Norwich vs Preston looks like a good home win bet, but some players are missing and questionable for Norwich so I would place lower stakes.
Odds are still good and Norwich needs three points if they want to continue race for Premier league.
I don't expect many goals in this match, Preston has a best defense in league so far, so my second bet is under 2.5 goals.
My Bets: Home win; Under 2.5 goals.
Ouch on both counts here... and a very strange one, as PNE scored 3 goals in this match after only managing 4 in the past TWELVE games... while letting in two after only conceding 4 before this. Still the worst offence and best defence, but 3 points against Norwich? What a way to open the floodgates! |
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So far only my Newcastle pick hit (go Bruno!) and even Toney which would have been my other if picking from Brentford has scored, but everything else has someone I had second in mind... (Haaland where are you?), but still plenty of time for Auba and him and Maddison maybe to swoop in late and grab a freekick goal?
Anyway, site isn't playing nice with me right now so can't remember my other picks -- a long due freebet would be nice =D
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Don't forget the free promos, Bet-6-6 already underway but 4-3-free plenty of time as it's the Arsenal-Liverpool match: https://sportsbet.io/sports/4-3-freeIt's even harder job for Sportsbet's Southampton to survive trip to Manchester City Etihad Stadium  But I got them on a bet (as usual) against City. 21/1 is pretty brilliant odds if I say so myself, not that I'm holding out for the best team on the planet to drop points, but stranger things have happened with weaker and stronger teams, so I will be enjoying the game. City bossing possession as expected in the first 15 minutes, but Saints have limited them to "just 1 goal".... and a Haaland millimeters post rebound. That Saints jersey with the Sportsbet.io logo looks so good... Probably best to watch for live specials/boosts too, especially if Saints actually get the equaliser! |
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~
41 goals in 16 matches last night. Farmers league again the ones for goals, though the distribution this time was lopsided on a third of the games, and this round didn't do as well as the bigger brothers...
Europa: 48
UCL: 49
I don't know what UEFA should do to make sure that goals in such competitions are valuable and the players are happy to "farm" them. In general, the tournament shows good performance, which is not surprising given the very diverse composition of the participants. But still, this tournament for me will begin at least with play-offs between the second places of the groups and the losers from the Europa League. I agree, without watching more than highlights, it's really not as bad as people think it is, and I always felt that. You've got a handful of actually good teams and a hell lot of really hungry teams (Roma being both as the first edition's winner). Perfect recipe for entertainment if you ask me. I actually get Conference matches form Bulgarian streaming services... not sure why it's not as easily locatable as even Europa. |
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I would like to know if anyone does this on a regular basis - probably if they do, they keep quiet about it so as not to spoil the market, hehe.
Probably yeah =) I'm such a small fish it doesn't move the markets, so I'm safe I think! Anyway, 3 games today, before some silly bet tomorrow but let's see how this turns out. City will win, but if there's a blip, I want it. Real look amazing, but Getafe have been doing some serious tricks and red cards at home, so expect chaos and Chelsea, well, without Kante is always my reason to bet against them even if Wolves look horrible... maybe Traore can redeem himself with his rare once a season performance? 100 units each at Fairlay: Getafe to WIN vs Real Madrid @7.17. Other odds: 6.80 Wolves to WIN vs Chelsea @8.58. Other odds: 8.25 Saints to WIN vs Man City @21.00. Other odds: 19.20 Total units advantage: 37+33+180 = 250 Running advantage after 27 bets: +2529 (+250)
All-time cumulative: +86,143
Running units after 24 bets (4W|20L): +734 (-200) |
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So I start my day with only a few bets, if I do well, I'll go out and get crazy later, but my regular 5-leg acca kicks off with Inter away, starting in less than hour. Was either them or Monaco but since I wanted to get an early start, went with the Italians. Sassuolo couldn't even beat a shit team last month, Torino win was an anomaly for me... let's see what the gods have in store.
