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2981  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: September 24, 2020, 11:00:14 AM
^ thanks, reading that helps a bit, indeed.
I'm just short on time, home alone with the kids just before cooking, i plan to reply in detail later on.

In the meantime, i read that researchers in berlin isolated three highly active antibodies (out of about 600) from covid patients for a possible passive vaccine (no complications).
They tested IV on rats and the results were that infected rats didn't suffer from severe outbreak and if given in advance to infection they developed no symptoms at all.
This would make much more sense than old fashioned vaccines with active vaccination, where the immune system has to develop antibodies by itself, and thus represents additional load on the system.
2982  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: September 24, 2020, 07:09:30 AM
The coming flu season will be the breaking point. Normal flu is less lethal during spring and summer so finger crossed how Covid behaves for the months ahead. You don't want to have people hanging on ventilators at the ICU's again.

Vaccine will be ready at the start of 2021 ore later during spring, it's also possible before 2021. All of them are in the 3th fase of testing.

I hope it will be a done deal in summer 2021 so i can enjoy major sports events like Euro football championship with mass gatherings drinking a glas of beer watching the games and of course seeing woman in tight orange football outfits again lol.

The top 3 is still worrisome, i expect India to overtake U.S.A sooner ore later. Do not underestimate Covid-19 the danger is still there, stay save.



It's about the initial infection's virus load the immune system has to cope with. This is, by research, the main factor for severeness of Covid19.
Secondary, how effective the individual immune system is working against viruses.
Additionally, the virus floats, bound to aerosols. Influenza is falling to the ground pretty quickly, compared to SARS-CoV-2.
Make your own judgement based on these factors.

Even worse, it seems that positive individuals without symptoms don't develop antibodies. I leave it up to research and science if most of these were false positives, but it seems kinda obvious. Otherwise: good bye, herd immunity.

I recognized that i started to get extremely fed up about "Corona" discussion in general. Not only the mask-defenders, also the weak conspiracy minded and selfish "we don't need the weak and old, so let em die"- type. Everything. It seems like constantly arguing is making everything social-related worse. And it sticks out of my ass already.
I couldn't eat as much as i'd like to vomit. I hope i can find my way out of this depressive episode soon, without being dependent on people becoming SANE again, if they ever were. But this time, with the flu season coming, it's likely going to boil up to the point where everybody hates everybody else. Or is it just me?

EDITed some minor things.
2983  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: September 22, 2020, 09:27:03 PM
Very annoyed OG HODLER.

That makes two annoyed OG HODLERs.

Getting mighty sick of the mandatory mask mandates, despite everything dropping and starting to get under control.

It's all political theatre.

*breathe in and out Bob. Don't get angry. Go hit another bowl of Gods' herb*

That's simply what god gave us the herbs for  Cool

My rookie tip: If you ever sell, don't sell it all, keep at least 10% of your corn for hodling.

I am thinking about a formula that aim to NOT sell more than 10% for every range - such as every 100% (or maybe less selling and a greater range?)

But it would go something like this:

Let's say that you started buying BTC at or near the top of the last bubble, but you stuck with it and you kept dollar cost averaging in.  Accordingly, you have a average cost per BTC that is around $8k per BTC, and so you are a bit concerned about what to do.

You decide that you will sell no more than 10% of your stash for every time that the BTC price doubles (if it does)

Therefore, you have authorized yourself to sell 10% of your stash at any point of your own choosing at each point within the below prices ranges:


1) $10k to $20k (10% of total stash)

2) $20k to $40k (10% of total stash)

3) $40k to $80k (10% of total stash)

4) $80k to $160k (10% of total stash)

5) $160k to $320k (10% of total stash)

6) $320k to $640k (10% of total stash)

7) $640k to $1.2m (10% of total stash)

Cool Etc. etc. etc



Yes, i am also  a fan of this ladder approach. My message was more for the kind of "i'll sell it all at now, because who knows if bitcoin will ever reach this high regions in the future again"...

Better version: If you intend to sell it all when moon, sell only 90%!


Fair enough... I suppose 90% is better than 100%.  I can see that angle - even though personally, I remain worried about the necessity of those kinds of plays, too...  

Accordingly, you will hardly see me compromising in that kind of seemingly timing of the market mindset direction - even though I do appreciate that there could be personal circumstances that might justify a bit of a different approach... even though that selling 90% approach continues to feel like a kind of gambling mindset, rather than an investing mindset.

