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301  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Sports that you don’t watch but you keep placing bets on: February 29, 2024, 07:03:18 PM
Do you have a sports that you keep betting on even though you don’t watch this sports live or you don’t know the full specifications of this game?

In my case, I keep betting on tennis whenever I have spare money on my casino balance from my VIP rewards(Rakeback) after my long game session on live games. I’m not really a fan of sports betting in general but I do place bet randomly on tennis especially the Asian Handicap on live match. I’m always betting on the underdog that already has 1 set advantage to the favorite players. I do this bet just for fun no string attached.

I believe this is the literal definition of “gamble what you can afford to lose”.  Grin

After reaching the target/profit, sometimes I bet blindly on Esports and place a bet on the favorite with the odds less than 1.5x.
I even dont know how good or bad the team was, and I never play any of the games in esport such as LoL, Valorant, Crossfire, etc.
Its only for fun, with hope the winning from it can cover the withdrawal fees.
302  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: February 29, 2024, 05:04:36 PM
the difference in quality of the teams is too high, too much difference
obviously it`s an almost obvious match but you should never underestimate your opponent

football is a strange game, a game also based on pride and emotions, so a spark can ignite, rare but it happens. i bet on Manchester of course
I'm not underestimating the opponent but we know how Manchester City is performing at the moment so in terms of statistics it is also different from Copenhagen it will be an absolute victory or even losing 1-0 it is not a problem for Manchester but I don't think they will lose.

Football games are not strange but it is based on the quality of players because we can judge for ourselves which team is better will win, maybe we will know there.

In football luck is a little but skill is what is needed, you also believe not Manchester City will win? Obviously if you choose a single bet it will be small odds so parlay will be better with the odds you have.

After the Manchester Derby, Mancity probably will rest some of their key players against København due the crucial match against Liverpool 3 days after this match.
Mancity maybe only win with 1 goal difference, I dont think we will see a spectacular result in this 1st leg.
There is a 2nd leg if Mancity fail to win against København and with the Mancity 1st team, Im sure they able to win at København home.
But if they lose against Liverpool =  it will be very hard for them to win the Premier League this season.
303  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: How your feels? on: February 29, 2024, 03:45:40 PM
Regret always comes last, we always regret things after its too late.
But crying about it wont make any difference to our lives in the present.

Back in 2022 when the BTC price plummeted below $18k, have we been happy about that because it means we only lost a bit? I dont think so.
Whatever happened in the past belongs in the past - win more bitcoins in the present and hodl, so we will not regret about this again when the BTC price touches $1M lol.
304  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Premier League 2023/2024 Discussion Thread ⚽ on: February 28, 2024, 06:39:32 PM
The news and link up makes no sense, Do you know Erik Ten Hag has a better first season rate that Mikel Arteta and Josep Pep Guardiola during them first season? But fact is, Manchester United are so shortsighted about his potentials.
When you bring in these new coaches, you'll want to give them a season or two again to get things done but Erik Ten Hag has a good knowledge of the league and would be in his last year as manager for Manchester United. What's stopping Manchester United from backing him up with the necessary players for the job?

Life under the Glazers has never been easy, it'll be a big slap if they don't back him. Yes his project has gone well this season but they need not be daft and understand that, Most of Manchester United pillars in the club are Injured. Also, Erik Ten Hag needs to stopp using Marcus Rashford, get him and better player for Competition, he either stays or goes.

Nagelsmann, Zidane, Graham Potter and all these names shouldn't be considered. Not even Thomas Tuchel.

Agree, Ten Hag issue sparks again after the lost against Fulham and forgot that Manutd have unbeaten in the 7 previous games with 6 wins and a draw.

And to terminate Ten Hag contract until 2025, Manutd must pay around $19M + a few $M for other staff, and hire a new manager + staff = more money.
Better buy new players than waste money like that, also there is no guarantee either the new manager will be instantly successful in their first year.

305  Local / Bahasa Indonesia (Indonesian) / Re: [Q&A] Tanya Jawab Seputar Forum Disini/Ask about this forum here! on: February 28, 2024, 05:40:32 PM
Baru-baru ini, menurut analisis Estiawan Nasution, IHSG menunjukkan potensi kenaikan dalam jangka pendek, diperkirakan dapat mencapai level 7.325 poin. Prediksi ini didasarkan pada analisis mendalam terhadap dinamika pasar saat ini, termasuk observasi terhadap saham-saham penting seperti BRMS, HRUM, ITMG, dan MEDC. Meskipun IHSG mengalami penurunan pada sesi perdagangan sebelumnya, namun dukungan dari MA20 menunjukkan bahwa pasar memiliki dorongan untuk rebound.

