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3101  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: GAW Miners Paybase Paycoin unofficial uncensored discussion.ALWAYS MAKE MONEY :) on: February 25, 2015, 10:54:21 PM
I did not follow the Paycoin-Story from the beginning and reading here not constantly, therefore one question:
Was there any not broken promise?

What are the people buying with Paycoin? Just hope for better times?

I don't understand why the price is still that high in comparison to really good projects with honest and skilled Devs...
3102  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: GAW Miners Paybase Paycoin unofficial uncensored discussion.ALWAYS MAKE MONEY :) on: February 21, 2015, 05:46:32 PM
man he is close to psychotic
 

Maybe it's not the question if Paycoin is a planned Scam or not. Maybe the disturbing reason for this mess is: Paycoin is the insane dream of a mentally-ill person... Sometimes I think he is believing his own words. ;-)
3103  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [ANN] NeuCoin - Easy to use, free to try, focused on micropayments - Official on: February 19, 2015, 05:32:33 PM
The real "neu coin" is NEM  Grin


Nope... the real "Neucoin" is N E O S !
Same meaning but better sounding. Grin
3104  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [ANN] NeuCoin - Easy to use, free to try, focused on micropayments - Official on: February 19, 2015, 05:13:40 PM
Hello there! On a related subject, we thought you might find this comment (see below) from one of our forum members interesting.
It was posted this morning, please feel free to come and join the conversation: http://forum.neucoin.org/t/love-question-d/136/6

"There are rich people involved, they don't really need our money. They're doing it for a good cause, good investment, and fame. You think they'd run their names through the dirt to steal from people when they already have money? Have you read through the wiki? The amount of time put into it is enormous. They've also promised to repay us should the coin not launch which I'm assuming would be due to DEV's dying in a plane crash or the US illegalizing all crypto markets. But if you've read through the wiki then you know that they won't have trouble selling in their pre-sale unless they release it at an unexpectedly high cost. The public word of a rich man with a clean slate is worth more than that of most exchanges these days. You're free to go elsewhere but I'm not missing this boat."



That is really funny!

1. Since when rich people don't want more money? ;-)

2. And if they don't want the money, what will they do with this:
"- 0.2 billion retained by founders for $1 million of work invested
- 0.1 billion sold to initial seed investors for $250,000
- 0.2 billion sold to strategic angel investors for $1 million cash invested"


3. And this:
"- 2.4 billion held by the three non-profit foundations: 0.4 billion - Code foundation / 1.0 billion - Growth foundation / 1.0 billion - Utility foundation"


4. Almost forgot the 3,3333% of the Coins to sell to the communitiy:
0.1 billion to be sold in presale to crypto-community


What do you think will they do with all the money? Donate it? What will they do with all the "Neucoins"? Hold it to infinity?


There are just two possible scenarios:

1. They do it for the money
2. They will be and want to be a central bank

And they could want both! Why do we need Central-banks in Crypto? This will turn out as a Scam or as a centralized project (or both) with all the power in the hands of just a few people. And everybody who invests in it needs to trust them. And sorry, but I don't believe in "non-profit-organisations"... it sounds like a joke and I would feel like an idiot if I would believe that and give them some of my money. ;-)

Plus: If it should be true, that they just have honest plans, they would have to prove it over time.... over years. But there will always be doubts, because nobody will ever know it. At the same time there are some really great projects out there without this extreme wealth- and power-centralization.  The downfall is already implemented. I will watch it like I watch/ed Paycoin.
3105  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [ANN][NEOS]Neos v2.0.2 Released - SHA256, Automatic Backups & more inside on: February 14, 2015, 09:50:34 AM
It's all great, but this...

 I'm trying to completely eliminate all of the "guess work" for anyone coming into Neos so that they can not only have a smoother experience with Neos but get a better idea for what crypto can do and what it's capable of.  

