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3521  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Do you think Bitcoin will change, like PayPal did? on: August 09, 2018, 03:20:03 PM
PayPal uses fiat money to make transactions, but bitcoin is different from that.

Technically, PayPal isn't using anything to transact with.

The only thing its doing is hold fiat (the asset) in custody and allow you to transact with others through their ecosystem. While you think you are sending fiat back and forth, the only thing that's happening is PayPal digitally changing both your and the receiver's balance. That's how basically every centralized financial service works; you don't ever get the actual asset unless you physically withdraw it.

With Bitcoin you are directly moving the actual asset back and forth, which is why we should never aim to be similar to any financial service.
3522  Bitcoin / Press / Re: [2018-08-08] Goldman Sachs Forecasts More Crypto Declines: BTC Watch on: August 09, 2018, 11:50:15 AM
Either way, as someone who observed the last major bear market (2014 on), it's best to maintain reserved expectations about price performance after a run-up like 2017. We could have a long way down to go yet.

Exactly.

The year after a bull run has always proven to be a bad one, and it makes sense considering how much coins are being pumped back into circulation.

The first sellers are those securing profits. Then you have to deal with the first load of disappointed get rick quick noobs dumping at a loss. Then you have to deal with another load of bagholders believing in a recovery or a second bull run, and these people usually have a significant amount of patience which will make sure the bear market can take over a year at worst. In other words, more supply than actual on-exchange demand.

Those responsible for initiating these bull runs know how things work and won't iniate another one with the aforementioned in mind.
3523  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin after 5 Halving - 10 years from now - What will be its price? on: August 09, 2018, 11:27:12 AM
An ETF may get approved within one year and then we can discuss of a recovery.

Forget about ETF's and focus on what's happening in the background with LN.

It's safe to say that the ETF shithow has been taken up too much of people's attention lately. Seriously, two months ago no one gave a shit about ETF's and suddenly people act like Bitcoin badly needs it. Don't get me wrong, an ETF might trigger institutional adoption, but we have grown to where we are right now without ETF's and we'll continue to grow without them for plenty of more years.

Did anyone here even pay attention to how madly powerful Bitcoin's network has become lately? Of course not. Roll Eyes

3524  Economy / Speculation / Re: Predictability of Bitcoin - drop to $6000 then up to over $7000 within weeks? on: August 09, 2018, 11:09:44 AM
I think there is a significant amount of belief that there will be another massive bull run in December. So, until then, I don't believe that Bitcoin will fall significantly below $6000, nor stay under $6000 for any long period.  
Why not? People expecting a bull run have bought in already, meaning that they won't be adding much or any buy support to the market at all. If you also take into consideration that most of the people expecting a bull run this year are noobs, there isn't much to rely on here. People need to forget about bull runs and move on. If people can't deal with this market they are free to sell and leave.

However, I expect there to be some sort of bull run in December even if solely because people believe it will happen. However, if there is a bull run, then I expect a crash in January and into 2019.
I don't think you know how bull runs work. They don't happen because people believe it will happen, because that means they have bought in already as stated before. Bull runs happen when no one expects them to happen and people fomo in hard. You know what happens if there is an attempt to initiate a bull run right now? People will dump their bags and quickly undo whatever had to become a bull run.
3525  Bitcoin / Legal / Re: Report: India showing signs it may legalize cryptocurrency payments on: August 09, 2018, 07:29:06 AM
I don't know how serious the legal issues in China when it comes to cryptocurrencies as I still see some Chinese exchanges like HUObi and OKex still dominating their country as well as the overall traded volume, this shows that their citizens can actively trade cryptocurrencies without the government interrupting their activities.
Huobi and OKEx aren't Chinese exchanges anymore.

In some parts of China you can still access both exchanges, and these exchanges still allow Chinese users to sign up, but it's legally not allowed to trade fiat to crypto. There is definitely something fishy going on. It's crazy to think that the rest of the exchanges have gotten a very harsh treatment, and these two exchanges are loosely floating around without consequences. They probably have government officials on board or they have ties to them granting them this freedom.

They constantly pop up on top of the trading volume list regardless of how badly wounded they initially were. This isn't normal.

