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3461  Other / Politics & Society / Re: "Key Witness in Harvey Weinstein Trial Hit by Car and Hospitalized" on: February 29, 2020, 04:59:06 AM
I don't think she had any relationship with Weinstein or the victims.



https://themindunleashed.com/2020/02/barbara-ziv-harvey-weinstein-trial-hit-by-car-hospitalized.html
Ziv took the stand last month as an expert witness in the case against Weinstein where she gave in-depth psychological analysis about why his victims did not initially report the crimes

unless I'm missing something, this is extremely misleading^^^

She would've only spoke in general terms about how sexual assault victims behave.



Off-Topic Prediction: Weinstein kills himself by the end of the year.

3462  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Coronavirus Outbreak on: February 29, 2020, 04:30:43 AM
Best resource I've come across when trying to figure out whats actually going on: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ It's just a repo laying out the data that the experts are looking at.

Nobody knows exactly what's happening with so many different countries involved, but there's no need to rely on media/politicians.  

From what I can tell, it seems likely things are going to get worse before they get better.  Could be a couple months, or it could be much longer.  And they likely won't have a vaccine ready for the masses till early 2021. 

If you're under 50 and in decent health you don't have to worry much about dying, but there's a decent chance it will have a big effect on most of the world in other ways.  Especially if you live in a densely populated area.

If you feel sick, stay home.  and don't go visit grandma.



3463  Economy / Scam Accusations / Re: Bitstarz Casino Selective Scamming For High Payouts! on: February 29, 2020, 03:30:34 AM
@ DarkDollars

Did you meanwhile receive your 11,000 Euro?

If the 11,000 wasn't enough, game-protect would be happy to scam you out of a bit more.

3464  Other / Politics & Society / Re: US Politics [serious discussion - please read OP before posting] on: February 13, 2020, 04:00:13 AM
Friendly reminder of local rules:

Local Rules:
- No baiting, trolling or flaming.
- If you aren't interested in the opinions of those you disagree with, do not post in this thread.
- If you aren't willing to make an effort at being objective, do not post in this thread.
- No personal attacks, name calling, tantrums, circular arguments.
- Don't be an asshole.  
- No spam.

If you have a signature from a spammy signature campaign, and you make vague post about US politics, I'll probably just delete it.

If you don't like these rules, TECSHARE created a thread that isn't self moderated: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5201320.0

edit:

Eddie, I didn't mean to delete your post of the NH Republican primary results.  Sorry about that.

I can't find the exact image you posted, but here are the results according to google.

3465  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Reddit’s science forum banned climate deniers. on: February 13, 2020, 03:53:07 AM
Are you saying that it's obvious the LIA was caused by a GSM? Yes or no.
3466  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Reddit’s science forum banned climate deniers. on: February 13, 2020, 02:28:07 AM
Have you reviewed any of the articles you have been provided? Yes or no. What was not clear?
Yes.  The articles are clear.  None of them suggest that a GSM was the cause of a LIA or that another LIA is likely to occur in the near future.

Would you like me to quote directly from them, so that there is less of a need for you to read?
If any of the articles support your theory that the LIA was caused by a GSM, then yes, please.

Also, have you completely tossed out your silly ideas that solar flares, and the atmospheric events known as Carrington events, are not a huge threat to our modern world?
I never said that, so no, I haven't tossed it out.


Are you saying that it's obvious the LIA was caused by a GSM? Yes or no.

3467  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Reddit’s science forum banned climate deniers. on: February 13, 2020, 12:25:20 AM
However if you would like to continue believing that a LIA and the GSM are separate and unrelated events that somehow circumstantially occur together, instead of the GSM being the obvious cause of the LIA, have fun with that.

I have not been able to find a single peer reviewed scientific study that suggest that the GSM (or any GSM) was the likely (much less 'obvious') cause of the LIA.

Are you saying that it's obvious the LIA was caused by a GSM.

If so, are you aware of any peer reviewed scientific study to back up your claim.



The Sun warms the Earth, so we must look somewhere else, other than the Sun, if the Earth cools as it did in the Little Ice Age.

Let's see how logical that is. "Winter" is the result of orbital factors and planetary tilt, affecting Solar watts per square meter on a given part of the Earth.

