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2981  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Eventually the FUNGIBILITY issue of bitcoin will make headlines ... on: September 26, 2015, 02:38:01 AM
Bitcoin is perfectly fungible. Anyone who claims otherwise is confusing economic concepts.

we already had this discussion.
maybe bitcoin is technically fungible (because any coin can always be send an mixed) but practically you have problems when using coins which where stolen (eg bitstamp hack) or why do you think new minted coins are sold with a premium?

Indeed, and as you explain we have established that Bitcoin is "technically fungible" which is really all that matters. Fungibility is a property inherent to a system. It is not dependent on human preferences.

well we need to agree to disagree then.
i want to use money without thinking about thefts or checking its history.
it doesnt help me if is "technically fungible" when i cant use it that way.

You will, it's a matter of setting up the technology to do it. Monero is cool cause it comes with that feature baked in but it isn't impossible with Bitcoin.

I would also suggest that situations where you wouldn't be able to spend your coin are rare occurrences.

lol so it isn't perfectly fungible then right?

Of course nothing is impossible, but I would think that the unsettlement of the "block size" debate (pretty much one line of code) can't be decided upon. Yet you think the developers of bitcoin can add an entire set of code to allow UNLINKABILITY and UNTRACEABILITY?

Even bitcoin mixers leave someone with coins tracing back to its origin (assuming some stolen were mixed).

I beg to differ on that one.
2982  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Eventually the FUNGIBILITY issue of bitcoin will make headlines ... on: September 26, 2015, 02:34:30 AM
BS the FBI stole hundreds of thousands of poeple coins, and had no problem selling it on the open market.

Yes but when you are the authority in a country you can pretty much do what you want.

We are talking about everyone that does not have that authority. Regular citizens.
2983  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Eventually the FUNGIBILITY issue of bitcoin will make headlines ... on: September 26, 2015, 02:31:53 AM
Bitcoin is perfectly fungible. Anyone who claims otherwise is confusing economic concepts.

we already had this discussion.
maybe bitcoin is technically fungible (because any coin can always be send an mixed) but practically you have problems when using coins which where stolen (eg bitstamp hack) or why do you think new minted coins are sold with a premium?

Indeed, and as you explain we have established that Bitcoin is "technically fungible" which is really all that matters. Fungibility is a property inherent to a system. It is not dependent on human preferences.

Yeah sure THAT definition of "Fungibility" of Bitcoin is not dependent upon human preferences. But who cares?

Bitcoin does not use itself. Humans do. That's what matters and that's what gives bitcoin VALUE,.....HUMANS.

If people don't accept your BTC because they have come from a path that leads back to an address of coins that were illegally taken from someone else, then fungibility in terms of its use with HUMANS is broken and not perfect. This is assuming that the receiving party of your tainted bitcoins is not accepting them.

You are basically arguing a definition that is irrelevant to the discussion at hand of why I started this thread.

2984  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Eventually the FUNGIBILITY issue of bitcoin will make headlines ... on: September 26, 2015, 02:24:27 AM
Bitcoin is perfectly fungible. Anyone who claims otherwise is confusing economic concepts.

wow really? lol

Yes, I addressed it in another thread, here's the slightly modified version:

I'm sorry but it is increasingly apparent to me that you are making a tragic mistake of conflating very different economic concepts.

For one, individual perception of value is quite different from the market's perception of value.

Bitcoin's traceability might make it interesting for someone with a collector's mindset but it has no impact on its fungibility.

It would be one thing for the market to disagree on the value of individual satoshis but this is absolutely impossible as they are totally undistinguishable from one another. Let me use two different examples to show why your analysis fail:

- Certain gold artifacts are valued at way more important prices then the actual market worth of their weight in gold. Does that make gold a "collectible"?

- A lot of people enjoy collecting notes and coins from certain years. A bundle of cash stolen from a bank might be identified and refused in certain circumstances because of its serial number. Does that make cash a "collectible"?

These two examples, I believe, demonstrate that what you refer to as an absence of fungibility is simply a consequence of individual or authorities attaching subjective value to an item because of its history but this is not an indictment on the monetary system itself!

