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361  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin & Electricity: Threat or Blessings on: November 01, 2018, 03:41:19 AM
Plus electricity cannot be stored.

FYI:
Electricity can be stored,

1. Batteries
2. Flywheels
3. Gravitational potential energy using a pumped hydroelectric facility.
4. Compressed Air Energy Storage
5. Rail Energy Storage
6. Molten Salt Storage
7. Thermal Energy Storage

Reference: http://discovermagazine.com/2015/july-aug/26-power-stash

 Smiley


It should have been "electricity can not be stored in a profitable way".

None of these ways is what is considered "efficient".
It is more profitable to produce new energy instead of storing it.

Hmm , you can tell you got nothing to do with the energy business.

Have you ever heard of Peak Times, this is the time during the day when the most electricity is being used and utilities charge higher prices.
There are companies that do nothing but store energy during OFFPEAK Times when electricity is cheaper and resell it back to the Utilities during Peak Times.
Those companies profit from the difference in the price, which exceeds any loss from storing it.

Some companies that have solar farms setup have even started placing trailers onsite that contain massive batteries,
they charge these batteries and then have a Semi move them to another location that is paying a higher electricity rate than that location.
Even with the gas used,  the % of power lost, and the truck driver wages, they make a profit off of transferring electricity by semi.

So the storage of Electricity and moving it where they can sell it for a higher price is a big deal and the smart players are starting to make a fortune off it.

362  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: Flaws in LN (Lightning Network). on: October 31, 2018, 08:13:27 PM
Ignoring the fact that LN can be totally destroyed by 51% of the miners

The same applies to Bitcoin, doesn't it? This kind of attack would be used for revising already confirmed on-chain transactions with far higher amount of BTC rather than for manipulating channels which have a maximum capacity of about 0.16 BTC.

True on the danger to onchain,
But causing the segwit transactions to require higher fees than normal onchain transactions could be done with less than 51%.

Untrue on the capacity limit of .16 btc .
If the miners blocked all segwit transactions ,
they destroy access or allow to be stolen by counter-parties the Entire Amount of Bitcoin stored in LN.
All Channels would be at risk upon expiration.


Difference is this ,
if the miners 51% attack their onchain transaction , they kill their own network and their own ability to make money.
(This hurts the Bitcoin Miners directly.)

If the miners 51% ignore all segwit transactions, they kill an Offchain COMPETITOR that was stealing fees that could have been theirs.
(This kills LN and has no effect on their onchain profits, except an increase in their transaction fees.)
(If you ran a Business and you could put your competitor out of business next door by merely ignoring them,
therefore increasing your own Business Profit and assuring market share, you be kind of stupid not to ignore them.)


Jihan & other onchain miners are alot of things, stupid is not one of them.

FYI:
I now so dub this potential LN Flaw: The 51% Ignore Segwit Attack
363  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: Flaws in LN (Lightning Network). on: October 31, 2018, 07:05:26 PM
Wu & Antpool have just recently started refusing to include segwit transactions in their blocks.

Except that around two hours ago, AntPool mined this block which, at 1026.434 KB, must include at least some SegWit transactions.  

And around 18 hours ago, AntPool also mined this block which, at 1157.285 KB, must also include at least some SegWit transactions.

It's really not hard to actually verify this stuff.  It's all there in the open to see.  Any more Redditard drivel you'd like us to debunk?

The fact they mined 4 blocks in a row , and ignored all segwit transactions escapes you.

Your entire LN network is depending on the ONChain Miners to include segwit transactions, if they do the unthinkable to you and just ignore all segwit transactions , they can kill their offchain competitor without breaking a sweat.

Whether it was done on purpose or accident , the truth is now apparent,
the Onchain Miners can kill LN at any point they so choose and you can't stop them, without a Hard Fork, which they won't agree too.  Cheesy

It is now LN Most Major Flaw, because at some point transactions fees will matter more and more to the Bitcoin Miners with each halving.