Smiley

And even a "Little" Ice Age is worse than a "winter."

But solar effects are not the cause, you say? Well, where did all that heat go? I'm sure the people in the LIA who starved during the "Year without a Summer" would really like to know that one. They blamed witches, often or not. The very conception of witches today dates from those time.

"Cold as a Witch's Tit"?

Now where did that saying come from?

Are you saying that it's obvious the LIA was caused by a GSM?  Or that there's any evidence that suggests there will be another LIA in the near future?

If so, are you aware of any peer reviewed scientific study to back up your claim.

This isn't a personal attack.  I'm honestly just looking for answers.  



Here is a short summary of work on climate & solar etc. as it affects the Maunder period.

https://www.sciencedirect.com/topics/earth-and-planetary-sciences/maunder-minimum

I am not sure what part of this you are having trouble understanding.

Are you saying that it's obvious the LIA was caused by a GSM? Yes or no.
3468  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Reddit’s science forum banned climate deniers. on: February 11, 2020, 03:57:43 AM
However if you would like to continue believing that a LIA and the GSM are separate and unrelated events that somehow circumstantially occur together, instead of the GSM being the obvious cause of the LIA, have fun with that.

I have not been able to find a single peer reviewed scientific study that suggest that the GSM (or any GSM) was the likely (much less 'obvious') cause of the LIA.

Are you saying that it's obvious the LIA was caused by a GSM.

If so, are you aware of any peer reviewed scientific study to back up your claim.



The Sun warms the Earth, so we must look somewhere else, other than the Sun, if the Earth cools as it did in the Little Ice Age.

Let's see how logical that is. "Winter" is the result of orbital factors and planetary tilt, affecting Solar watts per square meter on a given part of the Earth.

Smiley

And even a "Little" Ice Age is worse than a "winter."

But solar effects are not the cause, you say? Well, where did all that heat go? I'm sure the people in the LIA who starved during the "Year without a Summer" would really like to know that one. They blamed witches, often or not. The very conception of witches today dates from those time.

"Cold as a Witch's Tit"?

Now where did that saying come from?

Are you saying that it's obvious the LIA was caused by a GSM?  Or that there's any evidence that suggests there will be another LIA in the near future?

If so, are you aware of any peer reviewed scientific study to back up your claim.

This isn't a personal attack.  I'm honestly just looking for answers. 

3469  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Is Global Warming Real? on: February 10, 2020, 09:13:20 AM
^^^ Wow! You typed all that in this short of a period of time?     Cool

Wonder how many of these entities run on grant money.  Grant money which wouldn't be their unless they play ball on the climate change scam.  I'll bet every last one of them.

This reminds me of the 'big list' of formed a 'consensus' of U.S. 'intelligence agencies' who found that Russia hacked the election (or one similar idiotic assertion from that time.)  It included entities who obviously had no reason or ability to look into the matter.  e.g., the Coast Guard.  It was obvious that they just signed some piece of paper which was thrust in front of the director's face.  Totally meaningless and a joke.



I should've linked the source, sorry about that.

https://climate.nasa.gov/scientific-consensus/

(edited post to include the link)

Oh ya.  NASA.  Ya, that figures.  Since Obama, NASA's mission is to make Muslims feel good about their scientific achievements and pump the climate change scam.  They don't even bother with getting into space any more.  Just outsource it to corporate cronies.

Rats!  Jewtube took down Ramzpaul's hilariously funny and poignant video of the above so I cannot readily provide a link.  Oh well.



Fair enough.

When it comes to science, what sources do you trust?
3470  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Is Global Warming Real? on: February 10, 2020, 08:43:37 AM
^^^ Wow! You typed all that in this short of a period of time?     Cool

Wonder how many of these entities run on grant money.  Grant money which wouldn't be their unless they play ball on the climate change scam.  I'll bet every last one of them.

This reminds me of the 'big list' of formed a 'consensus' of U.S. 'intelligence agencies' who found that Russia hacked the election (or one similar idiotic assertion from that time.)  It included entities who obviously had no reason or ability to look into the matter.  e.g., the Coast Guard.  It was obvious that they just signed some piece of paper which was thrust in front of the director's face.  Totally meaningless and a joke.