...is the "basic-key" in my eyes. Currently maybe too less people in Crypto recognize how important stability and user-friendliness will become.
3106  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [ANN][NEOS]Neos v2.0.2 Released - SHA256, Automatic Backups & more inside on: February 12, 2015, 11:37:41 PM
Great coin to hold. New investors on Trex. Smiley

I heard someone "of importance" announced his support for neos just a few hours ago...so him and his followers who arent already in and probably buying in as we speak =)
I've been hearing nothing but good things lately about Neos but I have a question where do you mine this coin? any pools available?

If you would like to mine other coins for Neos: http://mp.neoscoin.com
3107  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [ANN] NeuCoin - Easy to use, free to try, focused on micropayments - Official on: February 12, 2015, 11:18:55 PM
That:

Three billion pre-mine allocation:

- 2.4 billion held by the three non-profit foundations: 0.4 billion - Code foundation / 1.0 billion - Growth foundation / 1.0 billion - Utility foundation
- 0.2 billion retained by founders for $1 million of work invested
- 0.1 billion sold to initial seed investors for $250,000
- 0.2 billion sold to strategic angel investors for $1 million cash invested
- 0.1 billion to be sold in presale to crypto-community



...seems a "little bit" risky to me.  

And this:

- 0.2 billion sold to strategic angel investors for $1 million cash invested


...could turn out to be a simple manipulative move. I think:
"Wow, the 0.2 billion are sold for $ 1 Million! Marketcap should be at least at 15 Mio! I have to buy this and have faith that the three foundations, who will hold 2.4 billion are really "non-profit", and the founders who will hold twice of the amount that will be sold to the community, as well."

I would need a lot of faith to buy this. Don't have that much. Wink
3 billion it's too much coins.


I wouldn't say it's too much, it's about distribution. Take a look in percent:

3 billion = 100%

- 2.4 billion held by the three non-profit foundations: 0.4 billion - Code foundation / 1.0 billion - Growth foundation / 1.0 billion - Utility foundation = 79,99999%
- 0.2 billion retained by founders for $1 million of work invested = 6,66666%
- 0.1 billion sold to initial seed investors for $250,000 = 3,33333%
- 0.2 billion sold to strategic angel investors for $1 million cash invested = 6,66666%
- 0.1 billion to be sold in presale to crypto-community = 3,33333%


A few people holding ca. 97% of the whole supply! Maybe just two or three, maybe 10 or 50. We will never know. And "non-profit foundations"? Really? In Crypto?

Why do they need a community? I think, they should give the 3,33333% also to the founders, let the "community" alone and play with themselves. ;-)

And why 0.2 billion for the founders for $1 Mio? They planning to sell 0.1 billion in a presale to the Community and it seems, they believe in this price:

"Coin prices should be less volatile and remain intuitive for consumers from launch ($0.01 per NeuCoin) and into the future"


That would be $1 Mio! Plus the same amount sold to strategic angel investors, but for $250.000?

Whatever price they will choose for the presale... In my eyes every satoshi would be to much for this.


3108  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [ANN] NeuCoin - Easy to use, free to try, focused on micropayments - Official on: February 12, 2015, 04:12:26 PM
That:

Three billion pre-mine allocation:

- 2.4 billion held by the three non-profit foundations: 0.4 billion - Code foundation / 1.0 billion - Growth foundation / 1.0 billion - Utility foundation
- 0.2 billion retained by founders for $1 million of work invested
- 0.1 billion sold to initial seed investors for $250,000
- 0.2 billion sold to strategic angel investors for $1 million cash invested
- 0.1 billion to be sold in presale to crypto-community



...seems a "little bit" risky to me.  

And this:

- 0.2 billion sold to strategic angel investors for $1 million cash invested


...could turn out to be a simple manipulative move. I think:
"Wow, the 0.2 billion are sold for $ 1 Million! Marketcap should be at least at 15 Mio! I have to buy this and have faith that the three foundations, who will hold 2.4 billion are really "non-profit", and the founders who will hold twice of the amount that will be sold to the community, as well."