Imagine one individual in possession of one of these gold artifacts or a special 20$ note attempts, for some unknown reason, to either trade his gold item to a pawnshop or deposit the 20$ at the bank.

What do you guess happens? If we assume the guy running the pawnshop doesn't know or care about the "symbolic" value of the item and is only concerned with its weight in gold no amount of history is going to bring him to buy said item for more than its market worth. Same for his "special bill", the cashier at the bank could not careless if it was used by Al Capone to do lines of cocaine, to her it's worth 20$ and no more.

The same logic applies for Bitcoin. If I am in possession of one of Mt. Gox's stolen coin and send it to Bitstamp, the market is not going to offer me a premium or refuse to buy it. Sure some nerds might cry foul and alert the exchange. In that case I could still head to fucking China and sell the same coin for market price on whatever their equivalent of localbitcoin is and no one will ask me any question.

Let's pretend I have one of Satoshi's wallet address and decide to send him a bitcoin. How can you tell which one is mine from his stash?

In fact I do believe there is quite a lot of people that have sent him dust or coins over the years. If somehow he decides to move this lot of coins to an exchange are people somehow going to make a distinction between his original coins and whatever amount that was sent to him by these clowns? Of course no because they can't!

This effectively demonstrates that your logic does not hold. The market could careless whatever coin Satoshi decides to move, it is not the coins that matter because THEY ARE INDEED FUNGIBLE. It is their owner's decision that has a psychological impact on the market because they can identify ownership through the public ledger. Let's say we pretend that somehow someone is able to tie Satoshi's identity to a wallet/coins from...2013. Surely you would agree that the psychological impact on the market would be the same whether he decides to move these coins to BitStamp or the "original" ones.

All of this is to say you are confusing privacy and traceability and somehow making this aspect of Bitcoin an indictment on its fungibility. Again, this is a mistake.

Perfectly fungible is what you said. Your bolded example above proves my point that bitcoin is not perfectly fungible as in your example an exchange/site can refuse to exchange or accept a particular set of coins coming from certain addresses.


Just because you say something, doesn't make it true.  Smiley

The mere fact that you know stolen coins came from an address to another address...removes the fungibility portion. Who cares which coin was exactly the coin that was part of a scam? The point is that some of them (or all of them) are linked to a known crime/theft/scam.

NOT KNOWING which exact coin is related to a scam/crime/theft is not the way I would define bitcoin being "PERFECTLY FUNGIBLE".

I think you have your concepts/terminology mixed up.

I think not. What you are observing is a result of Bitcoin's traceability.

If I can obfuscate the provenance of what you call a "tainted" coin by use of crypto and other technologies then no one will refuse it.

It seems to me you are the one confusing terminologies. Bitcoin does not discriminate one coin from another. Within the system they are perfectly fungible. Only human preferences and personal subjective value could lead one coin to be refused.

http://trilema.com/2014/guidance-there-is-no-such-thing-as-bitcoin-taint/

OMG that's your argument? lol  Cheesy

That Bitcoin doesn't view one coin different from another??

Bitcoin does not have emotions nor a brain and it did not create itself.

So what IT (bitcoin) thinks about ONE particular BTC vs another particular BTC is IRRELEVANT.

What matters is who (people/humans) is using it and what they think of the coins and how they are valued or if they are tainted/accepted/unaccepted for trade or exchange etc etc.

Your determination of fungibility is based on bitcoin (the protocol) not seeing any difference from a coin that was stolen vs one that was mined.

That's like saying that the FIAT USD system does not see any difference between ONE $ that was stolen  vs ONE $ that was printed by the Federal Reserve. That's a horrible usage of the word fungibility as fiat paper currency nor bitcoin have any idea they exist. They exist because a human created them to serve a purpose.

You are obviously dodging the issue as your own example using a mtgox stolen coin was in determination of Bitstamp/etc (YES PEOPLE) not accepting it to exchange for fiat while you claim to go to china to "exchange" it in hopes someone buys your tainted(stolen) coins (of course stolen based on a trail of addresses/transactions over time).