Enjoy your LN house of cards, by the way Jihan and 3 others can set it on fire anytime they like.    Wink
364  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: Flaws in LN (Lightning Network). on: October 31, 2018, 06:49:21 PM
Wu & Antpool have just recently started refusing to include segwit transactions in their blocks.
Since they are a major player this can delay the onchain redefinition of bitcoins and
INCREASE the potential for the LN funds to be stolen by a counter-party.
* Interestingly enough they could potentially cause segwit transactions to cost more than normal onchain transactions. *  Wink

Where's the source? There's no such information on twitter or reddit.



Reddit Source : https://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/9sex11/jihan_no_longer_includes_segwit_transactions_last/
Quote
Jihan no longer includes segwit transactions

Quote
If you look at my mempool statistics at Oct 27, around 15:00 UTC, this behaviour is obvious.
Antpool found four consecutive blocks, so there were a lot of segwit transactions accumulating in the mempool that they didn't take.

Quote
LN has zero effect on on-chain transactions. It absolutely cannot force miners to mine your transaction.


New Flaw in LN Network ,

Technically, it's on-chain flaw where miners can choose specific transaction to be included/excluded.

No argument there allowing the miners to pick and choose which transactions are included per block
that can be used against the users was always a bad idea instead of just processing all available transactions that would fit.
But that was added by the bitcore dev team, and the only way they can remove it is a Hard Fork, but that also destroys the fee structure almost guaranteeing spam transaction could clog and kill the onchain network without fee increases to prevent it.
In the meantime they can use it to kill the LN offchain network, and so it becomes The Major Flaw in LN!

 
365  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: Flaws in LN (Lightning Network). on: October 31, 2018, 06:21:26 PM
(Both Money Transmitters & Banks follow "Full KYC/AML" regulations . )
For those like doomad that don't know.


New Flaw in LN Network ,


Wu & Antpool have just recently started refusing to include segwit transactions in their blocks.
Since they are a major player this can delay the onchain redemption of bitcoins and
INCREASE the potential for the LN funds to be stolen by a counter-party.
* Interestingly enough they could potentially cause segwit transactions to cost more than normal onchain transactions. *  Wink
* As LN begins stealing more transaction fees from the onchain miners, you can almost guarantee the other onchain miners will follow suit to protect their transaction fee profit from the LN offchain network. *

If more miners join them and they reach 51%, they can effectively kill the LN offchain network!

FYI:
It is a brilliant move on the part of Wu, to eventually make segwit no longer cost effective compared to the normal onchain transactions.
Effectively killing his offchain competition for bitcoin transaction fees.
The only real question is how long before the other bitcoin onchain miners get smart and follow his lead.
(As their monetary best interest is in onchain fees and not offchain fees which they see no profit.)

* No one can stop him unless, there is a Hard Fork to take away the miner's ability to pick transactions. *
Good Luck with that.  Cheesy
366  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: PoW vs PoS- Proof-of-Stake Might be the Winner here (Save the Environment) on: October 31, 2018, 04:49:43 PM
Any[/b] low inflation PoS coin,

go look for one that you personally like and quit being a dumbass.

Is that how you chose your investments? Based on what you "personally like"?


I choose mine on the coin specs and my own proprietary economic calculations without needing someone to hand hold me when I do so,
(I also have not hid the fact my favorite is ZEIT, but others may prefer different specs.)

I expect other investors to do the same, because at the end of the day it is their money and their choice.

If they are too stupid to make up their own mind like wind fury, they really have no business in crypto speculation.

FYI:
When a person buys a Low inflation PoS coin , they gain power in that specific network , when they sell coins they decrease their power in that network,
when you buy bitcoins or a PoW coin , you Gain NO Power in that network as transaction confirmation and fee price is always controlled by the miners.
(Of which only the Richest Elite can afford warehouses full of ASICS and the insane energy waste that comes with them.)

That's the problem. Whales can just buy PoS coins and control the nertwork.

You cannot go to the walmart nearest to your house, spend 6 billion in S9 miners, plug all of them in the same plug in your bedroom and control bitcoin network.