I should've linked the source, sorry about that.

https://climate.nasa.gov/scientific-consensus/

(edited post to include the link)
3471  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Reddit’s science forum banned climate deniers. on: February 10, 2020, 08:41:10 AM

I have not been able to find a single peer reviewed scientific study that suggest that the GSM (or any GSM) was the likely (much less 'obvious') cause of the LIA.

Are you saying that it's obvious the LIA was caused by a GSM.

If so, are you aware of any peer reviewed scientific study to back up your claim.


As we learned from climate-gate, the 'peer review' process in climate-land is a meaningless circle-jerk of scientpriest conspirators.

You'd have to look pretty hard a 'peer-review' of anything which doesn't support the fraud because anyone who did so will be black-listed from academia and will have to find a new line of work.

On the flip side, a 'peer review' of the most flawed and ridiculous 'climate-change-caused-foo' paper will sail right through the 'peer review' process in it's current implementation.  So 'peer review' is doubly meaningless.



If you think scientific peer reviewed studies are a sham, I get it. 

But what's better?  Your own research?  Something else?  When it comes to science, what do you consider the most reliable source?
3472  Other / Politics & Society / Re: What is in mind of those, who against vaccination? on: February 10, 2020, 06:01:37 AM
If a fireman was running around setting fires so he could have a secure job, how long do you think they would be allowed to operate for? Why is it the medical industry is allowed to profit directly from their own failures, which at this point seem more like fraud than incompetence? Failure in the medical industry is not a bug, it is a feature.

The fireman would be fired (and arrested) immediately.  Meanwhile, the fire department would continue fighting fires.

Just because firefighter arson is a thing doesn't mean that all firefighters are criminals.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Firefighter_arson
3473  Other / Meta / Re: VOD should be removed from default trust for systematic abuse of his position on: February 10, 2020, 04:49:24 AM
I defended Quickseller when he was being mobbed, even thought I don't like him and he has harassed me for years at a time in the past. What do you know? People seemed to listen and let it go! Shocking.

I think Quickseller is the one who let it go.  The negs are still there, but he let it go.

I think you should do the same thing.

It seems like you've been going for 5+ years, starting with accusing Theymos of extorting you and adding DT features just so that he could punish you.  It's all in your head.  That didn't happen.  You need to let it go.

3474  Other / Meta / Re: VOD should be removed from default trust for systematic abuse of his position on: February 10, 2020, 03:32:12 AM
*snip*
If Theymos is the ultimate arbiter of truth in your mind, he clearly is at least indifferent to my participation in the trust system, and judged Vod's use of it invalid based on his exclusion.

Again, none of this addresses the baseless nature of Vods accusations against me, or his well documented history of abusing the trust system against myself and others on the forum.

In my mind:  I do not know;  then again, my words don't carry any "weight" past what they are....   I only think they are as honest and clear as they can be.

Theymos created/arbitrated the rules and procedures.....  yes?  This seems pretty solid from a logical standpoint.

Theymos created the new trust system to help separate himself from arbitration type things.... (This is the gist of what I remember reading in his thread, correct me if I am wrong)

So... Assuming my statement in the sentence above is correct, where do we go from here since the new system was created for him to release those powers to the trusted among us?

As I said from the very first post of this OP, there is another set of rules for Vod on this forum and he is allowed to abuse people freely on a regular basis, using the forum's systems as his personal weapon, something others are punished harshly for. This is why I have been advocating so vocally for "rule of law", IE a standard of evidence of theft, violation of contractual agreement, or violation of applicable laws, before rating, because rule of law is what protects the rights of the individual. For example the USA is a republic, because it preserves the right of the individual within a Democracy. In a pure democracy, all you have is pure mob "justice", and it is a popularity contest not a matter of fact. What this forum is, is mob justice with no protection for the individual. The mob simply votes the individuals rights away. I really don't think this is what Theymos intended even if it is what resulted.

I have to ask you, in your reviews of any of this material, were you able to find substantiation to ANY of Vod's ratings against me? I know for a fact several users don't agree with his behavior, they simply won't speak up for fear of being the next target of Vod and people like Vod. Anyone with any reputation is too fearful to lose it to speak out, anyone without one is easily dismissed. That said, it makes your participation here more important as the rest of the forum is more concerned with their own personal interests.

