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3661  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: Avalon ASIC arrives with Chinese power chord, No paperwork or instructions. Fun! on: January 31, 2013, 08:17:35 PM
The power cord thing is typical when you order stuff from China. It's just a matter of taking the power cords from one of your current miners or an old Pentium or something.

As for the lack of instructions, I think that helps you "smuggle" it into the country. Or perhaps it could make it harder instead as you have to explain to your customs authorities what the hell this box is.

Yea! I can see it now,

Customs officer- "What is this box?"
Josh- "Here's a quarter and buy your self a clue!"
3662  Other / Meta / Re: Forum lagging hard on: January 31, 2013, 07:28:38 PM
What kind of error this could be? All the SQL-related errors that I've ever seen always ended up with a database timeout page or something equivalent.

Here the lag is at the TCP/IP level: I see half-opened connections in the SYN_SENT state. So it does look like misconfigured firewall or router. I don't even get the blank HTML page which happens with badly misconfigured or crashing web servers.

Any better ideas?
perhaps it is as DDOS from a three letter company? (Kidding)

3663  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: AVALON ASICS ARE REAL! BFL HAS NO EXCUSE FOR BEING LATE on: January 31, 2013, 05:10:51 PM
To say nothing of the fact that BFL's power claims are totally unverified. Sick to death of hearing how efficient their vaporware that's a minimum of 4 months late will be. Their track record of estimating their products' power consumption flat out sucks. At this rate, by the time BFL actually ships something Avalon may have a die shrink ready for their upgrade-able units.
Uh, I wonder if that is the reason why they are increasing their Batch order size. Perhaps they will be aiming for 90nm next?

Someone on BFL forums said that if they switch to 90nm they would halve their power use. Is that true?
3664  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: Avalon going to cut into BFL customers pocket books? on: January 31, 2013, 05:01:33 PM
There are MiniRig customers already asking big questions about the power outlet and overclocking issue. The PSU is only half the problem.

https://forums.butterflylabs.com/bfl-forum-miscellaneous/875-1-2w-per-gh-not-good-mini-rigs-2.html#post12370

BitCoin Magazine article on the FIRST ASIC hashing device. (by Avalon)

http://bitcoinmagazine.com/working-avalon-asic-confirmed/

Quote
"Now, only several minutes ago, Garzik followed up with a message on Bitcoin IRC announcing the news that Bitcoin enthusiasts everywhere have all been waiting for: “mining!”, soon followed by a statistic: the machine’s average hashrate is 68252.65 MH/s. This is about thirteen percent higher than the 60 GH/s that Avalon had originally promised, and with the state of the Bitcoin network as it currently is is no small sum; given the current total network hashrate of 22000 GH/s, Garzik will be able to earn an average of about $240 per day. Avalon’s remaining customers will also be able to enjoy highly lucrative rewards, although not quite as extreme; once all of Avalon’s 20 TH/s are added into the picture, each individual ASIC will earn about $120 per day (paying for itself in slightly under two weeks), although revenues will decrease further when Butterfly Labs’ customers get their hands on their own ASICs – an event which, given Butterfly Labs’ current shipping projections is likely to occur around the beginning of March."

https://forums.butterflylabs.com/bfl-forum-miscellaneous/837-sunday-27-jan-2013-asic-update-discussion-thread-9.html
3665  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: Avalon going to cut into BFL customers pocket books? on: January 31, 2013, 04:20:32 PM
If BFL customers consider that Avalon is upgradable (to what extent remains a question), then they may take a second look.

Assuming all modules in an Avalon case are exactly identical to each other. Then I can start mining at 65Gh/s~70Gh/s.

When the upgrades are released by Avalon, I'll have an upgrade path. With BFL none, except buying a very expensive second unit by comparison.
Are you forgetting that BFL offers a 100% trade-up program for FPGA to ASICs? And they've said that they will prolly do another similar trade-up program for 2nd gen ASICs? So how exactly does BFL have an inferior upgrade path?

Avalon: I get to buy more hardware and manually swap out the ASIC chips myself. Lucky me!
BFL: I get to mail them my old miner for a massive discount towards a new miner. Lucky me!
Well that just means Gen 2 is going to be a helluva lot more expensive, doesn't it?

What happens if the dillute the cost of each GH/s so rapidly that Gen 2 has to be uber powered in order for them to sell it as an upgrade (even with a trade in).

It is complicated game of fumbling with numbers. I would hate to be Josh's calculator right now.
3666  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: Avalon going to cut into BFL customers pocket books? on: January 31, 2013, 04:12:07 PM
This also creates quite the quandary for BFL MiniRig Owners.

They already had their units upgraded by 50%. Though they (BFL) ate through thermal headroom and power capacity built into the MiniRig to do that.

Now a few BFL MiniRig customers are asking about how they are going to power this rig from a standard wall outlet. So far silence on the subject last I checked.