By the way, I feel that I do compromise in regard to my suggestion that peeps need to determine how much to put into bitcoin, and I suggest starting out with a consideration of 1% to 10% of quasi-liquid assets, and suggesting that a minimum of 1% is a potentially prudent approach... even though 1% also seems a bit whimpy to me, but I have a kind of understanding that sometimes people may need to get accommodated to an investment such as BTC and also to get used to it.... so surely, I am not opposed to considering ways to individually tailor approaches while also even going outside of the suggested range based on personal circumstances....

At the same time, I am just considering mindsets of selling 90% as a road that is a bit too far - and I have difficulties with relating to those kinds of gambling mindsets - unless there is an actual excuse that is based on short life expectations or some exogenous demands, rather than attempts that seem to be merely timing the market... Might be just me, unless there would be some particular circumstances that might be pointed out that would allow me to appreciate that such an approach would not be a kind of gambling.

Sure, this definitely has gambling at its roots. Mind.... erm... you-know-who was also, put straightforward, just gambling. Cashing out 100% in a low, (pretending to be?) satisfied by a couple hundred % yield. WTF!
I'm no friend of this gambling stlye, too. But the ones that are, should only gamble-out 90% and leave 10% in for reasons hodlers know about.
I end this for lack of a better explanation here, because god was very generous today, when i got over his herbs. #nohomo

 
2984  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: September 22, 2020, 10:44:07 AM
My rookie tip: If you ever sell, don't sell it all, keep at least 10% of your corn for hodling.

I am thinking about a formula that aim to NOT sell more than 10% for every range - such as every 100% (or maybe less selling and a greater range?)

But it would go something like this:

Let's say that you started buying BTC at or near the top of the last bubble, but you stuck with it and you kept dollar cost averaging in.  Accordingly, you have a average cost per BTC that is around $8k per BTC, and so you are a bit concerned about what to do.

You decide that you will sell no more than 10% of your stash for every time that the BTC price doubles (if it does)

Therefore, you have authorized yourself to sell 10% of your stash at any point of your own choosing at each point within the below prices ranges:


1) $10k to $20k (10% of total stash)

2) $20k to $40k (10% of total stash)

3) $40k to $80k (10% of total stash)

4) $80k to $160k (10% of total stash)

5) $160k to $320k (10% of total stash)

6) $320k to $640k (10% of total stash)

7) $640k to $1.2m (10% of total stash)

Cool Etc. etc. etc



Yes, i am also  a fan of this ladder approach. My message was more for the kind of "i'll sell it all at now, because who knows if bitcoin will ever reach this high regions in the future again"...

Better version: If you intend to sell it all when moon, sell only 90%!
2985  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: September 21, 2020, 09:11:52 AM
Congratulations AlcoHoDL, well deserved. Smiley

Indeed, very well deserved.... In a very short period of writing more as before—-> merit followed like crazy :-)

The dude a little more off...... normal going home from holiday on Thursday, was in a paradise hotel @ravello, but went home on Sunday.... Women’s and troubles..... She wasn’t ready for a bitcoiner and perhaps she was the first one to complain that I bought to much things as for myself as for her etc.... learned a lot last six months...

On the other side that was a thing that made her looking good, she wasn’t there for the wrong stuff, on the other side maybe I’m happy as well it ended, but damn why on holiday (wasn’t with a fight or anything)

First actions, installed that tinder crap for the first time in my life and it’s working as it seems  Roll Eyes

Every princess wants to be queen, but only a few are able to take all the responsibility to make it.
So, el_dude, move on to the next princess  Cool

When i look back, six months is a good timespan to identify most (essential) troubles in a (blooming) relationship. If you can give it a YES after six months, you can start to aim on the six years area, imho.

EDIT: Forgot to congratulate, AlcoHoDL
2986  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: September 21, 2020, 07:23:44 AM

thatiswowindeed!  139 quintillion calculations per second, but only 7 transactions made in that that same time. this is the polar opposite of efficiency. it shows how much of the power of this network goes into security and protection of those 7 transactions.

we are trained for efficiency. no matter what we do, we try to do it more efficiently next time. bitcoin is different. it gives up efficiency completely to ensure maximum security. that is counter-intuitive and makes it hard to understand and is one of the reasons for the existence of shitcoinery: "my blockchain is faster.."

the bitcoin algorithm is a monster. secured by 139 quintillion calculations per 7 transactions.

if you want to build a tank the equivalent thickness of the steel used would need to be 500yards. moves slow but no weapon existing could penetrate it, not even in theory.

