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2941  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 08, 2014, 05:58:21 PM
I don't get it. 20k ask wall? Eaten straight away. 7k to over 500? nope.

20k wall? eaten? where?
2942  Local / Treffen / Re: Hamburg Bitcoin-Treffen, 1. Mittwoch im Monat, 19:00 im SternChance on: November 08, 2014, 10:01:47 AM
Scheiss Arbeit, das muss aufhören!

War schon immer meine Meinung, dass Arbeit schädlich ist Wink

Das Treffen war ein bischen lau. Man gewinnt langsam den Eindruck, als ob das Interesse weg ist. Und das in einer Stadt mit 2 Mio Einwohnern  Huh

Der nächste Hype kommt bestimmt. Spätestens beim nächsten reward halfing (die Hälfte haben wir ja geschafft, vielleicht geht's jetzt aufwärts)

Hamburg ist ein bisschen hinten dran was Bitcoin angeht hab ich den Eindruck. In Berlin und München ist jedenfalls mehr geboten. Wir sind halt faule Säcke, wie's scheint, könnten ja mal irgend 'ne Promo machen.

2943  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Impressive bitcoin one liners for non bitcoiners on: November 08, 2014, 07:39:53 AM
Bitcoin: An Idea Worth Spending



Still the best one out there.
Posts: 2934

Still the most posts i've ever seen for a Full Member.
Is posting on the forum all you ever do?  Cheesy

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=stats

Phinnaeus has 21422 posts
2944  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Impressive bitcoin one liners for non bitcoiners on: November 08, 2014, 07:36:23 AM
not mine:
"Bitcoin is the best form of money civilization has ever seen"

Wences Casares?
2945  Economy / Speculation / Re: rpietila Wall Observer - the Quality TA Thread ;) on: November 08, 2014, 05:38:15 AM
What they can do though, is to attack Bitcoin due to all the non-reversible scams & hacks, bad PR, price fluctuations etc etc, and say "look, we will give you a digital currency that is all that Bitcoin was and safer, more stable due to government backing" etc etc. We give you safety and stability and we take your freedom kind-of-deal.

As long as we have a real choice...

The masses would take it any day btw with some proper conditioning. The problem is not the masses, it's the states/countries. Why give monetary control to an outside source? It is financial suicide if a country can't issue their own national currency and instead have to borrow it from a central bank which is elsewhere. So they might entice the countries by saying "we'll erase a large part of your debt if you accept this new currency" and that will give the puppet-rulers installed in each country a disguise of "legitimacy" for betraying their countries and handing over monetary control to the over-state of the global central bank.

sadly, this seems a likely scenario.

The idea of the nationstate is failing. The governments of the world are being corrupted by the men running the monetary system. It's a kind of fascism basically: the corporatocracy and governments collaborate to control the people. And yes, I agree, it's a possibility we'll end up with "one western central bank". Might be spawned from the IMF. They'll issue (or likely reuse the SDR) a new fiat and back it with some non-existant gold for good measure.

Good thing we have crypto to fight back.
2946  Other / Off-topic / Re: Satoshi Nakamoto - 1,5 million Bitcoins - We need answers on: November 08, 2014, 05:19:46 AM
today i read on coindesk japan made another coin to improve bitcoin.

there's 600 or so altcoins. Almost all of them claim to be better than bitcoin.
2947  Local / Treffen / Re: Hamburg Bitcoin-Treffen, 1. Mittwoch im Monat, 19:00 im SternChance on: November 08, 2014, 05:18:29 AM
hey jungs, wie war's?

Ich konnte leider nicht kommen. War zu am Arsch. Scheiss Arbeit, das muss aufhören!
2948  Economy / Speculation / Re: rpietila Wall Observer - the Quality TA Thread ;) on: November 07, 2014, 06:33:52 PM
Japanese propose a "better" bitcoin
http://www.coindesk.com/japanese-scholars-draft-proposal-better-bitcoin/

In my opinion, this is a non-starter, but there is something there I am interested in, which is what would happen if the price of bitcoin goes significantly below the cost of production for most miners.

This wont happen. As opposed to for example with gold mining, with bitcoin mining, the cost of production decreases with price (indirectly by: price decrease -> some miners shut down -> difficulty decrease -> production cost decrease), because production is kept constant artificially, no matter how hard miners dig.

