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2881  Economy / Economics / Re: A bubble is when price is not justified on: May 21, 2021, 04:50:28 PM
A bubble is not about how high is the price of something (tulip bulbs, diamonds, dot-com stocks...), it is when the price is not justified.
I think those two things are inseparable--a tulip bulb was definitely worth some price back in the 1600s, but the increase in price had gotten so out of control that people eventually realized how irrational the market for tulips had gotten.  And if you look at price charts of things that have been in a bubble, you'll see the same thing: exponential growth for a period of time followed by an enormous crash and a long period of stagnant prices.

I don't see bitcoin as being in a bubble right now.  There were "mini bubbles" in 2014 and 2017, but the recovery periods have been extremely short, and I wouldn't expect that in a true bubble.  Look at the price of gold and silver leading up to 2011, when they crashed.  It took 10 years just for their prices to get back to where they are now, which is still below their peak in 2011.  The NASDAQ composite took even more than that to recover from the crash of 2000--and the list goes on.

Bitcoin is not similar to a Ponzi scheme, it's an investment that does not promise anything.
I think most members here realize bitcoin isn't a Ponzi or a scam.  That was my initial impression of it back when I didn't know what it was, but nowadays I think even the average investors sees it as just another asset class (cryptocurrency), especially given how much mainstream media coverage it gets.
Those who believe that Bitcoin is a Ponzi scheme don't cease to amaze me. Bitcoin has proven its worth, throughout the years, earnings are solely based on your decisions, it's a decentralized asset that has gained value, similarly with gold. No one has actually promised a guaranteed profit with cryptocurrency.

I don't believe that it's a bubble either, however, I do believe that its price skyrocketed sharply, within a short time period.
2882  Economy / Economics / Re: Elon Musk really has the ability to manipulate the bitcoin market on: May 19, 2021, 12:34:40 PM
This is still the wild wild west, after all. And Elon is so influential a figure that his statements, whether true or not, mean a lot to the market. Not to mention that he's got the money, too, to actually direct the price movement to a certain extent.

But it cannot be like this forever. Whether or not Elon would continue to blabber over Twitter, people would soon begin to see how ridiculous things are doing and whatever Elon says would have less and less effect to the market.
He's got everything he needs to manipulate the market, he's a successful businessman with several companies under his name. Since the cryptocurrency market is decentralized, thus he faces no consequences for his actions, his only goal is to profit from his actions, taking advantage of the current volatility. I think he is starting to annoy the crypto community, it has definitely irritated me.
2883  Economy / Economics / Re: 3.9million users took part in the Elon Musk poll; What will be Tesla's decision? on: May 19, 2021, 11:44:07 AM
this is the same old pump and dump scheme that hundreds of pumpers have used on social media, the only difference is that Musk is using it with much more effect.
Isn't that..... illegal? It's one thing for anonymous pumpanddumpers to do it, it's a different story if it's a billionaire who was already fined $20 million by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commision for misleading investors.
It's illegal in the stock market, in the cryptocurrency world, where everything is practically decentralized, Elon Musk and whoever has power to influence people, is free to do whatever he pleases. I find it rather annoying, he has been manipulating the market the past few months, posting trolling Tweets, making decisions known to cause an outrage and now this.

