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3041  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Poker Tips- what kind of strategies do you use when playing? on: October 12, 2021, 09:13:22 AM
Bluffing always works for me. Just makes your opponents confused therefore laying them right into your trap....

Bluffing will get you in trouble when you play at a certain level. It is like chess, there are certain strategies and openings that will most likely  catch the novice unaware and make him loose the game, but if you try that with a master, you will surely loose as he or she will know how to use it to his or her advantage. Poker is no different, try to bluff with the wrong people and you are done.
3042  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: The best Free and VIP (paid) predictions by Mica Service⚽️🎾🏀 on: October 12, 2021, 09:07:09 AM
I can see plenty of prediction across a number of teams and games and it does not seem like there is much justification. I would argue that along with the next prediction, you would need to show the results of the previous ones and perhaps some short of tracking of results, otherwise it will be quite difficult for people to understand if your system is worth paying for.
3043  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Reputable dice sites with instant/flash bets on: October 12, 2021, 09:04:09 AM
I only know two gambling sites it's Wolfbet and Duckdice but why don't you just stick with Wolfbet they are reputable dice game provider, I think you are looking for a new website where you can enjoy flashbet? Try the Duckdice since they are offering a flash bet too.
I am not sure about DuckDice as they have a bad reputation with the forum because of the way the treated the users with their shady bonus.
Prime dice and stake is where i play dice and they are one of the most reputable sites in the cryptocurrency space and it is a lot of fun with their bonus and all the giveaways they offer and sure Wolfbet is a good site as well.

At best most sites are iffy with the bonuses. The schemes tend to have a big caption promising a 50% bonus and the like, but it is subject to terms and conditions that would require you to transfer periodically or get it little by little or put conditions to the withdrawal. My advice is not to take the bonus as a main concept for your decision of using this or that service, but just their time in service and user comments.
3044  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ English Premier League Season: 2021/2022 on: October 12, 2021, 08:59:32 AM
Ah..  So that’s why I’ve been seeing some Mbappe and Kane to Newcastle United talks in the football transfer prediction thread.  Someone finally got the club away from the clutches of Mike Ashley.  Lol. 

As for Mbappe and Kane to Newcastle, we’ll see.  I don’t think those two would want to be involved in a fallen club’s rebuilding process.  Those guys want to win silverware.
...
They have not just got rid of Mike Ashley they have sold to a nation Saudi Arabia which has a very bad background. They were found guilty by the CIA of killing a journalist chopping him up and dissolving him in a sink....

It is not just that they have this tendency to kill anything that bothers them (I hope they do not start killing football players if they do not perform  Grin) it is more about the status that Europeans have in the Gulf countries, which is basically the same rank as an slave. Quite endogamic societies "pure arab" mentality. It is not even a question of money is a question of principles not to work for them.
3045  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2020/21 on: October 12, 2021, 08:47:56 AM
Pedri, Gavi and a few more young players are improving every week and increasing their roles in Barca and Spain. A few seasons later, no matter Koeman is still in Camp Nou or not, they will look back and say thanks to Koeman.

Yep, I think barcelona in transition. So expect barca to perform like 3 years ago is still very difficult. They need a long process, moreover they don't buy too many great players. Maybe the Barca fans have to be patient, they are in the process of getting better. I regret is the club's careless move by selling Suarez or even Griezman. Their game is still very good. At least if they weren't for sale them, maybe barca would be a little better at playing.

I think that the whole Spanish League is suffering from funds shortages. Football has always been quite linked to other economic sectors like construction and entertainment and these sectors are suffering. Also entertainment is becoming more on-line and less TV based, so big money for big players in Spain may not make the cut in the near future.
3046  Economy / Economics / Re: The EU takes 9 more jurisdictions out of the Tax Heaven list on: October 11, 2021, 03:01:52 PM

[...bla bla wishfull thinking ... bla bla stuff that goes against human behaviour and incentives... bla bla... you are a diabolic socialist probably gay that eat children so your opinion does not count...]
...


As said many times before, if you do not pay taxes, you will not have anyone to defend your right to property, the borders of your country... So, unless you have a marvellous theory on how can you get from a world divided into states to a world without them, you do need taxes.

Question awaiting your answer...



I really don't understand why could anyone with socialistic views even embrace bitcoin and spend time here, bitcoin is the perfect example of pure capitalism, you have capital you can invest, you have more capital you get more, you have zero, there is now ay to get it from others unless you pull a scam or threaten them with a gun.


There are so many things that you do not seem to understand. The worst of that is that you will never, because for the man with a hammer in his brain, everything looks like a nail.


