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3281  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: August 12, 2014, 07:31:13 PM
I have to transscribe a couple of passages from a video for you guys. I like stuff to be in writing so it's searchable and more easily quotable.

From Bitcoin is the perfect libertarian solution to the money enigma

About Shannon information and why the internet needs bitcoin

Quote
Nick: [what was your bitcoin aha moment?]

George: I had just written "Knowledge and Power" about information theory and I figured that Shannons information theory was [the?] perfect instrument for creating a network that could efficiently transmit bits and bytes. However to have a civilization you need more than just bits and bytes. You need contracts, you need transactions, you need provable facts, you need titles, you need notarization, you need identities. You need all these other factors that really can't be accomodated very well on the internet. So you have to have banks and all these other outside channel to conduct transactions. You have this comedy of bogus contracts you're supposed to sign. I mean the internet is full of junk. And it pretends that a lot of the stuff is free, which is not. So it's a lie. It's full of lies. It's a hussle. A lot of the characterisitcs of the internet are the result of having a pure Shannon information without higher...

Nick: what is shannon information?

George: Shannon identifies information exclusively by its surprisal: unexpected bits. That's how you measure information and bandwidth across the net. And Shannon is a genius. He created the perfect theory for the network layer. And you need more than 3 layers in the network. You got to have a whole apparatus on the network in order to conduct provable transactions.

Nick: so how does Bitcoin...

George: Bitcoin is a breakthrough in information theory that allows without reference to trusted third parties (people outside the internet) provable transactions. Timestamped transactions that can't be changed.

Nick: So Bitcoin is the currency the internet deserves.

George: It's the currency the internet deserves and needs

Bitcoin tends to be deflationary. About scarcity in a world of abundance: Bitcoin and time.

Quote
Nick: let's talk about: how is bitcoin deflationary. Because if you were lucky enough to buy bitcoin a few years ago you're wealthy now. Especiall if you take out of the internet...

Georg: Satoshi's worth a billion bucks, baby! [chuckles]

Nick: when do we get to the point where Bitcoin is no longer a speculative currency?

George: You know the speculation is a big debate over what proportion of the worlds transactions Bitcoin will finally accomodate. Bitcoin is currently undergoing a market process. But when it reaches its full maturity with 21 million coins, which is the asymtotic cap which is imposed through the algorithm itself. This means that it will tend to be deflationary.

Nick: Because there'll be more goods chasing after the same...

George: That's right. But this is life. Really the other way I came to this insight is of the "zero marginal cost society", if you heard about that... that capitalist economics doesn't work any more because we live in a world of abundance. But money can't be abundant in the same way that goods and services are. Money has to be the foundation to prioritize and evaluate. So the question is: what is scarce when everything else becomes abundant? And what is scarce when everything else is abundant is ultimately the rediual resource, which is time.

Nick: we're going from Bitcoin to time, what, how does that...

George: because the production of bitcoin is rigorously regulated by the passage of time and the pursuit of irreversability. Satoshi, all through his original paper, talks about irreversible currency. That's the big goal. And the only thing in this universe that's irreversible in this sense is time.

Libertarian economics, Milton Friedman's wet dream. Velocity vs. Money Supply. Bitcoin: the perfect solution

Quote
Nick: in a kind-of "Milton Friedman wet dream" you would have a government or a robot kicking out a certain amount of predetermined expansion of money on a regular basis no matter what.

George: an assumption of inflation. Miltion Friedman was the greates figure in libertarian economics and I don't deny it for a minute. But he did make a major error. MV = PT, that's his great formulat. The money supply times velocity equals output. But what we've learned overwhelmingly in recent years is: velocity is not a constant. Milton Friedman thought the money supply controlled. And because he thought the money supply controlled he though you had to have some centralized control of money and that the central body that controlled the emission of money should be regulated [and] accomodate economic growth.

Nick: And he was wrong in thinking that you'd need growth of the money supply in order to have economic growth?

