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361  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Stop gambling if you don’t have free time to do it on: April 07, 2024, 09:39:51 AM
It is an addiction. You are also losing which is another sign that it is an addiction. If you have stopped this habit, it will be good. If you do not stop, it may later has side effect on your health and which you will not like. I have this habit before but I have also stopped since few years ago. If you do not have time to gamble, do not gamble. If you want to gamble, gamble with little amount of money.

People fail to realise that they are slowly getting addicted to gambling, when once something has started to be a priority to you and you give it so much time even at the expense of other important stuff, you should check yourself. Yeah and more over in your case you even losing to such a habit and you didn't know you were slowly getting addicted to gambling.

Gamble with what you can afford to lose and never spend much time on it, like it's been month now since I last opened my sporty app and that's because I busy with other things or I'm not ready for it yet and that's a sign that I'm still in control.
362  Economy / Speculation / Re: Buy the DIP, and HODL! on: April 07, 2024, 09:33:56 AM
[edited out]
......I don't know if you were trying to say that if we must indulge in shitcoins that it should be at most 5-10% of our portfolio and this was only suggested for those that can't bear to stay away from shitcoins and at times people can't control themselves and would also want to invest more and more until they may find themselves investing more to shitcoins than even Bitcoin.

Exactly!!! Investing into shitcoins - and/or trying to trade for the purpose of generating capital in order to invest (or accumulate) bitcoin is such a slippery slope that we can question the extent to which those kinds of folks are delusional in terms of their supposed abilities to actually make progress in stacking sats rather than ongoingly putting their capital at risk which sooner or later is likely to bite them in the ass, especially if they attribute skill to luck and don't really know how to employ sound practices to ensure that they are sufficiently/adequately hedging their bets, which is not easy to accomplish even for folks who spend a lot of time developing various kinds of trading skills/practices.

Your right about this, people often seek the easy way out and don't realize that they are just fooling themselves, how can anyone think that trading with his capital would be a good means to generate profits to invest in bitcoin, when it would rather be more better that they just starting buying bitcoin which is a more safer option. Trading it self is just like placing a bet or a gamble, the outcomes are never predictable and in the process of trying to get profit you could also lose everything and if you had bought Bitcoin with that money it would have already started working for you.

There are so many flaws to this plan of trading to get profits to invest in bitcoin;

  • You could be stuck in a win and lose cycle and have never even realised any profits for bitcoin or you would be busy trying to recover from you lose and never invest in bitcoin.
  • There are possibilities that you would start using your bitcoin investment(if you are able to invest any )as a back up funds to replace loses in trading with the delution that you would get it back and eventually becomes a habit.
  • You would miss out on countless opportunities to buy bitcoin maybe cause you are losing in trading.
  • You would never be able to maximise the power of DCA cause there are possibilities that you have already used the money for bitcoin purchase to trade again.

In general trading is a risky solution in its own and its not a good idea to mix it up with investing in bitcoin or as a source of income, and it takes years or some people never even reach the level of professional traders to be able to have a good risk management to hedging thier capital, and a newbie should never indulge in trading with his money no matter how sugar coated they make it sound as tho its so profitable, and more over you might not be ready or have a good financial mentality to have a good balance with these practices, buy bitcoin and hold newbies, leave trading out of your accumulation plan.
363  Economy / Speculation / Re: Buy the DIP, and HODL! on: April 05, 2024, 08:06:19 AM

It seems that the more poor you are (and the fewer the investments that you have), the more important it is to both establish an emergency fund and also to maintain that emergency fund in cash rather than in any other assets.. especially the first at least 3 months of your living expenses.  The thing with richer folks is that they may well have several options, and sure there are a certain amount of rich folks who are not very liquid (meaning that they are not keeping very much of their wealth in cash), but richer folks are still more likely to have options between which asset to sell, so in that regard, they can choose what they believe to be the asset that they value the least, but they also might get stuck with having to sell an asset that is the most liquid to deal with their emergency.. [b]and so I am not going to presume that rich people don't end up fucking up BIG time, but they do tend to have more resources available[/b], and so a person who is not as rich will tend to have to be way more careful not to end up either recking himself or overly ending up; having to dip into their investment because of their failures to properly have enough reserves, and a lot of poor people never end up making hardly any progress in their getting themselves out of holes because they either fail to keep enough emergency funds and reserves (because they are getting too greedy trying to make sure all their capital is "working," and another major kind of mistake that they make will be to either not let their winners ride or to be dipping into their investment way too soon and not letting their investments compound... and surely either of those kinds of BIG mistakes can be made better through better use of emergency funds, and also maintaining and managing reserves and cashfloats.

Your very right about this, lack of having enough resource can be a major issue for poor people so they have to be more careful, cause a big mistake can really mess them up and very few persons would have the will to stand up from such situations, from your explanation I think it's best a person without enough resources should focus more on having one asset built up and keeping at least an emergency funds that is 3 months of his expense to ensure he never dips his hands in his holdings.

In think there is actually a clear margin between the resources each person have and how wimpy or careless they can be, for a rich person that has many other well built investment, having to keep all or most value in assets or investments wont even be much of a problem to them and at times taking loans from banks in such situations with any of their asset is a far safe option for them or they could easily liquidate any of their lesser asset for such purposes, but for a poor person that has no much investment, he has far lesser
Options to pick from and must stick to having emergency funds in cash, he needs to have cash around cause he has to have more risk consciousness than the rich guy who has more resources and options than him.


Having cash around isn't such a bad idea as long as it would keep us rich and protect our bitcoin investment( this is due to the fact that our bitcoin portfolio would be doing well if we keep if for longer ),

Sometimes we might get too greedy because we want all of our money to be working, and in something like bitcoin, it may well not be really very necessary - even though of course, there are no guarantees - but the essence is to want to stay invested, and if you end up getting very great returns on your bitcoin, then it might not matter  that you had 3 months to 9 months of your expenses continually available in cash and not working for you for 15-20 years or more.

