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3001  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 26, 2013, 12:53:42 AM
I don't know, guys. Decentralization has its costs, and we don't know for sure yet whether it outweighs the benefit so that it can be scaled out to a really large system. Furthermore, we don't even know the degree of decentralization a "world currency Bitcoin" would have.

Markets always gravitate towards the most efficient, and centralized systems always have reduced costs. Who's to say that a single decentralized system is superior to a plethora of competing centralized systems?

I will always be invested in Bitcoin (and honestly, I've already fulfilled almost all my financial wishes), but I will never succumb to this sort of kool aid and blend out my inner advocatus diaboli. Dogmatic thinking is not only bad for your financial but also for your psychological health.


Quoted for future reference, when you're putting on your biggest troll hat again.

Wait.

You can just delete my post then.

...

SELL SELL SELL
3002  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 26, 2013, 12:51:09 AM
China is not "out completely". Not as long as their order book still has a life of its own.





Based on its volume, it simply has been downgraded from 'the exchange you must watch' to 'one of 3 exchanges you should keep an eye on'.


3003  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Who here gave Bitcoins as a present for Christmas? on: December 26, 2013, 12:29:54 AM
Ouch. Topic moved by Blitz. oh well.

I'm surprised so many of you are pretty generous ... several "up to 10 BTC" answers.

Proof that BTC holder = master race Cheesy
3004  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 25, 2013, 11:20:20 PM
Unfortunately it's relevant for Bitcoin when the scamcoins begin to rival its popularity and hype.

You're too right. Even the mainstream media is picking up on it big time....

Libertarians And Millennials Are Going Crazy Over Dogecoin ... - Forbes

Is DogeCoin a potential weapon of mass economic destruction? - Guardian

Should you invest in Dogecoin? - Wall Street Journal

Absolutely sobering :/




Holy hell, I didn't even know those articles yet. Thanks.

You fight fire with fire. Hype with hype. For Bitcoin is built on little else. One of Dogecoin's 2 creators works at Adobe in marketing. Get something for nothing. This is the world we live in.

It's literally a fad, and it's working. If Dogecoin ever reaches a billion in market cap, I will sacrifice a puppy and stuff it in the block chain.

Just kidding, I would never hurt a fly.

Didn't know any of this!!! Thanks oda.krell and Blitz... Adobe eh? Undecided


[Note to self: add Blitz and macsga to list of people who don't read linked articles before commenting on them.]

Sorry guys Cheesy
3005  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 25, 2013, 11:05:21 PM
Unfortunately it's relevant for Bitcoin when the scamcoins begin to rival its popularity and hype.

You're too right. Even the mainstream media is picking up on it big time....

Libertarians And Millennials Are Going Crazy Over Dogecoin ... - Forbes

Is DogeCoin a potential weapon of mass economic destruction? - Guardian

Should you invest in Dogecoin? - Wall Street Journal

Absolutely sobering :/


3006  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 25, 2013, 10:46:14 PM
Remember this... apparent trends and analysis mean nothing in a rigged market.

Good thing then BTC isn't one, huh Cheesy
3007  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Who here gave Bitcoins as a present for Christmas? on: December 25, 2013, 10:04:08 PM
I gave paper wallets I made to my employers and students. By far got the best reception of any gifts ever given! But we had talked about it before, so it was a piece to the puzzle so to speak.

Question/concern - can they see my wallet history now by using blockexplorer? I played with it and I know BTC very well but couldn't make a whole lot of sense from it except to confuse me LOL! Is the only way to protect my BTC financial history by using a coin mixing service and/or another wallet.

IAS

Basically, yes (as far as I understand it myself). If the transactions into the addresses you gave away all came directly from addresses only you control, they will be able to go all the way back. Any intermediate transfer through addresses containing BTC of others adds [whatever the inverse of taint is]. Obfuscation?


Mind if I ask which course it was you taught?
3008  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 25, 2013, 09:55:20 PM
Somebody's buying all bitstamp ... I wonder what's up there

maybe oda.krell?

I love it when my own buys make a noticeable candle, pushing it above some interesting price point. (only on Bitstamp, so less volume is needed, but still feels good Cheesy)


I wish Tongue I placed one large-ish buy an hour ago. Now I'm in with all that I'm prepared to spend atm.

damn you oda, fleeing from bear ranks, what's your position now if i may ask? Smiley

EDIT. i'm still 50/50, but maybe i'll adjust that little bit in next oversold situation

I'm all in with the speculative part of my position. Ready to sell (at a loss if necessary) if things don't go the way I hope they do, but the stability of the recent few days is a pretty positive sign IMO, short term at least.
3009  Economy / Service Announcements / Re: BitcoinWisdom.com - Live Bitcoin/LiteCoin Charts on: December 25, 2013, 09:51:17 PM

Sorry for a dumb question, but can you explain the line feature a bit?

Does it simply connect to points? Because there seems to be some gentle curving going on, don't understand why I admit.
3010  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 25, 2013, 09:27:43 PM
Somebody's buying all bitstamp ... I wonder what's up there

maybe oda.krell?