But it is much easier to buy coins and control a network.

Additionally, PoW is proof of stake, because you are staking energy. You are staking something out of the system, and giving the energy you spend as a warranty that those transactions in a block are legit.

On the other hand, PoS is not PoW. You are betting coins , which are from inside the system. It is a closed system.

You are missing the point , Whales can Buy a PoS coin , but the Whales Have to Sell them to make a PROFIT.
That act of selling decrease their control over the network immediately.


When your Bitcoin Miner sells all of his useless bitcoins , he gives up No control of the network or it's transactions or fee structure whatsoever.

Plus you PoW guys really seem to miss the point a Whale in PoS does not have Constant Power to block transactions where as  Miner Whales can block transactions indefinitely, where as in PoS , they can not.

* Your PoW is proof of stake line is beyond nonsense, PoW is not staking energy , PoW is Wasting Energy
Plus in a true Proof of Stake Network, their is a dormant period after staking, their is NO dormant period in PoW.
(Their is No increase in transaction performance with PoW increased energy usage, only more Wasted Energy to accomplish the same limited transaction amount. Bitcoin is not secured by electricity as many foolishly believe , it is secured by the Chinese miners that dominate ~70% of the mining, no different than the past two years, when the energy requirement were much lower 2 years ago.)
The Security in Bitcoin is Nothing More than the Collusion of a few Chinese Miners!
The Energy waste is Just Waste nothing else!



You are right PoS is a Closed System, (That is an advantage not a disadvantage.)
that means you are literally more invested in it , than in any PoW coin, because you can always mine another coin with similiar algo.
So if you do harm to your PoS network , you wipe out your entire investment where as a PoW miner can harm his network and just mine another coin.

*IE:  Mr. Wu has just started refusing all segwit transactions in AntPool's Bitcoin Blocks ,
this delays LN onchain redemption and increases the danger bitcoins being stolen thru the LN network, and their is nothing you can do to stop him.
You could buy all of the bitcoins in existence and he would still be your Master as you are utterly dependent on him for transactions.
If only a few others join him and they reach 51%, they can kill the LN network and their is nothing you can do to stop them.
(Suggest changing Algo and see how far you get.)  Cheesy
Since Mr. Wu is mainly support Bcash over bitcoin, his concern for the bitcoin/LN network is decreasing per day.
If Bitcoin was a PoS only coin, he would never do the above as it could wipe out his entire investment,
yet with PoW he can hamper bitcoin and care little as he is supporting bcash more.  Wink

367  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: PoW vs PoS- Proof-of-Stake Might be the Winner here (Save the Environment) on: October 31, 2018, 04:10:23 PM
Any POS coin? Be specific.

Plus why should we grant the originators of the, "POS coin that replaces Bitcoin", perpetual power over the network and its users?

Any
low inflation PoS coin,

go look for one that you personally like and quit being a dumbass.
(Low Inflation rates vary from 5% down to less than 1%, take your pick.)

If you are so stupid you believe going with a Low inflation PoS coin gives them perpetual power over you then

1. You are a dumbass , because if they sell their coins, their so called perpetual power is diminished since they have to sell from their principle.
  
2.  You can stick with your Bitcoin , where the Few Elite Chinese Miners actually do have perpetual power over the network and it's users.
    (Funny how the fact you are literally the Chinese Miners bitch does not bother you in the least.)

3.  Stick with Fiat and your Government elected overlords.


For people that want freedom, Proof of Stake is the only game in town , because it is the only one where you can still confirm your own transactions.

FYI:
When a person buys a Low inflation PoS coin , they gain power in that specific network , when they sell coins they decrease their power in that network,
when you buy bitcoins or a PoW coin , you Gain NO Power in that network as transaction confirmation and fee price is always controlled by the miners.
(Of which only the Richest Elite can afford warehouses full of ASICS and the insane energy waste that comes with them.)