There is something that is empowering about having the extra cash just being available, even though it is likely not only failing to earn interest but it is also likely half of its earlier value after 6-10 years.. and maybe also you are constantly having to add to your emergency fund because the first 5 years, you had kept $1k per month (so between $3k to $6k in your various emergency funds, reserves and float), but the next 5 years, you were no longer feeling comfortable with that amount, so you started to feel that you had to put $2k per month.. so $6k to $12k in the second 5 years.

Getting too greedy could well be the end of everything and this applies to both rich and poor, at times having the safety of a cushion is a good insurance for us, poor people mostly have tendencies to be more impatient and want to allocate all their cash to bitcoin and forget that each sides has its purpose, while the emergency funds might not be generating any extra cash or is just sitting around its good we build it up.

Yeah as our portfolio grows we tend to feel less comfortable with the amount we used to have in our emergency funds, so we have to also account for making sure that it is big enough to still be a cushion if thigns go wrong, from your explanation it seems that as we tend to get richer and more balanced it's good to increase our emergency funds.
364  Economy / Speculation / Re: Buy the DIP, and HODL! on: April 04, 2024, 03:29:35 PM

There is nothing really wrong with those kinds of conclusions - except for a realization that emergency funds tend to be denominated in the fiat in which bills are paid because assets can suffer liquidity events at the same time, then you are fucked  because everything might be going down in value at the same time, and you are forced to sell some things because you did not have enough cash.  Think about what happened March 2020 as an extreme example, but it is still an example of something that could happen and you would not want to be caught on the wrong side in which you had to sell either your assets and/or your bitcoin at a time that they had just taken around a 50% or more draw down in a day and with no clarity in sight when they were going to stop going down.....

so sometimes if you are going to end up wanting to be cute in regards to making sure that your various kinds of emergency funds, reserves and/or float is working for you while in storage for a long time, is that you would still have the first 3 months or so in cash or cash equivalents that are easy to draw upon, maybe in a combination of physical, in banks, in other kinds of accounts that may or may not be interest bearing.

When shit hits the fan, you have to largely be prepared already in advance to be able to weather through the situation... maybe the bad situation only lasts a month or two, or maybe it ends up lasting several months, even 6 months or more, and so there might be some point in which you are also looking at your bitcoin as one of your forms of liquidity that you need something and you are running out of resources, and surely there could be cases in which you are in that situation, and maybe there could have had been ways that you could have better protected yourself.

Maybe I can give my own example?

Through 2017 and early 2018, I had been planning for some construction that I knew was going to cost a certain amount that was probably equal to 3-5% of the value of my then BTC stash, and so I had set aside about half of the expenses that I had calculated were boint to come due in January, February, March and April 2019.

As we likely realize throughout 2018, BTC spot prices went down from around $19,666 and down to a low of around $3,124, so throughout 2018, I was buying BTC on the way down with my designated cash and keeping in mind my construction cost bills were coming due in early 2019 - yet what ended up happening is there were higher costs than expected and the bills started coming due in October, November and December 2018, so really a few months earlier than expected.. and .. so there was some point around November 2018, that I was getting close to running out of cash from all of my various sources, and I ended up selling around 3.5% of my then BTC holdings (at various prices in the $3,800 to $4,200 range), and maybe over the next several  months I ended up buying back around 50% of what I had sold, yet the overall lesson was that I had made a mistake in properly planning and maintaining enough funds to both cover all of the extra expenses but also to sufficiently prepare for the level of the BTC price drop that ended up playing, which largely likely meant that I was buying back way too much BTC on the way down from $19,666 to $3,124 and I should have had held more of those cash reserves (that were dedicated towards buying bitcoin) in my cash reserves that should have had been dedicated for paying for my construction expense.

So, the punchline is that due to my errors, my lack of properly keeping enough cash on hand, there remains a certain quantity of my BTC that I ended up selling in the price range between $3,800 to $4,200 that I was not able to buy back.. which probably was around 1-2% of my then BTC stash that was not able to be bought back.. .. except, I suppose later that I probably ended up buying some of that back at higher prices.. but even that is not really clear in terms of whether my BTC stash might have had ended up being forever reduced by 1-2% because of the price point in which they were sold and the fact that BTC prices were near bottom prices.. so ultimately it was a mistake of selling low rather than selling high.. and then never being able buy back at lower than the sell point (except for my mentioning that about half of it did seem to have had been bought back, so instead of shaving off 3-4% of my BTC stash the end result was only 1-2% of my BTC stash having had been shaved off.


Thanks for the clarification, emergency funds are far much better to have in cash than I assets, you know I was only thinking that it was smart to save our emergency funds in asset but considering the potential risk that it could bring to our investment.

IMO saving our emergency funds in other asset rather than cash would actually be a misuse of our emergency funds, cause our emergency fund should be readily available to use at any time we have an emergency and your experience just proves it better.

But I already mentioned the idea that the cash in your emergency fund.. perhaps up to 3 months expenses is likely going to suffer from not earning any interest or growing but instead ongoingly shrinking in value, which means that more and more funds will likely have to be added to the emergency funds and if you are lucky (and you don't have any emergency), then you may well end up ongoingly maintaining an emergency fund for 20-30 years or longer that continues to get larger and larger in terms of its nominal dollar value, but none of that money (up to around 3 months of your expenses) is earning any income nor interest, just continuing to debase in its value.. but it is a cost of staying safe and hoping that you actually never have to use it.. but it is also likely keeping your rich too. .because you would also never have to touch your BTC investment (or any of your other investments) at a time that is not completely of your own choosing.

Let's say that you spend 20 years investing into something like BTC at 15% per year, so after 6.67 years, you have invested a year's of your income, and so after 20 years you have invested around 3x of your yearly income, but at the same time you have continued to maintain at least 3 months of an emergency fund and sometimes you would have an extra 6-18 months of reserves and float, and so much of that cash was not really working through the last 20 years, but hopefully your bitcoin was working during that time and sufficiently made up for the fact that your various forms of cash were not working.. and you can do these kinds of calculations to figure out whether it was worth it to maintain these various systems including calculating if it would have had been better to use your BTC and/or your other investments as your emergency fund, which surely is a kind of sloppy behavior that we see people do and we see normies get reckt as fuck too and they end up having fun staying poor because they never get ahead and they are always gambling with their money.. so by the time they maybe could have had been to fuck you status, instead they are having to work until they die and they also might not even be able to increase their standard of living because they failed/refused to properly invest and/or to properly protect their investments.