I would need a lot of faith to buy this. Don't have that much. Wink
3109  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [ANN][LXC][LIBREXCOIN]STAKING MOBILE WALLETS|MULTIPOOL|100% POS|BLOCKNET| on: February 12, 2015, 02:55:11 PM
Reminds me on Guerillacoin... In the beginning all looked great, but than it looked manipulated... and then the Devs was gone. My big mistake was: I stayed in, because I thought they would try to accumulate through panic, come back and start the rocket for own profit. But, they did not.

I've learned from that... I will never buy a "Hype-Coin" again and this one looked to me as one since the beginning with "ATMs" etc. I don't want to say LXC was started as a scam, but it was started with big promises to create hype and I don't trust Hype-Devs anymore.

If I would hold LXC I would think through this:

Scenario 1:

Dev comes back and goes back to work. Problem: Trust is damaged and it would be a hard way to rebuild it.


Scenario 2:

Nobody will develop this Coin and price will go down, than comes the delisting and so on. Worthless. And if I would be invested and thinking that this will happen, after my GUE-Experience, I would sell to every price. A loss is better than a red zero.


Scenario 3:

The Community finds a new Dev. Cloak did that. It's still bad in relation to Cloaks "big times" (Bob....pump) but it seems, there could be some hope (I don't say it because I own Cloak, but I watch). But: It's a question about the potential of this coin. A great Dev won't overtake a damaged Project.

I watched LXC and owned 1 LXC to see the changes in my Bittrex-Wallet, but I never felt safe enough to really buy in.
3110  Local / Altcoins (Deutsch) / Re: Hot Coins on: February 12, 2015, 02:09:51 PM
Apropos Unterbewertet,

habe mir die Charts mal so angeschaut um unterbewertete solide Coins zu finden, ehrlich gesagt ist es schwierig bei diesem Bären Markt die Coins richtig zu bewerten und ein paar günstige Perlen zu finden. Beim recherchieren bin mal wieder auf Monero gestoßen.

Wenn man auf den 365 Tage Kursverlauf von Monero auf cmc schaut

http://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/monero/#charts

und an Moneros Zukunft glaubt dann ist das denke ich ein idealer Zeitpunkt zum Einsteigen, daher habe ich mir mal  ein paar Hundert auf Bter zugelegt, die letzten Tage. Die Entwicklung wird noch Zeit brauchen, aber der Einstiegspreis zu diesem Zeitpunkt erscheint mir günstig.

PS: Welche Möglichkeiten gibt es Monero auf Cold Wallets zu sichern?


Für mich bleibt die unterbewerteste Perle Neoscoin. Der Dev ist wirklich gut und absolut immer da und extrem fleißig. Er legt noch immer großen Wert auf einen cleanen Code und eine starke Basis und bisher fehlen etwas die Nachrichten um den großen Hype auszulösen, aber die Pläne dafür sind da. Und: Jeder der die Wallet gesehen und v.a. selbst getestet hat ist begeistert.

Wer sich informieren möchte, der erste Teil eines zweiteilgen Updates wurde vorgestern veröffentlicht:
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=951349.0

Schon die Installation der Wallet ist genial gelöst, per "Launcher"... Das zeigt auch die Richtung in die Neos geht: Stabilität und Easy-to-use. Dasselbe gilt übrigens ab jetzt auch für Updates... dafür gibt es eine Update-Funktion in der Wallet. Das läuft dann so:


$neos #neoscoin update - click the lightning icon in the menu and then update.  fixed some quirks found. let me know if you need a hand
https://twitter.com/NeosCoin/status/565470280001536001

Arbitrush (Anonymisierungsfunktion) wurde übrigens wieder rausgenommen, da Syntaks zu dem Schluss gekommen ist, da gerade falls Neos erfolgreich werden sollte, es damit zu Problemen kommen könnte weil die Devs zum Ziel werden könnten. Den Gedanken hatte ich insgesamt oft. Ich meine... angenommen Darkcoin wäre was die Anonymisierung betrifft technisch absolut genial und nicht zu knacken. Der Dev ist nicht anonym... Er könnte vermutlich einfach gezwungen werden Hintertüren einzubauen und keiner würde es wissen (wie es ja viele Konzerne für die NSA getan haben).

