.
Dengan konsekuensi masyarakat di sepanjang sungai ciliwung dan sekitarnya akan kebanjiran tapi istana dan kantor pemerintahan aman.
Jadi Ibukota memang sudah harus dipindah secepatnya, karena pertumbuhan jumlah penduduk di Ibukota akan selalu naik tiap tahunnya.

Masih banyak kontra di masyarakat tentang hal ini dengan alasan hutang masih banyak, rakyat semakin susah dll.
Presiden sekarang tentunya sudah memperhitungkan kekurangan dan kelebihannya, jika kinerja dan masterplan beliau untuk Indonesia ini tidak bagus => 02 tidak mungkin bisa menang.
297  Economy / Games and rounds / Re: 🃏JacksClub: ROUND 12 - BTC PRICE PREDICTION CONTEST $150 in BTC 🚀 on: March 01, 2024, 06:17:58 PM
JacksClub Username: Alwayswin
Prediction: $59.710,170
298  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24 on: March 01, 2024, 05:27:26 PM
Tomorrow Celta Vigo vs Almería team match will start in Spanish League. Looking forward to see this match. Thought to bet in support of Celta Vigo team. Hope Celta Vigo team can perform well tomorrow. 5 for bad performance of Almería team players.  Did not win any of the matches.Out of 5 matches drew 3 matches lost 2 matches.
These two clubs both have poor performance, are you sure you take the risk of betting on Celta winning?
I know that this match is very profitable because the bookie will give big odds, but I should avoid betting on the match because it is too risky, or if not choosing over or under is much better.
You have to think again and look at the number of injured players that Celta has.

Personally I also think Celta Vigo will be able to win today's match. However, Almeria have performed well in their last three matches and managed to draw all three matches.

Almeria's defense is very weak. Almeria conceded 54 goals in 26 matches this season. Celta Vigo is not a strong team. This group is also relatively weak. They have lost points in their last three matches. However, overall performance of Celta Vigo is better than Almeria. Also I have checked the statistics of the matches between these two teams. Celta Vigo have won 3 of the last 5 head-to-head matches and lost only 1. So even though it is risky to bet on Celta Vigo in today's match, I am willing to take this risk.

Almeria never win at all when away, and Celta home records were bad either with only 2 wins from 13 games at home.
But Celta knew that they must win in this match to stay away from the relegation zone.
If I have to bet on this match, I will pick Celta with asian handicap -0.25 not money line just in case the match ends with a draw.
Not sure what to pick with Over/Under, Im not sure both of the teams will be able to score more than once.
299  Local / Ekonomi, Politik, dan Budaya / Re: Kenaikan pangkat jendral bagi aparat yang sudah pensiun on: March 01, 2024, 03:59:29 PM
Kalau saya sih melihatnya Pak Jokowi memberikan pangkat tersebut agar Presiden berikutnya tidak dipandang remeh oleh bangsa lain maupun sebagian masyarakat kita dari kalangan militer maupun sipil.
Presiden dari kalangan/eks militer sebagai panglima tertinggi kok cuma bintang 3/Letjen gitu lho, dan untuk memperbaiki citra Pak Prabowo yang masih selalu dikait-kaitkan "bersalah" dengan peristiwa penculikan 98.
Hierarki di kalangan militer kan beda dengan sipil, walaupun sudah pensiun.

Dan kalau tidak diberikan sekarang, belum tentu Pak Prabowo bisa mendapatkan kenaikan pangkat ini di masa depan nanti.
Kan tidak mungkin juga menaikan pangkat sendiri ketika beliau menjadi Presiden nanti.
Jadi kalau saya lihat ini bukan hanya untuk gaya-gayaan saja atau sebagai rasa terimakasih karena Gibran jadi wapres, tidak seperti itu.
300  Local / Ekonomi, Politik, dan Budaya / Re: Selamat! Penghuni SFI Sr. Member - Legendary Minimal Masuk Kelas Menengah on: February 29, 2024, 09:04:37 PM
Agak bingung juga kalau Pengeluaran per bulan di mulai dari 1.7jt masih disebut masuk kelas menengah.
Realitasnya kalau masih dibawah 5 juta sepertinya lebih baik dikategorikan ke Calon kelas menengah.

Gimana rasanya jadi top-21%? Apakah hidup sudah berasa cukup nikmat?

Kalau pengeluaran di antara 1.7jt sampai 5jt perbulan dianggap sudah masuk top 21% =>  saking nikmatnya sampai Meringis saya Bang, mati segan hidup tak mau rasanya hahaha.


Biasa aja mas bro, saya gak merasa berada di kelas menengah saat ini, karena kebutuhan sama pengeluaran sangat tidak imbang karena harga kebutuhan pokok yang meningkat saat ini. Entah kalau yang lain, kalau untuk bujangan mungkin masih di taraf hidup menengah dan sangat menikmati hasil dari sig campaign, sedangkan yang sudah berkeluarga dan hanya mengharapkan penghasilan dari sig doang, saya yakin hidupnya cukup berat menanggung kebutuhan sehari-hari.

Kalau masih bujangan dan tinggal dirumah orang tua sendiri, tentu pemasukan 4jt perbulan saja sudah bisa dibilang lumayan.
Pengeluaran paling buat jajan harian, jalan-jalan, pacaran sama pulsa.

Kalau untuk yang sudah berkeluarga dan ngontrak atau tinggal di perumahan mertua indah, hati tidak terasa gundah hanya di hari pembayaran sig saja hehe.
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