Having cash around isn't such a bad idea as long as it would keep us rich and protect our bitcoin investment( this is due to the fact that our bitcoin portfolio would be doing well if we keep if for longer ), we dont want a situation where by a health challenge uncalled for happens and the only option around is to sell off some of our asset, the thign about emergency is that we don't know when it would happen and we don't know how much expenses it would cost us to solve such a problem, so keeping huge amount of emergency funds or allowing your emergency funds to grow over time is not such a bad idea in general and it worth it even if we have to pay the price of knowing that we would be earning no interest from hoarding fait or keeping such huge cash around us.

But at in a case where we feel we have too much of cash around in our emergency and reserves, would it be wise to put some into bitcoin when, let's say I'm having over a year of emergency funds and I feel I have too much of cash kept lieung around could I put at least 10% of that into bitcoin or keep or working for, like diversifying into some other asset ?

once you have 3 months of cash, you could potentially have some things that are cash equivalents that might take a month or two to cash in, but they hold their value.  When you start to try to keep your emergency fund in too many other kinds of assets, then you surely run the risk of them all being volatile in the same direction, which is opposite of the dollar (or whatever fiat you use), of course, the richer you become, the less you have to worry about these matters because you likely have all kinds of various assets to draw from and you might not be as concerned if some of them are down or up when it comes time for you to use any of them, and you may also be so much in profits that any emergency might only be 1-2% of your total wealth, versus a more poor person who might get completely wiped out from any small emergency.. especially if he does not set asides funds and cushions to protect himself. .and it can take time to both build up those kinds of protection systems and also get into the practice of using them in such a way that you don't get your own false sense of security because you end up depleting them or using them and then when the real emergency comes, you are fucked because you did not maintain your emergency funds, your reserves and/or your cash float properly..

No one is going to hold your hand either, so if you fuck up, it is completely on you to figure out what kind of balances to make to make sure that you are investing aggressively enough while at the same time, making sure that you maintain sound financial practices in the direction of how you maintain your emergency fund, reserves and float.


When you put it this way, I think it would be better to just focus on bitcoin untill the rich effect starts to come in on your portfolio maybe when you have already invested up to four years of your income and a lot of combining effect has come in over the years then we can think of diversifying or having thoughts to put cash in other assets, yeah it would be a he'll of an experience if we encounter an emergency and we don't have any cash around, so it's left for everyone to figure out how much he feel its okay for him to have in his emergency funds( which should be at least 3months of expenses) and also when he feels he woudl be okay to start considering other asset, cause if anyone ends up fucking up he won't be expecting any pity from anyone and all the responsibility still falls on him for his mistake.
365  Economy / Speculation / Re: Buy the DIP, and HODL! on: April 04, 2024, 12:42:15 AM
Many times emergency funds are form of cash that are very liquid but they may well not be earning any interest or gaining value, so there could be some sense that those funds are neither working for you and that they might be losing  value as fast as you can build them up, so in that sense, you might have quite a bit of hesitancy in holding very much value in cash and/or cash equivalents,

I was considering a possibility where we can store our emergency funds in other asset that could retain the value we put in it, since generally cash suffers from inflation and you know there are possibilities that our emergency funds would not be used in very long period of time and could sit around for up to 6 months without been used to do anything especially if we follow a strict rule to only touch it when we have a real emergency, but the flaw to this plan IMO would be that we expect our emergency fund to be in some way very readily available when we want to use or when we encounter an emergency cause this could potentially be a huge problem for us if our emergency fund is not around when we want it. And secondly I think there are very few asset that we can consider to be very stable to hold value in such short term and how easily it would be for us to convert back to fait if we need it, this is just an idea so I would like to hear your opinion on it or if it should be written off entirely?
366  Economy / Speculation / Re: Buy the DIP, and HODL! on: April 03, 2024, 09:39:46 PM
Buying bitcoins little by little and withdrawing them to a personal wallet is the most effective way. I've been doing it for a few months and now I think I'm pretty successful even though I only have a few bitcoins at the moment. But I hesitate to buy again when the price of bitcoin becomes too expensive. Do you have an opinion? Unfortunately I just found out about this forum, if I knew about it a long time ago maybe I would have more bitcoins. Even though I've known about bitcoin for a long time, I was hesitant to start buying bitcoin for a long time before finally deciding to start buying it on binance

You know you didn't well specify if you are using the DCA method to buy bitcoin, cause if you are then buying now should not be much of a problem to you, using the DCA method helps reduces the impact of price volatility on our portfolio so even if the price were to fall now or rise now it wouldn't matter as long as you keep on buying.