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All of these “signals” are just daytraders working as a hive mind to recreate the patterns they learned. In my opinion, you’re better off ignoring the noise and following the 4-year Bitcoin cycle. Try to grow your holdings with activity outside of trading and sell when the amount you’ve stacked can change your life. Trading signals work until they don’t, and with a lot of traders that “don’t” wipes them out.
Reminds me of popular crowd wisdom projects that came up around the last ATH, convinced that hive mind projections were more accurate over the long term, forgetting also that in rallies, almost every pick is likely to rake in profits, forgetting that the hive is just a lot of traders following only a handful. Major funds all reporting profits and losses at the same time, at the same periods also prove that experts and career traders can't really trade outside the noise. So yeah. Longer term holds understanding that you will be in the red most of the time in crypto, the better way to go. So long as halving patterns hold, anyway. |
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Anyway, what do you think of Arsenal vs Liverpool BTTS and over 2.5 goals at 1.85 or something... Seems like an easy bet. I fancy it could go 2 - 2.
Honestly, the only concern I have with that bet is the fact I'm not overly confident on Liverpool actually scoring. We've struggled against lesser sides, and I feel Arsenal might be a little too organised for us at the back. If we haven't improved on our defense, or confidence whatever is plaguing our defenders right now, it could easily be a demolition job by Arsenal. They've been playing sleek football all season, while we've been pretty much at our worst in several years. Especially in that back line. Whether or not Nunez can start his career up once again with us remains to be seen. Salah hasn't been his usual self, Jota is coming back form injury, Diaz is definitely dangerous, and Bobby seems to have picked up some goal scoring form as of recent games. So, if we were to score it'd likely be one of those. Really strange to find myself agreeing with you here. We have scored in every single game this season except Eveton. And we did have two setpiece goals last game, and also recall we won the last EPL game from a corner. Open goal beauties have been hard to come by if not for Diaz heroics and Bobby rennaisance. So BTTS should be a no brainer but I would rather risk a straight bet on Liverpool win. We need to get October on track, and if they are going to surprise me with a win, I want full value. |
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here is the thing though. the SEC has limited power and jurisdiction. they can only audit, policy create and monitor businesses involved in the exchange/swap markets of the asset
however CFTC can get more involved. much like they allow the EPA to get involved in the quota and inspections of farms/refineries/mining.
yep when governments start to put regulations of farmers about how much cattle/yield they can grow. what feed/fertiliser/how much land a farmer can have. etc.. you then start to see how the CFTC can start controlling the mining reward amounts, transactions counts, and even the mining method
Was going to respond to say something in this line of thought but you were quicker. This is what I'd thought elsewhere before too -- SEC with limited powers, although I do believe you miss out something really important, that they also have powers of enforcement, which means they can and do go after what they deem as crime (I wonder if it's even more rabid/frequent than CFTC, as media suggests). This crypto fight is a turf war that's been brewing since early year too so it might drag on a bit before resolution. |
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BTTS wins the day again, Trofo! And yeah, Harko, no idea what's happening in all these pools for me, I'm already this soon in the season resigned to the fact I will probably not place in a single one. But that's okay, it was fun all the other seasons regardless.
So after seeing posts about Valencia and Sevilla getting wins, no one took up the Valencia/Sevilla acca I suggested? I didn't, heh.
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I suppose I always tend to think that mining, in scale, which was the type I was thinking of, always has huge margins that past years have really built up a cushion. 500+ days to next halving, and looking at the 1.5 years generally needed after for the next ATH, it is going to be survival of the fittest to another level.