2985  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Eventually the FUNGIBILITY issue of bitcoin will make headlines ... on: September 25, 2015, 10:01:18 PM
Bitcoin is perfectly fungible. Anyone who claims otherwise is confusing economic concepts.

wow really? lol

Yes, I addressed it in another thread, here's the slightly modified version:

I'm sorry but it is increasingly apparent to me that you are making a tragic mistake of conflating very different economic concepts.

For one, individual perception of value is quite different from the market's perception of value.

Bitcoin's traceability might make it interesting for someone with a collector's mindset but it has no impact on its fungibility.

It would be one thing for the market to disagree on the value of individual satoshis but this is absolutely impossible as they are totally undistinguishable from one another. Let me use two different examples to show why your analysis fail:

- Certain gold artifacts are valued at way more important prices then the actual market worth of their weight in gold. Does that make gold a "collectible"?

- A lot of people enjoy collecting notes and coins from certain years. A bundle of cash stolen from a bank might be identified and refused in certain circumstances because of its serial number. Does that make cash a "collectible"?

These two examples, I believe, demonstrate that what you refer to as an absence of fungibility is simply a consequence of individual or authorities attaching subjective value to an item because of its history but this is not an indictment on the monetary system itself!

Imagine one individual in possession of one of these gold artifacts or a special 20$ note attempts, for some unknown reason, to either trade his gold item to a pawnshop or deposit the 20$ at the bank.

What do you guess happens? If we assume the guy running the pawnshop doesn't know or care about the "symbolic" value of the item and is only concerned with its weight in gold no amount of history is going to bring him to buy said item for more than its market worth. Same for his "special bill", the cashier at the bank could not careless if it was used by Al Capone to do lines of cocaine, to her it's worth 20$ and no more.

The same logic applies for Bitcoin. If I am in possession of one of Mt. Gox's stolen coin and send it to Bitstamp, the market is not going to offer me a premium or refuse to buy it. Sure some nerds might cry foul and alert the exchange. In that case I could still head to fucking China and sell the same coin for market price on whatever their equivalent of localbitcoin is and no one will ask me any question.

Let's pretend I have one of Satoshi's wallet address and decide to send him a bitcoin. How can you tell which one is mine from his stash?

In fact I do believe there is quite a lot of people that have sent him dust or coins over the years. If somehow he decides to move this lot of coins to an exchange are people somehow going to make a distinction between his original coins and whatever amount that was sent to him by these clowns? Of course no because they can't!

This effectively demonstrates that your logic does not hold. The market could careless whatever coin Satoshi decides to move, it is not the coins that matter because THEY ARE INDEED FUNGIBLE. It is their owner's decision that has a psychological impact on the market because they can identify ownership through the public ledger. Let's say we pretend that somehow someone is able to tie Satoshi's identity to a wallet/coins from...2013. Surely you would agree that the psychological impact on the market would be the same whether he decides to move these coins to BitStamp or the "original" ones.

All of this is to say you are confusing privacy and traceability and somehow making this aspect of Bitcoin an indictment on its fungibility. Again, this is a mistake.

Perfectly fungible is what you said. Your bolded example above proves my point that bitcoin is not perfectly fungible as in your example an exchange/site can refuse to exchange or accept a particular set of coins coming from certain addresses.


Just because you say something, doesn't make it true.  Smiley

The mere fact that you know stolen coins came from an address to another address...removes the fungibility portion. Who cares which coin was exactly the coin that was part of a scam? The point is that some of them (or all of them) are linked to a known crime/theft/scam.

NOT KNOWING which exact coin is related to a scam/crime/theft is not the way I would define bitcoin being "PERFECTLY FUNGIBLE".

I think you have your concepts/terminology mixed up.
2986  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Eventually the FUNGIBILITY issue of bitcoin will make headlines ... on: September 25, 2015, 09:56:49 PM
Bitcoin is perfectly fungible. Anyone who claims otherwise is confusing economic concepts.

wow really? lol


here is the definition of the economic concept of FUNGIBILITY:
Quote
definition: Fungibility is the property of a good or a commodity whose individual units are capable of mutual substitution. That is, it is the property of essences or goods which are "capable of being substituted in place of one another."