IMO if you are a long term holder and want to hold bitcoin for up to 10 years or 4 years maximum then you should still be in a very early stage of accumulation and your major concern now should be buyingore bitcoin, you mentioned something about you feeling successful and you also stated in your reply to @Marvelockg that you have not accumulated much bitcoin, I not going to tell you what your target should be but I don't think you have accumulated enough bitcoin to be feeling comfortable or maybe the idea of you feeling successful is what is actually holding you back, maybe you are feeling over allocated already to bitcoin even with having such little amount it, my advice don't stop now, just continue buying and you shouldn't be feeling overly allocated if you are investing money you won't miss, every time is a good time to buy bitcoin and so is now.
367  Economy / Speculation / Re: Buy the DIP, and HODL! on: April 03, 2024, 03:03:26 AM
There are shitcoiners with legitimate confusion, and they might think that they already know about bitcoin or they know enough about bitcoin.. so frequently a person will not know what they don't know, so even smart people can get sucked into various shitcoin talking points without actually realizing that they have little to no clue in regards to what bitcoin is.
That's very true some persons actually think they know about bitcoin and would even engage in conversations about it but don't realise that they don't know what they are supposed to know like the empowerment side of bitcoin and how it is a better asset than other shitcoins.
Another thing is that there likely are a lot of people who have heard of the word bitcoin, and they might think that they have some kind of a decent idea what it is, yet merely hearing the word and sometimes hearing some mainstream rendition of what it is, is not enough to actually realize actually what bitcoin is.. and so actually understanding ideas of sound money might be a bit more foreign to people than we presume such a topic as "common sense" when there are a lot of ways that people can get sucked into believing they know more than they do, and it may well be a good idea for some of them to actually spend a bit of time really studying bitcoin specifically.. whether it takes 10, 50, 100, 500 or 1,000 hours of study may well vary from person to person and the kind of source materials they are studying.
IMO I think from what yoir saying there is a lesson that everyone needs to do some personal research to learn more about bitcoin and have an understanding of how it works and best to approach it, but another thing is how can these new persons understand what is a good knowledge from bad knowledge since they most likely don't know or have any idea on how to differentiate good knowledge from bad knowledge and most influenecers on social media or sources of knowledge they trust can also carry a lot of misleading information that would potentially lead them astray to shitcoins or even gambling practices like buying at low price and selling at high price, there are very few sources of good information with regards to bitcoin online, unless maybe some other communities like this forum, that information goes through confirmation from a lot of persons.
Some folks have a lot of difficulties distinguishing between good information and bad information, and they might actually believe the sources of their bad information and believe that their bad information is good information, and so when they actually come across some accurate and informative information about bitcoin, they might skeptically conclude that the good information could not be true since it conflicts with what they believe to be credible sources.
What I think is people often believe what they think would favour them and not the harsh truth, swaying words that woudl promise them huge profits would definitely sound better than someone teaching then how to build it slowly through proper planning and accumulation, so most times I still blame the reader or seekers of information cause they chose what they feel is best for them without taking time to properly validate those information if they are misleading or not.

In the end, we likely can realize that not enough people know or understand bitcoin, otherwise more people would own bitcoin.. so yeah.,. too bad that we are still in the ballpark of 1%-ish adoption.. .so people don't even realize that it is to their best interest to learn about bitcoin and get some.. and so any of us who are already in such process, we are likely 10-15 years ahead of the masses coming into bitcoin - even though there are surely some rich people who are coming into bitcoin and hoarding all the coins, but you cannot stop people from coming in and front loading their investment into BTC, just like you cannot force normies to learn about bitcoin and to get the fuck started out of their own best interest (that they don't realize), and so each person has to come to bitcoin at his/her own pace and when s/he finally figures out that it is in his/her best interest to get some.

Yep your right we are still in a very early adoption stage, so many persons doesn't know what bitcoin is or are even into bitcoin and the little who knows are divided into two categories, the once that are taking action and those that are doing nothing, even with all that is going on around bitcoin lots of folks that know about bitcoin don't even have coin in their wallet and this might be that they are crippled in their minds that they can't buy bitcoin because if the price or because they are busy gambling around with shitcoins and haven't realised that they should be accumulating bitcoin before the rest of the crowd comes in.

Yeah those with huge capital that have mostly understood that they only win in bitcoin is to have a good stake in it and are already doing so, so what can we normies do if not to try our best and accumulate what we can and as aggressive as we can, we might be able to have so much bitcoin to make us excessive wealth at once but if we keep on buying and holding with our long term plan we might still stand a chance to have huge wealth come our way maybe after 20 years of accumulation and we found out that we have even hootenanny a lot if bitcoin for ourselves.
368  Economy / Speculation / Re: Buy the DIP, and HODL! on: April 03, 2024, 01:54:14 AM
There are shitcoiners with legitimate confusion, and they might think that they already know about bitcoin or they know enough about bitcoin.. so frequently a person will not know what they don't know, so even smart people can get sucked into various shitcoin talking points without actually realizing that they have little to no clue in regards to what bitcoin is.
That's very true some persons actually think they know about bitcoin and would even engage in conversations about it but don't realise that they don't know what they are supposed to know like the empowerment side of bitcoin and how it is a better asset than other shitcoins.

Another thing is that there likely are a lot of people who have heard of the word bitcoin, and they might think that they have some kind of a decent idea what it is, yet merely hearing the word and sometimes hearing some mainstream rendition of what it is, is not enough to actually realize actually what bitcoin is.. and so actually understanding ideas of sound money might be a bit more foreign to people than we presume such a topic as "common sense" when there are a lot of ways that people can get sucked into believing they know more than they do, and it may well be a good idea for some of them to actually spend a bit of time really studying bitcoin specifically.. whether it takes 10, 50, 100, 500 or 1,000 hours of study may well vary from person to person and the kind of source materials they are studying.

IMO I think from what yoir saying there is a lesson that everyone needs to do some personal research to learn more about bitcoin and have an understanding of how it works and best to approach it, but another thing is how can these new persons understand what is a good knowledge from bad knowledge since they most likely don't know or have any idea on how to differentiate good knowledge from bad knowledge and most influenecers on social media or sources of knowledge they trust can also carry a lot of misleading information that would potentially lead them astray to shitcoins or even gambling practices like buying at low price and selling at high price, there are very few sources of good information with regards to bitcoin online, unless maybe some other communities like this forum, that information goes through confirmation from a lot of persons.

Some folks have a lot of difficulties distinguishing between good information and bad information, and they might actually believe the sources of their bad information and believe that their bad information is good information, and so when they actually come across some accurate and informative information about bitcoin, they might skeptically conclude that the good information could not be true since it conflicts with what they believe to be credible sources.

What I think is people often believe what they think would favour them and not the harsh truth, swaying words that woudl promise them huge profits would definitely sound better than someone teaching then how to build it slowly through proper planning and accumulation, so most times I still blame the reader or seekers of information cause they chose what they feel is best for them without taking time to properly validate those information if they are misleading or not.
369  Economy / Speculation / Re: Buy the DIP, and HODL! on: April 02, 2024, 09:46:14 PM
the problem is that the misconception about Bitcoin and cryptocurrency has made so many naive folks to invest into any cryptocurrency thinking that it has the potential of of increasing in similar proportion with bitcoin and although some project might have had a positive trend  afterwards it's always meters down the road which should have thought those folks great lesson that Bitcoin stands as an exception to whatever crypto project that comes up. Imagine he invested such amount into Bitcoin? Do you know how strong his portfolio would have been? Even when some folks think that after stacking up a good amount of Bitcoin and have probably made a good amount of profit that it's now time to sell some and diversify it into other areas and then you're considering investing your profit into an altcoin or a meme project? One of the things we need to learn in our quest to multiplying our income is that the source that gives you those profit you're considering using to invest into another project remains your most reliable source you shouldn't play with for any reason. Well, these are all stories that don't count at the moment and I just hope he has learned the right lesson by now.