I find it outrageous, it's going out of control. He does as he pleases, if he was doing that with the stock market, he would be behind bars now.
2884  Economy / Economics / Re: A Sudden Price Drop in The Crypto Markets on: May 18, 2021, 08:31:22 PM
I know people don't probably want to hear this but I seriously don't think we are going to see the 64k-65k usd price point for bitcoin again anytime soon.
May be but if Bitcoin is able to get back to or above $48-51K then it is likely that it will continue up to that target but as it is now that is going to be some hard Bulls work to get Bitcoin back up there from this current $43k+ position. 
It actually recovered to $45.000 today, however, I also believe that returning to previous price levels will take a while. The whole incident with Tesla and Musk really took a hit on the market. It will recover though, I'm sure about that. My guess would be even before we enter June.
- After reaching a few fundamental recovery levels, the price continues to dump with deeper lows, it's hard to believe that the crypto community is trying to sell more bitcoin at cheap prices, whether this will be a fundamental strategy or this will be a scattershot of profit taking and the end of a bullish season. The recent upheaval has caused a disconnect between the community and bitcoin, need some big hands in the market to be more active with bitcoin accumulation, for Elon Musk and Tesla to continue to influence, lots of other problems with bitcoin could happen
Judging by the current situation, it has actually worsened since I made the previous post, I strongly believe that it might drop even further, reaching $40.000 in the next few days. I'm starting to believe that the recovery phase will be longer than I initially anticipated. Negative influence stemming from Musk and Tesla are still affecting. There is actually a larger background on the sellout which is currently happening. We've already seen how simple it is to manipulate the market, when you have money and power.
2885  Economy / Economics / Re: After 1 year of Covid 19 Virus on: May 18, 2021, 07:34:11 PM
Covid-19 change the world. It makes the world a lot different than the usual everyday lives of each and everyone but not in a nice way. Economy suffers a lot, low income families struggles in hunger, profesionals lose their job,  companies big or small as well as business almost run out. After 1 year, since covid-19 is still present full recovery is still impossible. Some areas undergo lockdown for several weeks due to covid positive on that area. We all hope this pandemic end as soon as possible.

The economic activity had almost recovered to the pre-pandemic levels in most of the countries, before the latest wave struck. This wave seems to be very lethal and it is affecting younger people (maybe due to the nature of the mutation, or maybe due to the fact that the seniors have received at least one dose of the vaccine by now). One thing is sure. The only real solution we got now is to vaccinate as many people as possible. Almost 1 billion doses of the vaccine has been administered till now, and there have been very small number of reported side effects from vaccination. And we also have proof now, to confirm the fact that the number of cases were reduced in countries where most of the population got vaccinated. But the propaganda against vaccine during the early days had a large negative effect.
Unfortunately (or fortunately), the virus is a living organism, due to vaccination taking place for the elderly first, the virus is a living organism and in order  to survive, it has to infect in order to survive. As a result, it is now infecting the younger generations. Our only way out of this Pandemic is vaccinations, unfortunately in most EU countries the vaccination program for ages below 40 is still in early stages.

For instance, in Greece ages 30-39 started a few weeks ago, I'm now waiting for ages below 30 to start, in order to arrange an appointment for myself.
2886  Economy / Economics / Re: A Sudden Price Drop in The Crypto Markets on: May 18, 2021, 01:11:43 PM
I know people don't probably want to hear this but I seriously don't think we are going to see the 64k-65k usd price point for bitcoin again anytime soon.
May be but if Bitcoin is able to get back to or above $48-51K then it is likely that it will continue up to that target but as it is now that is going to be some hard Bulls work to get Bitcoin back up there from this current $43k+ position. 
It actually recovered to $45.000 today, however, I also believe that returning to previous price levels will take a while. The whole incident with Tesla and Musk really took a hit on the market. It will recover though, I'm sure about that. My guess would be even before we enter June.
2887  Economy / Economics / Re: Binance under investigation on: May 16, 2021, 06:30:39 PM
Binance is very big and i dont think it will be very easy for those people that is against binance because of cryptocurrency to get it down, since some countries rise against cryptocurrency and their no succeeding to bring crypto world down, it's obvious that no amount of investigation government can carry on to bring binance down, i only seeing this like something that will make crypto stronger in time coming.
First, this is issue has nothing to do with how big Binance exchange is for the exchange cant big pass the law and if found guilty it will be brought to justice.
Second, this is only about Binance exchange it not about bring cryptocurrency down and if the government cannot bring crypto down that doesn't mean they cannot bring Binance if they are guilty of what accused of.
What I say might be complete nonsense, however, I highly believe that many exchanges are currently being used for money laundering and tax evasion. Don't get me wrong, that's just my impression, stemming from the nature of cryptocurrencies. Of course and Binance should be investigated and we'll wait on the verdict soon enough.