* Also in a PoS network coins go dormant after staking which give others stakers an increased opportunity to stake coins and add transactions,
there is nothing similar in a PoW network, in a PoW network their is no dormancy of ASICS to give others a chance. *
 
368  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: ★ ZEIT ★ [COMMUNITY & KNIGHTS] [ULTRA LOW INFLATION] on: October 31, 2018, 04:16:23 AM
Happy Halloween
369  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: PoW vs PoS- Proof-of-Stake Might be the Winner here (Save the Environment) on: October 31, 2018, 03:19:53 AM
I suppose weak minds like yours need all the help they can get.   Roll Eyes

There is a Reason your Nickname is Dumbmad.  Cheesy

Quote
just as the car market does not still depend on the Ford Model A, crypto no longer needs bitcoin.
It has grown larger than a single coin.


Sorry the truth hurts you, but it would not if you were not a bitcoin fanatic that can't tell the difference between
a product and a deity.  
370  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: PoW vs PoS- Proof-of-Stake Might be the Winner here (Save the Environment) on: October 30, 2018, 03:46:29 PM
That is where you are misinformed, there are some alts that will skyrocket during a bitcoin crash.
Your problem is you think crypto depends on bitcoin, you are wrong ,
just as the car market does not still depend on the Ford Model A, crypto no longer needs bitcoin.
It has grown larger than a single coin.


Ok then... I will let an image speak for me.

I believe this is just a coincidence, that all 1000 cryptocurrencies have the same graphic. THey are all crashing for different reasons, nothing to do with bitcoin.

All one has to is look thru the list , not all coins are crashing, there is some Green.
Even the coins that are in red , will only follow bitcoin so far down the rabbit hole,
Drop the false religious belief in bitcoin it blinds you to the truth.
Bitcoin can die , and crypto will live on. It is not your messiah.




Proof of Stake can OutScale Bitcoin , about every Altcoin created after since Bitcoin OutScales Bitcoin.  Smiley

It is an irritant trying to have a logical conversation and all I get back is an emotional response of you are frighten, or devs are scared.  

yeah, you are acting very logically using those blue letters and ignoring market movements...

Good luck for you too. I hope you find the coin you are looking for =P

The Blue letters has been proven to increase the amount of the brain used when read,
I am literally trying to make you use more of your brain, when you see me use blue, trying to help you think and not repeat useless hype.
https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2009/02/090205142143.htm

Daily Market movements are irrelevant in the long term evolution of a product.
Thinking a momentary price fluctuation matters is a fallacy.    
GIGO = Garbage In Garbage Out

No worries, ZEITCOIN will be around no matter what happens with the rest.
It can survive literally anything and it's network will march on.  Smiley

There are plenty of Proof of Stake coins for others to choose their favorite.


FYI:
Here is a comparison to show
Gaming Industry :  Atari was the 1st major player
Crypto  Industry :  Bitcoin was the 1st major player

Atari Lifespan   : 1972–1984
Bitcoin Lifespan: 2009-2022
*No Guarantee it will survive that long.*

A normal product lifespan is ~10 years before a newer faster more improved model take over.

By your false belief system , Atari should still be the #1 Game Console and yet it is not
Bitcoin will also not be the #1 coin by 2022.  Smiley

It is about product cycles not about false belief systems.


 
371  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: PoW vs PoS- Proof-of-Stake Might be the Winner here (Save the Environment) on: October 30, 2018, 03:34:16 PM
If Bitcoin adopts PoS or any other fancy protocol and
there is even a smallest problem, the whole market will crash so spectacularly and probably never bounce back.

Which should point out to an observing mind , how weak Bitcoin and PoW consensus truly are.
A Massive Price drop can kill bitcoin due to it's insane input costs.

A Massive Price drop in a low inflation PoS coin is nothing more than a buying opportunity to increase your staking capacity.  Smiley
ie: PoS is superior to PoW in Survive ability.

Haha. But you do not have a real answer on which POS coin will replace Bitcoin to become "the Bitcoin".