So unless "most miners" are irrational and mine at a loss, what you say can't happen.

You are talking about long term equilibrium, but I am talking about short term (1-2 mo) after price dip. Network hashing adjustment is NOT automatic and depends on each miner decision. Price can move faster than network adjusment, but network would eventually adjust-this i agree with.

That said, i maintain that for the bull market to restart we need to at least halve the network size first as happened in late 2011.
What logic are you basing that on? That less fresh fiat needs to be input just to pay for mining?

What do you mean by "size of network"? Total operating cost of mining? Aggregate hashrate?


I am making a historical comparison with 2011 situation when bull market resumed ONLY after the network hashing rate declined ~50%-you can check the charts-they are uncanny.
By the size of network i mean the total hashing rate.
Right now low bitcoin price causes larger and larger bitcoin numbers to be dumped by miners to compensate for their costs. This is a vicious cycle that, in my opinion, will be broken only when higher cost producers are eliminated from mining OR there is a sudden increase in buying with the latter being unlikely.

yes, I agree. I think it makes sense to look at the percentage of mined coins being sold by miners (I have no idea what that currently is.. maybe 50%?). It cannot reach >100%, so the vicious cycle is broken at that point. I recently guesstimated at what price miners would have to sell 100% of their coins to cover operating cost (captial investment excluded). Came out to very roughly $100. If anyone has better numbers, I'd be interested to see them.

2949  Economy / Speculation / Re: $350 is VERY important... make it or break it level on: November 07, 2014, 04:45:54 PM
the lowest that can possibly be is 188 $ within 3-4 weeks, before we start moon phase.. thats what my crystalcryptoball says  Kiss

hey man!

placing buy order accordingly.
2950  Economy / Speculation / Re: rpietila Wall Observer - the Quality TA Thread ;) on: November 07, 2014, 04:31:42 PM
Japanese propose a "better" bitcoin
http://www.coindesk.com/japanese-scholars-draft-proposal-better-bitcoin/

In my opinion, this is a non-starter, but there is something there I am interested in, which is what would happen if the price of bitcoin goes significantly below the cost of production for most miners.

This wont happen. As opposed to for example with gold mining, with bitcoin mining, the cost of production decreases with price (indirectly by: price decrease -> some miners shut down -> difficulty decrease -> production cost decrease), because production is kept constant artificially, no matter how hard miners dig.

So unless "most miners" are irrational and mine at a loss, what you say can't happen.

That said, i maintain that for the bull market to restart we need to at least halve the network size first as happened in late 2011.

What logic are you basing that on? That less fresh fiat needs to be input just to pay for mining?

What do you mean by "size of network"? Total operating cost of mining? Aggregate hashrate?
2951  Economy / Speculation / Re: $350 is VERY important... make it or break it level on: November 07, 2014, 04:28:17 PM
This is a very important level... I'm sure we will either have a quick bounce up or another continued slow bleed down. I think we will test 400 again soon, what do you guys think?

This time, the resistance will break. I have seen this kind of pattern over and over.

Can you name the pattern and give a historical example?
2952  Economy / Speculation / Re: $350 is VERY important... make it or break it level on: November 07, 2014, 06:03:39 AM
Its hard to tell which support will hold or not. I would say the previous resistance at around $250 is very important and needs to hold.

I would say $266 better hold. If not: cheap coins indeed. At least noone can say we don't have capitulation then.
2953  Economy / Speculation / Re: $350 is VERY important... make it or break it level on: November 07, 2014, 05:36:02 AM
$50 steps are NOT important, doesn't matter if it is $750 $250 $850...

Most people only care about $100 steps, such as $400 $500 $600 levels.

That sounds really dumb, markets don't care about that... Resistance and support levels aren't built around round numbers just because they're said or typed easily! Point is 350 is so important!!! That's why we have touched 400 and we got near 300 but once again today we are right back at that 350 make it or break it level.

These are the facts. Around $350 is VERY important. This will either make or break bitcoin! Since last big drop was to 275 and this big drop we only got to 315, I see higher lows and I see these shorts about to get squeezed.

A higher low (at 315), yes. Looking good so far.