I wonder if this incident will have any effect in Binance Smart Chain and DeFi projects.
2888  Economy / Economics / Re: A Sudden Price Drop in The Crypto Markets on: May 16, 2021, 05:36:26 PM
What doesn't kill you makes you stronger. Bitcoin is in such a strong position now, thanks to its strong resistance when powerful people tried to destroy it. Elon Musk is not the first billionaire who tried to destroy Bitcoin and he will not be the last one. But the earlier ones realized that it is impossible to destroy Bitcoin, since it doesn't exist in the physical form. The decentralized nature of Bitcoin means that you can't destroy Bitcoin by taking down a central server or organization. And now Elon Musk will be taught a lesson which he will never forget in his life.

Why would you think Musk is trying to destroy bitcoin? Because he said something that you didn't like, so you ascribed all your emotionality onto it? Tesla won't accept bitcoin, so clearly this is evidence that Musk is trying to destroy it!

And yeah, the second richest man on the planet is sure about to learn a lesson for not praising bitcoin to the moon, lol.
He is one of the most successful businessmen and entrepreneur currently. He's a genius, he wouldn't want to destroy Bitcoin even if it was actually feasible. Musk is taking advantage of his status, being a person of influence, which can lead to twists and turns in the cryptocurrency market. On top of that, he's probably exploiting Bitcoin's volatility for his own personal gain.

P.S This is my 1000th post!
2889  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: reasons for bad trading on: May 16, 2021, 04:36:01 PM
The main reasons for unsatisfactory trades is being impatience and the fear of missing out. I've come across both of them, I often found myself being impatient and selling too quickly, which lead into losing a decent profit in the long run, while I've also sold when the market was facing a crash. Sometimes, we're also affected by what others are doing, if for instance the forum is going nuts about Ethereum's crash (just an example), we'll be tempted to also sell because that's what everyone is doing.

I guess, most of us are guilty of those actions at one point in our trading life. And even if we have had experience the same, it doesn't mean, we will not make the same mistakes again, especially if we need the money. This is when we usually make poor decisions, because we are in a rush to sell our coins.
But if you are not in a hurry, you can strategize how to at least minimize losses. If you know you are holding a valuable coin and it dropped in the market, don't sell. Because if it has solid grounds, it will go up again. This is when most holders are vulnerable to make wrong decisions. For the fear that it will not go up and continue to decline, they will sell at a loss.
Mistakes are to be made, and we won't stop making them. I've seen the cliché being spread in the forum, that you've learned from experience and your mistakes, so you won't repeat them again. I only partly agree with that statement, trading is unpredictable, and also involves great risk. Thus, we're bound to make the same errors again at some point.

For instance, I regret selling Bitcoin in December, I could also say that two years from now, for selling a month ago, and so on. 
2890  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Be a Responsible Gambler on: May 15, 2021, 09:10:38 PM


Mostly addicted people don't wanna spend money aside from gambling. they even keep their food cheaper just for the sake of gambling.

and addicted gamblers become more greedy and selfish .
Thye become good at lying about their finances, they will lie about their income and their savings they don't want people borrowing them and they forgot their loan, they are concentrated on the allocation on their gambling activity, lying and becoming secretive about their finances are just some of the signs that a person is very much into gambling.
I wonder how they will lie about his finances or addiction because they will hide about that from other people.
But no matter how they lie to other people, sooner or later, other people will know about that and guess what, that people will try to ask for more details.
But once again, if they can lie about that thing, they can make another lie instead of telling the truth.
It is hard to become a responsible gambler, but we need to do it if we do not want to become addicted to gambling.
This is true, because most of the time gamblers want the finance to be kept as a secret. Why such a mentality ? If we do gambling known to the people around we will be questioned, what you've earned. If we're in loss we can't share it to the people next to us or the one close to us. They might feel bad and it affects their mind. This is why most of the time gamblers prefer to keep the financial spending secret.
I've seen people who are stingy in almost every instance but not in gambling. Those who neglect basic needs in order to set money aside for gambling are addicted and should seek help immediately. I'm only gambling with small amounts, that do not affect my monthly income, thus I have full control of what's going on.