Für alle die es interessiert, gibts auch per Screencast noch einen guten Überblick über das was vorgestern veröffentlicht wurde und das was noch kommt:

Teil 1

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=osiyWzbV3Og

Dazu muss ich sagen: Der Ton ist beschissen weil sein Mic kaputt war, aber was er zeigt ist zum Teil echt genial. Vor allem die Security-Funktion. Es läuft darauf hinaus, dass JEDES Passwort zu funktionieren scheint... nur das eben ne Fake-Wallet angezeigt wird. Das wird allerdings erst im nächsten Release kommen. (Er zeigt die Funktion ab ca. 340)

Teil 2 (Ton wieder okay):
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bC2lOXSqBro


Was ich bei Neos genial finde, ist, dass da wirklich Leute am Werk sind die langfristig denken, Wert auf Details und Stabilität legen, sich selbst über Kleinigkeiten beim Design Gedanken machen usw. Und was ich persönlich nach einigen miesen Erfahrungen wichtig finde: Dem Typen kann man tatsächlich vertrauen. Ich habe mich Monate gefragt ob der nur unendlich professionell ist oder tatsächlich so aufrichtig, zuvorkommend, hilfreich, freundlich ist... Und mittlerweile bin ich sicher: Der ist wirklich so. Einer der wenigen Idealisten und gleichzeitig noch echt fähig.

Noch ein Pluspunkt, wenn es wahr wird: Syntaks und TheMage scheinen sehr eng zu sein. Letzterer ist der CEO der kommenden Börse Koinyx:
https://litecointalk.org/index.php?topic=22350.0
http://www.koinyx.com


Diese Börse soll, wenn es soweit ist, voll lizensiert sein und auch Fiat-Handel ermöglichen. Neos ist einer der Altcoins die gelistet werden sollen wenn die Börse startet. Man kann die Bedeutung möglicherweise auch daran erkennen, dass er in der Aufzählung gleich nach den schon etablierteren Schwergewichten kommt.


Um auch mögliche Negativ-Punkte nicht zu verheimlichen: Es gibt so gut wie keine gezielte PR, zumindest bisher. Preis und Volumen sind nicht besonders hoch. Allerdings ist der IRC ständig voll und die Anzahl der Twitter-Follower steigt ebenfalls sehr beständig und beschleunigt.

Zweiter Negativpunkt, bei dem ich nicht genau weiß ob er zutrifft, aber es ist mein Eindruck: Die tägliche Inflation von etwa 14.400 NEOS drückt etwas auf den Kurs. Allerdings steht in ca. 4 Monaten das erste Halving an.

Wer schnell auf dicken Profit hofft könnte hier falsch sein (wäre zumindest die letzten Monate falsch gewesen) aber aus eigener Erfahrung kann ich sagen: Wer langfristige Interessen hat... kann sich da echt sicher fühlen. Und ich glaube, Neos kommt langsam an einen Punkt an dem es interessant wird, weil die "Basis-Phase" langsam abgeschlossen zu sein scheint und Syntaks große Pläne hat für das was dann kommen soll (Neos-Marktplatz etc.).


3111  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 11, 2015, 03:12:46 PM


Personally i have a hard time valuating Darkcoin at over 300k, but heh. The price is decided by that bull whale and as soon as he will stop being greedy and start taking profit, the whole domino will collapse in a blink of an eye.

The irony about Darkcoin is it is probably one of the worst anonymous solutions of any claimed anon coins out there on the market but it has the marketing pizazz with the name which is what carries it.