Also they do have a manufacturer of mining equipment Bitmain who is also legally operating their business in China as well as they do have a few miners located in it. From what I see is that the news in China is being recycled to us and they make it look worse compared to the real situation misleading us all.
Mining itself and the process of manufacturing equipment is (has always been) completely legal in China. But yes, the mainstream media is always trying to sell you rubbish in an attempt to generate clicks. It's up to the people to seperate rubbish from that was is true, and the only way to do that is to dig into everything yourself.
3526  Bitcoin / Legal / Re: Bitcoin longevity on: August 09, 2018, 07:06:21 AM
Bitcoin is a technology and technology does not last forever. [There must be a new technology better than Bitcoin, so evolved human]

Bitcoin is a software protocol. It can be updated/upgraded throughout the years to make sure it remains relevant and that's exactly what has been happening.

Another important aspect is that in the crypto world having "better" alternatives doesn't mean they will surpass the "older" protocols. Bitcoin is still the top dog. Ethereum is firm second, where in both cases there are "better" alternatives but they fail to convert that into success because it has little meaning here. It has proven to be nearly impossible to gain ground as new project, and another thing is that the majority of the projects that do pop up nowadays are centralized.
3527  Bitcoin / Press / Re: [2018-08-06] Only a Matter of Time Before SEC Approves Bitcoin ETF: Tech VC on: August 08, 2018, 06:27:05 PM
Where are institutional investors? the only thing I can think of is: people are selling their cryptos to buy bitcoin, just that ... I'm not seeing institutional investors. It's not hard to see that we have no demand.

Important point is that you aren't supposed to see institutional input. Smiley

You'll start seeing institutional input once they want you to see it, which is by the time they are comfortable enough to fully dive into it with their full name exposed.

I'm quite certain that various financial institutions and hedge funds are already somewhat throwing around with pocket change through proxies, but they obviously want to remain low-key and that for good reasons. In some cases they aren't even allowed to do what they do, which is why they use proxies in the first place.

Once these parties have set everything up in a legal manner with custody solutions, the brave institutions will follow afterwards. I would say it's reasonable to happen before the block halving in 2020.
3528  Economy / Economics / Re: WSJ: US Faces $5 Trillion Pension Hole, Same Size as Japan's Economy on: August 08, 2018, 05:10:23 PM
Given past precedents, it's only a matter of time that the USD hegemony ends. I don't give it more than 20 years, unless the USD for some reason destroys any past precedents which I doubt.
People said the exact same thing back in the 90's. The USD is still here today, and I would even say that it has become more dominant in the world economy. It will eventually implode, but eventually can just as easily mean somewhere in the next 50-100 years. I know people love to see the USD implode today rather than tomorrow, but it's not going to happen any time soon, so forget about it for now.

What matters is what will fill the gap that the USD leaves: The CNY or Bitcoin?
The choice is up to the people this time. If Bitcoin really lives up to its expectations as currency, which I think it will with tier 2 implementations, you can choose whichever currency that you consider the safest option. In my case that's definitely Bitcoin, which is why I don't sell any of my coins. Why should I sell money?
3529  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: [Discussion]How to decentralize the price of the bitcoin? Self-moderated. on: August 08, 2018, 04:09:27 PM
I say that BTC was actually invented by electricity companies, lets face it the whole time that BTC has been around more than 70 to 80% of the cost of mining has been eaten up by electricity cost. Some might think that this is a conspiracy theory, funny thing is any time BTC get to a level were mining it makes no sense the price goes up. At the moment it costs around $6,500 to mine 1 BTC.  I bet BTC does not go below this cost base.

Never heard that one before, but it does seem to be an interesting theory, even though I don't agree with it.

The thing with Bitcoin as speculative asset, which it still is today, is that the majority of the investors don't invest in Bitcoin with the network in mind or whatever else is going on in the background. If a large investor or an old hand wants to cash out and dump the market to $5000 to fully liquidate their position, they certainly will do so.

The only thing we don't know is how many hidden orders are there that will front run that dump and try to catch it on the lower side of the chart. It happens on Bitfinex quite regularly and likely happens on other exchanges as well, but then in a less obvious form. Exchanges are rigged to the core so we have to assume that it's happening everywhere.

Also, the cost of mining 1BTC is far too speculative. It depends on so many variables that we can't just point out one single price for the whole industry. Smaller miners are probably closer to ~$7000 per minted Bitcoin, while the larger farms frequently scooping up blocks only have $4000'ish actual cost per minted Bitcoin.
3530  Economy / Speculation / Re: What happened to this 'easy 10k'? on: August 08, 2018, 03:41:48 PM
Finally, the bears are back. Love it.

I was getting tired of all the $20,000 and $50,000 before the end of the year noobs.