You sure you want to claim that it is "perfectly fungible"?

If someone decides not to accept some bitcoins vs other bitcoins ....then it is no longer "perfectly fungible".

I can draw and deface a bank note, does that make fiat not "perfectly fungible"?

imagine this:
 - you payed in a store with that dollar
 - the store get robbed and the owner got killed
 - one employee remebered this dollar was still there
 - news reports this with an image with that dollar

is this dollar still fungible or will the thief has problems paying with it?

Assuming the merchant that may accept it is paying attention to the bills coming in...yes they would have problems paying with it.

Most people aren't paying attention to the serial numbers on their bills.

It's not accessible for many to lookup which serial numbers of bills were tied to a specific crime/theft.
2987  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Eventually the FUNGIBILITY issue of bitcoin will make headlines ... on: September 25, 2015, 09:55:12 PM
Bitcoin is perfectly fungible. Anyone who claims otherwise is confusing economic concepts.

wow really? lol


here is the definition of the economic concept of FUNGIBILITY:
Quote
definition: Fungibility is the property of a good or a commodity whose individual units are capable of mutual substitution. That is, it is the property of essences or goods which are "capable of being substituted in place of one another."

You sure you want to claim that it is "perfectly fungible"?

If someone decides not to accept some bitcoins vs other bitcoins ....then it is no longer "perfectly fungible".

I can draw and deface a bank note, does that make fiat not "perfectly fungible"?

Are we talking about fiat? No.

We are talking about bitcoin.

But to address your issue let's discuss it...

No one said fiat was perfectly fungible. I never said it for sure. But I do see that if you stole fiat from someone let's name them James. James loses money to a thief named Jamal.

Jamal now can do what he wants with the cash and no one really knows where the cash went (assuming there are no list of serial numbers that James claims he had on the bills).

But problem with that is not many of the public will go through the effort to look up the serial numbers of bills they are receiving as payment from Jamal. Too cumbersome.

Therefore fiat is more fungible than bitcoin in terms of functionality.

If you do the same thing with bitcoin with James having Jamal steal his bitcoin...well now you have the block chain that is public and accessible to anyone on the internet and you can track where those coins go.

See the problem?
2988  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Circle Spanks Bitcoin with Account Restrictions, Bitcoin-Free Ads, and Limits on: September 25, 2015, 09:47:15 PM
I agree that if it is because of the block size issue they do need to grow but they should give credit where credit is due.

If they are using bitcoin as the network to jump start their company and to facilitate money transfers they should say how they are doing it even in a general sense.

I watched the video and yup they are really trying to distance themselves from bitcoin.

Wow just wow...
2989  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Eventually the FUNGIBILITY issue of bitcoin will make headlines ... on: September 25, 2015, 09:37:56 PM
Eventually the FUNGIBILITY issue of bitcoin will make headlines and will be in article titles in the press. <--------------- Smoothie Prediction    

Just a fun prediction I'm making before it happens on a much more apparent scale.

Right now the focus is "BLOCK SIZE"....that will change...

And don't forget what will happen afterwards...

what happens?
2990  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Eventually the FUNGIBILITY issue of bitcoin will make headlines ... on: September 25, 2015, 09:33:29 PM
Bitcoin is perfectly fungible. Anyone who claims otherwise is confusing economic concepts.

we already had this discussion.
maybe bitcoin is technically fungible (because any coin can always be send an mixed) but practically you have problems when using coins which where stolen (eg bitstamp hack) or why do you think new minted coins are sold with a premium?

My point exactly. You can mix them, but in the end someone is going to end up with coins from a theft (assuming they were stolen in some form or fashion).
2991  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Eventually the FUNGIBILITY issue of bitcoin will make headlines ... on: September 25, 2015, 09:22:42 PM
Bitcoin is perfectly fungible. Anyone who claims otherwise is confusing economic concepts.

wow really? lol


here is the definition of the economic concept of FUNGIBILITY:
Quote
definition: Fungibility is the property of a good or a commodity whose individual units are capable of mutual substitution. That is, it is the property of essences or goods which are "capable of being substituted in place of one another."