I think, the better name is Bitcoindark. And maybe... the better solution as well. Wink
3112  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 11, 2015, 02:52:13 PM
Does anybody know a site to check the volume of the new Coinbase-Exchange?

Wisdom doesn't show it:
https://bitcoinwisdom.com/markets/coinbase/btcusd



http://bitcointicker.co/coinbase/

Thanks a lot!
3113  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 11, 2015, 02:47:23 PM
Does anybody know a site to check the volume of the new Coinbase-Exchange?

Wisdom doesn't show it:
https://bitcoinwisdom.com/markets/coinbase/btcusd

3114  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 11, 2015, 12:51:07 PM
You judge Europe as if it's a singular behemothic superstate.

HUH?? I implied nothing of the sort. It's a multi-juristictional bureaucratic nightmare, But which country is in which organization is not really relevant to my point which is that a monetary union cannot succeed without fiscal and/or political union.

I used to think the U.S. Dollar was the worst possible form of currency, marrying fiat with fractional reserve lending, but you Europeans actually surpassed us. You combined the inflationary instability of fiat with the inflexibility of hard currency AND fractional lending. Wow, that's an accomplishment. I mean I know the Euro is nothing like a PM-backed currency, but to member states that need to adjust monetary policy differently, it might as well be.




and the winner is.... german export blitz.

to the german export industry the euro is not a nightmare but a wet dream come true. an economy with such export strength would sooner or later get a stronger currency = higher prices for their goods = less sales. germany is (ab)using the weak PIGS countries as class a weapons in the currency war.  it could not work better for them.

all this just to get a giant trade surplus.

Are you insane or just stupid? What good does it do to "sell" exports to people on credit when they default on the credit? How beneficial is it to give your stuff away? A trade surplus just means you're giving more stuff than you're getting. That's BAD not good. A weak currency helps your exporters but hurts you when you have to import the raw materials and energy. It's also terrible for capital formation (savings). There's a name for a condition where everybody works but nobody gets paid. It's called "slavery".

Yes, right! But: If you think about it who benefits and who loses from export: The bigger corporations benefit, the middle class loses. And that's simply the game in the EU (and I think, in the USA as well).

What follows is: Jobs in the middle-class got lost and the corporations can lower the wages... And you can call it a modern version of slavery and the EU is on the way to go in this direction in the whole EU, but mainly in the South! If they should be successful the big corporations will have an El Dorado in the south and the EU would be like an extremer version of Germany.

But: There is a lot pressure against it. Greece is just one example. My "prophecy" is, that it will shred the Euro in the next 5 years.

By the way: It could help Bitcoin.
3115  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [ANN][NEOS]Neos v2.0.2 Released - SHA256, Automatic Backups & more inside on: February 11, 2015, 02:10:56 AM
Cool...! So many improvements over previous version.

I am currently using v2.0.1b on Windows
Is the upgrade process as simple as downloading the latest executable and installing it?

One click for the download
One click for the installation of the launcher
One click to start the wallet

ca. 20 seconds... and foolproof Wink
3116  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 11, 2015, 01:57:31 AM
Greece is a basket case. It's not all that complicated to understand if you have a solid grounding in economics and human nature. Tsipras and Varoufakis are lefties elected to erase the consequences of a country spending far more than they earned for a prolonged time period. They face an impossible task and they know it, so they are busy blaming others for their obvious impending failure to do what they promised to do. Breaking promises seems to be the Greek national pastime. No sane person would want to negotiate with these bad faith actors even if they weren't deluded socialists.

This is essentially correct. Greece has had a negative trade balance for a very long time now, with no improvements on the horizon.

Greece will get kicked out of the EU. The EU is going to crumble because Greece is far from the only country in such economic dire straits. They are merely the first to default. These sovereign defaults will either take down many large European banks or usher in an era of massive currency devaluation. As nation after nation in the EU goes back to their own national currencies, Germany will find itself in a position of having nobody to sell it's goods to that has any money. Capital will flow in torrents into safe places, first Switzerland and England but later and in greater volume the USA.

