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3141  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: Google Trend and Bitcoin price. Do retailers rejoin the party? on: January 06, 2021, 07:34:26 AM
Let's just hope that this is not a sign of an incoming crash  Grin

I heard a theory that institutional investors will dump their coins on retail investors at the end of this bull run, which will start the bear market. Even if this theory is correct, I doubt that it will happen anytime soon, the bull run has just started, the institutional interest in Bitcoin still seems to be strong, i.e. not all institutions have hopped the hype train yet.
3142  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Old story. Exchanges get profits from users' withdrawal fees. on: January 06, 2021, 03:53:41 AM
The $$ value of fees is still different between coins, and less valuable coins generally come with smaller fees, so if your goal is to move coins from exchange to exchange, it can be smart to do so through some altcoin and immediately sell that, but you should calculate all the costs of this process - trading fee, withdrawal fee, market price difference.

But I have an argument in favor of Exchanges: we as the users shouldn't assume 'withdrawal fees' equivalent to 'network fees'. What if you ask me to take your car to the service station, get it serviced and bring it back to you? Won't I ask you more money in addition to the car service fee for my time and efforts? Same goes for exchanges. They charge withdrawal fees in addition to the network fees for creating transaction and broadcasting it on your behalf.

True, but I personally think it's a bit dishonest from exchanges to take revenue in form of withdrawal fees. 99.9% of their revenue comes from trading fees, and charging hidden fees on withdrawal just creates frustration and confusion among their users.
3143  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Satoshi must be spinning in his grave. on: January 06, 2021, 01:52:31 AM
There's nothing in Satoshi's words that could have classified him as some sort of communist or socialist - he never spoke against wealth or speculative trading. Satoshi's views are actually close to libertarianism, so I'm sure he wouldn't have a problem with Bitcoin being traded on free markets, regardless of who profit from it.

Bitcoin is slowly being more adopted by regular people for their transactions, and Lightning Network could actually achieve what Satoshi wanted - fast and free transactions for everyone, and with strong privacy.
3144  Economy / Economics / Re: The Rise of Layer 2s Could Spell End for Altcoins (opinion) on: January 05, 2021, 10:27:05 PM
These days smaller alts switched to trying to compete with Ethereum - they position themselves as a platform for some activity, usually smart contracts or some other stuff. Fast transactions, zero fees - that stuff hasn't been interesting for a while, all the coins that feature that (at the cost of complete centralization, of course) still failed to achieve any significant adoption. Lightning Network will just put a final nail in their coffin.
3145  Economy / Speculation / Re: What if Bitcoin goes off this Institutionalized expected Bull-Run? on: January 05, 2021, 10:10:28 PM
If hodlers refusing to sell then who's supplying the liquidity/volume to buyers to cause that 10% sell off?

Everyone saying btc is capped 21million max. There's some say millions of btc have already been lost. Then you got all these institutions buying all these bitcoins. Then you got that halving last year that gives you less when mining bitcoins so Supply is dry right?

How many btc's do you require to have in your wallet to classed as a whale nowadays and how many of these whales exist including the hedge funds/institutions that bough 1000's of bitcoins?

If you see volume declining on a exchange yet prices go higher that means supply is running out?

When people talk about supply running out, they mean supply available for sale on exchanges.

There was never any strict classification of whales, it's an informal term for "big Bitcoin holder". If the number of UTXO will be growing, maybe in the future even some hundreds of coins will be considered as "whale amount". It's also not so simple as it looks - one big address could belong to many small hodlers in case of a centralized service, and some individual hodlers could own large amounts split across hundreds of addresses.
3146  Economy / Speculation / Re: What if Bitcoin goes off this Institutionalized expected Bull-Run? on: January 04, 2021, 10:57:58 PM
Institutions are smart people smart money so why they buy at any given market price when they can save and get it cheaper in a correction or a crash?

People refused to buy at $10k or at $1k because they though that they will just wait for a correction. Now they likely won't have a chance like that ever again. We actually had a dip today, when the price fell to 28k, and it was immediately bought.

Also, if they calculate that Bitcoin will reach certain price, like 100k or even just 50k, there's no point in trying to buy the dip, just buying at current price would net solid profits too.