You sure you want to claim that it is "perfectly fungible"?

If someone decides not to accept some bitcoins vs other bitcoins ....then it is no longer "perfectly fungible".
2992  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin Violates Principle of Fungibility on: September 25, 2015, 09:14:16 PM
stolen funds can always be laundered easily enough

Yes you could mix stolen coins, but at the end of the day someone somewhere is going to get tainted coins. Perhaps not the thief or scammer.



There is no such things as tainted coins.

Let's define "tainted coins".

Coins that can be linked to a theft or scam.

Now there is such thing as that because if businesses/exchanges decide not to accept those coins as "legitimate"...now you have tainted coins.

It may not be ACTUALLY tainted, but the fact that coins came from a particular address of a scam/theft ...does imply they can be viewed as TAINTED.

remember evolution and btc-e? Just a precedent that was set.

Didn't MTGOX do the same thing with bitcoinica?

 Smiley
2993  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin Violates Principle of Fungibility on: September 25, 2015, 08:50:35 PM
stolen funds can always be laundered easily enough

Yes you could mix stolen coins, but at the end of the day someone somewhere is going to get tainted coins. Perhaps not the thief or scammer.

2994  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Eventually the FUNGIBILITY issue of bitcoin will make headlines ... on: September 25, 2015, 08:40:39 PM
The potential lack thereof?

There haven't been many or any legal precedents set so far. When they do it'll either be reassuring or there'll be some good old panic. The fact that each jurisdiction can't decide what it actually is isn't helping.

yes the lack of fungibility.

when one steals coins or scams bitcoins from users/customers and you can trace it, that does imply the possibility that merchants/exchanges/payment processors etc will not accept tainted bitcoins. Some will and some won't...

Some miners may not process transactions from certain addresses if they get enough pressure from their regulators (locally) to not do it, implying it is "illegal" to do so.
2995  Economy / Auctions / Re: ❎ ⭕️ ROLL OF QUARTERS - GOLD Holograms ❎ ⭕️ on: September 25, 2015, 08:35:04 PM
bump
2996  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Eventually the FUNGIBILITY issue of bitcoin will make headlines ... on: September 25, 2015, 08:32:18 PM
Eventually the FUNGIBILITY issue of bitcoin will make headlines and will be in article titles in the press. <--------------- Smoothie Prediction    

Just a fun prediction I'm making before it happens on a much more apparent scale.

Right now the focus is "BLOCK SIZE"....that will change...



edit:

and hours later this shows up on reddit

https://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/3mea6b/bitpay_is_blacklisting_certain_bitcoins_rejecting


edit 2:


 https://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/374ss5/the_problem_with_bitcoin_that_everyone_seems_to/

Quote
My thesis is that the transparent nature of the Bitcoin Blockchain leads us to the path of (nasty) government regulation.

This won't be some long theoretical opinion about technical Bitcoin flaws, I will provide you with some clear practical examples. People who love to have extensive government regulation, please move on and ignore this post.

What is exactly problematic about a transparent blockchain? Well, every UTXO has a history. This means mainly 2 things:

1) people who receive a transaction can see this history

2) miners who put transactions into blocks can see this history

Let me be clear. The issue we are talking about here isn't anonymity, it's fungibility.

You can try to hide your coins as much as you want, if you tried to mix your coins using a mixer, coinjoin or another type of "anonymity enhancing feature", we will at least be able to detect that you did. We maybe won't know who you are, but those coins can be flagged as "possible suspicious activity on the blockchain".

So what's the big deal about that? Well, this gives governments the possibility to regulate BTC transactions. Let me explain: Basically it comes down to these 2 possible scenario's: blacklisting and whitelisting

Government could on one hand through “whitelisting” obligate bitcoin users to identify themselves when they purchase bitcoins (this is already happening: KYC and AML) and ask them to whom they are transferring these bitcoins (Coinbase is already asking this for some transactions).