Dari sudut pandang analisis teknis, IHSG saat ini berada pada tahap awal koreksi gelombang, dengan risiko untuk terus menguji kisaran 7.202 hingga 7.234. Namun, jika level dukungan 7.197 berhasil dipertahankan, IHSG berpotensi untuk kembali naik dan menguji kisaran resistensi 7.370 hingga 7.403. Ini menunjukkan bahwa meskipun ada tekanan koreksi dalam jangka pendek, tren keseluruhan tetap bullish.

Dalam latar belakang ini, Estiawan Nasution secara khusus menekankan bahwa investor harus memperhatikan dinamika pasar dan indikator teknis untuk menangkap peluang investasi. Terutama bagi saham-saham seperti BRMS, HRUM, ITMG, dan MEDC, dengan menetapkan titik masuk dan stop-loss yang akurat, investor dapat melindungi investasi mereka sambil memanfaatkan peluang rebound pasar. Sebagai contoh, rekomendasi beli untuk saham BRMS didasarkan pada stabilitas tren naiknya, sementara HRUM dan MEDC dianggap menarik karena mereka berada pada tahap awal gelombang naik, dengan potensi kenaikan lebih lanjut.

Sepertinya artikel dia hanya copy paste atau bahasa halusnya rangkuman dari suatu artikel di media ekonomi.

Quote
Analis MNC Sekuritas Herditya Wicaksana memaparkan, IHSG ditutup terkoreksi 0,15% ke 7.283 dan masih didominasi oleh volume penjualan, namun koreksi IHSG tertahan oleh MA-20.

Terdapat peluang IHSG akan menguat dalam jangka pendek ke rentang 7.297-7.325, namun pada label hitam, posisi IHSG sedang berada di awal wave c dari wave (ii) yang berarti IHSG masih rawan melanjutkan koreksinya untuk menguji 7.202-7.234 dahulu,” papar Herditya dalam risetnya pada Selasa (27/2/2024).

Herditya juga memberikan catatan, apabila IHSG tertahan oleh support di 7.197, maka IHSG berpeluang menguat kembali untuk menguji resistance 7.370-7.403 pada label merah.

Bersamaan dengan risetnya, Herditya memberikan rekomendasi saham hari ini, BRMS, HRUM, ITMG, dan MEDC.

Sumber: https://www.bloombergtechnoz.com/detail-news/30885/ihsg-berpotensi-lanjut-melemah-data-ekonomi-as-jadi-sebab/2
Kurang jauh mainnya agan Estiawan ini, atau dia aslinya Herditya Wicaksana .. entahlah lol
306  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: February 28, 2024, 04:30:02 PM
Bayern Munich's quality has become a bit forgotten due to poor performances in several Bundesliga matches, which is quite reasonable even though in fact different competitions can have different performances and that will affect the results in the future.
In the champions league they are still one of the favorites even though their position has decreased, in the group phase the bookies put Bayern Munich as the second favorite to become champions but after entering the round of 16 they dropped to only fourth place and are not even more favorites than Arsenal

- snip -

So performances in other competitions will also influence the assessment of Bayern Munich, but after entering the quarter-finals the assessment will be different again and I am still quite confident that Bayern will go to the quarter-finals because Lazio is only one goal ahead of Bayern and it shouldn't be a difficult thing for Bayern to catch to achieved victory by more than two goals

Bayern munich odds to win the champions league might be back to the third position above Arsenal if they able to beat Lazio later.
It is normal to see the odds changing after the 1st leg, always like that in every year.
Same as Inter and PSG, both of the teams still have the chance to be a third (odds) as long they able to beat Atletico and Sociedad with decent score in the 2nd leg (away).
Overall, it depends on their performance by the previous match.
307  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24 on: February 28, 2024, 03:38:32 PM
The match with Atletico Girona will only be played in April, before this match Girona have 4 more matches to play, and given how close Barcelona are to them, each match will be of particular importance for them. It's one thing when you're trying to chase down a leader, but it's a completely different thing when you're trying to hold your place when a team like Barcelona is right behind you. Any loss could mean Barcelona overtaking them, and I think it's only a matter of time before that happens.
With four more matches till a match against Atletico Madrid, Girona potentially can lose points and maybe they will say goodbye to La Liga title dream even before that match.