I really don't understand why could anyone with socialistic views even embrace bitcoin and spend time here, bitcoin is the perfect example of pure capitalism, you have capital you can invest, you have more capital you get more, you have zero, there is now ay to get it from others unless you pull a scam or threaten them with a gun.

I just opened a thread about that on the P&S board, when I still frequented it, because it seems a bit paradoxical how many leftists/socialists there are on this Bitcoin forum, being Bitcoin a perfect capitalist asset to escape state control.

Paxmao is left alone against the two of us in this thread, let's see if Cnut237 or suchmoon come and give him a hand.

I am not particularly worried about being "alone in this thread". I think I have little else to say because it makes sense to discuss things when there is certain listening to the logic and arguments, but I am seeing just a briefing on a certain ideology without any sense of reality.
3047  Economy / Economics / Taiwan invasion - how would it affect bitcoin on: October 10, 2021, 10:53:41 PM
More than a rumour, this is becoming a Heavy Metal live streaming at 4 a.m. China is building up their military to the point in which they could actually enact their desire of taking effectively over the government of Taiwan. As most of you know, as of now, Taiwan is considered a "rebel territory" by China, "that is part of China". Taiwan is also part of the strategy of the US and its allies in the Northern Pacific (Japan, South Korea). Taiwan is nothing less than a territory in dispute between China and US (not exactly, as the US does not argue that is US territory).

So, nothing to worry about, just another quarrel between the superpower and the possibly next superpower. But there is a little factor that makes Taiwan a very interesting place, and that is called TSMC  AKA Taiwan Semiconductors. This company (along with Samsung) manufacture most of the semiconductors worldwide and they have technologies that are even a decade ahead of competitors.

What do you think could happen if a proxy war for Taiwan takes place in the next years? As a hint, today a few car manufacturing plants have reduced production due to lack of semiconductors. Many other industries are also affected. Imagine that TSMC is unable to continue production or that factories are destroyed in the process. This would mean a global slowdown and a crisis that may dwarf COVID.

BTW, a semiconductor plant is nothing you can improvise. The investment is huge, the technical difficulties extreme and building times quite long.

My advice, if you hear winds of war, buy. You know what.
3048  Economy / Economics / Re: The EU takes 9 more jurisdictions out of the Tax Heaven list on: October 09, 2021, 06:30:30 PM
A global tax of 15% should be required to be considered for business as an equal.

How about a zero tax?
Then everyone should be indeed equal and nobody would have to spend millions of in searching for millions in tax evasion.

As I said before, businesses and corporations are not poeple, they don't spend millions on mansions, cars, and hookers, cut any deductible expense that could be used by the employees as a backdoor, and set the tax to null. All the money they will be getting in paychecks from the company be it wages, dividends anything will sure be taxed when it comes to their personal income tax. So why fracture this in 100 steps and make it both overcomplicated and easy to avoid when the results will be the same in the end.
Anyhow, that money hidden in tax havens will still be used sooner or later, they will return to the economy, they will be spent, and then taxed, at least with VAT.



Certainly, far from everyone being equal, equality and redistribution would be flushed down the toilet. Please, kindly read The Capital in the XXI Century - redistribution and equality do not happen naturally.


Corporations are not people, just a legal construct, but the owners are people - unless the AIs have already taken over and we have not noticed yet. Taxing a corporation means taxing the owners on regards of their benefit because they benefit greatly from states - more than most in fact. They get infrastructures of all shorts, a system that educates people so they can have workers, a legal system that protects their right to intellectual property and defends their interests internationally. It is obvious that you cannot take without giving back.

How about not having the means to defend your country from an invasion? How about not having a legal system that supports your right to individual property? How about having a mass of people that cannot afford basic education? How about not having means to respond to an emergency?

As said many times before, if you do not pay taxes, you will not have anyone to defend your right to property, the borders of your country... So, unless you have a marvellous theory on how can you get from a world divided into states to a world without them, you do need taxes.

RE your idea about returning sooner or later, I encourage you to familiarise yourself with the reason why accounts are closed yearly and taxes are paid every year. As a hint, it is not the same to pay today than to pay in 10 years.

Honestly, I find your arguments far too ideologically biased and with little real foundations.


I've never said zero taxes on everything, I said zero taxes on business.
It makes no sense to tax a business on its profit which is distributed to the investors, who are getting taxed on revenue anyhow.
...

You need to segregate these types of tax concepts to apply different fiscal policies. Again, you seem to ignore how things actually work and you substitute this in your mind for a kingdom of your own invention.