People don't realize how toxic these bull run noobs are for the overall sentiment of the market and the ecosystem in its entirety. They aren't here for Bitcoin's utility, they are here solely to ride the hype and then shit on Bitcoin. I rather see the price go down and we get rid of these noobs than to have the price go up and still deal with them. >2017 noobs are the worst noobs I have ever seen participate in this market, and I'm not exaggerating.

If this is what mainstream adoption looks like, we'll go through worse noob cycles in the forthcoming years.
3531  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin can back to 20.000 to December? on: August 08, 2018, 02:20:25 PM
More specifically, Gordon’s cryptocurrency prediction is that Bitcoin will first drop below $5,000 only to rebound and reach $10,000 by the end of this year. Gordon argues that the main reason for this shifting price trend is the ”significant market volatility” in cryptocurrencies and Bitcoin.

Who's Gordon?

IDGAF about what a bunch of retards think the price will do, because their opinion means nothing to me and should mean nothing to you.

People need to learn that everyone selling advice is a loser. If all these nut crackers knew even one thing about Bitcoin, they would trade it and not constantly try to make noobs believe this or that will happen. Seriously, being realistic helps you way more than being overly bullish in a market constantly settling lower highs and lower lows. Ignore all these "experts" and "analysts" and do your own research.

Start with comparing 2013's bull run and 2014's decline with 2017 and 2018. You'll realize how similar the cycles are.
3532  Economy / Speculation / Re: it was obvious on: August 08, 2018, 02:01:56 PM
No need to be dramatic.

It was the ETF speculation lifting the market up and it's the same ETF speculation taking the market back to where we started.

We can expect a similar upwards movement next month in the runup to the SEC deadline, but probably with a lower high to fit in the longer term downtrend.

The year after a bull run is always the worst, and 2018 seems to perfectly live up to that. Instead of complaining use it as an opportunity to buy the market down. Bitcoin will reach back to its highs as it has always done, and with so much bullish developments ahead of us, we'll likely break $100,000 somewhere before or after the block halving. That's exactly why the lower the price falls, the more bullish I get.
3533  Bitcoin / Press / Re: [2018-08-06] 52 Quintillion Per Second: Bitcoin Hashrate Breaks Dizzying New Rec on: August 08, 2018, 09:50:28 AM
The article mentions Max Keisler said that price follows hashrate. Is it not supposed to be the reverse?
Max Keiser is an idiot.

It's always price up -> hashrate up.

The only difference is that the hashrate can't always directly follow the price because a lot of the hardware needs to be bought first.

Depending on delivery dates and availability of hardware, it could mean that when this hashrate is finally being added to the network, the price has gone down again, and this is exactly happening right now. Plenty of new hardware is bought during the bull run, and now they have to suck it up in case they had big expectations.

Mining at a loss now would be gambling, but mining because you know you can make a profit is simple economics. What is happening? Are most of the miners today gambling? I reckon most of them are losing.
You have to take into consideration that each minted block contains like ~$500-$2000 in transaction fees and mint has an OTC market value of around 25% over spot value.
3534  Bitcoin / Press / Re: [2018-08-08] US SEC Postpones Decision Regarding Bitcoin Exchange Traded Fund. on: August 08, 2018, 08:43:54 AM
dude, I woke up, I turned on my computer and entered the coinmarketcap and I had a big fright, I can not believe what I'm seeing, the price of bitcoin fell to  $6500, but that was already expected, what shocked me was that:

Ethereum: $375,37

NEO: $23,93

Lisk: $3,60

Litecoin: $66,71

What the hell do people have in their heads? if only because the SEC said it will not decide on August 10 and decided to postpone by September 30th and people are selling cryptos to the point of having a fall of more than 9%, this shows that this market is being manipulated and with this attitude the SEC can disapprove any ETF.

Why is it so shocking that altcoins are losing with Bitcoin? Altcoins are shit and not worth much on their own. 

People shouldn't forget that altcoins have gained 50-75% of their value through Bitcoin increasing in value. In other words, there isn't much actual capital sitting in altcoins if we discard Bitcoin's value donation to them.

The fact that altcoins need Bitcoin to move in order to do something is only pointing out how rubbish they are. Seriously, why would you wait for Bitcoin to move if you have to totally different target industry and roadmap? Oh right, it's because people don't care about the coin on its own. It won't ever change. Bitcoin will remain big daddy for ever.
3535  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: New and tough competitor for Genesis mining and HashFlare on: August 08, 2018, 08:31:15 AM
It's shit. It's the next scam in line.

There are various 'investment' plans you can choose from, and they offer you on average a 10% monthly return up to 20% if you go for their most expensive plan.