I know the match against Atletico Madrid can be a hardest one for them in rest matches but Girona recently did not show that they will be able to maximize their earned points from other matches. They need to aim at maximize earned points and must wait for dropped points from Real Madrid. All matches for them are equally important, not only the match against Atletico Madrid.

They are even challenged by Barcelona and only two bad matches can cost them a second position.

Yes there are 12 games left and every game is important for Girona, the match against Atletico is not the only crucial match for Girona.
They might fail to get 3 points from this game:
Las Palmas vs Girona
Girona vs Barcelona
Valencia vs Girona

While for Madrid, the biggest obstacle (beside fatigue and Champions League) might come from:
Madrid vs Barcelona
Sociedad vs Madrid
308  Local / Ekonomi, Politik, dan Budaya / Re: BBM turun masyarakat sejahtera ? on: February 27, 2024, 07:00:24 PM
Sepertinya harga BBM tidak mungkin bisa turun lagi di tahun ini maupun tahun depan, perang Russia Ukraina masih jauh dari kata selesai dan di Timur Tengah juga tambah hari tambah memanas, isu tentang resesi ekonomi dunia makin kuat juga.

Tapi saya jadi yakin harga listrik dan BBM akan naik setelah bulan Juni karena berita hari ini:
https://www.cnbcindonesia.com/research/20240226180001-128-517728/keputusan-jokowi-harga-bbm-listrik-tak-naik-sampai-juni-2024

Semua harga akan naik, yang turun cuma hujan ... Sad
Tidak ada yang tahu pasti tahun ini ke depannya apakah BBM dan subsidi lainnya turun atau tidak, kita lihat saja langkah pemerintah dalam mengatasi situasi. Karena kebijakan dll belum bisa sepenuhnya terimpementasikan dengan benar. Juga  dalam hal ini struktur kepemerintahan akan mengalami pergantian. Harapannya tentu masyarakat ingin ada keringanan kalaupun BBM naik harus di selarakan dengan meningkatnya sumber pendapatan terutama gaji buruh dan guru honorer.

Baru baru ini harga pangan mengalami lonjakan besar di pasar sumber makanan utama kita beras menjadi 17-20k per liter. Ini menjadi catatan penting bagi pemerintah ke depannya karena kita benar benar bergantung pada sumber makanan pokok. Adapun opsi pengganti yang kini mulai marak seperti Gandum, singkong, sorgum tetap saja tidak menjadi patokan yang permanen dalam mengganti makanan utama.

Beras langka karena gagal dan berkurangnya hasil panen diberbagai sentra beras dikarenakan El Nino akhir tahun kemarin.
Ya sebetulnya harus sudah bisa di antisipasi sih, mungkin dengan import dari Vietnam karena kan sudah bisa diprediksi.
Mungkin karena pada sibuk kampanye jadi lupa masalah rakyat ...

Terus ditambah lagi spekulan bermain didaerah, sama seperti minyak tahun lalu. Beras ditahan biar langka dan makin naik, biarpun pemerintah bilang harga beras sudah mulai terkendali -> ya itu di Jakarta, kalau didaerah luar jawa ya masih akan langka dan mahal dalam beberapa minggu kedepan.
309  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: February 27, 2024, 06:19:42 PM
Liverpool are still at the top of the standings with 60 points but now they will not be able to maintain the top of the standings safely because Manchester City have also bagged more wins with total of 59 points, their difference is only 1 point and this is very possible for shift to occur at any time.
If Liverpool really make mistake that causes defeat then they will definitely go down if Manchester City continues to win and can get full points in every match.
Manchester City and Arsenal are pre-eminent rival for their opposition. These teams have priorities and the best comes with stellar performance. Mistakes are made when a club doesn't stand strong enough to withstand the hurdles coming its way. But there are other means of implementing techniques in matches. There's full evidence of climbing higher on the table these present days. Jurgen Klopp is not in a rush because he knows to entangle and level up his team.  Liverpool knows how to climb top and give their opponents gap differences on the table. It's not easy for the Reds to maintain the long run for the EPL title.