That's a point when seeking for a valid argument in the bitcoin-gold comparison.
While some shitters are easy to move when the transaction numbers are high, bitcoins aren't.
Besides off-chain solutions and some anonymity-shitcoins (efficiency), bitcoin is THE CC for hodling and reserve (security). Combine that with the scarcity argument. It makes bitcoin extremely appropiate for institutional uses. Nobody can professionally ignore that. It's just a question of time.
The when-moon-people are just too impatient and also distracted by price charts of 2017, i expect quite a number of repetitions over the next halvening cycles until something like "price discovery" actually kicks in.  
My rookie tip: If you ever sell, don't sell it all, keep at least 10% of your corn for hodling.

EDIT: emphasized the part of the OQ i was mainly referring to.
2987  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: September 16, 2020, 05:37:28 PM
It's over 11k!  Cool
LOTS of resistance around $11.100, tho. We might go over $11k over and over again.
2988  Local / Trading und Spekulation / Re: Der Aktuelle Kursverlauf on: September 16, 2020, 05:30:06 PM

wesentlich differenzierter und weniger scary. "Privatwirtschaftliche Kryptowährungen" lehnt Olaf Scholz also ab. So gesehen müsste er fast alle shitcoins ablehnen. einen ausgesprochenen Libra Gegner als Finanzminister ist imho nicht das schlimmste.  Grin

Meine Rede.
Ich denke, je höher das Transaktionsvolumen einer Cryptowährung, um so unangenehmer für den Gesetzgeber die einzelnen Transaktionen einzusehen, geschweige denn einzelne Zahlungsflüsse zu tracen. "Privatwirtschaftlich" im Sinne von non-government-issued wäre wieder blöd, aber die EU und andere Regierungen haben Bitcoin ja schon als fixen Bestandteil des Zahlungswesens anerkannt. (Finde jetzt keinen Link zu dem Statement).

EDIT: Hab gerade erst den Post von d5000 weiter oben gelesen, der ist wesentlich differenzierter als meine Ansicht. In dem Shitcoin-Tümpel gehört echt mal aufgeräumt, sollte langfristig mehr Investitionsvolumen in Richtung "seriöser" Cryptowährungen (wir wissen, es gibt eigentlich nur eine...) verteilen.
2989  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: September 13, 2020, 12:27:06 PM
bad moderators
deleting numerous posts
should get the fuck out!

chilled sunday morning
living la vida lenta
why not forever?


Have a nice sunday
while watching green dildos
the only way is up


2990  Local / Trading und Spekulation / Re: Der Aktuelle Kursverlauf on: September 12, 2020, 07:07:58 PM
Quote

EU-Kommission will Kryptowährungen nicht verbieten

Trotz massiver Bedenken einiger Euro-Länder will die EU-Kommission private Kryptowährungen wie Facebooks Libra nicht von vornherein verbieten. Seine Behörde wolle in der Frage „verhältnismäßig“ vorgehen, sagte Vize-Kommissionspräsident Valdis Dombrovskis heute beim Treffen der EU-Finanzminister in Berlin.

„Kryptowährungen bieten viele Chancen. Und wir wollen Innovation durch Regulierung möglich machen und nicht verhindern.“ Die EU müsse offen für diese Innovation sein.
Strikte Regulierung bis hin zu Verbot gefordert

Deutschland, Frankreich, Italien, Spanien und die Niederlande hatten vor dem Wochenende eine harte Regulierung und notfalls auch Verbote gefordert. Der deutsche Finanzminister Olaf Scholz bekräftigte heute erneut, die Minister seien „fest davon überzeugt, dass privatwirtschaftliche Kryptowährungen keinen Sinn“ ergeben und „notfalls auch verboten werden“ müssten. Die Ausgabe von Währungen sei in der Euro-Zone Sache der Europäischen Zentralbank (EZB).

Bei digitalen Währungen sind eine Reihe von Anbietern am Start. Eines der bekanntesten Projekte ist die Kryptowährung Libra des US-Onlinekonzerns Facebook. Er verspricht den Nutzern, das Einkaufen und Geldüberweisen im Internet mittels Libra so einfach wie das Versenden einer Textnachricht zu machen.


https://orf.at/stories/3181101/

So wurde das von den Ösi-News publiziert.
2991  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: September 12, 2020, 07:04:00 PM
Just found and google translated from german on a national news site:

Quote
EU Commission does not want to ban cryptocurrencies

Despite massive concerns from some euro countries, the EU Commission does not want to ban private crypto currencies like Facebook's Libra from the outset. Vice-Commission President Valdis Dombrovskis said today at the meeting of EU finance ministers in Berlin that his authority wants to proceed “proportionately”.