This is completely wrong and demonstrates a clear lack of understanding of both European politics and European economics. Our institutions are complex and never straightforward. Even most Europeans don't understand them. You would do well to learn more about them before saying rediculous things like that.

Nevertheless: Greece will not be kicked out of the European Union. They will not leave the Eurozone or be kicked out of it. Leaving either the Eurozone or the Union would not absolve their debts. There will be more negotiations. A settlement will eventually be reached. The EU will continue to heavily subsidize Greece, which Greece is dependent on to survive. Their economy will take a turn for the worse but they'll still be better off than in any other situation.

As a whole, the EU is still running a trade surplus and is as such doing okay. Despite what you believe, Germany amounts to only 20% of the EU's economy and does not dominate European policy. This percentage is actually shrinking as eastern Europe developes. There is no massive currency devalutation nor is there one in the making. There isn't a single serious effort to reinstute national currencies, as not a single country would stand to benefit from it.

There is a whole lot of exaggeration when it comes to European economic and political instability (which is mostly just perception), and it seems you've fallen prey to it.

Euros just today are trading at 0.89/USD. That's a huge devaluation already and will be trading at par soon if this continues. As for defaults, that is effectively what happens when a country devalues it's currency (or re-institutes it's currency) and repays expensive money with cheap money. The U.S. Did it in 1971 when Nixon took us off the gold standard. It's a soft default ( a hard default is when they simply don't repay at all).

I understand that the European financial and political situation is enormously complex, but I don't need to know all the ins and outs to see that a monetary union with no fiscal (much less political) union is untenable given the very different incentives and motivations of the various players. How long will German Taxpayers subsidize the profligacy of the South?  If they take a haircut on Greek bonds, what's to stop the other peripheral countries from doing the same? It's as if a family has a problem child and if they show tough love the kid will rebel and run away, but if they go soft, they other children will rebel also, (correctly) perceiving the preferential treatment as favoritism.

This latest demand for WWII war reparations is just icing on the cake. Hardly any Germans living bear any responsibility for the Nazis. If I was a German, I'd rather burn my money than give it to Greece. Now supposedly they are cozying up to Russia as well so we can ad "disloyal" to "lazy" and "dishonest" as descriptors of Greeks. Germany and the other creditor nations won't cave. They can't or their electorates will (rightly) boot them out of office.


Germany is not that strong as many are thinking. "We" are a export-nation. Without a strong export the unemployment will rise hard. It's in german-interest to keep the south in the game because it could be the end of the Euro if south-states would leave. And that's why our government is in a weak position. They won't pay the demand for WW2 but they will make concessions. But, it's just playing time (delay the dynamic). It won't help long. It did not help in the past it won't stop the dynamic.

3117  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 11, 2015, 01:36:54 AM


Why? What would that accomplish? Greece doesn't need a softer currency. Greece desperately needs economic growth.

Yes, but if you look at greeces economy: To be economic-competitive they would have to lower wages (20-30%)... that would lead to civil war. They don't have much export, more import. If they could depreciate their own currency it would attract money and investments, help the export, help the tourismus-industry. If they will stay in Euro they will stay in dependence.

It's not that easy... they would need help in the first time, too. But there will be no economic growth in greece with Euro. They need a more flexible currency. The central bank devalues the Euro and says, the reason is deflation. The real reason is the banking system and to help the export-economy. But that is not enough for greece. Same for the most south-states.
  
 

Quote
The trouble with Greece, politically speaking, is not extremists (Syriza aren't extremists, just idiots). It is corruption.

I did not say extremists, I said "more extreme". And I don't think they are idiots. In my opinion they are very rational and they have the right to speak for the normal Greece-citizens who are suffering. And yes, corruption is a big problem, but it's a problem in the highest EU-circles as well. We live in a time where banks can do anything. They are keeping profit for private and demand that the EU-citizens pay their losses. The money other states send to greece... it was not to rescue Greece, it was to rescue creditor-banks. Germany (just for example) sends money of his citizens to greece and greece sends it back to german banks... I would name that dynamic raid. ;-)

Quote
Greece scores very badly on this, just like every other country in the Balkan area plus Italy. Unless Syriza manages to come down hard on curruption, there isn't a lot of hope.