3049  Local / Primeros pasos y ayuda / Re: Ledger Nano - Ledger Live – Electrum -> Cuentas y direcciones [OFF-TOPIC] on: October 08, 2021, 06:31:56 PM
Y Bo Derek, además de los anuncios de Fa ...
Nota: Me ha hecho gracia poder generar la TX 997-> 1k ... (aunque el mérito previo es de TP)


Fa - buloso
3050  Local / Español (Spanish) / Re: Bitcoin.org sufre un hackeo con el fin de timar (clásico x2) on: October 08, 2021, 11:38:26 AM
Con estas páginas que parecen "oficiales" hay que tener mucho cuidado...

Creo que hay que tener cuidado de cualquier pagina ya sea oficial o no. El echo de que las paginas puedan ser hackeadas hacen vulnerable a cualquiera. Así que hay que ser un poco escéptico y si vemos que alguien está ofreciendo algo 'Gratis' entonces tiene truco.

Lástima por los que perdieron su dinero con esto, pero es una lección mas para todos.

Un "giveaway" de manual... vamos que tendria curiosidad por saber cuanto ha sido mandado a esa direccion, pero que lo que es por originalidad... cero. Si el hacker es un poco avispado podria hacer que efectivamente con cantidades pequenias se duplicara para q luego el usuario mandara cantidades grandes pensando en timar al systema.
3051  Local / Español (Spanish) / Re: [El Salvador] Ser Tu Propio Banco: agencia "El Salvador" on: October 08, 2021, 11:33:25 AM
Post off-topic, pendiente de borrar.

Nunca me había pasado antes:
"You can only send 50 merit to a given user per 30 days. You have already sent 50 merit to that user."

No pasa nada, he pasado por aqui por casualidad y se lo pongo yo. Fijate que a mi eso me ha pasado varias veces y varias justo con tu usuario Smiley

Hoy se ha dado la coincidencia de que me has dado los 3 puntos que van del 997 al 1000 merit, asique ya soy "Legendary". Esto produce un enorme vacio en mi vida... no tengo ahora otra etapa que cubrir, asique supongo que tendre que motivarme con llegar a 2000.  

Y ahora para que esto este on-topic, comentar que espero que todo El Salvador se apunte al foro.
3052  Economy / Economics / Re: Will governments capitulate and finally recognize Bitcoin as a legal tender? on: October 08, 2021, 10:54:03 AM
A bit of an aggressive language ... capitulate... we could even go further and say concede defeat or even surrender to the obvious Smiley

I think that bitcoin should be accepted by the governments as a way of payment, however it does not have the right characteristics to be the only currency of a country because is specifically designed to avoid flexibility in the monetary policies, which means that it does not allow you to play politics.
3053  Local / Primeros pasos y ayuda / Re: Ledger Nano - Ledger Live – Electrum -> Cuentas y direcciones on: October 07, 2021, 08:24:04 AM
Nada... todo eso es demasiado trabajo. Ademas no vale la pena comprobar los saldos de las cuentas, al menos segun mi teoria, porque esto es como los diamantes: "muchos si... suficientes nunca" - Kim Basinger (*). Asique por favor, comportense y no den pistas a los novatos sobre como dumpear o como mover sus activos. Ya lo aprenderan cuando sean mayores. Grin

Yo "dumpee", pero estoy muy arrepentido. De verdad que si.

(*) Si no sabes quien es no te preocupes, es bonito ser joven.
3054  Local / Español (Spanish) / Re: 12 años desde el primer precio del BTC conocido (fue en un Exchange) on: October 07, 2021, 08:11:24 AM
Fijate, es incluso anterior a esa cotizacion que hizo Laszlo basada en en una bolsa de commodities. En concreto una bolsa compuesta por harina, tomate, queso y otros ingredientes, hay quien lo llamaria... el standard pizza.

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=137.0

Quote
"So nobody wants to buy me pizza?  Is the bitcoin amount I'm offering too low?"

Pues claro... solo 10.000 bitcoins que eran $41 USD no era suficiente para tomarse la molestia de llevarle 2 pizzas.
3055  Economy / Economics / Re: Permanent inflation or "just temporary" on: October 06, 2021, 11:22:24 PM
Due to the inevitable inflation, the FED will actually do a tapering in September. However, in the end, they agreed to slow down the tapering process in November. As we know the Fed feels benefited when tapering is carried out, it also affects the profits earned by the Dollar. In addition to the current weakening of the dollar, forcing the central bank to be more aggressive in taking action to normalize interest rates. As a result, we can see inflation according to the U.S.DEPARTMENT OF LABOR can be classified into 6 categories:





Nice, but I do not understand how they link the unemployment to inflation, unless they are assuming that less people working means less money circulation or lower speed. Or perhaps they are thinking that too low of unemployment may result in salaries rising, but in that case they are double counting when considering the Labour Cost Index.