What misconception are you talking about, everyone knows that there is a clear margin between shitcoins and bitcoin, yeah bitcoin might be a cryptocurrency but that doesn't make crypto currency BITCOIN there is a clear difference, how would someone just invest in a shitcoin thinking that it would give the Same result as bitcoin, the truth is that most persons that are investing in shitcoins are just gamblers and they already know the risk involved and that why I don't pity them, so yeah don't try to show pity by giving an excuse that they were under the ignorance of misconception, their knew the risk they took it and they also know that bitcoin was a better option but were looking for quick gains and they felt the hard side of messing around with their money.
370  Economy / Speculation / Re: Buy the DIP, and HODL! on: April 02, 2024, 03:01:59 PM

I saw this on X, formally known as Twitter, and I decided to share it here so that some people can see the reason why JayJuanGee keeps saying we should not invest in altcoins and shitcoins.
This is something serious, from a $10k purchase of that shitcoin to $129, I strongly believe it is a memecoin, just what they are known for. I am still on the thought as of why people will prefer embarking on investment like this, I see people here who call it greed, seems like I have no other choice than to accept as fact. Excessive haunt for profit has ruined many investors and investment, these investors are completely aware about the effect and repercussions of dealing with massive funding into shitcoins if it goes the wrong way, at which it is clear that these shitcoins are 99% expected to dump than pump. It is now a matter of had I know, he should have insisted on investing in Bitcoin but his pursuit for bigger profits has landed him in a doom.

It doesn't matter whether if it's a meme or just another shit project, just imagine how much he has lost, and you would still find some persons talking about diversifying into altcoins on this trend as tho they have any value in them, if this guy had used this 10k to start his bitcoin investment journey and maybe splits the amount into 4 parts and used a part to front load his investment with a lump sum buy he would have 0.038 bitcoin right now to start his investment journey and even if you divide that amount in halve most of us here have not even been able to invest such into bitcoin since we started. We'll he got what he deserved and I think he should learn from this.
371  Economy / Speculation / Re: Buy the DIP, and HODL! on: April 02, 2024, 11:03:04 AM
That tends to be one of the additional problems when traders are failing/refusing to sufficiently/adequately account for a certain kind of exponential upwards price pressure that exist in bitcoin, so they frequently will either consider the price dynamics of bitcoin as if it were a kind of mature asset or that bitcoin is correlated with mature assets or that everything that goes up must come down and other kinds of insufficient frameworks to consider BTC's price dynamics and potentials that end up costing them a lot of money for not sufficiently/adequately account for such, even when they might have had been successful in their execution of trades for many repeated times, it might ONLY take one or two wrong calls to either completely or mostly wipe them out of both their previous profits and then potentially sufficiently reduce their principle too.

IMO this is a clear reason why anyone who wants to accumulate bitcoin for long term should stay away from any scheme that has something to do with selling and if you look at the risk involved and we were to give a possibility of the outcome that buying back would be possible then we could  be stuck there because there are too many uncertainties involved and no-one can really tell if that risk even has a 0% possibility of happening( my reason beign that just as you said they forget that bitcoin is still an early asset and has more possibility of going even higher and never returning to old prices and even so bitcoinis a very unpredictable asset), then at this point it is more like a gamble and why would anyone who really has good plans to buy more bitcoin consider this as part of his strategy.

Besides if you really wanted to accumulate more bitcoin then you should be more concerned with looking for means to increase our finances to be able able to buy more bitcoin( this could include having multiple income streams or finding ways to move some value we have in other asset to bitcoin just like the last example you gave where the guy has a non taxable event and is able to move up to 12k into bitcoin) which clearly has less risk(would possible pay out better)involved in it than selling to buy back unless anyone who wants to do this would be ready to accept the reality that he bitcoin price might never come back low again and he can end up buying back at an even higher rate than he sold, so this should be one of the senerios in his possible outcome and then if he still wants to proceed with the gamble, it's clearly his choice.

I do agree with you on this, another disadvantage of engaging in this kind of practices too early is the risk of getting stuck in such ways and can potentially wreak your mindset and slow down your accumulation process even more than you had intended when you felt that buying back would give you more advantage to acquire more bitcoin, and eventually you end up selling and bitcoin continues to rise and never goes low again , you are either left with two options to quit or to buy back higher and I believe that so many people that sold off to much of their bitcoin too early are in much regret right now.

I wonder if we could put this in a fair hypothetical to further explain this possibility properly.
372  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: [Merit] Share your best posts/threads with Fillippone to be merit assessed on: April 02, 2024, 07:02:50 AM
Round 1

Re: Buy the dip and hold!
Category: opinion
Section: economy speculation

Re: Buy the dip and hodl!
Category: opinion
Section: Economy speculation

Re: The sooner you find an alternative the better
Category: Opinion
Section: Local board

Re: What have you learnt from this forum that has actually saved/ you in real life.
Category: Opinion
Section: beginners and help

Re: Buy the Dip and HODL!
Category: Opinion
Section: Economy speculation
373  Economy / Speculation / Re: Buy the DIP, and HODL! on: April 01, 2024, 07:59:27 PM
Yep.. the BIG opportunity seems to presume better places to put money than bitcoin and/or to use bitcoin profits for such purposes, rather than perhaps getting the money for "Big Opportunities" from other places.

Of course, when guys are young, they are likely going to come across opportunities and also sometimes need capital to get into certain kinds of deals/arrangements... but that still might not mean it would be a good idea to use bitcoin proceeds for these kinds of matters, yet at the same time, everyone is going to have to make these kinds of choices for themselves in terms  of both balancing their finances and balancing where they have allocated their investments, whether it is time, energies and/or monetary value.