The whole system is corrupt! Greece is just more obvious. Germany protects a corrupt Siemens-Manager who is accused, but Germany denies to deliver the man to greece (just one example!). Greece is more extreme than most of the other countries, but there is a lot of corruption on every stage.


Quote
The rest of the Union is doing alright and most members are doing their best to improve the situation. While it is natural for people to be sceptical of their government in the midst of a downpour, most Europeans (think 60%+) are still in favour of staying with the union. The percentage is even higher amoung the European youth, so there's hope for the future. The real disagreement is not about the union, but about policy.
Yes... it's about policy, but also about simple maths. It's impossible to pay back the liabilities. Even Germany pays nothing back, not even if the economy is doing very well.

Take a look:
http://www.aref.de/kalenderblatt/mehr/pics/staatsverschuldung_deutschland_entwicklung.png

It nearly doubled the last ten years. And Germany is maybe the "healthiest" country in the EU. The second largest outgoings of the State budget are interest-load.
 
Quote
Actually, most Eurozone countries are doing okay with respect to debts. It's important to keep in mind that it's the relative percentages that count, not the nominal amount. Higher debt isn't a problem if your economy can shoulder it.

Yes... but debts are rising every year and accelerated and the interest is rising as well. The economy would have to grow every year and endless. Impossible. Such a system won't survive and never survived. There are just two scenarios: Massive Inflation or currency collapse (or both at same time).


Quote
The problem with Greece is that it can't. It imports nearly twice as much as it exports and their government spends a whopping 160% of GDP. The economic troubles of any other EU country pale in comparison. Yes; Italy, Ireland and Portugal are still spending too much, but not as crazy much as Greece.
Yes, right. But the main-problem is the lack of wealth-distribution!!! If 1% on this planet holds more then the whole rest, and thats a fact, it can't end well. Thats impossible. It's a worldwide problem, not just of the EU and indeed not just of greece. The USA has the same problems. China as well. The richest become richer, the normal become poorer and the poorest sleeping under bridges. For now there is just one antidote: More debts. And again: It's not just about the countries, it's mostly about the banking-system. The collapse of just one bigger bank can lead to a worldwide economic depression. I just say Lehman... ;-)

Quote
 
The central banks aren't 'pumping' the markets, by the way. They are transferring wealth from the people to themselves through financial markets. QE is just a very advanced way of taxation. The net effect is cheaper loans for the governments.
There is no contradiction. And yes, cheaper loans for governments but also for the banking system and stock markets. People are wondering why there is no inflation because all of the money... The inflation is in the stock-markets, because most of the money never reaches the real economy.
3118  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 10, 2015, 11:31:08 PM
Greece is a basket case. It's not all that complicated to understand if you have a solid grounding in economics and human nature. Tsipras and Varoufakis are lefties elected to erase the consequences of a country spending far more than they earned for a prolonged time period. They face an impossible task and they know it, so they are busy blaming others for their obvious impending failure to do what they promised to do. Breaking promises seems to be the Greek national pastime. No sane person would want to negotiate with these bad faith actors even if they weren't deluded socialists.

This is essentially correct. Greece has had a negative trade balance for a very long time now, with no improvements on the horizon.

Greece will get kicked out of the EU. The EU is going to crumble because Greece is far from the only country in such economic dire straits. They are merely the first to default. These sovereign defaults will either take down many large European banks or usher in an era of massive currency devaluation. As nation after nation in the EU goes back to their own national currencies, Germany will find itself in a position of having nobody to sell it's goods to that has any money. Capital will flow in torrents into safe places, first Switzerland and England but later and in greater volume the USA.