Moreover, most gamblers are seen as addicts, (because the majority of them are) thus, people will question your earnings and point their finger at you if you reveal them that you've lost a X amount of money.
2891  Economy / Economics / Re: A Sudden Price Drop in The Crypto Markets on: May 15, 2021, 08:26:04 PM
I don't think that we are already in the bear market, the sudden drops of the bitcoin is all because of Elon Musk who is playing the market, he announced that Tesla is no longer accepting bitcoin as payment, and by that announcement we have seen a huge impact of it with the market especially with the value of bitcoin. We knows how influential Elon Musk is, so by just posting a tweet he can really do something like this, I am still hoping and believing that Bitcoin will still recover within this month.
We are definitely not in a bear market. We had a correction which dropped the price, but then we had Elon making excuses for not accepting bitcoin and that's about it, there was nothing to worry about. These things dropped the price a bit but the reality is that we are not going to see anything substantial in the future, we are going to see bitcoin prices going up again.

Remember just in 2021 we had corrections for few times, I think it was about 5-6 times already where the price reached ATH prices and then had a correction and dropped like 20%+ and even more which resulted with price going back up and that is what we have right now. Price dropped and that is a sad thing but we had drops before and each time we went back up again and moved higher, that is what we are going to have once again in the future and that is why I am not worried about a potential of bear market start right now.
I don't think there's much to worry about, as you've also mentioned, quite a few corrections had already occurred during 2021. Don't forget the largest of all, during March. Bitcoin had plummeted to approximately $40.000 if I remember correctly. There's no need to panic, it's probably a result of Elon Musk playing monopoly, along with a possible market correction.
2892  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: reasons for bad trading on: May 15, 2021, 07:38:48 PM
The main reasons for unsatisfactory trades is being impatience and the fear of missing out. I've come across both of them, I often found myself being impatient and selling too quickly, which lead into losing a decent profit in the long run, while I've also sold when the market was facing a crash. Sometimes, we're also affected by what others are doing, if for instance the forum is going nuts about Ethereum's crash (just an example), we'll be tempted to also sell because that's what everyone is doing.
2893  Economy / Economics / Re: A Sudden Price Drop in The Crypto Markets on: May 14, 2021, 05:55:28 PM
this is not the sudden big drop in the crypto market yet. the massive dump is yet to come. we are just seeing a small drop in bitcoin price because of the recent FUD which obviously led to a lot of bloodshed in the altcoin market like it always does.
the biggest dump is going to start when the altcoin pumpers run out of money and start reversing their pumps then you see the real "sudden drops".
I get what you are saying, but I wouldn't call a 13% drop small either though. The sudden crash was a result of Tesla and Musk, stopping Bitcoin payments for purchases, claiming that Bitcoin is hurting the environment due to mining operations. However, I don't see where you are coming from, claiming that a bigger market crash is on the way. Where's the source for that? I can't really understand what you want to say by mentioning that those "pumps" will start reversing when altcoiners run out of money.
2894  Economy / Economics / Re: COVID advanced the world into the future on: May 14, 2021, 04:12:00 PM
It's true that, although there are so many bad impacts from Covid, and how it made the economy worsen and even collapsed, i can still see so many good aspects that resulted from it. Not all industry are losing from this pandemic, many are winning as well, especially those related to digital or technology. Covid surely made and force people to adapt more to technology, forcing many innovation in technology or digital to adapt in this new situation, and will surely advance the country slowly but surely. We can finally step forward although it's forced by the pandemic, but still, recovering from the economic loss will still be hard to do, and might take long time.
While it is true that many industries and businesses did great during the pandemic at the same time this is not as great news as it may seem, most of the businesses that are facing bankruptcy are businesses owned by hardworking people that wanted to advance in life and they cannot endure the difficult conditions anymore, while the businesses that thrived under the pandemic were under control of those that were already incredibly rich and it gave them an even bigger advantage over their competitors concentrating all that wealth on even fewer hands.
Many corporations benefited from the Pandemic, especially the pharmaceutical industry (and as simple as local pharmacies), by selling masks, hand sanitizers, self tests and many more. On top of that, chain stores such as supermarkets are noticing the largest revenues they have ever seen, in the past few years.