IMO I don't think that investing in bitcoin should/would stop anyone from taking advantage of other opportunities that involve money, if you are following the plan of investing with your disposable income(money you won't miss) then it shouldn't be a problem for you cause this would be only a small percentage of your income and yeah if some sudden even occurs and you need immediate cash then you have your reserves to save you and I feel that its also good we have other savings apart from our bitcoin investment, so this can be used for other stuffs too.

Yeah, some members might have more financial abilities than the hypothetical guys and other members might have to divide the number by 10 in order for the hypothetical to be realistic or to make sense in comparison to their own circumstances.

Yeah it's very possible that we all have our several financial capabilities and i feel what matters most is for each of us to have good mentality with regards to how we approach our investment, cause someone with a good income and huge capital might be investing just 10% of his income to bitcoin and it woudl be quite huge for someone with smaller capital and trying to compete with them thinking that they are aggressive would end you up In a mess, so a lot of lessons are to be learnt from your last post with regards to each of us doing what we can and maintain a stead fast DCA approach.
374  Economy / Speculation / Re: Buy the DIP, and HODL! on: March 31, 2024, 02:38:44 PM
We invest in Bitcoin and many use a variety of strategies. My strategy is that I split the hold into two sections. And the first hold is until the 2028-2032 halving (more likely longer if needed), and my second hold is for every halving bull run. I am thinking of keeping the hold which I have followed the DCA method till the year (2028-2032) of course. This is how I plan my investment strategy according to the road map.

Is quite a strategy you have there but don't you think that holding for 2032 seem a little too short because normally holding should be from ten years and above and also one thing we most also understand is that even if you decide to hold for 20 years but doesn't have a good amount of Bitcoin on your portfolio you could end up waiting for the 20 years without any good returns, actually the reason why I brought this issue is that so many people have different mindset and perspective about Bitcoin investment especially the new ones because I over heard a begginner planning to invest a certain small amount of money into Bitcoin with the believe of having a huge return in the future without knowing he could wait for that long without getting a tangible profits at the end.

So actually the only way someone could expect a good return from Bitcoin in the future is that after you have drawn your plan for ten or more years holding you should continue your regular accumulation of Bitcoin, however let's say your targets is achieving $24k in ten years, if your cash flow is enough you could strategize your accumulation in $50 weekly and within ten years you could be surprised to see how far you have gone.

I know that everyone has his opinion and plan on how long they want to hold their bitcoin which should normally be from 4-10 years and up to 20 years for persons younger than the age of 20 or 20 years, and what I believe everyone should understand and consider when making such decision is that the longer you hold your bitcoin the more possibility of having more profits on your investment and that is because of bitcoin compounding value. Wanting to hold for 4 years is not entirely a bad idea and that is if you are close to retirement or already at retirement and don't have enough time to get to a fuck you status level in bitcoin, you can just try to accumulate as much as you can and have a good portfolio within that 4 years if accumulation and then you can start applying whatever selling strategies you have in mind( best option read thread on Jay substainable withdrawal method) and another thign you must have in mind is that planing to hold for 4 years not not your coins or your buys would be matured in that 4 years of accumulation and yeah there is possibility that they have not added in value as much as you want.

IMO anyone thinking about investing little in bitcoin and expecting a huge return is a gambler and he should better fix that mindset and approach, bitcoin is rarely a get rich quick scheme and moreover the plan is to have enough value stored in bitcoin so it is able to provide dividends for you maybe at retirement or to accomplish whatever plan you had in mind when you started investing.
375  Economy / Speculation / Re: Buy the DIP, and HODL! on: March 31, 2024, 02:02:06 AM
There surely are balances that need to be struck, and sometimes it can be quite difficult to even invest more than 10% of your income, so each of us has to figure out how much we are able to do, that might also involve tradeoffs that we make in terms of gaining job skills and/or experiences that might contribute to our abilities to earn more later down the road...so yeah, it seems that you overall understood these comparative matters, even though you seemed to be fighting with the hypothetical in several areas, too.

You know no-one can be as good as you in cooking up this hypothetical but we do our best to understand you and it sure passes a lot of message, after reading through all your quote I started seeing what you were trying to explain and I noticed that you tried to keep the senerio equal for each of them, I maybe got a little confused or maybe trying to suggest something outside the context, but anyway I'm good now, I've understood you quite well.

Your very right, not everyone would be able to invest up to 10% of his income into bitcoin for different reasons and some cam be because they feel they need all their income for various other things, so yeah the guys in the hypothetical are already very unique for been able to invest up to that % of their income into any asset at all. IMO I think for anyone to be able to invest in bitcoin is not really a rocket science, everyone just needs to figure out what they can be able to invest into bitcoin and DCA makes it better you can invest at intervals that suite your income, not everyone must go up to 10% weekly and just like guy 1 although he wasn't too aggressive like other guys in the hypothetical he was able to still have a hood value in bitcoin over the years, so if anyone wants to invest we should try not to be too competitive with ourselves because in some way many of us here might have disclosed how much we have or are Currently allocating to bitcoin and end up wearing themselves trying to meet up, so in conclusion your hypothetical passes a lot of message on how we can stay in our own lane and do what we can.
376  Economy / Speculation / Re: Buy the DIP, and HODL! on: March 30, 2024, 10:38:00 AM

This is a good point.

A person might want to be as aggressive as he can be within his own means to acquire as many bitcoin as he is able to do, and there is nothing wrong with that as long as he does not cause something like the wealth (or the earlier BTC adoption) of someone else to cloud his own visions regarding some of his own limits.

There is no problem with some healthy levels of competition, since it is quite likely that many of us engage in a certain level of competition, yet there are also some needs for measuring our own levels of aggressiveness in reasonable kinds of ways in order that we do not end up overdoing it or even contributing to our own levels of becoming too emotional in the ways that we are investing and/or protecting ourselves..  