Even if you miss a new all time high, don't sell at or around a new all time high, you will still be able to sell a lower price. Lower price under a new all time high should be higher than past all time high. Just like you missed $69,000, you would have had many prices to sell from $50,000 to $40,000 and $30,000 or even just higher than $20,000. Not only did I miss 69k, the most I ever sold for (other than my periodic sells which happens regardless of price, same as my "buys" which are just earnings invoiced) was actually just above 20k... have detailed that in earlier posts last year even, just a case of bad luck with a domestic emergency which would have been much more comfortable if it only happened a few months later. Of course, it could just have as easily come a few months earlier before the 2020 rally and I'd really be fked. And that's just me as a DCA-er, can't imagine the stress of running a balance book with mining, and counting ahead and making sure you're on the right side of razor-thin margins. |
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It's not a new idea... blockchain-based single sign on identification that can be used across multiple services, sort of like Google account signup, with the key difference that no third parties or KYC requesters store or even see your docsm with only AI interaction interfacing with your documents and then keeping a token to denote you've passed your ID.
Not much different from an NFT I guess, but I'm not exactly a technical guy.
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Valencia and Sevilla acca is almost 10/1, since there are a lot of you backing them. I'd actually go for that too, if I weren't so chicken to waste my bet on Friday game. more watching leads to overthinking the score, and you should go with a flaw in first part of the season, second part is for improvement (not sure that it is working, but good theory dough)
I don't know, I thought I hit a nice formula last season, top6 in all the pools (even top2 in all for a few weeks heh), top 1% in EPL global, but this season reminds me I know nothing! |
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Not bad day for away underdogs. Two big upsets in Group G where Slavia lost to Cluj @9.00 and Sivasspor defeated 3:4 by Ballkani @7.50 in amazing game with late drama. Now all teams in this group have 4 points.
Partizan win is also worth to mention.
@casperBGD, @Joca97, congrats with your Partizan win. Very important step for spot in next round. But damn, this group is very complicated. I even wouldn't write-off Slovacko yet.
And that was the only bet I took in Conference too, Cluj away, I actually got it less than 9/1 but it practically turned a horrendous night into a good one as it recovered all the money I lost in Europe on Man Utd haha and then a few satoshis profit. Partizan, well done guys, didn't know there was so much support on the forum 41 goals in 16 matches last night. Farmers league again the ones for goals, though the distribution this time was lopsided on a third of the games, and this round didn't do as well as the bigger brothers... Europa: 48 UCL: 49 |
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It's still big mistery for me why bookmakers favoured Roma against Betis that much. Betis looking very solid so far and they're similar level team like Roma. I more expected draw from this game and had BTTS here.
I already said in qualifiers, but I repeat again, something is wrong with Olympiacos this season. Now they lost 0:3 at home against Qarabag. Now they have 0 points after 3 games and 1:8 goals.
Union took win against Braga 1:2 after scoring 2 lates goals and now they're leading group with 9 points.
Think the way bookies balance out the odds like this have a lot to do with the money on the line. Roma at home, plenty of Romans betting on their own teams, so naturally odds always seem to shrink on home games. Not that Betis fans wouldn't be betting but yeah, that's always something of a value bet (away games on a level H2H). United lost me money as I bet on them to lead at HT. Should have known better... |
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What would be more exciting? $8k? $4k? I mean, my heart was in my mouth 2 years ago when we played with sub-4k prices, even if it barely lasted half a day. I can't say I won't be nervous if we splash through the 10k mark, and it'll be with some trepidation that I try to make extra in that range but what's wrong with a stable 20k while we count down the days to halving? I suppose one explanation is that the expectation of investors and speculators are completely different, speculators want more than anything for the price to be volatile, they do not really care about the direction of the movement as long as it occurs, it is big and lasts a long time, but investors have completely different expectations out of the market, while a positive trend is always welcome, a stable price is probably the best entry point they can ask for, which is exactly what we are witnessing, so it is not surprising that while investors are satisfied with the conditions of the market speculators are not really happy about them. And I won't tire of saying that the majority of people calling themselves investors really are just speculators. I suppose I'd have to really define what that means for me, but I rather feel those who don't actually use (as in, interact with blockchain) really don't see it more than something they're counting on for quick turnarounds. See, the expectation matches too. If you're investing for even medium term (which should mean several years), then you already know everything in the short term hardly matters to projections later, shorn off market sentiment and external pressures. In fact, longer term, investors probably would expect losses (given the risk of investment rather than promise of it) and liquidate when limits are hit. Not a nervy affair but factual resignation. |