His lack of substantiation is important, because it is a pattern he has been exhibiting for years that clearly demonstrates his motivations are not to protect people from fraud, but to use the system to serve his own personal vendettas. I have been advocating people exclude Vod from the default trust for his years long pattern of disregarding the rules of the forum trust to fight his petty squabbles, but this forum seems more interested in who is popular and protecting their own ass than the actual viability of the forums systems. After all, if people are only punished by rules, and not protected by them, historically what happens to those systems of governments? They fail. Horribly and spectacularly.

Try to look at the situation objectively.

If Vod never negged you, but he negged someone you didn't like for the exact same reason (like me, for example), would you be as outraged?

The answer is no.

You aren't upset because the system is unfair or rigged.  You're upset because you got negged and booted from DT1.  This is about youYou feel like a victim, and all these threads are just your way of retaliating.  But you're just making it worse for yourself.
3475  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Is Global Warming Real? on: February 10, 2020, 03:09:21 AM
Some people believe that global warming is just the conspiracy to control the development of industrial country. Sometime, I think so. What about you?  

Scientists worldwide agree that global warming is happening, and that human activity causes it...

No they do not.

They typically may say something like human activity is a partial factor.

It depends on semantics....

No, none of that double talk is necessary at all.

Human activity is simply one dimension affecting climate, and within that, there are regional issues such as the "brown cloud" over Asia, farming techniques, deforestation, and then in one corner a group of issues concerning co2.

Of course politicians latch on these to attempt to exert control. So yes, conspiracies certainly exist.


Yes, there are other factors besides Humans.  The consensus is that Humans are the primary factor, not that it is the sole factor.

And yes, politicians are definitely exploiting the situation.  Some are motivated by the money that is coming in from the fossil fuel industry or simply 'beating the left' , some are motivated by the renewable energy industry or the desire to 'beat the right'.

All we can do is look at the research objectively, which shows that it's extremely likely humans are the primary cause of global warming.

The mathematical factor "climate sensitivity" is the technical way of describing effect of humans.

This replaces vague words like "primary" "likely" blah blah with simple estimated constant.

Primary cause means the effect is greater than any other cause. (https://climate.nasa.gov/scientific-consensus/)


