The market got over that rate hike pretty quickly and does appear to be back into rally mode. I’m still expecting we end the month at $30K but we’re running out of time. One good push from here should do it though and with today’s price action I still think it will happen. I think at that point we might start seeing average Joe’s begin to have FOMO.

I’m waiting to see if the NBA takes action against Luka for his complaints about the referees. There’s a clip of him accusing the refs of having bet money on the Warriors due to how bad the officiating was. With all the trouble the NBA has had with gambling and refs, that’s not a comment to make lightly. I sort of expect we’ll soon hear about a $25,000 fine in the next few hours.

Arrested with false documents isn’t a good look for Do Kwon at all. That will likely mean he won’t be able to bail out of jail due to being a flight risk (as if he wasn’t already), which means it’s possible that Do Kwon may not see himself outside of a prison for many years. I’m not sure what he was thinking. It seems like he let the money get to his head.

I’m not all that confident in altcoin mining’s future at the moment. Especially with relation to GPUs. I feel like ASIC manufacturers have streamlined things to where GPU mined coins have to play games to keep from being gamed. I’m sure there will always be a market for GPU mining, but for me personally, I’d like to see a successful coin be mined with GPUs like Ethereum was before I’d start plotting a future in GPU mining.

I was surprised to read that Holly Holm was given a six-fight contract with the UFC.  I figured her fighting days were behind her after taking down Ronda Rousey in one of the biggest upsets ever, who everyone thought was unbeatable.  That was a while ago and Holly wasn't a spring chicken back then, so it's surprising to see she's signing long fight deals with the UFC while Ronda Rousey is messing around with fake wrestling.  Congrats to Holly, and while I'm surprised, that seems to be the trend with her.  Surprising everyone.  Let's see what she does next.

I see people all the time thinking they can buy a casino script from a stranger and then suddenly be running a massive online casino.  I guess my first question to people who think this way is this...  Would you deposit money and gamble on a site that bought a casino script from someone on an online forum?  I think the odds are extremely high you would end up with a casino that is full of backdoors and as an operator, going this route would seemingly display that you aren't willing to put in the hard work and effort necessary to make a casino a success.  Just my two cents, which are quite possibly worthless.

They’re only 1/2 a game back from being in the play-in tournament. They’ve also won 6 of their last 10, so I think they can easily make the play-in tournament unless they have a serious breakdown. Their problem is the Pelicans are also 1/2 a game back so it’s a crowded race for that play-in tournament at this point. Still, I think I’d the Lakers win half their remaining games they’ll make the play-in.

Edit: With Zion now expected to be healthy for the playoffs, you can expect the Pelicans to make a push here...

I don’t see how this could possibly work. Gambling on scripted matches is basically legalized scamming if you know any of the people involved who can give you a heads up beforehand. I imagine if this is allowed to happen going forward, there will be scandals galore. Even if you were honest and one of your friends made a lot of money betting on your match, you’re likely to be investigated. It just seems like a terrible idea.

It probably isn’t the worst idea to make a little comment somewhere before changing your password and changing emails is a pretty good sign an account has been sold or hacked.

I only say to mention changing your password in advance because you never know who is watching and might jump to conclusions. This thread was created last time I updated my password.

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5444952.0

This is what I expected. The bond market has been predicting this and historically speaking the bond market has always been the best predictor of what the fed will do. I think this is likely to be the last interest rate hike of the cycle. It’s clear that going higher from here will cause a long recession and while that would make inflation appear to be under control, it would be a disaster for the economy. They need to pause now.

I’m a believer that Bitcoin’s price is a 4-year fractal pattern. With this thinking I had expected a peak of $200K in December of 2021. However, FTX apparently was taking people’s money for BTC and spending it on shitcoins, thus manipulating the price downward. This is what I believe kept the last peak from happening. If you believe that as well, then you could make the case for a $800K BTC by the end of 2025. That is if no shenanigans happen again this time.