In the future this could lead to a situation in which only “identified” bitcoins would be spendable at regulated payment processors. Every business that accepts bitcoin in a certain jurisdiction would need to use a certified payment processors that only accepts "whitelisted" coins.

As a result, your anonymous bitcoins would only be spendable if you match them to your identity through a regulated authority (exchange, wallet service or directly through government). If you try to spend other coins, the payment processor could send them back you you (best case) or send them to a government wallet (worst case) and maybe you can claim the coins after you identify yourself (at least you have your coins back...)

A more aggressive approach is “blacklisting”. This is a system whereby the government makes it illegal to process certain blacklisted UTXO's.

Of course you would say that no miner would comply... But think about it. Would a large mining farm operator risk going to jail for "money laundering" or will he comply? After all, he has electricity bills to pay. The profit will be more important than the ideology.

This kind of regulation leads to a loss of fungibility. Bitcoin isn't fungible anymore if one bitcoin is accepted for payment or isn't mined anymore and another isn't.

If you are thinking that i'm exaggerating because there are a lot of jurisdictions and there will always be places where there will not be this strict regulation, you are right.

But it gets worse...

Not only governments but even companies will start to apply regulation by themselves as a form of self-censorship, because they fear government crackdown on their business:

We already saw the "whitelisting version" with the deposit of the Evolution coins to BTC-e. Those coins weren't allowed by an exchange that is pretty anonymous themselves! The reason is that they don't want the CIA and Europol on their doorstep, so they decided not to accepts possible money laundering activity.

And what about the blacklisting by the miners? I'm sure there will be ideologically motivated miners that will keep processing blacklisted UTXO's.

But there are far less pools than there are individual miners. The regulation will slowly affect this. I see a 5 stage system:

A. there will be some pools that voluntarily adopt the regulations, because they fear government crackdown (same situation as BTC-e with the Evolution coins)

B. some miners fear the government, so they ask their pool operators if they will comply with the regulations. If not, they move to a "regulated pool". It will slowly become a disadvantage for pool operators to not comply. If one uses mixed bitcoins, the transactions will start to suffer from delays because of less miners processing them.

C. the regulation will become more harsh. Building on a block that contains blacklisted transactions will become illegal. This will lead to more pools censoring themselves because they fear they will loose the block reward if they don't comply

D. the "illigal block depth" will become larger (f.e. not building on a chain which 3 blocks "deep" had a blacklisted transaction; more pools start to comply

E. almost everybody now complies and blacklisted UTXO's won't be spendable unless they pass through a regulation authority.


In essence this could lead to three kinds of bitcoins:

1. White bitcoins: bitcoins that satisfy the identification regulation.

2. Grey bitcoins: bitcoins that are not yet identified, but which are not actively anonymized. transactions are allowed, but not spending them at a certified payment processor.

3. Black bitcoins: bitcoins that are banned by miners. Processiing them is illegal. Maybe even owning them...

The consequence?

Bitcoin will not be fungible anymore: you can’t just use a grey or black bitcoin to buy something from a webshop. If the government is able to discover that you possess black bitcoins or process blacklisted type transactions, you could even be seen as a someone committing a crime.
Eventually Bitcoin will become a fast payment system without counterparty risk but with full government control.
Is that what we really want?
And if you think these are all unlikely scenario's then well... we will talk again in 5 year's time.


Edit 3  - posted days later
http://www.coinfox.info/news/3205-mexican-government-places-bitcoin-and-cash-on-the-same-footing
2997  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: [XMR] Monero Speculation on: September 25, 2015, 08:25:13 PM
It appears XMR is in early 2010 stage of where bitcoin was. But it may be even earlier as there is no GUI and in its place is a GIGANTIC engine put into a tiny automobile.

Accumulation phase is now AKA early adopters.

With Bitcoin developers having mentioned possible development (yeah right lol) of "Confidential Transactions" they see that privacy AND moreso fungibility of bitcoin is a huge issue moving forward.