I love it when my own buys make a noticeable candle, pushing it above some interesting price point. (only on Bitstamp, so less volume is needed, but still feels good Cheesy)


I wish Tongue I placed one large-ish buy an hour ago. Now I'm in with all that I'm prepared to spend atm.
3011  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Who here gave Bitcoins as a present for Christmas? on: December 25, 2013, 09:19:20 PM

Seemed like a good idea to me to give some of my friends and relatives BTC as a present, no? Any interesting stories how they reacted, questions they asked?
3012  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 25, 2013, 08:29:40 PM
I love it when my own buys make a noticeable candle, pushing it above some interesting price point. (only on Bitstamp, so less volume is needed, but still feels good Cheesy)
3013  Economy / Speculation / Re: The fifth growth spurt on: December 25, 2013, 05:04:33 PM
This is a joke.  The last bubble/correction hasn't even begun yet.  It needs to get back to 200-300 before its next move of up or down.

It doesn't need to do anything. Where do you guys get this crap from that bitcoin 'needs' to do something before going this or that way? Bitcoin doesn't care about your neediness.

It's been a mantra of board members as long as I'm on here (not that long, but long enough to see it recurring). It's what evolve and even Rampion kept on saying after the April peak, that it has to "deflate all the way". I kept arguing against that notion over and over again... probably a misunderstood lesson from other markets, in particular what is called "bubbles" in those, applied crudely (and incorrectly) to the growth model of Bitcoin.
3014  Economy / Speculation / Re: The fifth growth spurt on: December 25, 2013, 05:01:55 PM
One of the best original posts in here for a long time. Thanks, wachtwoord.

There's additional detail to be added, and I'm not sure if I completely agree with your (growth spurt) count or the exact choice of the exponential series you see, but your post is much appreciated, if for no other reason than the following: establishing a much better word for what we see than "bubble".

For some irrational reason this board (bulls and bears alike) keep referring to the periods of extreme growth (up to a new ATH), subsequent correction (down to a capitulation low), followed by continuation somewhere between the two previous extremes, as "bubbles". Conceptualizing them as "growth spurts" is much more accurate.
3015  Economy / Scam Accusations / Re: BitBet Stole ~$7,000 from me (10 BTC) on: December 25, 2013, 12:58:39 AM
The above two posters are right, of course. It's about whether you can trust a particular vendor or service.

And this is exactly what this thread is about: Establishing (again, I suppose) that there is a noticeable lack of trust in BitBet and MP.


Also: Merry Christmas to you all Cheesy
3016  Economy / Service Announcements / Re: BitcoinWisdom.com - Live Bitcoin/LiteCoin Charts on: December 23, 2013, 11:08:28 AM

I love the new "trading calculator". Extremely useful, thanks a lot!

It also works fine for me when using USD as input, so I don't know what you meant earlier when you said that side of the calculator isn't working well yet.

The only problem: the calculator only includes a pretty small part of the order book it seems. For larger orders (too much USD or too many BTC) it fails and says "out of orderbook". Any chance you could make it a bit bigger?
3017  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 23, 2013, 02:01:41 AM

Meh. Wouldn't call myself a bear, but I somehow doubt we've seen the end of this correction, so my position is still split between fiat and btc.

thanks! now i can sleep peacefully Grin

EDIT. im assuming that you're talking about your trading account position?

hahaha

"Oh, baby, let's get into half fiat half coin position"

"Fuck this. I need a new boyfriend."
3018  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 23, 2013, 01:46:18 AM

Meh. Wouldn't call myself a bear, but I somehow doubt we've seen the end of this correction, so my position is still split between fiat and btc.
3019  Economy / Speculation / Re: We are at "THE" ATH on: December 22, 2013, 09:33:39 PM
Honest question, please answer to the best of your knowledge OP:

With which volume was this amway thing (never heard of it, probably an American thing) trading at its peak?

Bitcoin is in the ballpark of 6B USD yearly. That's well below the trading volume the stock of a multinational company sees, but a figure that should give you an impression that a lot of the comparisons that are thrown around here probably don't fit.

So maybe Amway was in that range as well, would be interesting to hear that from you OP. But my point is this: I'm not saying that Bitcoin will succeed for sure. But it already reached a size that makes it difficult to compare to pretty much any phenomenon I know about... not even the often refered to Dutch tulip mania qualifies, because that was (to my knowledge) in the end restricted to the national market of the NL, not a global phenomenon.

In other words, even if Bitcoin fails, it will create its *own* point of reference... nothing in the history of finance accurately compares to it.
3020  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 22, 2013, 11:29:10 AM
Sell at 650, and buy back at 450 => 44% more coins.
Sell at 650, and stop-loss buy at 1170 => 44% less coins.

So if you estimate that the pullback has any greater than 50% probability to happen, you should sell a part of your holdings. Simple as that.

Don't oversimplify things, please. You have a point, but you can't conclude your argument with: "simple as that". You make at least one (implicit) assumption: a linear risk/reward preference.
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