Interesting, although limited to US.
3056  Economy / Economics / Permanent inflation or "just temporary" on: October 06, 2021, 08:42:18 AM
A few leaders of OCDE countries are speaking wishfully about inflation, stating that this is just "a temporary peak". However this may or may not be the case. Even the people with best information (CEOs of large companies and perhaps some ministers) are unclear about how long do we have to endure inflation.

My translation for this is "we do not know if we can effectively pass the burden of all the money we printed onto the labour or the salaries will rise paving way for sustained high inflation in two years".
3057  Economy / Economics / Re: Evergrande situation on: October 06, 2021, 08:08:31 AM
Now we all have seen that Bitcoin reacted really well to the recent events, especially China's cryptos ban and Evergrande's crisis.

..

You got it all wrong. A ban in China means nothing since it has been clamping bitcoin trading and even some mining operations and the market already knows that. Regarding Evergrande, bitcoin can only go up as it is a protection against crisis, particularly those created by massive defaults. Bitcoin has simply responded to the crypto exchanges clampdown in South Korea, which is actually a relevant actor.

The Evergrande crisis is perfect and is something the market should actually appreciate positively for crypto.

Some may find this piece informative.

...

It appears china has an outstanding $8.2 trillion LGFV (local government financing vehicles outstanding) bubble to rival the united states student loan or housing bubbles.
...

My interpretation of this data is quite different. Firstly, the fact that there is debt does not mean there is a bubble. A bubble is created when stuff is bought for the only reason of selling it more expensive to someone else. You may argue that there might be a credit risk, but these loans against vehicles are quite different from loans against houses particularly coming from the gov. which would endure even massive defaults or print a bit of cash.
3058  Economy / Economics / The EU takes 9 more jurisdictions out of the Tax Heaven list on: October 05, 2021, 03:48:32 PM
As the fumes from the Pandora Papers are still in the air, the EU has seen fit to withdraw from the Tax Heavens list countries such as Samoa, Fiji, Trinidad y Tobago,... Particularly interesting the case of Anguila, with a corporate tax of 0%.

As a tax paying citizen I am very disappointed with the minimal requisites that the EU is requiring from these countries. A global tax of 15% should be required to be considered for business as an equal. They are just happily feeding the pirates and doing it as there is more hard proof of how are these jurisdictions being used.

https://www.theguardian.com/news/2021/oct/05/eu-action-against-tax-havens-is-inadequate-say-meps#:~:text=The%20EU%20tax-haven%20list,US%20Virgin%20Islands%2C%20and%20Vanuatu.

Do not get me wrong, if you want to live in a Tax Heaven, you are free to do so. What I do not find ethical is living on a country that provides services and fits your living style and then evade. You want to get taxed in Anguila? Perfect, just go live there and enjoy.
3059  Economy / Economics / Re: How to protect from inflation? on: October 05, 2021, 11:24:25 AM
I believe that there will be many answers Bitcoin is, that understandable because this is a forum about Bitcoin, but it will only run properly if we do it for the long term, gold and stock can also be chosen to protect from inflation

Banks are a good protection to inflation but the problem is there is close to zero profits with banks so it's not a good thing to go that route for inflation protection
We cannot protect from inflation with just by putting money in the bank, the amount will remain the same but the value will decrease as inflation increases.

Exactly, that would be the perfect way to NOT being protected from inflation, as you money would be worth less each time. The problem is quite obvious if you understand what inflation is.

There is however one chance to protect by using banks, and that is if the deposits offer a yield higher than the currencies inflation, but that is something I have not seen in any major currency since the 1990s.
3060  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Spain bans betting adds - no celebrities, no sport sponsorship, no daytime adds on: October 05, 2021, 10:56:45 AM
Surely Spain is denying themselves tax revenue from a valid past time.  I'd rather they tax betting in some form, allow business to advertise itself and reduce the load on vital natural businesses and people from excessive taxation and government debt which every modern western country seems to have in modern times.

The world is now a civilized place that every country would want to socialize its citizens except for the countries that are govern by detectors, last I check Spain doesn't have any similarities of China and some hard-core countries who restrict people in many things.
Gambling is one of the biggest industries where revenue are been generated, they can't choose to ignore the impact on the economy but regulation would have been better for the safety of everyone. The government that has always been about their pocket are claiming to be protecting her people, odd system of government.

While a socialist party led coalition governs Spain at the moment, it has nothing in common with China or other authoritarian regimes - Spain is a democracy that works reasonably well, laws and rules are followed and got realistically free elections, like most western European countries. When you speak of Socialism in Europe you are talking about social democrats not about Marxism, Stalinism or the like.
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