George: Yes. And that money rules rather than velocity. He thought velocity was a constant and the money supply could be regulated by the government to actually favor outcomes. And I think that velocity rules and veolocity means we can rule. That Bitcoin as a currency on the internet, peer to peer, managed by the participants in it is the perfect libertarian solution to the money enigma.

Quote

backward-looking reactionaries?

Quote
Nick: How do you tell the kind-of backward-looking reactionaries who are like "it's all about gold, it's all about silver, it's all about paper currency".. should they just give up?

Gilder: Gold is still important. Gold and Bitcoin share these fundamental roots in time. They aren't chiefly governed by the capital function. Capital changes and is volatile and is not a stable source of measurement. It's time that is the source of measurement and both gold and bitcoin share this feature.

There's more, like "my book is going to be called 'Bitcoin and Gold'", but I'm done typing for now.

relevant reddit post
3282  Economy / Speculation / Re: rpietila Wall Observer - the Quality TA Thread ;) on: August 12, 2014, 03:30:24 PM
Look here's the problem im comfronting when I talk about Bitcoin to people:

1) They do not want to spend FIAT on it to access it. The see this as a waste of time, and they actually lose money due fee's.
2) They don't understand how something has volatile can be used as a currency.
3) People tend to hold BTC and use it as a store of value like Gold. They feel paying with BTC is as dumb as paying with a piece of Gold because anything you can buy with BTC, is available easier with cash/transaction.
4) They feel they are just serving the lucky early adopters while they get shit nothing.
5) The ATM machines are shit as demonstrated by the Tested video

How does that get solved so we can reach mass adoption? Unless legitimate jobs where you get paid good amounts of BTC arise, I dont see any other way to get legit amounts of BTC beyond risking FIAT into it in the first place. But of course, im not sure if people is going to want risking getting paid in BTC.

I think things like changetip - a love button for the interent have potential towards mass adoption.

I'll just keep tipping people on youtube, twitter, reddit,... it's the best we can do to spread the bitcoin love Wink
3283  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: I think changetip rocks on: August 12, 2014, 03:25:46 PM
I think these kind of services could potentially be pretty huge for bitcoin adoption as long as they're safe. Would be cool to send tips to youtubers and twitter users you like etc.

would? just do it.

That's the beauty of it, you can just send anyone a tip. If he doesn't collect, you'll get it back.

Could be HUGE for adoption once it catches fire.

Spread the love!


3284  Economy / Speculation / Re: Reggie Middleton uses car analogy to explain that Bitcoin is not a bubble on: August 12, 2014, 07:05:59 AM
Only now I learn that The Reggie Middleton has joined this board. You are definitely on top of all major techno waves out there.

I admit I haven't tried Ultracoin yet but the question I keep asking myself is how real world assets are tied to the concept of Ultracoin. It's easy to exchange one electronic asset (e.g. a Litecoin) for some other electronic assets (e.g. Mooncoins). Lock the assets up and exchange. No trust needed, its all decentralised.

Now enter a USD / EUR swap. I cannot throw 100 dollars into Ultracoin through my CDROM tray. Even electronic dollars cannot be tied to Ultacoin just like that. The same goes for the Euro part of the swap transaction.

Will Ultracoin just tie these 2 promises together: promises to pay fiat?

Obviously, Ultracoin will not lock in the fiat dollars and euros. Can't be done with centralised systems for fiat currency. Presumably there is and will not be  a 'central' point of trust being Reggie's wife's USD and EUR bank accounts to accommodate this swap.

So what remains: locking in the equivalent of USD and EUR in Bitcoins? Then, parties are just exchanging Bitcoins. And how to deal with Bitcoin variations in price in USD vs EUR
EUR) ?

I'm not sure how it's done in ultracoin, but I'm guessing settlement and such is purely in crypto? Otherwise it'd not be 0-trust as advertised.