The following are scientific organizations that hold the position that Climate Change has been caused by human action:
Academia Chilena de Ciencias, Chile
Academia das Ciencias de Lisboa, Portugal
Academia de Ciencias de la República Dominicana
Academia de Ciencias Físicas, Matemáticas y Naturales de Venezuela
Academia de Ciencias Medicas, Fisicas y Naturales de Guatemala
Academia Mexicana de Ciencias,Mexico
Academia Nacional de Ciencias de Bolivia
Academia Nacional de Ciencias del Peru
Académie des Sciences et Techniques du Sénégal
Académie des Sciences, France
Academies of Arts, Humanities and Sciences of Canada
Academy of Athens
Academy of Science of Mozambique
Academy of Science of South Africa
Academy of Sciences for the Developing World (TWAS)
Academy of Sciences Malaysia
Academy of Sciences of Moldova
Academy of Sciences of the Czech Republic
Academy of Sciences of the Islamic Republic of Iran
Academy of Scientific Research and Technology, Egypt
Academy of the Royal Society of New Zealand
Accademia Nazionale dei Lincei, Italy
Africa Centre for Climate and Earth Systems Science
African Academy of Sciences
Albanian Academy of Sciences
Amazon Environmental Research Institute
American Academy of Pediatrics
American Anthropological Association
American Association for the Advancement of Science
American Association of State Climatologists (AASC)
American Association of Wildlife Veterinarians
American Astronomical Society
American Chemical Society
American College of Preventive Medicine
American Fisheries Society
American Geophysical Union
American Institute of Biological Sciences
American Institute of Physics
American Meteorological Society
American Physical Society
American Public Health Association
American Quaternary Association
American Society for Microbiology
American Society of Agronomy
American Society of Civil Engineers
American Society of Plant Biologists
American Statistical Association
Association of Ecosystem Research Centers
Australian Academy of Science
Australian Bureau of Meteorology
Australian Coral Reef Society
Australian Institute of Marine Science
Australian Institute of Physics
Australian Marine Sciences Association
Australian Medical Association
Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society  
Bangladesh Academy of Sciences
Botanical Society of America
Brazilian Academy of Sciences
British Antarctic Survey
Bulgarian Academy of Sciences
California Academy of Sciences
Cameroon Academy of Sciences
Canadian Association of Physicists
Canadian Foundation for Climate and Atmospheric Sciences
Canadian Geophysical Union
Canadian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society
Canadian Society of Soil Science
Canadian Society of Zoologists
Caribbean Academy of Sciences views
Center for International Forestry Research
Chinese Academy of Sciences
Colombian Academy of Exact, Physical and Natural Sciences
Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organization (CSIRO) (Australia)
Consultative Group on International Agricultural Research
Croatian Academy of Arts and Sciences
Crop Science Society of America
Cuban Academy of Sciences
Delegation of the Finnish Academies of Science and Letters
Ecological Society of America
Ecological Society of Australia
Environmental Protection Agency
European Academy of Sciences and Arts
European Federation of Geologists
European Geosciences Union
European Physical Society
European Science Foundation
Federation of American Scientists
French Academy of Sciences
Geological Society of America
Geological Society of Australia
Geological Society of London
Georgian Academy of Sciences
German Academy of Natural Scientists Leopoldina  
Ghana Academy of Arts and Sciences
Indian National Science Academy
Indonesian Academy of Sciences  
Institute of Ecology and Environmental Management
Institute of Marine Engineering, Science and Technology
Institute of Professional Engineers New Zealand
Institution of Mechanical Engineers, UK
InterAcademy Council
International Alliance of Research Universities
International Arctic Science Committee
International Association for Great Lakes Research
International Council for Science
International Council of Academies of Engineering and Technological Sciences
International Research Institute for Climate and Society
International Union for Quaternary Research
International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics
International Union of Pure and Applied Physics
Islamic World Academy of Sciences
Israel Academy of Sciences and Humanities
Kenya National Academy of Sciences
Korean Academy of Science and Technology
Kosovo Academy of Sciences and Arts
l'Académie des Sciences et Techniques du Sénégal
Latin American Academy of Sciences
Latvian Academy of Sciences
Lithuanian Academy of Sciences
Madagascar National Academy of Arts, Letters, and Sciences
Mauritius Academy of Science and Technology
Montenegrin Academy of Sciences and Arts
National Academy of Exact, Physical and Natural Sciences, Argentina
National Academy of Sciences of Armenia
National Academy of Sciences of the Kyrgyz Republic
National Academy of Sciences, Sri Lanka
National Academy of Sciences, United States of America
National Aeronautics and Space Administration  
National Association of Geoscience Teachers
National Association of State Foresters
National Center for Atmospheric Research  
National Council of Engineers Australia
National Institute of Water & Atmospheric Research, New Zealand
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
National Research Council
National Science Foundation
Natural England
Natural Environment Research Council, UK
Natural Science Collections Alliance
Network of African Science Academies
New York Academy of Sciences
Nicaraguan Academy of Sciences
Nigerian Academy of Sciences
Norwegian Academy of Sciences and Letters
Oklahoma Climatological Survey
Organization of Biological Field Stations
Pakistan Academy of Sciences
Palestine Academy for Science and Technology
Pew Center on Global Climate Change
Polish Academy of Sciences
Romanian Academy
Royal Academies for Science and the Arts of Belgium
Royal Academy of Exact, Physical and Natural Sciences of Spain
Royal Astronomical Society, UK
Royal Danish Academy of Sciences and Letters
Royal Irish Academy
Royal Meteorological Society (UK)
Royal Netherlands Academy of Arts and Sciences
Royal Netherlands Institute for Sea Research
Royal Scientific Society of Jordan
Royal Society of Canada
Royal Society of Chemistry, UK
Royal Society of the United Kingdom
Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences
Russian Academy of Sciences
Science and Technology, Australia  
Science Council of Japan
Scientific Committee on Antarctic Research
Scientific Committee on Solar-Terrestrial Physics
Scripps Institution of Oceanography
Serbian Academy of Sciences and Arts
Slovak Academy of Sciences
Slovenian Academy of Sciences and Arts
Society for Ecological Restoration International
Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics
Society of American Foresters  
Society of Biology (UK)  
Society of Systematic Biologists
Soil Science Society of America
Sudan Academy of Sciences
Sudanese National Academy of Science
Tanzania Academy of Sciences
The Wildlife Society (international)
Turkish Academy of Sciences
Uganda National Academy of Sciences
Union of German Academies of Sciences and Humanities
United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
University Corporation for Atmospheric Research
Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution
Woods Hole Research Center
World Association of Zoos and Aquariums
World Federation of Public Health Associations
World Forestry Congress
World Health Organization
World Meteorological Organization
Zambia Academy of Sciences
Zimbabwe Academy of Sciences
3476  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Reddit’s science forum banned climate deniers. on: February 10, 2020, 03:02:23 AM
However if you would like to continue believing that a LIA and the GSM are separate and unrelated events that somehow circumstantially occur together, instead of the GSM being the obvious cause of the LIA, have fun with that.

