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3661  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Being Russia and Russian now on: May 04, 2023, 11:16:17 AM
Various US sanctions on Russia have not changed Russia's economic situation. Russia's economic situation is the same as it was before the war with Ukraine, even after the US sanctions. Some Russians are working in a project in our country and when asked about the condition of their country, they say that their families are not facing any problem, their families are moving as before, there is no unrest in the country, prices of daily necessities and other things are normal. That is, according to the Russian person, they are not yet worried about such a war situation in their country.

The so called sanctions will negatively impact the western nations more than the Russians themselves. Russia is one of the top producers of various mineral resources and during the past decade they have boosted the agricultural output by several times. Western nations, as a result of their stupid sanctions are cutting themselves off a large share of the global supplies. Russia mostly imports electronics, pharmaceuticals and other finished goods. And supplies from western nations are currently being replaced with those from China. Ordinary Russians are not facing any sort of shortages, while back in Germany heavy engineering and metallurgical plants are being closed down due to the high prices of gas and electricity.
3662  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ODI cricket and general cricketing discussion [self - mod] on: May 04, 2023, 11:01:38 AM
I heard PCB Chairmen Najam Sethi on local news channel saying that cancellation of Asia Cup will cost Pakistan 3 Million US dollars and its a big amount for PCB under given financial crisis. But PCB is willing to bear this loss as its now matter of self respect. I don't understand that if BCCI has issue playing with Pakistan then why they always willing to welcome Pakistan in there country but not willing to come to Pakistan.

Monetary losses incurred by Pakistan maybe reimbursed by the ACC. But what about the lost chances for Nepal? Back in 2006, they qualified for the Asia Cup for the first time. But India refused to participate in the tournament and therefore it was cancelled. ACC compensated the host nation, but Nepal never got another chance to participate in the Asia Cup. And now after 17 years, they have once again qualified for the Asia Cup. Once again BCCI is forcing the cancellation of the tournament. It may not matter much for Pakistan, but it is another setback for Nepal.
3663  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: T20 and T20I cricket prediction and discussion on: May 04, 2023, 10:48:01 AM
Rohit Sharma's performance in IPL this season is not very good. The team's expectations were higher from an experienced opener like Rohit Sharma. But even if Rohit can't bat well, Mumbai's batting line-up is very strong. The team is not facing many problems due to batting. However, Mumbai's bowling line-up is weak. Mumbai has lost 4 out of 9 matches. And I would say in every match the main reason for Mumbai's defeat was their poor bowling.

Well.. their bowling spearhead is injured (Jasprit Bumrah). On top of that Jofra Archer has just returned from an injury break and therefore he hasn't yet found his rhythm. As a result of all this, Mumbai Indians are heavily dependent on younger and inexperienced players such as Arshad Khan, Kumar Kartikeya and Akash Madhwal. And the problem with younger players is that they can be inconsistent. If the bowling was up to the mark, then Mumbai could have been topping the table right now, as their batting is quite strong. 
3664  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Indian Premier League #IPL on: May 04, 2023, 10:35:12 AM
Sunrisers Hyderabad will have the home advantage, as the match is scheduled to take place at the Rajiv Gandhi International Stadium in Uppal. And both these teams need a win today, to keep their chances of playoff entry alive. Harry Brook scored a big hundred when these teams met before, but that was his only significant contribution so far in this tournament for the SRH. For KKR, the biggest worry is the lack of form from Andre Russell. As a result, most of the burden is now falling on Venkatesh Iyer, along with Rinku Singh and Nitish Rana.
3665  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ODI cricket and general cricketing discussion [self - mod] on: May 04, 2023, 10:25:27 AM
With rumours floating about the cancellation of Asia cup 2023. I found an article that states neither it would be postponed nor it will be cancelled. PCB has given a hybrid proposal but it doesn't make any sense to me. BCCI and now SCB wants the venue to be completely shifted to UAE.

Already Star Sports has purchase the media rights of the Asia cup and I do not think it will be possible for ACC to cancel this tournament. I am not sure of credibility of this article but if you read it full, it does make sense.