The harder part is the higher high: we'd need to break 415 for that.

There's tough resistance around 420.

But first, we need to get through this sucker:



I agree to an extent: 350 is quite the key level.

Not 'make or break', though (bitcoin would be able to come back from another touch of $100 imo: yes it would suck and it would be horrible and it would take a while, but it could come back (and I'd have way more coins)).
2954  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: I think changetip rocks on: November 07, 2014, 05:29:45 AM
There's a changetip frenzy happening on the internets.

It's working.
2955  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: November 06, 2014, 07:22:47 PM
i actually think the underlying problem here is that some of us see Bitcoin as Sound Money who's sanctity is to be protected at all costs, like me, and others see it as an avenue to develop stocks, bonds, community currencies, assurance contracts, smart contracts, etc, etc.

as Bitcoin stands, it makes anything other than money very difficult to implement.  i've talked about this for years here.  how many times have i said "The Blockchain may only ever be applicable to Bitcoin as Money"?

if you don't buy into this view, then SC's seem like a natural thing.  who cares if somehow a little inflation, centralization, or trust requiring needs slip in the backdoor?

I have a count of 3 Bitcoin proponents who see what you see, - sad reflection on comprehension skill. If Blockstreem gets to implement the protocol change to allow the extraction of value from the blockchain, we may get another chance at sound money in another 100 years, who knows, it could be longer as the sad truth is the majority cant see how this proposal destroys the one hope we have at sound money.   

The sad thing is those crazy evaluations people where projecting wont materialist, they'll be eaten by inflation in the SC that your tormenters are so eager to see happen.

There is still a chance they wake up. 


I'm sorry, there's just no way I can follow this discussion. I roughly know what sidechains are and how they work, but I'm low on time so please can you (or someone else) explain why/how SCs can inflate Bitcoin (or somehow make Bitcoin "unsound")?
2956  Economy / Speculation / Re: rpietila Wall Observer - the Quality TA Thread ;) on: November 06, 2014, 07:11:13 PM
The fact that conspirators carefully avoid leaving hard evidence doesn't make the claims true, either.

their aims are all in your face (FATCA, etc.). The aim of the control grid is to milk every taxable cent from the peasants wherever they go (and the power of expropriating them just pressing a button). This for the masses. For higher levels knowing the dirty laundry of everyone makes them blackmailable.

I might add. It is about power, not about money. The world is abundant with resources currently, it can be proven by observing that 90% of people in western countries do not do useful work, rather all they do is connected to generating money to pay taxes, and the taxes in turn pay the jobs that do not exist to produce anything, except more suffocating control and making it even more difficult for the minuscule minority to live and produce.

There is no need to collect taxes, if there was no need to enslave people in the system. When you pay taxes next time, remember that none of it (in general) is used in anything else but to enslave you even more with the system. If all taxes would be abolished, the people would do just fine. The production of useful goods would not suffer. Only all the jobs that only exist to systematize human life would disappear since no one would even consider paying for them from his own pocket.

No it was not always like this. This is the endgame. Most of the degradation has happened in the last 50 years, and the last 25 years have already brought great advances, but also shown the totality of the dystopy that the self-proclaimed "elite" will want to force on us. In my understanding, we are about to enter in the millennial kingdom, and the evil enslavement plans will suffer loss.

Personally what puzzles me the most, is how it's only so tiny percentage of people who get it. It's just sad to see them in the law courts judging me for non-compliance with the enslavement, and nothing at all they understand what is going on. Christians, at minimum, should realize that compliance with the enemy is not ok. And with adequate revelation, this does force some changes in your life (to the better, ofc Wink )


Great post!!
Please put more time into posts like this instead of your silly Monero game.

+1. the old Risto is back Wink
2957  Economy / Speculation / Re: rpietila Wall Observer - the Quality TA Thread ;) on: November 05, 2014, 08:29:23 PM
TLDR bitcoin is a global digital currency, regulation was created in tandem with development and adoption, bitcoin is not and never was meant to be a liberty promoting value exchange. There is no "satoshi". The central banks are already the largest holders of bitcoin. Bitcoin IS going to the moon because of this.