10 March 2024 - Liverpool vs Mancity
The winner of this match probably become the winner of Premier League.
March schedule is very very tight and crucial for Mancity, beside the Champion league they must face Manutd, Brighton (away), Arsenal and Aston.
310  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Europa League 2023/24 Season on: February 27, 2024, 05:24:50 PM
Adding odds for roma vs brighton



Even odds provider was not so favoring roma to win against brighton at home. 2.49 is pretty good odds for roma consider it will have home at its advantage over brighton. In term qualify of players, it's hard caused by these club was equal.
I may pick roma to win the game but not for total over. My prediction roma will beat brighton with narrow score but the odds for 1x2 roma is a sense choice.
Daniel de Rossi's performance so far with As Roma has been getting better, many doubted De Rossi at first but slowly he began to prove that As Roma appointing him as coach was not in vain. I think your betting choice to bet on A Roma winning is correct. Just look at how currently in the domestic league they managed to achieve positive results against Torino, of course this will also affect the European league. Because Roma currently seems to have found a new formula under coach De Rossi, so against Brighton I think As Roma will win the match, especially playing in front of their own supporters, of course this is the reason why you should bet on As Roma. I predict that under the tutelage of Daniel de Rossi, he can bring AS Roma success and lift trophies with AS Roma like Mourinho.

Yeah the odds are making sense, because of De Zerbi factor and in this season (EL) Brighton never lose when away with stats: 2 wins and a draw with their opponents in the Group B were Ajax, Marseille and AEK.
The odds show Brighton also has a good chance to win this match. However, in this season - Roma also  never loses at home in the EL with 3 wins and 1 draw.
Roma must win at home, because there is a big chance that they might lose or only able to get a draw at Brighton home later.
311  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: February 27, 2024, 04:27:37 PM
I think Lazio is super lucky because everything in Bayern Munich is even getting worse. This team is in crisis because of their coach and it seems we are going to see a new coach instead of Tuchel in Bayern Munich soon.
They won the first leg against Bayern Munich with a 1-0 result with Bayern Munich got a red card and these all can help them to even beat Bayern Munich in the second leg too because there is not a good atmosphere in Bayern Munich right now.
Maybe Bayern Munich can get kicked oof of this tournament even before everyone could imagine to see.


The final results might be not the same if there was no a red card for Bayern in the minute 67' + a penalty.
Media said Bayern in crisis which probably true but Bayern is Bayern and this is the Champions League.
I dont think Lazio will be able to get a positive results in the 2nd leg later, in the 1st leg Bayern have 17 shoots but miraculously none of it are on target/shoot on target.


312  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: February 26, 2024, 08:08:54 PM
West Ham v Brentford

-snip -
What is your thought in this game?

Westham never won again since 29th Dec last year, and they failed to score in their last 3 games.
Also, in their last 5 meetings - Westham has lost 4 times against Brentford.
This match could end in a draw or maybe Brentford will win with tight score.
313  Local / Ekonomi, Politik, dan Budaya / Re: BBM turun masyarakat sejahtera ? on: February 26, 2024, 05:33:17 PM
Sepertinya harga BBM tidak mungkin bisa turun lagi di tahun ini maupun tahun depan, perang Russia Ukraina masih jauh dari kata selesai dan di Timur Tengah juga tambah hari tambah memanas, isu tentang resesi ekonomi dunia makin kuat juga.

Tapi saya jadi yakin harga listrik dan BBM akan naik setelah bulan Juni karena berita hari ini:
https://www.cnbcindonesia.com/research/20240226180001-128-517728/keputusan-jokowi-harga-bbm-listrik-tak-naik-sampai-juni-2024

Semua harga akan naik, yang turun cuma hujan ... Sad

314  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Is it ethical to break your gambling rules on: February 26, 2024, 04:46:25 PM
Why dont you focus with sports betting or dice or slots, just pick one.
With this way your winning chance will be much better compare with playing all of that games one after another.
There will be good days and bad days on gambling, soon or later the way you play will affect your financially because you will not stop after win some but instead playing other games with hope to win on every game.
315  Economy / Lending / Re: Lending Service Started! (USDT/BUSD/BTC/LTC/ETH/DOGE/ETC)! on: February 26, 2024, 11:51:46 AM
Hello shasan, I have sent 7 USDT (interest) to TFDsiykiaAB8GeoZxVFz8MM2P4Ed9cYrfN

https://tronscan.org/#/transaction/f8adf348371350d50a6deed6629a907945d48b034624a1badae82e4795b67dd4

Thanks for the extension approval and I will pay the 55 USDT on 11th March 2024.
316  Economy / Services / Re: yahoo62278 Campaign Management services(telegram @yahoo62278) on: February 25, 2024, 09:53:27 PM
317  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: February 25, 2024, 07:51:52 PM
There are many possibilities and scenarios that could happen in the second leg, you can see in the picture below, Arsenal is the favorite with only @1,24 odds. But we know that Porto have an advantage on the aggregate side which makes them more confident in playing defensively.