A great night of basketball ahead of us as TNT has two great games being nationally televised tonight. First, it’s the Warriors vs the Mavericks then the late game is between the Lakers and the Suns. A shame LeBron and KD will both be out. That would have been a game for the ages. Unfortunately, we’ll have to wait for a possible playoff matchup if we want to see that.

For me the biggest thing is reputation. All else is secondary. It’s impossible to enjoy your gambling experience if it’s all fake and your coins are stolen the second they’re deposited. Besides some sites being thieves, there’s also incompetence. Did they buy the software from someone who left a back door? Will the entire site be hacked and have funds stolen? These types of things can happen if you aren’t using reputable services.

It is a good looking coin. I’m not sure this is the sort of thing people want to support by purchasing though. I have no idea who is behind it, but it’s pretty clear that all they did was rip off designs from Mike Caldwell and Mick Bruce then combine them into a single coin. Unless they paid Mike and Mick or at the very least sent them free coins and got their approval, I don’t think it’s appropriate to support this.

The rise over the last three months has definitely been exciting and profitable for those who are holding BTC. The explosion off the bottom continues and I think it’s more likely than not that we end the month at $30K. I’ll admit I though global recession fears had a good chance of keeping Bitcoin down this cycle, but I forgot that Bitcoin doesn’t care about politics.

I can’t explain it but Orlando has been playing really well lately. Ever since they traded Mo Bamba to the Lakers they’ve been beating some good teams. I’ve been avoiding betting against them for that reason alone. I don’t expect that team to do much and maybe they’re winning because teams underestimate them, but I’d be careful betting against them unless they’re playing really good teams.

I agree that money "you can afford to lose" is different for everyone.  As a teenager, I couldn't afford to lose $10K.  It would have bankrupted me and left me homeless.  Even half that much would have been life altering.  I don't think there's any exact answer, but for me personally I think money I can't afford to lose would be any amount that brings me unhappiness or costs me my time feeling bad over.  If I'm losing time thinking about a dumb decision that cost me money, I lost too much.  It helps me to think about what I could have done with the money.  If I can afford to buy a girl a drink, then I can afford to lose $20.  It also matters how you "lost" it.  I've "lost" money where it was worth the entertainment value.

Obviously buying the dips is better than buying the peaks.  However, the important thing to remember is that you need to buy to benefit from Bitcoin or earn it in some other way.  I know a lot of people who watched me get "into" Bitcoin over the years and always said they'd buy at this level or when this happened, but they never do or they buy and then sell almost immediately when they didn't get rich overnight.  So buy low or buy high, but make sure you buy something (or earn it, trade for it, etc.).  Don't be that guy on the sidelines talking about how you knew Bitcoin was going to be the next global reserve currency but you were too busy doing other things to benefit from it.

On the flipside of this topic.  Is there anyone out there who has spent time trying to promote their referral bonus links in order to get more people under their referral plan?  It seems like such a thing would be highly profitable if you could get your referral link onto search engines for people looking to gamble or whatever else it is that you're promoting for referral fees.  I've seen people make a career out of similar advertising efforts, but I'm not sure if anyone out there is doing this or not.  I imagine if you were able to get a few big players under you that it would be extremely profitable.  However, just adding a referral link to your signature is probably not going to make you too much.

I've decided to start posting some of the personal message questions I receive asking questions to the threads so that others with the same questions can have them answered as well.  This one seemed like a good one as I'm not sure how often I've posted the amount of stock remaining.


There are currently 82 of the 1oz all silver coins left for sale in the NastyShop (2 have been labeled errors to be destroyed so the publicly available information shows 84 left).  This was out of a total of 450.  There were also 50 gold highlighted versions created, but they have all been sold.  This information is publicly available here: https://nastyfans.org/mint.json in case anyone wanted to be able to figure this information out on their own in the future.  As always, they can be purchased here: https://nastyfans.org/mint