Everybody saying bitcoin supply is running out but high demand is still there but if thats the case then how bitcoin dropped over 10% today when there's clearly supply for this demand causing it to drop over 10%???

When people say that supply is running out, it just means that the current holders refuse to sell for some reason. Of course it can change. It's not like coins get literally deleted.
3147  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Don't invest in roadside alt because of Bitcoin price on: January 03, 2021, 11:50:10 PM
Newcomers to crypto are generally also newcomers to investing, and they don't understand how pump and dump works, or they think that they can outsmart the manipulators. The truth is, altcoin markets are insanely risky, and that risk makes it simply not worth investing. The past charts of an altcoin going to the moon is just a bait for noobs, it's always better to stick to Bitcoin or at least Ethereum, because you can be sure that they can't manipulated easily, just because they have billions in volume.

Don't be greedy, Bitcoin can already give you insane profits compared to traditional investments - there's no need to chase alts.
3148  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Don't ask about the price. No one knows! on: January 03, 2021, 11:07:49 PM
It's okay to talk about the price, but this should be done in appropriate section, and you definitely don't need to create a new thread just because Bitcoin has reached certain price. All such discussions should go to Speculation. Generally, people should ask for others opinions to look at the subject in a new light, to learn some new information, to look for alternative opinions and so on, and after that they should form their own opinion based on what they gathered. Unfortunately, too man newcomers just want someone to tell them that Bitcoin will go up so they can immediately buy it, without thinking about exit strategy, negative scenarios and the most vital thing - basic crypto education.
3149  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: What next after bitcoin ? on: January 03, 2021, 10:39:55 PM
There are two main ideas - one is that people would just start using Bitcoin more and more, it will be like today's cash. Some economic in this world are still based primarily on cash. The other idea is that fiat money will collapse, like in Zimbabwe or Venezuela, and people will flow to Bitcoin while government will be powerless to stop them. Both these ideas have flaws. In first case, the government won't just sit and watch how the economy moves into the shadows. They could ban exchanges to kill liquidity, and without liquidity adoption will slow down. With the second idea, it's never certain that fiat will collapse. They could just relaunch it like it happened many times in history, and citizens would keep using it instead of looking for alternatives.
3150  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Polkadot is the new ETH on: January 03, 2021, 10:00:46 PM
Ethereum has seen as much "Ethereum killers" and Bitcoin has seen "Bitcoin killers". Guess what, anyone can claim that they are better than some established coin, but until they overtake its marketcap, have more hashpower, have more users and more developed community, that's just empty talk. If you, as investor, is going to hop on hype trains like that, you will just suffer loss after loss, because these pumps always end with a huge dump.
3151  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Don’t fall for weak Bitcoin-FUD on Twitter on: January 03, 2021, 09:16:03 PM
This is almost a tradition in Bitcoin - whenever price rises, trolls emerge and start spreading FUD. Happens on this forum too - brand new accounts create multiple topics per day with claims that Bitcoin will crash, and of course they don't back their claims with any evidence.

Haters raising up again. Most likely they hadn't hold bitcoin or they want to buy it dip.

People who want to buy the dip just wait patiently. These people who spread FUD either just trolls who hate cryptocurrency, because they are envious of other's gains, or they are hired by banks or governments. A few years ago it was proved that Poland was paying some bloggers to make anti-Bitcoin content.
3152  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin will always be correlated to the *speculative* value of gold on: January 03, 2021, 07:12:08 PM
Bitcoin has a potential to be a currency, a method of exchange, so if its adoption would start rapidly increasing, it could grow while gold does not.

And I don't think there's any reason to expect that Bitcoin will plateau at the same marketcap as gold - they are not the same thing. Even if you compare them as store of value, gold is inflationary, because more can be discovered, and its hard to use and most of the time involves custodians. Bitcoin is easy to store and transfer and available to all people.
3153  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: If BTC corrects 30 or 40 % then ALTs also corrects ? on: January 03, 2021, 05:30:58 PM
They would drop even harder, because it's always like that - alts only grow for a fraction of Bitcoin's price, and crash even harder. The 2017 "altcoin season" was an exception, because there was blockchain hype - it can't repeat again, because blockchain lost its novelty. Also, in 2017 retail investors were throwing their money in any altcoins, but today the market is driven by institutional investors who carefully study a coin they want to invest in, so shitcoins have no chance.
3154  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin Maximalism Has Won on: January 03, 2021, 04:58:27 PM
i reckon these will be unpopular opinions in this thread, but i hold them nonetheless:

-altcoiners are clearly near capitulation. (after capitulation usually comes reversal)

-BCH and BSV will pump later this year with the rest of the altcoins.