Maybe we can hook-in the Bitcoin blockchain so we can settle in something "established" (sorry, didn't take a look at ultracoin)



3285  Economy / Service Discussion / I think changetip rocks on: August 12, 2014, 06:59:47 AM
changetip.com website


(great video they made)


  • it's a off-chain transaction system we're often predicting in discussions about blocksize and such
  • it runs on twitter, youtube, reddit, g+,...
  • it's a cool way to spread the love and get fresh blood into bitcoin

I see it really positively... what am I missing?
3286  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: August 11, 2014, 05:32:40 PM
any news?
3287  Bitcoin / Hardware wallets / Re: [ESHOP launched] Trezor: Bitcoin hardware wallet on: August 10, 2014, 06:06:26 PM

I have a question concerning advanced settings (use of passphrases).

As far as I see there are two exclusive options:
1) use no passphrases at all.
2) use one or more passphrases.

It would be nice to set up Trezor in a way so that you can have at the same time:
1) one 'account' with no passphrase (for small money).
    This could pop up in the web wallet immediatly without further interaction when you connect the Trezor.
2) one or more (hidden) accounts. These would be visible only if the correct passphrase is
    (optionally) given.

Is this possible ?


I would also like this feature. You can enter the empty string as passphrase, but that's not the same.

In case of a 5$ wrench attack, it's more credible to say: "what passphrase? I didn't set a passphrase, see: my money's there, now stop hitting me!" instead of "I set only one passphrase, dude, I don't know what plausible deniability even is, and please stop hitting me now!".
3288  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: August 10, 2014, 06:03:12 PM
when he first announced accepting BTC for gold, i said he probably was already convinced and was trying to accumulate.  i still stand by that.

we should get him drunk and ask him.
3289  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: August 10, 2014, 05:41:30 PM
same link.  Tucker mentions Rogers too.

Oh, I paused to have dinner. Then forgot... should listen to the rest Wink
3290  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: August 10, 2014, 05:40:52 PM
Interesting to note the gold bugs are converting.

Jeffrey Tucker puts it down to experiencing bitcoin; he related the story of being ridiculed by P Schiff for 18 months over his bitcoin stance until one day Schiff approached him, marvelling at how quick bitcoin transactions were completed and how it saved his company plenty on fee payments. Schiff had decided to accept bitcoin purely opportunistically to cash it out, but is now converted.

Wonder if this kind of story, multiplied across the market, will see an increased flow from gold to btc?

Of course it would but, link please.

OK, im not sure how far in it is but the whole segment is a good listen.

http://letstalkbitcoin.com/blog/post/lets-talk-bitcoin-134-disruptive-leaps

Tucker first mentions Schiff around 10:00, tells that story around 11:40

lol:

Tucker:  What?

Schiff:  See, i told you we could process online tx's immediately and for virtually 0 tx cost!

remember schiffs explanation (I think in an interview with Stefan Molyneux) why it actually wasn't cheaper at all? "You have to exchange BTC/USD first then the other way around on the other end. Fees involved everywhere.". hehe.
3291  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: August 10, 2014, 05:38:09 PM
Interesting to note the gold bugs are converting.

Jeffrey Tucker puts it down to experiencing bitcoin; he related the story of being ridiculed by P Schiff for 18 months over his bitcoin stance until one day Schiff approached him, marvelling at how quick bitcoin transactions were completed and how it saved his company plenty on fee payments. Schiff had decided to accept bitcoin purely opportunistically to cash it out, but is now converted.

Wonder if this kind of story, multiplied across the market, will see an increased flow from gold to btc?

Of course it would but, link please.

OK, im not sure how far in it is but the whole segment is a good listen.

http://letstalkbitcoin.com/blog/post/lets-talk-bitcoin-134-disruptive-leaps

now THAT is really good news. 

altho quite predictable.  Jim Rogers too.

link?

I feel a weird satisfaction seeing these guys come around.
3292  Other / Politics & Society / Ukraine/Russia derail: Analysis never ends on: August 10, 2014, 05:31:28 PM
5. EU are impotents. They absolutely have no independent position which serve their national interest. They serve US. And they will pay for this.