“Cryptocurrencies offer many opportunities. And we want to make innovation possible through regulation, not prevent it. ”The EU must be open to this innovation.
Strict regulation up to and including prohibition required

Germany, France, Italy, Spain and the Netherlands had called for tough regulation and, if necessary, bans before the weekend. The German finance minister Olaf Scholz reiterated today that the ministers are “firmly convinced that private-sector cryptocurrencies do not make sense” and “should be banned if necessary”. The issuing of currencies in the euro zone is a matter for the European Central Bank (ECB).

A number of providers are at the start for digital currencies. One of the best-known projects is the Libra cryptocurrency of the US online group Facebook. It promises users to make shopping and transferring money online using Libra as easy as sending a text message.

EDIT: Bullish  Cool

EDIT2: Ban?  Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy
2992  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: September 11, 2020, 06:42:26 PM

Looks like the devil's home is brazil  Shocked
2993  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: September 10, 2020, 08:36:53 PM


But what happens if you lose 1 or the order of them? Smiley

You add the index number, possibly obfuscated (reversed order, as a simpler example)
get creative Wink
2994  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: September 10, 2020, 07:02:36 PM
Fully inspired, I got creative:



We care. Tongue


The left pipe should be rusty.


 Naw, he's doing it right; you gotta make sure the rusty pipe is not an easy fit.


I see  Grin
well worth a merit.
2995  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: September 10, 2020, 06:45:34 PM
Fully inspired, I got creative:



We care. Tongue


The left pipe should be rusty.
2996  Economy / Speculation / Re: [WO] #9636 “proudhon” on: September 09, 2020, 06:27:10 PM

Fake news. The true news is bitcoin is crashing.

Proudhonk, you consider drastic bitcoin price movements as news to WO?
Interesting...

And so my ignore list is growing again.

It is SAD to ignore Proudhonk in my humble, confirmed, opinion.

I just didn't get out anything of his posts, even less of his "TA".
I click show/hide sometimes, so if there will be reason for unignore, i'll unignore.

EDIT: Oh yeah, and because of the troll factor (calling sub $1000 prices).

For what's worth, I confirm cAPSLOCK's findings. Because science and hard data.

Arr, you both got me for a moment Cheesy
But this is WO, so i need at least 5 confirmations...
2997  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: September 08, 2020, 08:22:13 PM
Support below $10k strengthening.
Hoping for a bounce.
2998  Economy / Speculation / Re: [WO] #9636 “proudhon” on: September 08, 2020, 06:00:29 PM

Fake news. The true news is bitcoin is crashing.

Proudhonk, you consider drastic bitcoin price movements as news to WO?
Interesting...

And so my ignore list is growing again.
2999  Economy / Speculation / Re: [WO] The Blockchain has a racist subtext that Blocks belong in chains. CANCEL! on: September 07, 2020, 11:47:34 PM
Reads like i'll get my arse kicked with a wordy boot?!  Huh

No worries; I meant that I was inspired and not antagonized.

I was just joking  Smiley
Insightful post by the way.

Quote from: nullius
I paused to reflect on the public flamewars that I have seen in Bitcoinland, and realized that many people simply must be unable to accept that their pet ideas were rejected.

People mostly either want positive attention (have-a-cookie), or they are too narcissistic to be able to handle their ideas to be rejected.
The ones tend to fight authorities, the others tend to obey to them.
If a core dev, clearly an authority, puts down some idea of mine because it's rubbish, it most likely is rubbish. If he even explains why, i consider that no less than polite, so it's just natural to respond in a similar way.  Also, flame wars in the IT community just make the whole scene look like a kindergarten full of nerds.
,
3000  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: September 07, 2020, 07:28:11 PM
OutOfMemory, something you said set off half the draft of a post that would require revving a V8 to the redline to zoom past.  I’ll need to complete it later today—or maybe tomorrow, if I am to “stfu”.

SheeeeiiitTM
Reads like i'll get my arse kicked with a wordy boot?!  Huh

Similar to Linux being attacked for not having enough females working on the open source project.

Ridiculous. But M$ or Apple sure have about 50% women working in the development branches, right?!
I know a ton of unemployed, female IT professionals. Don't we all do? No?  Roll Eyes

In fact it would be easy to solve. One pair of tits for every programmer!
Mandatory skills: Ability to make large amounts of freshly brewed coffee.
But then they will rant about women on the linux project getting underpaid and/or bore out.
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