The cryptocurrency that will replace Bitcoin as the numero uno cryptocurrency will NOT be a POS coin. When I say numero uno, I do not mean the highest in market cap but the most used, the most liquid, and the most considered to be the best store of value.


Any Low Inflation PoS Coin can replace Bitcoin, take your pick.
In Time, they will all be higher on CMK than bitcoin.  Smiley

372  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: Consensus, the key to decentralisation POW,POS,PO?... on: October 30, 2018, 03:18:09 AM
Quote
AFAIK PoCW and some PoS variation already achieve this. Obviously the bigger their hashrate or coins, they have have bigger reward or have higher chance to make a block and claim it's reward.
My feeling is that PoS and its variants are flawed approaches due to their reliance on staking, meaning the more coins you have the more you will earn by staking, and this, I fear, will lead to less and not more decentralisation.
I have the strong feeling we must explore options outside the PoS and PoW duopoly.

FYI:
Staking is the consensus, the earning more coins is a program setting.
Definable by your code, whether anything is earned at all.
Staking reward can always be set to zero, so no coins are earned thru staking.
You could always make staking for a % of time a requirement to send or receive coins.
IE:  Wallet has to attempt to stake for 1 day or 1 week to be able to send /receive coins for 1 hour.

However you ask for other consensus methods
https://hackernoon.com/a-hitchhikers-guide-to-consensus-algorithms-d81aae3eb0e3
Proof-of-Authority (PoA) 
Proof-of-Weight (PoWeight)
Byzantine Fault Tolerance (BFT) — Siege the blockchain!
Directed Acyclic Graphs (DAGs) — aka the Blockchain Killers!

https://www.newgenapps.com/blog/8-blockchain-consensus-mechanisms-and-benefits
Proof of Importance:
Proof of Elapsed Time:
Proof of Identity:
Proof of Burn:

Good Luck.
373  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: How much better placed are we capacity-wise for future spikes in use? on: October 30, 2018, 02:33:49 AM
Although, lightning network is not full activated but it doing fine and gaining more users. Meanwhile, it ought to be fully activated before another high traffic happen again and if it does happen faster than expected, with my research I find out that almost 50% of bitcoin transaction now use SegWit which is still good to handle any bubble.

https://oxt.me/charts

Click on Segwit usage, Site Reported # is Less than 40% for October.

I guess the part about the danger of being in LN, if bitcoin onchain transactions is maxed out eluded you. Tongue

With that kind of research you'll be a Millionaire in no time, if you started off as a Billionaire.   Cheesy

FYI:
Franky1 claims that 40% is really only ~10%
Quote
"and worse still how segwit is being used in the real world"

so by you mashing in legacy data to fudg numbers and make presumptions and inflate numbers.. positively affects how segwit affects how segwit is being used in the real world

..
sorry but only a segwit UTXO (whether p2wsh or p2wpkh") affect how segwit acts in the real world
no fudging in legacy data and calling it segwit can twist that.

anyway.
have a nice month
p.s if you are interested in facts about segwit. and the now 3 year "onchain scaling" debate that this all stems from

find out how many TRUE FULL bytes of data a legacy tx of 2-in-2-out tx uses. and compare it to a 2-in-2-out segwit uses
then do the same for a legacy 2 of 2 multisig vs a segwit 2 of 2multisig

again non of the stripped, filtered, downstream compatible vbyte wishy washy stuff.. i mean FULL TRUE BYTES of full true validation transaction

then ask yourself. if they just removed the witness scale factor so both segwit and/or legacy could all happily utilise the 4mb weight, without the wishy washy nonsense. which transaction type would use less bytes per tx