This is true and I am ashamed to be a citizen of the EU.
3293  Other / Politics & Society / Ukraine/Russia derail: Analysis never ends on: August 10, 2014, 05:30:28 PM

Quote
To further insulate its economy, Russia should abandon the use of the U.S. dollar as a reserve currency, according to Glazyev. Russia, which international reserves are the world’s fifth-biggest, needs to diversify its holdings to include China’s yuan, India’s rupee and Brazil’s real.  “If a country aspires to reserve status for its currency, it should behave properly, and that isn’t the case today,” Glazyev said.

true
3294  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: August 10, 2014, 05:19:58 PM
Interesting to note the gold bugs are converting.

Jeffrey Tucker puts it down to experiencing bitcoin; he related the story of being ridiculed by P Schiff for 18 months over his bitcoin stance until one day Schiff approached him, marvelling at how quick bitcoin transactions were completed and how it saved his company plenty on fee payments. Schiff had decided to accept bitcoin purely opportunistically to cash it out, but is now converted.

Wonder if this kind of story, multiplied across the market, will see an increased flow from gold to btc?

Of course it would but, link please.

OK, im not sure how far in it is but the whole segment is a good listen.

http://letstalkbitcoin.com/blog/post/lets-talk-bitcoin-134-disruptive-leaps

Tucker first mentions Schiff around 10:00, tells that story around 11:40
3295  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: August 09, 2014, 10:42:18 PM
Gavin has written a brilliant piece describing how Bitcoin can soon scale up to VISA-like size. The writing is on the wall for the legacy systems. The mega-trend remains UP.
https://gist.github.com/gavinandresen/e20c3b5a1d4b97f79ac2

Thanks a ton for that link! There was a short discussion in the "gold collapsing" thread about block propagation and invertible bloom lookup tables (triggered by gavins slightly mysterious tweet) that raised questions. This piece (indeed well-written) answers most of them. That IBLT is an amazing data structure, btw.

Still kind-of open question for me (also touched on in that gist): what does this do to incentives?
3296  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: August 09, 2014, 10:36:29 PM
Some things I don't quite get, though:

  • why does this require deterministic ordering of txs in mempool?
  • does this require that all txs a miner includes in a block are properly broadcast beforehand?
  • would this require a hardfork or can it be used off-chain (so to say) by a subgroup of willing miners?

1) This is needed to construct the merkle tree. Txs are grouped pairwise to build the nodes of the next level in the tree. The pairs are concatenated for the hashing, so the order is relevant. Currently the order is defined by the list of txs in the published block.

2) Yes, although I think the receiving miner could request missing tx(s).

3) To my understanding this does not need a hardfork, because the blocks are still built by the same rules.


Now I ask myself what happens in case of the remaining 1%? Maybe the failure rate can be reduced by publishing multiple lookup tables of the same set?

maybe the publishing miner can include the 1% explicitly (he can determine which ones are affected himself and include the remainder). This would destroy the "constant size" property, but it would lessen the propagation cost of block size by ~99%, right?


Ah, of course, this makes sense!

O(1) Block Propagation (gavin) clears up most questions I had.

The idea seems quite excellent to me now and I'm amazed by IBLT data structure. You can just subtract / add (or rather: union / complement) those in constant time. Amazing.
3297  Bitcoin / Hardware wallets / Re: [ESHOP launched] Trezor: Bitcoin hardware wallet on: August 09, 2014, 10:22:24 PM
However: should you make a mistake and have to enter re-do the whole process, the random words will be known to a keylogger, because trezor chooses different random words every time. So the words identical between the 2 restore-processes (1 failed, 1 succeeded) will be the seed words.

With a 12 word seed theres only 12! = 479,001,600 combinations. So better not "try again" after a failed restore from seed on the same machine if you have a short seed like that... or just just 24 word seed to be safe.