Source

This demand is completely unfair. Although I am an Indian, I don't agree with the stance taken by the BCCI. They are misusing their dominant position. This time it was the turn of Pakistan to host this event. PCB has never objected to participating in any of the tournaments that are hosted by India. It is the BCCI who always do that. They know that without their participation, the TV broadcasters will pull out from the deal. BTW, I don't understand what is the issue for SLCB. Anyway the best thing for ACC to do would be to replace India with an associate team and then impose a financial penalty on the BCCI which is equal to the loss incurred as a result of their pullout.
3666  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: T20 and T20I cricket prediction and discussion on: May 04, 2023, 07:37:35 AM
Mumbai Indians were not willing to lose to Punjab Kings for the second time. That is why Mumbai Indians were able to over come 214 runs in the last match. Mumbai Indians finished the game in 18.5 overs. This year's IPL seems completely different to me. Anything can be done in favor of any team. Rohit Sharma failed for Mumbai Indians last match. Instead of Rohit Sharma two players Ishan Kishan and Suryakumar Yadav managed to fill his place in the team. Along with that Tilak Varma also perform good innings in the last match.

Rohit is not performing consistently so far in this season. But luckily for him Mumbai Indians batting lineup is packed with T20 specialist batsmen. Even if one or two of them fail, others are there to rescue them. The situation is much different when we compare Mumbai with teams such as Delhi (which is overdependent on David Warner) and RCB (dependent on Kohli-Faf-Maxwell). During the last match also, despite the failure from Rohit Sharma and Cameron Green, the two top order batsmen (Ishan Kishan and Suryakumar Yadav) got Mumbai to a comfortable position before Tim David and Tilak Varma took over. 
3667  Economy / Economics / Re: Russian Gas ban - A problem for Europe or suicide for Russia? on: May 04, 2023, 07:25:57 AM
The refineries these days seem to be very active in many countries and have turned into a big source of income for those countries. The "big shuffle" that I talked about over a year ago has given a life to that industry specially with light oil coming from Russia which is easy to refine (as opposed to the heavy oil found in places like Venezuela and US).

P.S. Another US oil tanker (Niovi) was just seized. This time it is a much bigger one with a capacity of about 2 million barrels of oil... lol

Crude oil was trading at $40 per barrel in 2020. Now it is trading at $80. So even after taking in to account of all the discounts from Russia, and the profits from exporting refined fuel, here in India we are facing a very difficult situation. Only the US and OPEC nations are benefiting from this war, as they are making tens of billions of USD in profit each months by exporting LNG and crude oil to the EU. But countries like India are suffering, as a result of increased prices for LNG, crude oil, wheat, coal and sunflower oil. And obviously, countries like the US who are benefitting from this war doesn't want the conflict to end anytime soon.
3668  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Being Russia and Russian now on: May 04, 2023, 06:58:53 AM
We do not know exactly how many people live in the Russian Federation.... 

The population census in Russia was conducted during the Covid-19 coronavirus pandemic and was, in fact, a purely formal event.  After the announcement of partial military mobilization, a very large number of young people of childbearing age left Russia. 

This is the gene pool of the nation - the most intelligent, educated and energetic people of the country. 

This is a huge loss for the future of Russia.  And a great acquisition for those countries where these people emigrated.

According to some sources, close to 1 million people emigrated from Russia since the start of the war in February 2022. But most of these people will eventually return to Russia, as they are on temporary permits and mostly residing in various CIS nations such as Georgia, Kazakhstan and Kyrgyzstan. These CIS nations are not very happy with the influx, but they will tolerate for sometime because the emigrants are spending a lot of money and it is boosting the local economy. On the other hand, Ukraine's loss of manpower is permanent.
3669  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ UEFA Euro 2024 in Germany ⚽ - Qualifiers on: May 04, 2023, 06:42:33 AM
I think the analysis forgets the fact that the names he replaced are much better than the players that they have now. Sure they have some good players, but to say Livakovic as one of the best goalkeepers in the world now? That seems like overrating him a bit, maybe barely top 10, but that's it.

To say the least, they have a roster value that is matching teams that are not even in the world cup, surely they played better than their roster value but that is exactly the reason why they are doing good. They do not have great players, they never did, they had a few here and there, but none of their players were stars aside from Modric, who is the sole ballon d'or winner during Ronaldo/Messi domination period, but this game is played with 11, so they had 10 other players who were not really finalist level good. The thing that makes Croatio good is not the players, it's the team spirit they play with.

I would consider Dominik Livaković as one of the best goal-keepers in the world right now. And you are admitting that you would include him in the top-10 list. In case he is in top-10, then automatically he becomes one of the best, right? What separates Livaković from others such as Emi Martinez, Yassine Bounou and Wojciech Szczesny? I can't find anything. IMO, he is at the same level as them. Do you remember the match between Croatia and Brazil during Qatar 2022? Croatia won the match mainly because of Livaković. Unfortunate that he didn't got the Golden Glove.
3670  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Indian Premier League #IPL on: May 04, 2023, 06:30:36 AM
The fact that Punjab Kings lost even after making such a good target and I really loved the inning from Liam Livingstone. He should have been the Man of the Match only if the ballers from PBKS did well. Rohit Sharma again getting out early is a terrible thing for the Indian team overall if we look at the WTC coming ahead after this IPL season.