Let's say for example, there are two guys of very similar economic status and maybe in their early 30s, and maybe they earn around $40k per year and they are able to save and/or invest around $4k (10%) to $10k (25%) per year - depending on how aggressive they are or how much they had been building up their investment portfolios.. so if each of them had been investing and/saving for 10 years, there could be quite a bit of variance in both the size of their investment portfolio and also what is contained in their investment portfolio, and after 10 years investing,

Guy1-  Earlier bitcoin investor with 10% investment -  might have around $40k invested - but he discovered bitcoin 7 years ago.. so he has around $22k invested into traditional investments  like stocks ($8k in his first 2 years and then $14k in his last 7 years).. and around $18k invested into bitcoin at $50 per week that resulted in about 2 BTC.  If we assume around a 50% increase in the value of his traditional investment, his total investment portfolio is worth about $161k ($21k stocks + $140k BTC)

Guy2- Later Bitcoin investor with 25% invested -  might have $100k invested but only invested into traditional investments of stocks, and just discovered BTC... so the total value of his investment portfolio might be around $150k.. so this guy surely could catch up to the earlier guy by starting to invest aggressively into bitcoin at around $200 per week (or even lump sump moving some of his earlier investment into BTC), yet it does not seem as practical to lump sum invest with all of it, so he has to find some  kind of a balance and then start to pursue bitcoin with $200 per week and he will likely end up passing up the guy who is ONLY investing 10% of his income.. and perhaps only 5% into bitcoin.

On the other hand, if there were a third guy (guy3) with the same demographics as the other two and a 15% per year investment of his salary which would be $6k per year and a total of $60k invested over 10 years -  but who had taken both a more aggressive bitcoin stance and a more aggressive overall investment stance than the 10% guy but not as aggressive as the 25% guy, yet who had also discovered bitcoin around 7 years ago and who had been investing into bitcoin for the last 7 years at $100 per week, and who continues to invest at $100 per week.. so his total portfolio has $23,500 invested into stocks and then $36,500 invested into bitcoin with 4 BTC accumulated  So his total portfolio would be $315k ($35k stocks and $280k BTC)

The second guy who is investing 25% per year for the past 10 years is the most aggressive of the three investors, yet his total portfolio has performed the worst over the past 10 years, and since in this scenario, he had just discovered bitcoin, he surely could catch up and pass the first guy in a fairly short period of time, yet if those two guys were to maintain their same pace, it could take him 15-20 years to catch up to the third guy since the third guys in not overly aggressive, but he is maintaining a pretty good pace of $100 per week, and he might never catch up to the third guy unless he increases his income and/or cuts his expensive, but he might not have as much room to work with since he is already aggressively investing 25% of his income at $200 per week-ish, so it is not always easy to either increase your income or decrease your expenses in order to be able to invest more, so in some sense, the second guy just has to continue to invest at his own pace and there may be some points in which he ends up catching up to the third guy. but surely no guarantees and probably no reason to really overly stress out about.

Amongst all three it seems that the second person has a far more better investment stance than the first and slightly better than the third and this is because he was a little fairly aggressive than the first person and continued to input 25% to his weekly DCA buying (And its clear from your explanation that all of them had equal financial capability and probably also had figured out their cashflow very well, meaning that they all had equal ability to be aggressive as the second person but for one reason or the other did not, maybe cause they are also feeding other asset alongside bitcoin),  I know that clearly the time he started has put him at quite a disadvantage compared to how well his other fellows investment are doing and how long they have been into it, and from your explanation he had already invested 100k in traditional investments which should already be bringing in some dividends by now that he could use to front load his investment at some point, but this would only be achieved if he realises at some point that bitcoin is a more better asset than the rest and decides to have more value in it then liquidating some asset is possible, just like Micheal saylor that sold most of his MSTR shares just to buy more bitcoin, IMO if the second guy wants to catch up at some point he must actually have to take a different approach than just the normal consistency, he has to also adopt other buying the dip strategies and maybe more investment into bitcoin with lump sum, but yeah it has to be done in a way that he won't be messing up himself too much and maybe spread his aggression over the years so that his other asset can still be generating extra income for him to invest in bitcoin.

The third person is also having a good portfolio and that is because he was fairly aggressive to invest in bitcoin and maybe at some point reduced his allocations to other asset.

My lesson from this is simple, get started early, now is early for me that started 2 months ago to invest and if I maintain my consistency with a little aggression like third cause I'm not well able now to be like the second untill I have an income raise then I'll be far better than someone who is going to start investing later in the future.
377  Economy / Speculation / Re: Buy the DIP, and HODL! on: March 29, 2024, 06:00:00 PM

Most importantly every bitcoin investor should know that Bitcoin is an investment that is invented for long term purpose, so as an investor you have position your mind in the long-term benefit because you may not be able to achieve your goals within a short period of time, choose bitcoin, choose buying and forgetting for a long term holding.
maybe you should understand that Bitcoin was not created initially as an asset for investment or profit making purpose but was rather created  to allow a peer to peer electronic cash system, the intention was to create a currency that would allow people to transact directly without the need for banks or governments regulations but along the line, considering the volatile nature of Bitcoin we now understand that by buying and holding on to our Bitcoin, we can actually have profits and good returns in the long run which makes it an investible asset.

I understand that as long as we are considering buying Bitcoin for the sake of the profit we intend getting out of it, long term holding is always going to be preferable to any other options like short term investment but let's get the fact right that Bitcoin was not invented for only the long term bases. There are people that don't buy Bitcoin because they necessarily want to make any huge profit out of thier holdings, for some, it might just be a perfect option to save their fiat such that inflation doesn't affect it and even though they are able to leave it for a year or two, it might work well for them. But for us here that are interested in making good profit out of our investment, there is no two ways about it and I totally agree with you that long term investment is the best way to go if we want yo make profit out of it.

Yeah bitcoin wasn't really created as an investment opportunity but as it is I'll rather say this is the stage of adoption of bitcoin that we are in now, people have to get attracted to something new through a part of it and at this point investing in bitcoin as an asset, bitcoin also offers a lot more than just profits, they are a lot of other empowerment that it offers.