I have not been able to find a single peer reviewed scientific study that suggest that the GSM (or any GSM) was the likely (much less 'obvious') cause of the LIA.

Are you saying that it's obvious the LIA was caused by a GSM.

If so, are you aware of any peer reviewed scientific study to back up your claim.

THere's no need to dodge the direct questions.
3477  Other / Politics & Society / Re: 4chan trolls reportedly behind part of the Iowa caucus chaos on: February 10, 2020, 01:58:54 AM
Some are saying things such as "This is felony election interference" but is that true since the DNC is a private organization and not a part of the government?

Maybe.

Something similar happened in 2002 for a NH Senate race.

The GOP hired a call center to jam the phone lines of the democrats who were calling people to remind them to vote on the day of the election.  A few people went to prison.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2002_New_Hampshire_Senate_election_phone_jamming_scandal

Looks like at least a few people did:

https://boards.4chan.org/pol/thread/242274581/icg-iowa-caucus-general-12#p242274780

But the number was available on google so...they kinda deserved it.

Hm, even if we are to explore the line of thought that people were stopped from reporting data or something along those lines , I feel as if the most important portion is that you interfered in a primary -- something that is handled by a political party, not by the government.

Even if you were to interfere in the voting of a primary, would that be illegal? As the party makes any and all decisions relating to the voting process for the primary. If the DNC wanted to right now, they could vote to change their bylaws and pick Clinton as their nominee if they so pleased. I'm assuming this is right.

But yes, this was posted online and it was beyond stupid that this is being blamed as one of the big reasons for the delays. Shouldn't have posted it online and maybe the app should've been working.

I think most of the charges involved telephone harassment, or something similar, nothing to do with election fraud.  Haven't dug too deep though.
3478  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Reddit’s science forum banned climate deniers. on: February 10, 2020, 01:55:53 AM
I have read everything you've posted. You haven't provided any evidence that a LIA is likely to happen in the near future.

However if you would like to continue believing that a LIA and the GSM are separate and unrelated events that somehow circumstantially occur together, instead of the GSM being the obvious cause of the LIA, have fun with that.

The GSM was ~350 years after the LIA began.

The little ice age was from ~1300 to 1850, the GSM occurred from ~1645 to 1715.

The GSM was not the cause of the LIA.

"THE" Huh?

So like, I've emphasized getting basically familiar with the historical record, right?

Another good read is Brittanica. https://www.britannica.com/science/Little-Ice-Age

Wolf minimum   1280-1350
Spörer Minimum   1450-1550
Maunder Minimum   1645-1715
Dalton Minimum   1790-1820

These are ALL grand solar minimums.



Ok, to be clear - are you claiming that the Wolf Minimum is the obvious cause of the LIA?

My intentions are not to personally attack you.
3479  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Is Global Warming Real? on: February 10, 2020, 01:54:36 AM
Some people believe that global warming is just the conspiracy to control the development of industrial country. Sometime, I think so. What about you?  

Scientists worldwide agree that global warming is happening, and that human activity causes it...

No they do not.

They typically may say something like human activity is a partial factor.

It depends on semantics....

No, none of that double talk is necessary at all.