It's the middle class which is decimated, local retail shops, restaurants and so on have faced the financial consequences of the pandemic.
2895  Economy / Economics / Re: COVID advanced the world into the future on: May 14, 2021, 09:24:31 AM
The existence of the covid-19 pandemic have brought us humans to think of the alternatives since we cannot do the usual things that we do on a normal day when the pandemic is still not existing. We have adapted into the situation forcing us to work remotely and make use the advent of the modern technology to still continue our lives even we are keeping it from a distant since close contact from one another can make the distribution of the virus to get worst. Maybe we can conclude that we are being pushed through the modern future because of this happening but still a lot have been sacrificed and still many cannot adapt into the fast phase of changes now that we are mostly relying into modern technology.
I wouldn't say that we are pushed through and I like the word alternative much more since the technology already exist, I believe that our technology is already pretty advanced pre-pandemic, the only reason that it didn't appear like that is because people love to ignore things and our emotions are pretty primitive so we can't advance that fast because we always care about the little things.
All these alternatives are needed while there is a pandemic, but it is not a fact that they will be so much needed to such an extent later, so we need to talk with great caution about changes in the way of life of human civilization after the pandemic. Yes, of course, all these remote and digital information technologies will play an even greater role in our lives, but still let's not forget that a person is a social being and nothing can replace direct physical contact between people. I am also afraid that some areas of the economy and technology, on the contrary, will be thrown back due to the COVID 19 pandemic, so everything is not so clear.
The Covid-19 pandemic showed us that there are plenty of alternatives when it comes to working, schooling, having conferences and so on. It's, of course, not an ideal situation, but some of these alternatives will stay even after Covid-19. It actually proved to us that working from home, depending on the occupation, possible and may actually be ideal for both employees and employers in some cases.
2896  Economy / Economics / Re: A Sudden Price Drop in The Crypto Markets on: May 13, 2021, 10:59:58 PM
It's slowly recovering and is now at almost 50k once again. The Tesla news definitely caused a lot of uproar and disappointment from some of us. Although contrary to what most of the guys here suppose, I don't think Elon is trolling or memeing this time. He knew the detriments that bitcoin could cause to the environment, especially given the fact that most of us still get their internet and electricity from the burning of fossil/unrenewable fuels, which is directly opposite of what he wants.
I highly doubt it that this is the case here, Musk is known for having a real influence on the market, looking at Dogecoin is enough to set the example. He already knew that before getting involved in Bitcoin, the environment issue is just an excuse to further manipulate prices, since his status is sufficient to have a massive effect.
2897  Economy / Economics / Re: A Sudden Price Drop in The Crypto Markets on: May 13, 2021, 11:53:21 AM
You can blame Elon Musk for trolling the entire crypto community and the whole market for the sudden crash. He announced that Tesla will no longer accept Bitcoin payments because according to Musk, cryptocurrencies are hurting the environment. Moreover, environmentalists were claiming that Bitcoin mining was taking a large toll on electricity, which is solely based on fossil fuels, especially coal, and were against Tesla's option to receive Bitcoin payments.