Definitely needs that offline recovery tool

Or a 36 seed recovery.

Another possibility would be that a certain TREZOR has hardware specific "random words" in the seed recovery. So even if you recover twice on the same trezor, the attacker wouldn't know what the wrong words were.

I just discovered random words are not used on 24 word seed. Maybe random words are used just to fill up to 24 words? Would make sense.
3298  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / 9/11 derail: rpietila Wall Observer - the Quality TA Thread on: August 09, 2014, 09:48:09 PM
Regarding the future of bitcoin...

Does anybody here think that some bitcoin 2.0 will replace bitcoin as the most prominent crypto?
The analogy would be Yahoo vs Google for search and then the position to be a #1 Internet powerhouse.
In 2000 Google was just a single page with a search line (although working great even then) while Yahoo was a $150-200 bil behemoth.
Comes Monero (XMR)...
What would be the chance that Monero replaces BTC eventually as the best coin? 1%, 10%, 70%?
The wallet/account that Monero dev showed yesterday looked awesome.
Disclosure: I started buying XMR, but not sure what % to allocate to it vs BTC

you think shitcoin V0.0.1.SHITCOIN is going to repalce bitcoin?

no

NEW SHINNY SHITCOIN of 2015 is what you wana buy

or ltc for fun.

 Wink

why would I buy LTC when it is almost EXACTLY the same as BTC?
Also, don't be so defensive. I have to say that I used BTC for about a year already and there has been NO significant improvements it anything as far as ease of use, security, etc, except endless talk about regulation plus hedge funds involvement (phew!). There are a bunch of proposals that in most cases don't get implemented plus some esoteric things like Etherium and side chains (that went nowhere so far).

WOW!!!!   If the above bolded part is true, then that is NOT good for BTC to have a year without improvement(s) in the realm of ease of use, security, etc... ... Although we may need to flesh out what "etc." is?  number of bitcoin applications?  public awareness of BTC?  liquidity options?  purchase options? ability to avoid fees options?  ease of setting up BTC accounts?   fears about legality of BTC? the press's treatment of BTC? 

I want improvements in the BTC space too.. especially ease of use and security and some of the "etc.," as well.. whatever "etc." is?

ease of use and security? uhrm, trezor?
3299  Bitcoin / Hardware wallets / Re: [ESHOP launched] Trezor: Bitcoin hardware wallet on: August 09, 2014, 09:08:11 PM
@Pelover, well, the seed is entered in a random order. So even if the computer is compromised the attacked still needs to try 24! combinations before cracking your password. So you will have enough time to create a new account as BurtW said.

In addition to that, trezors asks to enter random words from the dictionary in between the shuffled seed words.

However: should you make a mistake and have to enter re-do the whole process, the random words will be known to a keylogger, because trezor chooses different random words every time. So the words identical between the 2 restore-processes (1 failed, 1 succeeded) will be the seed words.

With a 12 word seed theres only 12! = 479,001,600 combinations. So better not "try again" after a failed restore from seed on the same machine if you have a short seed like that... or just just 24 word seed to be safe.
3300  Economy / Speculation / Re: Analysis never ends on: August 09, 2014, 08:12:36 PM
Since off exchange trade doesn't influence price, I say it's irrelevant except that volumes on our charts are lower.

It doesn't directly influence price.

However: a off-exchange deal influences the market indirectly: maybe the seller would've sold on market instead, so the supply is withheld. Maybe the seller re-buys coins on the market because he now has less coins. Same for the buyer.

It's most clear with a miner who has to sell to cover fiat cost: hadn't he managed to sell off-exchange, he would sell on on-exchange.

Maybe it's not so clear-cut with early adopters: maybe they wouldn't have sold had they not been contacted with a good offer to sell a sizable chunk, maybe even invisibly to the tax man.

So I think the truth lies somewhere in the middle: off-exchange trades do influence the price on the exchanges indirectly, but probably not to the full extent.
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