FYI2:
https://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/9sex11/jihan_no_longer_includes_segwit_transactions_last/
Quote
If you look at my mempool statistics at Oct 27, around 15:00 UTC, this behaviour is obvious.
Antpool found four consecutive blocks, so there were a lot of segwit transactions accumulating in the mempool that they didn't take.
Their block 547,566 with 0.04 BTC fee, accepted mostly low fee transaction. The next block by btc.com had 0.24 BTC fee.
Hmm,
Antpool earned 12.5 bitcoins for finding a block , making the transaction fees chump change to them since it was so low.
If they start blocking all segwit transactions from their blocks , (they can delay segwit transactions)
they could increase the danger to LN when people need to cash out onchain,
increasing the risk LN funds can be stolen.  Interesting to say the least.
374  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: PoW vs PoS- Proof-of-Stake Might be the Winner here (Save the Environment) on: October 30, 2018, 02:23:37 AM
When too many miners drop out, the network Hash drops,
(having a difficulty only reset every 2 weeks is really a security vulnerability that has never been fixed, Most Alts reset Difficulty after every block.)
When the Hash drops too low , blocks are only found every few days, so the normal 2 weeks could take months to complete.


I don't think that would be a really great problem. Let's suppose Hash rate drops to Half (what would be a very pessimist scenario). Instead of blocks every 10 minutes, we would have blocks every 20 minutes (on average). No a problem at all in my opinion.

And at the most 4 weeks, difficult would be adjusted and mining would be decentralized again, and ASIC would be gone.


A drop to 1/5 of the hashrate (high unlikely, as if miners do not mine, what will they do to that equipment? They will have to mine either way, or the loss will be bigger).
This could be a problem, that would be easily fixed with a fork. Anyway, bitcoin could even though be mined with low hashrates for like 2 months and then the problem would be solved.

In such a situation, of a big price drop, every other alt would be completely worthless and there would be no reason to mine them.


That is where you are misinformed, there are some alts that will skyrocket during a bitcoin crash.
Your problem is you think crypto depends on bitcoin, you are wrong ,
just as the car market does not still depend on the Ford Model A, crypto no longer needs bitcoin.
It has grown larger than a single coin.



I hear alot of fear in your voice about Proof of Stake, it has been around since 2013 and so far none of the fairly tales about it's easy destruction have been accomplished by anyone.  Over 5 years and no one has performed a attack that destroys the Proof of Stake Consensus , it all been falsehoods and lies about how easy PoS is to destroy. PoW is only 4 years older and it's centralization & energy waste failure are paramount and undeniable to all but the bitcoin fanatics that never recognize any of it's failures.

There are many PoS Only coins with multi-million markets caps and no one has been able to destroy one of them.  Wink
Blackcoin / Ardor / and Multiple others


In all those 5 years, nobody was also able to prove that PoS fairy tale work in great scale also.

Those are all very small projects compared to bitcoin. Ardor has 100 million USD marketcap, which is about 40 times smaller bitcoin daily volume...... Comparing Ardor to Bitcoin is like comparing United States economy to Malaysia`s.

Even Vitalik Buterin is affraid of running Casper Protocol in Ethereum, because he knows that problems will pop up when it is up and running. And there are many problems related to PoS economy, which were already mentioned in this thread.


If Fear is all you have as an excuse, then feel free to give up until PoW crashes and burns.

Proof of Stake can OutScale Bitcoin , about every Altcoin created after since Bitcoin OutScales Bitcoin.  Smiley

It is an irritant trying to have a logical conversation and all I get back is an emotional response of you are frighten, or devs are scared.   

Again 5 years and None of the Bogeyman fairly tales against PoS have occurred.
Look if you want to live in fear , your call.

There are plenty of PoS Devs that are not frighten by falsehoods spread by the bitcoin hype crowd.
They have done extensive research , and none of them have the slightest fear in the falsehoods put out by ignorant fearmongers.

I got better things to do than listen to how you are too fearful about PoS.

Those of us without fear shall push on, and the rest of you can hide and cower where you think it is safe.


FYI:
Fortune Favors the Bold , not the fearful!

Good Luck in your Course.



375  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: PoW vs PoS- Proof-of-Stake Might be the Winner here (Save the Environment) on: October 29, 2018, 10:33:41 PM
Which should point out to an observing mind , how weak Bitcoin and PoW consensus truly are.
A Massive Price drop can kill bitcoin due to it's insane input costs.