I don't really buy it. The logic recipe is the same I've seen all over conspiracy forums: a handful of unverifiable evidence, a healthy dose of hyperbole, a smidgen of paranoia and a dash of bad storytelling. Check out the full-on schizophrenic conspiracies... those are great fun to read and would make great fiction if the writers didn't actually believe what they wrote.

But let's pretend that you're right. By your reasoning the NSA/government has access just about everything... social media, bittorrent, hardware, operating systems. Even Linux is likely backdoored. That gives them access to basically everything. What about whistleblowers? Of course they are plants to placate us. So we're all doomed. What's the solution? Altcoins? Those would be eventually compromised too...

Abandon all hope? OK, if you say so Cheesy

In reality if Gavin's credibility were ever put into question, he would be replaced in a heartbeat by consensus. There are many other devs who contribute to Bitcoin code. Also, how do Central Banks/governments change the Bitcoin protocol to further their tyrannical control if the consensus is left to the miners?

Is it really that simple, or do we live in an imperfect world with imperfect individuals attempting to run imperfect systems of governments?

Look, I'm not opposed to conspiracies. I simply think that most of them are a lazy cop-out without much merit. They're good stories, but that's it.


Thanks for this message, i was truly amazed so many people bought this conspiracy theory without any evidence.

phew, thanks guys. There I was thinking btctalk or at least this thread had gone insane. Just answering with "great post" and "yeah, they're 20 year in front of us and everyone ignoring my attempt to point out some of the more colorful fantasies (like the "greenaddres PRIMARY KEY derived from biometric data" story).

This is not to say all of coinits points are false or should be ignored, but his post doesn't deserved unreflected cheering like that. It contains extraordinary claims and no real evidence for most of them. The fact that conspirators carefully avoid leaving hard evidence doesn't make the claims true, either.

Anyway, glad to see not everyone has gone apeshit.
2958  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: November 05, 2014, 07:47:49 PM
If you've been following the pre-sidechain discussions in this thread about money as a ledger and the inseparability of currency from the Blockchain, you'll recognize the irony in this CoinDesk article about lighter regulations for "non-financial use of blockchain technology":

http://www.coindesk.com/lawsky-non-financial-block-chain-projects-exempt-current-bitlicense/

However untrue it may be, I'm starting to see that the meme "blockchain technology has a bright future but the currency-aspect is dubious" is actually in our benefit.  I'm rolling with it  Cheesy.  People can accept this premise much easier and thereby recognize the importance of the Network and the Blockchain.  

Of course this meme is a Trojan horse.  Once one has accepted the importance of a decentralized, trustless, and unforgeable ledger, it's a much smaller step to realize that our most important records (and also the one's most tempting to alter) should be stored on that ledger.  These records are money itself. Bitcoin will force the world to re-learn what money is...  

I'm rolling with that, too. Had the insight a while back that this is an approach I can easily live with. Sneak it in Wink.

I've been wondering what percentage of the "blockchain as tech" proponents actually think that way secretly.
2959  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 05, 2014, 07:41:03 PM
My point is: looking at the 2011 decline from $32, I simply can't imagine there was any substantial capital in the hands of what you'd call 'traders', otherwise there would have been the occasional pause when a major resistance was being hit and traders, on average, closed a short to see where price is heading.

I entered bitcoin (first buy of DCA strategy) at $2 dollars before the run up to $32.  
IMO, the subsequent bear market was not being traded down.  It was a/few large early adopter cashing out.  

There was no "shorting" as the future of Bitcoin was a massive gamble and the idea to sell your bitcoin to then buy back later was considered insane as there was a real possibility of it going down in flames.






I remember there was lots of shorting (on borrowed btc) on bitcoinica in late 2011. Imo it was a large part of what brought the price down to $2.xx. The gox hack and media did the largest part, though.
2960  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: 1,000,000 bits = 1 bitcoin. Future-proofing Bitcoin for common usage? VOTE on: November 04, 2014, 08:39:24 PM
With the steadily declining price of Bitcoins, this is now a non-problem.

Implementation of the solution is already happening. 'bit' is used a lot on reddit with /u/changetip, many wallets offer the unit.

It's a good thing the change is happening now while we're in bear territory, not when loads of newbs flock in.

Enter Nagle telling me it wont happen in 3, 2, 1...
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