-institutions do care about altcoins, just not at the same volumes as their bitcoin bets---which is natural, given that they are riskier and lower liquidity. grayscale's ethereum trust is at $2.2B AUM now. that's nothing to sneeze at IMO.

I don't think they are near capitulation, there's still quite a lot of hopium. If you look at the Altcoin board or /r/Cryptocurrency, people still say that they plan to wait for altcoin pump, which in their prediction will happen after Bitcoin slows down.

I can see Ethereum going up, it's the main coin for smart contracts and all the stuff based on smart contracts, but what BCH and BSV have to offer? They are just counterfeit Bitcoin, institutional investors would be dumb to buy them.
3155  Economy / Economics / Re: Macro effects of gold stored in a metals depository versus btc on an exchange on: January 03, 2021, 04:34:46 PM
Having an account for storing physical gold would probably come with significant fees, while Bitcoin exchanges don't have maintenance fees, because they cover them with trading fees. Another difference is how and cold wallets - gold custodians don't usually have a second less secure storage for quick transfers, and they certainly get robbed far less than exchanges.

Also, in some countries Bitcoin is not fully recognized, so investors over there have much less legal protection than with gold.
3156  Economy / Speculation / Re: BTC back to $20000 possible in 2021? on: January 03, 2021, 05:48:28 AM
This is Bitcoin, anything is possible here. 2019 actually had a few attempts at bull runs that failed, so there's actually no rule that says that if Bitcoin is going up, it will continue going up for a long time. We hope that this is a repetition of a 2017 scenario, but it could be a completely new scenario too. Start taking profits now if you can't afford to risk, or just relax and hodl if you won't mind the possible crash.
3157  Economy / Economics / Re: Will bitcoin ever succeed as a currency on: January 03, 2021, 04:54:05 AM
It really depends on what you count as "succeed". I don't think governments will ever allow it to replace fiat. But in my book, even if a few percent of the population will use it on a daily basis for their personal transactions or business, that will be a success. We're actually extremely far even from that point. High volatility makes people view it only as investment. Its main selling point - control over your money, is actually not that interesting to most people, because most people don't see problems with banks.
3158  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: How do we deal with all the disgusting snake oil salesmen? on: January 02, 2021, 11:39:11 PM
If there's too much "snake oil salesmen" aka scammers, the platform will just blanket ban any mentions of crypto. Facebook already did something like that. Other social medias have banned crypto ads. This just shows the laziness of these companies - they would rather lose ad revenue and users instead of developing more selective tools that only target scammers. Why? Because crypto is such a small market to them.

I think the quickest way to get to people is to make parodies of these people and ads and memes, but I don't have the inclination or creativity to do so right now.


Memes only work if they are popular, and most people, even in crypto sphere, never heard about those scammers, so memes about unknown persons won't stick.
3159  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Dash says they are not a privacycoin on: January 02, 2021, 10:21:58 PM
Official tweet: https://twitter.com/Dashpay/status/1345093269919854592

So, for years Dash team was saying that they are better than Monero and other privacycoins, now they are saying that "their privacy is not better than in Bitcoin"  Grin

How do you feel about that? Do you want to invest in a project that puts compliance with regulators above their own declared principles? Or do you think that this is just a tactical lie to return the lost liquidity and its all okay?
3160  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: $Cover protocol hacked (another defi hack) 😑 on: January 02, 2021, 09:54:14 PM
Noobs need to learn that DeFi and smart contracts are just computer programs. And computer programs always get hacked, so if you put your hard-earned money into an untested computer program from unknown developers, it's very likely you will lose your money. People naively think that decentralization means that all problems magically go away, but it can't be further from the truth.
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