Punjab bowlers were pathetic yesterday. Arshdeep conceded 66 runs from his 4 overs. It can't get any worse than this. And with Arshdeep consistency is a big issue. If the batsmen starts attacking, he rapidly loses his confidence. And Sam Curran also conceded tons of runs yesterday. Nathan Ellis was the only Punjab bowler who got it right. But Shikhar used him well before the crucial overs. He bowled the 16th over, and got the crucial wicket of Suryakumar Yadav. If he had one more over remaining, then Punjab would have won the match.
3671  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ODI cricket and general cricketing discussion [self - mod] on: May 04, 2023, 06:18:40 AM
There are rumors that the 2023 edition of the Asia Cup will be cancelled. It is going to be a big blow for Nepal. They qualified for Asia Cup, after playing so well during the ACC Premier Cup. And even back in 2006, Nepal had qualified for Asia Cup. Then also the tournament was cancelled due to tensions between India and Pakistan. And now after 17 years of wait, they got a chance to participate in the Asia Cup, and it looks as if the tournament will get cancelled once more. This is not the way to treat one of the most promising teams in associate cricket. 
3672  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: T20 and T20I cricket prediction and discussion on: May 04, 2023, 05:17:51 AM
surprisingly Pakistan won its 3 match against NZ by 26 runs..
NZ team was a bit disappointed for not being able to win the match - Pakistan has won the series already. Congrats to team Pakistan.

New Zealand worked really hard to tie the T20I series 2-2. Now they have lost the 5-match ODI series, but the margins were close and they were unlucky at times. During the second match, they got to a total of 336/5, but still lost the match after Fakhar Zaman managed to hit 180. But they should look at the positives. They were playing under hostile conditions, against some of the best international players. And they were missing some of their top players including Jamieson, Boult, Ferguson and Williamson. Given all this, they did a decent job so far.
3673  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Cricket match prediction discussions on: May 04, 2023, 03:46:18 AM
Of course, ICC is not going to invest in these countries or teams which are actually showing potential. They will invest in those teams which are not made out of native players. Which will eventually hurt the game in the long run. I am sure that ICC is thinking about money but they at least could help these teams out a little.

The officials which are running the show in the ICC are probably thinking about them not being in the authority for a long period of time. That's why they are more worried about earning a good amount of money instead of thinking about how the game can be better.

So far Indonesia has shown good improvement. I wonder how long it will take for the ICC to actually recognize these cricket teams and actually help them with some money.

I am still waiting for the news on ICC revenue distribution model for the next cycle (2024-2027). This time the revenue from media rights increased by almost 4 times and we can expect an increase in allocation for everyone. Already it is rumored that BCCI's share will be increased from 22% as of now, to around 37% (they want it to be increased even further). As of now, only around 5% of the ICC revenue ends up with the associate nations. And even in this share, teams like UAE and USA get preference due to the new performance-based system.
3674  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Test Cricket Prediction and Discussion Thread [self - mod] on: May 04, 2023, 02:52:43 AM
If we are looking at the history then yeah, i'd agree with this statement but in the last decade, Ashes become an almost one-sided affair when compared to BGT. Aussie always spanks Poms in their backyard and the latter provide some entertainment when hosting the series.

That's not the case with the BGT anymore. The last 5 BGT series have been very competitive.

England's performance in test cricket has gone down over the years, while Australia was able to maintain their quality. I don't know the exact reason, as the quality of county cricket hasn't deteriorated. In fact county championship remains as one of the top 4-day domestic competitions around the world in terms of quality. One reason maybe England players prioritizing T20 over test format. England players prioritize money over national duty, while for the Australians it is the other way around (there will be some exceptions though).
3675  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ODI cricket and general cricketing discussion [self - mod] on: May 04, 2023, 02:42:09 AM
Pakistan cricket team won by 26 runs against New Zealand cricket team in the third match of ODI series. Pakistan cricket team confirmed the series by winning three consecutive matches in ODI series. This is a big success for Pakistan cricket team. In today's match, Fakhar Zaman, Rezwan failed to bat but Babar Azam and Imam Ul Haq performed well. Today's match was a spectacular one. Intoxicated by the victory, both the teams fought a breath-taking battle. I am very happy to enjoy this match

Two more matches remain, and Pakistan has won the series 3-0. After the debacle during the T20 series, the ODI series turned out to be a morale booster for Pakistan. Their top players seems to be in great form. Fakhar Zaman managed 180 in the second ODI, which took him to the record books. As far as bowling is concerned, Shaheen Shah Afridi and Naseem Shah are doing well, with adequate support from Haris Rauf. Once again, concern regarding the spin department remains. Pakistan is still dependent on part-time spinners. They need to find a world class spinner capable of troubling batsmen.
3676  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: FIFA World Cup 2026 :Canada/Mexico/United States: Discussion Thread on: May 04, 2023, 02:32:05 AM
But Saudi Arabia won against the current champions, Argentina. That might give them a boost in the selection process.