I don't agree, that's not how it works.

Transactions fees are defined by demand and supply, basic economics.
It does not have a direct correlation with price.

In December when btc price was high the fees were high (the opposite of what you aaid).
Fees were high because there was a peak in demand , nothing to do with its price.

And high fees didn't kill btc, wasn't even a threat to it .

Nobody knows what problems pos will bring, as it has never been tested with a decent project with many transactions per day

Clarifying:

I am not talking about transactions fees , I am talking about the Bitcoin Market Price.

The production cost to make a Bitcoin is ~$3000 last I checked.
(This includes the warehouse/asics/Electricity input costs needed to Break Even.)

If the market price falls below that input cost of ~$3000, say only $1500.
That means with every new bitcoin block created the miners loses $1500 per coin which is $18750 (12.5 coins per block)
, and that is if the miner is selling every bitcoin he makes.

Which means the big players will hoard bitcoin and quit selling it as they have bigger pockets,
but even they can not hold out for long losing $2.7 Million Dollars per day or $81 Million Dollars per Month.

When too many miners drop out, the network Hash drops,
(having a difficulty only reset every 2 weeks is really a security vulnerability that has never been fixed, Most Alts reset Difficulty after every block.)
When the Hash drops too low , blocks are only found every few days, so the normal 2 weeks could take months to complete.
During this time almost no one will be able to get a transaction into the blockchain as onchain transaction capacity will be severely diminished.
Where you used to have potential of 144 x 1.7mb blocks full of transaction per day , you may only have 10 blocks or less.

Only chances for recovery would be
1.  The other miners start mining at a loss losing millions per day, doubtful as low prices is why they stopped.
2.  Wait months for it to work it out , doubtful everyone will switch to another crypto.
3.  The Bitcoin Dev team will have to reset the difficulty with a fork , which will cause a crises in confidence and hurt BTC price even more.


Do you now see the problem with having PoW insane input costs?
During even just a short market lull of 2 or 3 months,
bitcoin very survival comes into question, with no guarantee it will last long enough for the price to recover.

I hear alot of fear in your voice about Proof of Stake, it has been around since 2013 and so far none of the fairly tales about it's easy destruction have been accomplished by anyone.  Over 5 years and no one has performed a attack that destroys the Proof of Stake Consensus , it all been falsehoods and lies about how easy PoS is to destroy. PoW is only 4 years older and it's centralization & energy waste failure are paramount and undeniable to all but the bitcoin fanatics that never recognize any of it's failures  .

There are many PoS Only coins with multi-million markets caps and no one has been able to destroy one of them.  Wink
Blackcoin / Ardor / and Multiple others
376  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: PoW vs PoS- Proof-of-Stake Might be the Winner here (Save the Environment) on: October 29, 2018, 12:33:21 PM
If Bitcoin adopts PoS or any other fancy protocol and
there is even a smallest problem, the whole market will crash so spectacularly and probably never bounce back.

Which should point out to an observing mind , how weak Bitcoin and PoW consensus truly are.
A Massive Price drop can kill bitcoin due to it's insane input costs.

A Massive Price drop in a low inflation PoS coin is nothing more than a buying opportunity to increase your staking capacity.  Smiley
ie: PoS is superior to PoW in Survive ability.
377  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: How much better placed are we capacity-wise for future spikes in use? on: October 29, 2018, 03:54:05 AM
Lightning can take some of the load now, but not that much (there's about 100 BTC on the LN as of today, October 28th). There's probably a small amount of people using lightning for which a big spike in on-chain transactions would be unnoticeable; they've already got as much money as they need into channels already, enough to ride out the spike until it dies off. In the end, Lightning will help to relieve the impact of on-chain transactions queues far more effectively, but not yet.