What an irony, the large scale of battery production isn't that environmentally friendly either, but no one is commenting on that.
We should not even focus on environmentalists now, we should focus on Elon Musk, he only wanted to use the opportunity to manipulate the market. Let us take a look at the scenario, he knows if he make go against bitcoin, that other crypto price will crash, that is just the reason he did it, but using bitcoin electricity consumption as an excuse, he only want the bear market of 2021 to begin.
I acknowledge that environmentalists are just an excuse, Elon Musk is the main issue here. He's using the environment excuse for his own profit. I wouldn't be surprised if he is currently buying Bitcoin, Dogecoin and other coins, under the radar of publicity, taking advantage of the lower prices. This situation of market manipulation is starting to annoy me, Musk acknowledges that if such thing was happening in the stock market, he'd now be sitting behind bars.
2898  Economy / Economics / Re: A Sudden Price Drop in The Crypto Markets on: May 13, 2021, 11:05:59 AM
A sudden price drop in the crypto markets along with the deepening points loss in the dow jones point to a a slow and steady downward trend as of late. Is the bull run of 2021 over? Are these the marks of the beginning of something much worse to come? A major recession, a new crypto winter? What could possibly be next? Any comments and thoughts are more than welcome.
You can blame Elon Musk for trolling the entire crypto community and the whole market for the sudden crash. He announced that Tesla will no longer accept Bitcoin payments because according to Musk, cryptocurrencies are hurting the environment. Moreover, environmentalists were claiming that Bitcoin mining was taking a large toll on electricity, which is solely based on fossil fuels, especially coal, and were against Tesla's option to receive Bitcoin payments.

What an irony, the large scale of battery production isn't that environmentally friendly either, but no one is commenting on that.
2899  Economy / Economics / Re: Tesla still an unprofitable automaker on: May 12, 2021, 10:46:07 AM
It's only the beginning, before Tesla, there were only few electric cars available on the market. Tesla's patents are open source, more and more companies are releasing full EV models, offering decent range, (above 400kms) who can actually compete with Tesla's vehicles (Jaguar I-Pace, Audi E-Tron, Volvo XC40) and many more who are yet to come.

I believe that electric cars have a long way to go, but that technology will be dominant in the future. For instance, Plug-in Hybrids are way cheaper than full EVs, offer great mileage and a decent full electric range.

The other EV brands will take time to capture market share for themselves. It will take many years before they are able to match the level of recognition attained by Tesla. And we still don't know much about the performance of these brands. Companies such as Jaguar and Volvo are pretty new to the EV sector. So if there is some issue with the technology, it is going to be very difficult for these companies to resolve them on time. The patents may be open source, but operational knowledge and experience can't be transferred directly.
Tesla was probably the first one to build well-designed electric vehicles. At the beginning of the EV era, most if not all electric cars looked like crap (see first generation Nissan Leaf), Tesla was the first one to market such a vehicle and quickly gained reputation. Surely, Tesla is the main leader in the EV sector, but I don't think that this will last forever, due to their strict policies, regarding maintenance, repairs, salvage vehicles and so on.
2900  Economy / Economics / Re: Tesla still an unprofitable automaker on: May 11, 2021, 04:25:47 PM
I am not at all convinced by these electric vehicles: first of all, they still rely mostly on fossil fuels to run (sorry, the truth); secondly, their batteries are going to be another environmental bomb in the future (not considering the car itself is an actual bomb if something goes wrong!); third and last, at least here in Italy, charging station are not common, and if you live in rural areas and you make long trips, you are done.
It's only the beginning, before Tesla, there were only few electric cars available on the market. Tesla's patents are open source, more and more companies are releasing full EV models, offering decent range, (above 400kms) who can actually compete with Tesla's vehicles (Jaguar I-Pace, Audi E-Tron, Volvo XC40) and many more who are yet to come.

I believe that electric cars have a long way to go, but that technology will be dominant in the future. For instance, Plug-in Hybrids are way cheaper than full EVs, offer great mileage and a decent full electric range.
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