It's quite funny to see how they don't even try to make their scam look less obvious, but on the other hand, noobs probably don't care and will invest anyway.

These scams have in common that they will vanish before their first year, and I'm pretty sure Dominant Finance will be one of them.
3536  Bitcoin / Legal / Re: Report: India showing signs it may legalize cryptocurrency payments on: August 07, 2018, 06:57:51 PM
There have been several reports from several countries from Russia, China, United States and now India but at the end of the day there is nothing that comes out of it when the appetite of people have been wet already.

Russia thus far has been the biggest troll in legal terms. They have been contradicting themselves for years, and till this day they haven't done anything.

China has at least taken the necessary actions, even though it wasn't in favor of crypto. The only positive aspect of their sanctions is that the local crypto economies there have been exploding in size, and the same has happened in India. Governments are delusional thinking that harsh sanctions against crypto are being swallowed without resistance.

I have never seen people actually fight back, which we definitely can relate to how much power crypto allows people to enjoy.
3537  Economy / Economics / Re: Global financial crisis on: August 07, 2018, 06:29:56 PM
What makes you think that gold and cryptos will be a safe heaven?
What if all financial assets (digital and non-digital) are hit by the crysis and their prices crash?
If all fiat currencies start imploding, people will seek to dump money in that what they can use as a medium of exchange. Considering that Bitcoin is a far better medium of exchange than Gold, especially with smaller amounts, it's pretty easy to know where money will flow into.

During the great depression there wasn't any safe heaven asset that will maintain a stable price.
It's not about stable prices. It's about dumping your wealth into an asset that doesn't lose the majority of its value, and Bitcoin won't lose its value. If even 1% of the total world money supply ends up in Bitcoin, we'll see prices you can't even dream of right now.

In Iran there is currenty a crisis going on where the Rial has lost around 75% of its value in a short period of time. It's time for people to start hedging their fiat currencies by converting a certain part of their wealth to Bitcoin. Better safe than sorry.
3538  Economy / Economics / Re: Korean Police Raid Firm in Fraud ICO Probe of $130 Billion Shipwreck on: August 07, 2018, 05:26:25 PM
It has become a trend and an easy way to accumulate capital just by ICO'ing everything.

I am seriously waiting for the first country to initiate an ICO to start a war with another country. In a way it has already happened with Venezuela's PetroCoin, but with (for the public) less dubious motives. Or what about countries trying to ICO the Moon, or Mars? It might sound ridiculous right now, but it's only a matter of time before it really happens.

Crypto didn't only show the people how much power they can obtain and maintain, but that also applies to governments. The same fraud that people are involved in right now, will be replicated by governments on a larger scale pretty soon.
3539  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: Common Errors of Trading on: August 07, 2018, 02:58:54 PM
Day trading isn`t type of work where you just repeat one same things over and over again, it`s hard to sell on top and buy on bottom every time
The focus with day trading isn't to sell the top and buy the bottom. It's just to book profits within each range whenever you can. In other words, if your trade means a 1% gain, you dump. If your trade means a 2% gain, you dump. Wasting time waiting for the price to go up in most cases means that your potential 1-2% gains could easily vanish in a market like this. I rather secure a 1-2% gain than sucking on a loss.

Being positive, practicing, finding what suits you and take it to another level is what everyone should do. There are things that can hurt us in trading, financially I mean, but that is trading we can`t win all the time, so positive attitude is necessary for all traders and wanna be traders.
Being positive is meaningless, just as much as practicing is meaningless when it comes to trading. People are emotional roller coasters when money is exposed to a crazy volatile asset class. They shouldn't trade. It's not for nothing that bots have taken over the market in the last few years.
3540  Bitcoin / Press / Re: [2018-08-06] 52 Quintillion Per Second: Bitcoin Hashrate Breaks Dizzying New Rec on: August 07, 2018, 10:24:48 AM
It's mind boggling how strong Bitcoin's network currently is.

Back in september 2013 Bitcoin's network surpassed 1PH/s for the first ever time, and a few days ago an all time high of 55,000PH/s was officially marked in the charts for ever. Realistically, we should be able to surpass 100,000PH/s before the end of next year, especially if the price keeps climbing up, which it likely will with the block halving coming closer and various other important events.

For comparison purposes, BCash's network peaked at 6000PH/s last month, and currently hovers around 4000PH/s. While it's significantly lower than Bitcoin's hashrate, it's still the second most powerful network in existence, however also one of the most centralized.
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