LN is the worst place to be , if bitcoin suffers a massive spam attack,
as their is a vulnerability if the ONCHAIN does not have enough transaction capacity.

https://bitcoinmagazine.com/articles/here-s-how-bitcoin-s-lightning-network-could-fail-1467736127/
Quote
The Lightning Network’s Failure Mode

The Lightning Network failure scenario described by Todd, takes place when a large number of people on the Bitcoin network need to settle their Lightning Network disputes on the blockchain in a relatively short period of time.

“We do have a failure mode which is: Imagine a whole bunch of these [settlements] have to happen at once,” Todd explained. “There’s only so much data that can go through the bitcoin network and if we had a large number of Lightning channels get closed out very rapidly, how are we going to get them all confirmed? At some point, you run out of capacity.”

In a scenario where a large number of people need to settle their Lightning contracts on the blockchain, the price for doing so could increase substantially as the available space in bitcoin blocks becomes sparse. “At some point some people start losing out because the cost is just higher than what they can afford,” Todd said. “If you have a very large percentage of the network using Lightning, potentially this cost is very high. Potentially, we could get this mass outbreak of failure.”

The way the Lightning Network works, a user must be able to issue a breach remedy transaction in order to keep their counterparty honest.
If a user is unable to make the proper transaction on the blockchain in a certain amount of time, their counterparty may be able to take control of bitcoins tied up in the smart contract between the two parties.

LN is no solution to bitcoin's onchain limits, if those onchain limits are pushed to the max,
in fact it would make matters worse if LN users starting closing channels as the onchain fees increase.
Segwit only gave a ~1.7 megabyte size increase from the 1 megabyte.
Using LN is only safe, if bitcoin onchain limits are not being exceeded.

Which is why using litecoin with LN is safer than using bitcoin with LN, as litecoin has onchain transaction capacity to spare.
*Onchain Capacity Matters*
378  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin prices are currently fluctuating very low! This is a strange thing. on: October 29, 2018, 03:45:45 AM
What do you think when the current bitcoin price fluctuates very low, it is more stable than some stocks of major companies in the world. Do you think that this stability is because people are not interested in Bitcoin or any other reason?

I think you really have yet to see lows, below $3000 will be low.

~$6500 is kind of a balance on a cliff, and we don't yet know if it will hold.
Time will tell.
379  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Is it still worth mining bitcoin in 2018 ? on: October 29, 2018, 03:35:25 AM
My question is if it's still worth buying Asic's and start mining BTC in 2018.

If not mine BTC what other coin is it worth to mine nowadays?

Answer is No.
Unless you meet the following criteria  

1.  Can get Venture Capitalist to donate millions of dollars to you for a % of the bitcoin mined

Odds are you won't really make any money off of bitcoin mining, but will earn more keeping a % of the VC money as an administrator fee.

It is why you see companies offer cloud mining , they make more money off of the suckers that pay them to mine bitcoin,
than off of mining bitcoins.  Tongue

PoW mining is for chumps and VCs that can throw away millions and not miss it.

380  Economy / Speculation / Re: At what price will a coin die? on: October 28, 2018, 07:30:20 PM
What is the price at which a coin is considered dead or when an exchange decides to delist the coin?
Like bitcoin was 20k in jan so if it reaches less than 1k we can consider it dead?

A Proof of Work coin (ie: bitcoin) will die , when the cost to maintain it's Network exceeds the market price.
Since coins like bitcoin have such high input cost ~$3000 to generate a bitcoin, it has a very short time frame it could survive with a lower price.
Most likely less than 2 months before the miners could no longer afford to maintain it at a loss.

In Contrast,
A Proof of Stake coin will only die, when the majority of stake holder lose faith and stop staking.
Due to the incredible energy & cost efficiency of PoS, a PoS only network can be maintained for an indefinite time period no matter how low the price goes.

Expensive PoW Networks requires millions per month just to maintain their network.

PoS Networks can be maintained for less than $2000 per month.

The Amazing thing is PoS networks can easily match or exceed the transaction capacity of PoW networks.  Smiley
PoS => Efficiency
PoW=> Waste
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