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Didn't feel too long ago to me when we had last halving, it definitely doesn't feel too long more to the next one. 3+ BTC per block may seem even "admissible" to miners if you consider how long they've been enjoying and taking profits (and yeah many are supposed to be almost underwater now but still think that's an exaggeration)
It's not an exaggeration, I'm looking at a machine earning 7$ a day (soon $6 the way the hashrate is going) with free electricity and the same machine going for around $2k on the market, 3 years of ROI with free electricity. Yeah there have been good times in mining, one year ago we were talking about $40 a day for the same machine but think of the future, with this kind of revenue once you have a miner breaking down, do you think of replacing it or you would simply keep with just what you have? Didn't mean to sound dismissive if I did, apologise for that. But if you're struggling with free electricity, then I can imagine what it's like for a business. I suppose I always tend to think that mining, in scale, which was the type I was thinking of, always has huge margins that past years have really built up a cushion. 500+ days to next halving, and looking at the 1.5 years generally needed after for the next ATH, it is going to be survival of the fittest to another level. |
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Weird/Nice that it's a "novel" way when this forum alone's actually been the source of so much related suggestions (think I've posted at least twice as well even on commerce-level natural gas generators) -- my state's been flaring so much over past 3 decades and am sure it's the same in most oil producing country like Argentina.
My country has been flaring Gas for that long too but only if these countries had a government that could see how that energy could have been channeled to Mining BTC for the betterment of their economy but maybe, they are just transfixed to the sector they already know and don't want to explore the new option of generating Income. I hope this event coming out of Argentina will be a good example for other governments to follow in regard to gas flaring. I think it's more of a basic underlying need for development. I'd rather we develop gas piping in my state and share it with other countries on our island (3 countries on my huge island). Or make it more efficient and cheaper for people to use that, with the development of natural gas generators in favour of more expensive, more dirty, diesel. It's just a lack of political will, and more profitable to flare it all off. If you provided cheap (clean too) energy to people, they'd be doing a lot more commerce, mining would even be an extra revenue generating, which is extremely useful to have in bleak economy outlooks (which we've had since Covid). So yes, Bitcoin mining, but it is a bigger, far bigger issue. |
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The result of this round were interesting,interesting in the meaning that everybody did impressively well compared to the previous rounds.For example I did 16.5 points while the top was 21.5 and I didn't move a single place in the rankings,this means that everybody else did quite well which is an interesting fact for a football pool because in F1 pool this is very common.
I was shocked at PSG not being able to win against Benfica despite them dominating the game,it apparently looks like they are OK with the draw as they can beat Benfica at home at claim the top of the group.
Yeah and I managed to drop positions after doing so well initially with the 1st 2 games. I just got too smart with some games, and got slapped in the face by guys like Liverpool (4-0 what was I thinking?). Watched PSG game first, then switched to BVB, but stream quality was so poor last night I switched off at HT, more interested in this weekend's fixtures now that I'm sitting shit everywhere. Also, well done to KTChampions for yellow cap (a second time winner too, by the way). A note again to all asking, none of the yellow cap rewards have been sent out, as Betnomi have not arrived at a decision yet. But as host of the pool, I'll make sure everyone gets rewarded, so please don't worry about that. |
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One or two "givens" in the next MajSev fixture (Haaland and Kane I'd say), but quite a number of in-the-air selections. Gone for Everton's DCL to get on the scoresheet, same as Newcastle's Guimarães (I'd change to Maximin if he plays), and then Zaha and Auba to show up. Anybody's game though, too bad Liverpool Arsenal aren't in the fixture!
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