I was initially expecting more blood in the real estate market, another harsh leg down to lower lows, sometime this year. On the REIT charts it would look something like 2008-2009. I'm sitting on a lot of cash and ready to pull the trigger if the market were to dip where I'm hoping, but I'm just not too confident in that scenario anymore. The residential market has remained somewhat robust, at least the markets I'm interested in (houses or townhouse style condos in second tier cities or inner suburbs). Now I'm leaning towards rolling that cash back into more liquid investments and putting real estate on the back burner, at least as far as home buying goes. On the business side (commercial warehousing and office space) I'm more confident I can scoop up good value over the next year or two. Residential.....I just don't know.
Last time real estate fell in 18 months after the downwrd leg.
I longed it at the start of the stock market crash - assuming people would be more confident in housing. I was also under the impression a stock market crash would lower interest rates - and the common knowledge is generally when interest rates fall, house prices go up to compensate for it. Not that it'd do too much now but I could still see people getting remortgage rates at 2% here or something (i've heard 2.6%) - with the BoE interest rate set at 0.5% afaik.
(I longed an ETF I don't think I have the cash for a property portfolio yet).
With stocks and gold at ATHs, and BTC breaking yearly technical resistance...
Personally, I looked at this and thought - why would you sell btc at the moment?
![Grin](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/grin.gif)
(So I guess I know where I sit with that).
I could see the fed just continuing the printing now. If you do cashout, cash to euro or a currency from somewhere like Japan.
You won't find a concrete reason for this because of how nebulous it is and the fact that nothing is directly cause-effect, but the most likely explanation I've seen has to do with how much money the Fed has created recently to hold down interest rates.
Yeah they actually did print $6+ trillion after all... I found it recently when checking something - just the $3 trillion was an immediate injection.
![](https://ip.bitcointalk.org/?u=https%3A%2F%2Fi.imgur.com%2FwYvz98b.jpg&t=663&c=4pPhxbqQ6mu6eg)
money printer go brrrr
I'm surprised there's no friction burn.