It was perhaps the most unexpected result during Qatar 2022. No one expected Argentina to go down against Saudi Arabia, and that too in their first match. But to their credit, Argentina recovered well, and never lost another match in the tournament. Saudi Arabia on the other hand failed to qualify for the round of 16. But then, the edition of 2022 was full of surprises. Brazil lost to Cameroon, France lost to Tunisia, Germany lost to Japan and so on. I just hope that in 2026 also we will be able to witness similar upsets.
3677  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: who Want To Bet On 2024 USA elections? on: May 04, 2023, 02:22:25 AM
I am tracking the polls on Democratic Presidential Nomination, and it looks as if Joe Biden is comfortably ahead at this point. He is polling somewhere between 60% and 70%, while Kennedy at second place is polling approx. 20%. Marianne Williamson is also included in the poll, but can't get past single digits in any of them. But still I am hopeful about Robert Kennedy Jr. He very recently announced his candidature and so far he has achieved a lot of publicity. Also, he has got a lot of traction in social media platforms. 
3678  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Indian Premier League #IPL on: May 04, 2023, 02:12:11 AM
It was an expected match for Punjab Kings after the performance from Livingston, Jitesh and Shikhar Dhawan after the big target. Mumbai Indians chased the target in. Comfortable manner. Punjab Kings needs improvement from the bowling, because this will complete down the performance of batters. Arshdeep Singh is very expensive with an economy of 17.22 and Sam Curran who used to break partnership wasn't able to perform good. He's also expensive with 13.67 economy. Mumbai Indians slowly progressing on the points table.

Mumbai batting is just too strong. Even if the top 2-3 batsmen get out quickly, they have another 3-4 T20 specialists in the middle order who can easily chase 200+ totals. And yesterday apart from Nathan Ellis (who was included as an impact sub), none of the Punjab bowlers could perform well. Sam Curran had figures of 3-0-41-0. Arshdeep Singh was even worse, as he went for 3.5-0-66-1. The captain chose not to bowl Rahul Chahar and Harpreet Brar in the depth overs, else they could have got the stick as well. It was a sub-par performance from the Punjab bowlers.
3679  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: It's on! 2024 US Presidential Election Biden+Harris Vs Trump Bitcoin betting.... on: May 04, 2023, 02:02:24 AM
Yeah, Donald Trump is 76 at the moment, turning 77 in June.

He does not look that old to be honest, I genuinely thought he was in his sixties at most.

Biden on the other hand does look old and even the way he walks seems very fragile. Not a surprise he is 80.

And Trump has made use of this fact in a big way. Seriously, I don't think that Joe Biden should run for POTUS elections in 2024. American voters gave him 4 years at the top most post, and now he needs to admit that he is unfit for that job on health grounds. But one issue for Democratic Party is that they don't have a suitable candidate to replace him. At this point, Robert Kennedy Jr is the second most probable candidate, but he is strongly anti-establishment (much like Donald Trump). If Kennedy is the candidate, then he will win by a landslide. But the establishment Democrats will not allow that to happen at any cost (similar to what they did to Sanders back in 2016).
3680  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: T20 and T20I cricket prediction and discussion on: May 04, 2023, 01:52:12 AM
I would call this an unexpected performance by the Mumbai Indians. When Punjab Kings made 214 runs in thier first innings i thought it was game over for Mumbai Indians as they would not be able to chase this high score. But some good knock by Ishan Kishan and Suryakumar Yadav
made it possible.

These days it's pretty hard to predict the winners of the IPL matches and also I see teams chasing down the total successfully which may seem quite difficult to chase.

Depends on the track where the matches are being played. Yesterday's match was played in Mohali, at the Punjab Cricket Association IS Bindra Stadium. The pitch offered no assistance to the bowlers. On the other hand, the previous two matches saw teams defending totals of 130 and 126 successfully. And these matches were being played at Ahmedabad and Lucknow. And then we need to agree with the fact that Mumbai Indians do have the capability to chase 200+ totals. They have some of the most destructive batsmen in T20 cricket, including Ishan Kishan, Cameron Green, Suryakumar Yadav, Tim David and Tilak Varma. 
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