- As a good means to store value: fait is continually beign printed everyday and this means that it has an infinite supply and therefore due to the law of scarcity fait is flawed cause it is always readily available and the value would continue to decrease, but bitcoin on the other hand has a fixed supply so you should worry less about inflation of Value,

For instance if you save your money in fait like having 30$ in the bank and you keep for 2 years when you come to your money , it won't be worth as much as it was when you kept it cause inflation would have eaten a lot of its value up since more money has been printed since youblast kept your money, but if you kept 30$ in Bitcoin, not only would it appreciate in value but it would also retain that 30$ value that it once had, so 30$ in Bitcoin is better than 30$ in fait, so this is also one of the other empowerment that it offers.

You can add privacy to that list and many others.
378  Economy / Speculation / Re: Buy the DIP, and HODL! on: March 28, 2024, 05:57:20 PM
I left for a while to get ahead with some research concerning what DCA is all about, so basically it's all about splitting your capital into equal parts and investing then on intervals, so let's say I have 500$ to invest in bitcoin, I can just divide it into 4 parts which would be 125$ and invest them weekly,
Not exactly what they mean. Because from your explanation you sound like dividing your income into 4 parts and be investing %25 every week, if that is what you mean you got it wrong. Investing in  DCA can be quit different from people narrative, First of all you have to get a job which either pays you weekly or monthly if for example you get a weekly payments of about $100 just for example, you may decide to split it into 4  parts which may be 25 * 4 $25 for bitcoin Investment &25 for emergency $25 for reserved fund $25 for feeding and note my application might differ from your own you can as well invest as low as $10 in Bitcoin per week $20 for emergency $20 for reserved and $50 for feeding depending on how large your house hold may be . But if you are Alone you may decide to also invest $30 in Bitcoin per week and program the rest as it suites you. DCA strategy is just a strategy to accumulate btc per week by buying bitcoin in fraction or Little portion and also setting aside some other fund so that it will not affect your accumulated btc by selling it off when it's not yet time. And mind you in which ever way you decide to split your investment it doesn't matter what matters is how you can be able to maintain the system of accumulation continuously without having a thought of selling the btc, because the btc holding is the main Target 🎯 so selling it when it's not yet time is just like wasting your time.

and I learnt we do this to reduce the impact of market volatility on out investment.
According to what I have learnt so far the reason for DCA is to relieve or save yourself from the stress of not knowing when to buy, since bitcoin is volatile The practice changes at any given time so now the DCa help you to buy
Btc at any given time basically weekly. Sometimes you May buy when the price is low and also by when the price is high. When you buy in some week it is low, you are indirectly replenishing the lost value when you bought higher. So DCA is the best sofar in investment strategy it's a middle man between dip and HODL and lump-sum.

Exactly, I just realized that last line. And I'll be sure to pass that information around the forum, to those who need it. Anyway, so, it's safe to say that DCA is a pocket friendly investment plan. You also don't need to time the market, since you'll be buying weekly.
You don't only buy on weekly basis and there are
major factors to be considered in selecting the intervals of your dca which includes the following.

1. Your investment goals as regards to time horizons

2. Your financial situation

3.  Market trends.

You can click here for more details https://kriptomat.io/finance-investing/how-to-choose-the-right-interval-for-your-dca-strategy/#:~:text=Investment%20goals%3A%20Your%20time%20horizon,advantage%20of%20quicker%20market%20movements.


@Kwarkam I think it's best you get started with accumulating bitcoin than getting more knowledge that you are not using, the only way to get ahead and really achieve any result is to start buying bitcoin and worry less about the best way, its been said on this thread so many times that you can't know all the details untill you get started yourself, so instead of getting these information just to pass them around you would better start using them for yourself.

@tmooz your right a lot of thigns can actually affect how we plan our DCA buying and one of the can be our investment goals, if someone is planing on getting to a particular level in his bitcoin holdings he would actually need to allocate more disposable cash into bitcoin, and if the person has more time line to invest he can put more of his disposable can into bitcoin without been affected by it in any way.

Beign smart to invest more in bearish market is a smart move to get ahead in investing but that does is not the case for new investors that needs to start buying bitcoin than to be bothered about when is best to buy bitcoin.
379  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: The marvellous events that shaped bitcoin history on: March 28, 2024, 03:58:11 PM
Really awesome curation but I can tell you OP that you can still improve and make this post of yours more beautiful, it's a wall of text right now and I don't think that anyone would get any interest just reading them plain, make it more appealing, I'm sure that there's a way for you to do that, you can also put the date of the important events next to the name of those events, there's a lot of people that would appreciate if they know the date.

I am not going to lie when I opened this post it gave me nothing but headache. All the red bold letters and large sizes of fonts aren't really as appealing or as eye-catching as you might think it is. It is also not any more impressive if you write this much long posts

Readers would appreciate if all information were concise and filled with only relevant information according to the topic at hand.

Yes you are right that is such a pyramid post it should be more concisely arranged such that it can become more appealing in the eyes of any readers with notable heading and subheadings, and a brief summary of the whole context in a more presentable manner. Yes I tried reading but a few of it.

I don't see any reason anyone would be going through all this stress to create such a lengthy post, and anyone who is interested in knowing this can search it online, you woudl have better just collected important information like date and major events and remove the sonmany write ups, its so boring to read. And it's so much text, we can't can't have a discussion on this kind of stuff
380  Economy / Speculation / Re: Buy the DIP, and HODL! on: March 26, 2024, 11:26:15 PM
and during periods that you feel that you have more than enough BTC, then you can start to be more strategic in terms of waiting with some of your buys, but if you wait too much, then you might end up screwing things up and holding too much dollars when the BTC price is shooting up.

In the last 6-9 months, we had a lot of folks waiting for lower BTC prices, and they kind of got fucked and they might have been better just to keep buying as their paycheck comes in... or however they are authorizing their BTC purchases.

From your explanation, you said if we feel we have enough bitcoin then applying waiting strategies would be fine, meaning that those that are still early in bitcoin should focus more on DCA buying so they don't get distracted or miss out on good opportunities to buy.

I think using dip buying as a primary strategy is not smart for a beginner cause it involves too much timing of the market and most of them haven't even gotten a good portfolio yet and they are already distracted by dip buying which can in turn slow down their accumulation process, like you said before, I think as a newbie we should focus more on consistent buying than waiting on dips unless we have reserves we can use for such.
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