XMR is at the same stage as BTC after its first moon to $5 and retrace to 50 cents.  I think that was 2011 or 12.

And we do have a GUI.  More than one, in fact.

The fact that freshly mined BTC enjoy a 10% premium over 'used' ones demonstrates beyond a shadow of doubt that, absent an opaque complementary blockchain like XMR, BTC is the dictatorship-enabling "bad digital cash" PanoptiCoin Chaum warned us about.

At this point, worse-than-cash-or-gold fungibility is the elephant in bitcoin's living room.  Sidechains (and thus CT) are moving forward and will take the taint issue to the forefront of public concern as deployment plays out.

CORRECTION: Bitcoin went from $0.05 to $1 to $0.60 then to $32.

I would say in terms of pure time we are in 2010 times. (1.5 years after launch).

True, well what I meant was no OFFICIAL GUI.

As more bitcoins get stolen or scammed the fungibility issue will become more and more to the forefront of people's attention.

Right now it is block size debate (which after much thought to me is a waste of time).  <----- so much time, money, and talk wasted on discussing such a small issue that there is no demand for really. Not many new players are willing to PAY (i.e. Hire bitcoin as trace mayer says it) to have a larger block size.

Eventually the FUNGIBILITY issue of bitcoin will make headlines and will be in article titles in the press. <--------------- Smoothie Prediction  Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy
2998  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: [XMR] Monero Speculation on: September 25, 2015, 08:06:01 PM

With Bitcoin developers having mentioned possible development (yeah right lol) of "Confidential Transactions" they see that privacy AND moreso fungibility of bitcoin is a huge issue moving forward.



Yes, i think they slowly start to realize that lack of privacy and fungibility is a problem.

But what would happen with monero, if bitcoin actually managed to introduced  these features. If this would happen, that there would be no point in monero? Could monero survive, if bitcoin incorporated zerocash or whatever technique to ensure privacy and fungibility of transactions?

This will never happen with Bitcoin.  It would be a violation of the social contract as far as all the VC money is concerned.  The only reason so much VC money has been invested is due to its transparent nature, it has the blessing of many governments and regulators which monero would never have.  Nor would any other non-transparent ledger.

Then what would make you think people would want to create MONERO businesses/services that governments would not support essentially?
2999  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: [XMR] Monero Speculation on: September 25, 2015, 08:01:18 PM

With Bitcoin developers having mentioned possible development (yeah right lol) of "Confidential Transactions" they see that privacy AND moreso fungibility of bitcoin is a huge issue moving forward.



Yes, i think they slowly start to realize that lack of privacy and fungibility is a problem.

But what would happen with monero, if bitcoin actually managed to introduced  these features. If this would happen, that there would be no point in monero? Could monero survive, if bitcoin incorporated zerocash or whatever technique to ensure privacy and fungibility of transactions?

1. If bitcoin implements features that match monero's then monero would probably be irrelevant.

2. But I doubt they will implement anything on a substantial level of development (or change) to the code base.

3. Zero cash doesn't exist yet right?

3000  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: [XMR] Monero Speculation on: September 25, 2015, 08:05:32 AM
...
Just for the sake of accuracy, Dash Masternodes are not a ponzi ...
Correct, Instamine/hardfork coin grab is the term I use.

... There should be something that's soaking up coins. Something besides speculation.

This is still the accumulation and development cycle, down the road (years) there can be no instamine accusations with this distribution model. Anyone can buy in right now and be on a level playing field. I expect another year before XMR is ready for prime time at current rate. And that is with ongoing non stop development that is happening as we speak. There is so much work going on under the hood right now that anyone not accumulating this emission as it's dumped will be crying like everyone that missed BTC.

I agree with you here.

It appears XMR is in early 2010 stage of where bitcoin was. But it may be even earlier as there is no GUI and in its place is a GIGANTIC engine put into a tiny automobile.

Accumulation phase is now AKA early adopters.

With Bitcoin developers having mentioned possible development (yeah right lol) of "Confidential Transactions" they see that privacy AND moreso fungibility of bitcoin is a huge issue moving forward.

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