Human activity is simply one dimension affecting climate, and within that, there are regional issues such as the "brown cloud" over Asia, farming techniques, deforestation, and then in one corner a group of issues concerning co2.

Of course politicians latch on these to attempt to exert control. So yes, conspiracies certainly exist.


Yes, there are other factors besides Humans.  The consensus is that Humans are the primary factor, not that it is the sole factor.

And yes, politicians are definitely exploiting the situation.  Some are motivated by the money that is coming in from the fossil fuel industry or simply 'beating the left' , some are motivated by the renewable energy industry or the desire to 'beat the right'.

All we can do is look at the research objectively, which shows that it's extremely likely humans are the primary cause of global warming.
3480  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Is Global Warming Real? on: February 09, 2020, 10:10:39 PM
Some people believe that global warming is just the conspiracy to control the development of industrial country. Sometime, I think so. What about you?  

Scientists worldwide agree that global warming is happening, and that human activity causes it...

No they do not.

They typically may say something like human activity is a partial factor.

It depends on semantics.

There are many peer reviewed studies that calculate the global warming consensus differently.  The main difference is how they handle studies that do not take a stance one way or the other.  Another factor is whether the the authors self rate their study or if they are rated abstractly.  

In all cases, the % of studies with the stance that it's extremely likely that humans do not play a roll in global warming ranges from 0.4% to 2.1%.

When taking into consideration studies that do not take a stance, 33%-38% have a stance that it's extremely likely humans do play a roll, 63%-67% have no stance.

When only considering studies that take a stance one way or the other, ~97% of studies take a stance that it's extremely likely humans are the primary factor of global warming.


 
Quantifying the consensus on anthropogenic global warming in the scientific literature
Quote
We analyze the evolution of the scientific consensus on anthropogenic global warming (AGW) in the peer-reviewed scientific literature, examining 11 944 climate abstracts from 1991–2011 matching the topics 'global climate change' or 'global warming'. We find that 66.4% of abstracts expressed no position on AGW, 32.6% endorsed AGW, 0.7% rejected AGW and 0.3% were uncertain about the cause of global warming. Among abstracts expressing a position on AGW, 97.1% endorsed the consensus position that humans are causing global warming. In a second phase of this study, we invited authors to rate their own papers. Compared to abstract ratings, a smaller percentage of self-rated papers expressed no position on AGW (35.5%). Among self-rated papers expressing a position on AGW, 97.2% endorsed the consensus. For both abstract ratings and authors' self-ratings, the percentage of endorsements among papers expressing a position on AGW marginally increased over time. Our analysis indicates that the number of papers rejecting the consensus on AGW is a vanishingly small proportion of the published research.

Comment on 'Quantifying the consensus on anthropogenic global warming in the scientific literature'
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Cook et al's highly influential consensus study (2013 Environ. Res. Lett. 8 024024) finds different results than previous studies in the consensus literature. It omits tests for systematic differences between raters. Many abstracts are unaccounted for. The paper does not discuss the procedures used to ensure independence between the raters, to ensure that raters did not use additional information, and to ensure that later ratings were not influenced by earlier results. Clarifying these issues would further strengthen the paper, and establish it as our best estimate of the consensus.

Consensus on consensus: a synthesis of consensus estimates on human-caused global warming
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The consensus that humans are causing recent global warming is shared by 90%–100% of publishing climate scientists according to six independent studies by co-authors of this paper. Those results are consistent with the 97% consensus reported by Cook et al (Environ. Res. Lett. 8 024024) based on 11 944 abstracts of research papers, of which 4014 took a position on the cause of recent global warming. A survey of authors of those papers (N = 2412 papers) also supported a 97% consensus. Tol (2016 Environ. Res. Lett. 11 048001) comes to a different conclusion using results from surveys of non-experts such as economic geologists and a self-selected group of those who reject the consensus. We demonstrate that this outcome is not unexpected because the level of consensus correlates with expertise in climate science. At one point, Tol also reduces the apparent consensus by assuming that abstracts that do not explicitly state the cause of global warming ('no position') represent non-endorsement, an approach that if applied elsewhere would reject consensus on well-established theories such as plate tectonics. We examine the available studies and conclude that the finding of 97% consensus in published climate research is robust and consistent with other surveys of climate scientists and peer-reviewed studies.
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