This is completely wrong and demonstrates a clear lack of understanding of both European politics and European economics. Our institutions are complex and never straightforward. Even most Europeans don't understand them. You would do well to learn more about them before saying rediculous things like that.

Nevertheless: Greece will not be kicked out of the European Union. They will not leave the Eurozone or be kicked out of it. Leaving either the Eurozone or the Union would not absolve their debts. There will be more negotiations. A settlement will eventually be reached. The EU will continue to heavily subsidize Greece, which Greece is dependent on to survive. Their economy will take a turn for the worse but they'll still be better off than in any other situation.

As a whole, the EU is still running a trade surplus and is as such doing okay. Despite what you believe, Germany amounts to only 20% of the EU's economy and does not dominate European policy. This percentage is actually shrinking as eastern Europe developes. There is no massive currency devalutation nor is there one in the making. There isn't a single serious effort to reinstute national currencies, as not a single country would stand to benefit from it.

There is a whole lot of exaggeration when it comes to European economic and political instability (which is mostly just perception), and it seems you've fallen prey to it.


In short-terme I agree with you. But, longterm and in case of Greece: They won't stay in Euro because the simple fact, that they need a "softer currency". Their economic strenghts is not strong enough. For the next months I think, we will see some compromises on both sides (EU and Greece), because nobody has an interest that Greece leaves the Euro. But in longterm... I don't think they will stay. I don't think Euro will survive the next 10 years. We already see a "tearing dynamic" (don't know if it's the right word) in the EU-population. The next elections of the South-States could bring another parties like Syriza to power. Even germany (I'm from germany) is not immune for more extrem parties. And: Greece is just earlier than some others. Every state is over-indebted and some others will come to trouble soon. The only antidote are more liabilities and the central bank pumps the market... It's mathematically impossible that this game will end well.

Most important: It's all about the banking-system. That's why even Obama and the US-finance-industry is in custody about Greece. The banking-system is over-indebted, more than the EU-States! It's like a house of cards. It doesn't need much to crash it.  
3119  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Best Altcoin to invest in for 2015 and WHY on: February 10, 2015, 09:16:34 PM
Neoscoin



Wasn't neoscoin an altcoin which died back in 2014 ?


Thanks for the question! Take a look here:

[ANN][NEOS]Neos v2.0.2 Released - SHA256, Automatic Backups & more inside
Today at 02:11:45 PM
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=951349.0


Far away from dying... ;-)

just because you bagholding a bunch dosn't get the coin out of the grave. 24h volume a wobbing bitcoin

There are some projects out there with much more volume right now and a higher marketcap right now, but dead before they really getting started. In the end it will be about a stable base, detail-work, a honest and skilled Dev-Team. It would be really easy to pump Neos. And it would be easy for the Devs to hype it. But there is something like a silent agreement between the Team and the steadily growing community: Quality needs time... and quality needs Devs who do their work without too much pressure out of the community about the daily price.

There is a lot going wrong in Crypto and a lot ppl have lost a lot money because of that. And Neos makes it different. Nobody has to buy it, but my advice is to keep an eye on it. Why? There is a lot money in scams and indeed dying and abondened Coins. Crypto is in a stage that most of the Coins will disappear and less new ones will pop up. The last year there was a focus on a quick buch, on promises and hypes without any stable base and greedy Devs. People will learn to focus quality and to feel safe. It's all about quality and honesty and therefore it's about the Devs... and it's about time and timing. It's that simple. That's why I sleep very well with my Neos. ;-)
3120  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Best Altcoin to invest in for 2015 and WHY on: February 10, 2015, 05:40:24 PM
Neoscoin



Wasn't neoscoin an altcoin which died back in 2014 ?


Thanks for the question! Take a look here:

[ANN][NEOS]Neos v2.0.2 Released - SHA256, Automatic Backups & more inside
Today at 02:11:45 PM
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=951349.0


Far away from dying... ;-)
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