Image Source: Rollbit

Well, with all of these and as I said before, I wouldn't bet on this match because the risk is too high.
I can't believing with sport bookie how come giving large odds for FC Porto who won the first leg match, actually difficult acceptable and interested for put betting to bet Porto looking for the match result on first leg not close the potential win back to back on away and home match. I think FC Porto have advantage with aggregate 1-0 and they not in under pressure position for facing Arsenal in second leg. Don't losses bigger opportunity with unbelievable odds and I think FC Porto has chance for defeating Arsenal in their home match.

Have two weeks later for second leg match between Arsenal vs FC Porto, Arsenal return to winning performed in domestic league after defeating Newcastle United last match but I don't think easily for defeating Porto on second leg match.

Perhaps the bookmaker knows that most of the gamblers in this planet will bet on Arsenal, and sometimes the result for the match like this is beyond our expectations lol.
It will be better to watch the game first and place a live bet,  after a few minutes the odds must be higher than 1.24x.
318  Economy / Games and rounds / Re: 🃏JacksClub: ROUND 11 - BTC PRICE PREDICTION CONTEST $150 in BTC 🚀 on: February 25, 2024, 06:58:28 PM
JacksClub Username: Alwayswin
Prediction: $50,972.72
319  Local / Ekonomi, Politik, dan Budaya / Re: Bagaimana cara menghapus korupsi? on: February 25, 2024, 06:44:13 PM
UU perampasan aset nya saja sejak 2012 sudah di buat rancangan nya mandek hanya sebatas usulan
ketika di tanyakan ke bambang pacul suruh lobi ke ketum partai nya

Hehe, padahal dia ketua komisi 3 yah. Tapi ya tidak bisa disalahkan juga sih karena tanpa restu Pemimpin-pemimpin parpol = RUU itu tidak akan pernah jadi UU.
Jadi bukan hanya perlu persetujuan dari ketua umum partai Pak Bambang saja, karena pasti akan tetap gagal kalau hanya 1 atau 2 partai yang setuju di komisi 3.

Kadang saya jadi pesimis, buat apa kita bentuk lembaga superbody seperti KPK, memperkuat Kejaksaan dan Kepolisian untuk memerangi korupsi tapi hukumannya bisa dibilang "ala kadarnya".
Bahkan seorang Presiden pun tidak bisa berkutik karena bukan kewenangannya untuk mensahkan RUU tsb.
320  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Europa League 2023/24 Season on: February 25, 2024, 05:30:36 PM
Some small teams are quite likely to make surprises in the Europa League. It has always been like this but it happens until a point. I can't say Qarabag have much chance to move on from now on. I must appreciate their fighter character against Braga. That amazing effort resulted in achieving a big victory at the end.

But is there anyone who really thinks Qarabag can do the same against Leverkusen? The best I can expect from Qarabag is to show some resistance home in the first leg.

But Leverkusen are just one of the biggest title contenders here. No way they are saying goodbye in this round.  Smiley
Qarabag is not at Leverkusen's current level, but looking at the statistics, this team has high fighting power in every match. Yes, even though we know that maybe the winner is Leverkusen, we need to watch this match to see how well Qarabag can withstand Leverkusen's attack. Moreover, currently Leverkusen is unbeaten in the domestic league or UEFA League. I don't think Xabi will underestimate all teams from any continent because if they make a blunder they will be slapped by teams at Qarabag's level.

Interesting fact about Qarabag FK, in this season (EL) they never failed to score since the Europa Qualifying round.
Also, last year they ever met Leverkusen twice in the EL group round where they have lost 5-1 (away) and 0-1 (home).
I admire Qarabag FK achievements in the EL, but Leverkusen performance now is on the other level and it will be easy for them to beat Qarabag.
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