If BFL raises the GH/s of one Single. Guess what?

MiniRig customers are going to complain their purchases are being diluted (@ $30k) and they want the 24 boards in the MiniRig to be just as fast.

--------------------------

The problem is of course that BFL bought those pretty expensive EVGA power supplies. Really expensive units and hardly with any discounts according to Josh from BFL.

Now what? Where do they get the extra power from? A second Power Supply? How?

What kind of wall outlet will the customer of the MiniRig need if they jump each board from 60Gh/s to 90Gh/s?

Upgrades like that aren't free you know!

There are a boatload of issues to be considered very carefully. Or people will start demanding partial refunds...if not full refunds (I doubt the latter though).
3667  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: Avalon going to cut into BFL customers pocket books? on: January 31, 2013, 03:53:46 PM
I'm not entirely sure my house is laid out to supply 3600watts over an outlet (though I know zip about electrical engineering, so maybe someone could enlighten me here).

Power, measured in Watts can be expressed as Voltage multiplied by current in Amperes. So, if you know that you will be generating 3600W over a 120VAC (nominal) circuit then you can figure you will be drawing around 30A. That is not an outrageous number of Amps for a home circuit. Typical daisy-chained outlets in a room are supplied through a 15A or 20A breaker at the box. Knowing that you will be drawing at least 30A one would need to wire for likely a 60A breaker with the upgraded wiring to handle that much current. Optionally, one could spread the loads over multiple 15A or 20A circuits which would mean ASIC boxes in every room of the house but no reconfiguration of the wiring and an intimate knowledge of which outlets were on which breakers.

Ah! Good to know, thanks for that. Smiley

Thankfully I didn't order 9 Avalons, or else I might be in an interesting electrical situation haha.
If BFL customers consider that Avalon is upgradable (to what extent remains a question), then they may take a second look.

Assuming all modules in an Avalon case are exactly identical to each other. Then I can start mining at 65Gh/s~70Gh/s.

When the upgrades are released by Avalon, I'll have an upgrade path. With BFL none, except buying a very expensive second unit by comparison.

I can put in an order for (possibly) $350 and upgrade my units up to 90Gh/s. Do you think BFL will ramp up their small box/clamshell configuration to run up to 90Gh/s?

I don't think they will.

-----------------------

Here is the kicker though. Some Avalon users will not upgrade their internals. So as Avalon slowly moves from 110nm to 90nm or however low they need to in the future. The power draw will decrease and the GH/s per chip increases.

Assuming they have 25 chips in one unit. A small additional capacity change multiplied by (let say) 25 will result in a huge increase in speed and higher efficiency per box.

I can then sell off my old Rev1 modules to other miner who want to upgrade their 65~70Gh/s stock unit up to 90Gh/s.

I only need to pay the difference in price between the used modules and the newer Rev2 modules. Depending on the market price that could be, perhaps, 150$ extra out of my pocket for each Rev2 module.

If the current (REV 1) modules are 22Gh/s each, and the second gen (REV 2) modules jump to 30Gh/s or more. Can you guess how much I saved vs buying another BFL unit priced at $1299?

Lets say 30 x 4 = 120Gh/s for an upgrade path.
Lets say I had to pay a difference of $150 for each additional module.
So that is about $600 total to double the GH/s capacity.

What will BFL do? Slash prices?

Ouch, their first run customers would be screaming at the top of their lungs if they did that.

-------------------

The silence "sounds" to me like BFL is in the backroom talking about the "issue" before them.

Expect promises to come quickly, and actual changes very slowly.

Heh.

------------------

They have 8 chps and they can only overclock them so much before they seriously cut into the thermal headroom for normal operations. Lets see how big a jump they go to after 60Gh/s.

With more money and time, Avalons upgrade-able units will eventually drop in power use I'd bet.

What you should worry about is having to pay a whole $1300 + Shipping for an entirely different unit from BFL to keep up. Either way, competition is good.
3668  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: [Avalon ASIC] Batch #2 pre-Sale Thread on: January 31, 2013, 02:46:27 AM
http://launch.avalon-asics.com/

seems to have been down for at least an hour

------------

There appears to be an error with this site.

If you are the site administrator, here are a few things you can do:

Redeploy the app in the Dashboard (Deploy Latest).
Ensure there are at least 2 web instances for redundancy.
Submit a ticket recording the error and outcome of Actions 1 & 2.

-----------

any word on the "secret thing" that is already on board that the site talked about?  expandability?
They have several it seems.

So far it seems Jeff has identified at least one.

----------------------

The site error is probably them updating the site for the second batch pre-orders.

Hopefully when people bum rush the site it won't go down again.

Wasn't it scheduled for 9am?
3669  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: [Announcement] Avalon ASIC Batch #1 Ships on: January 31, 2013, 02:10:23 AM
Wait... The Earth is cooling?!

Sure it is. The atmosphere may not atm due to human initiated climate changes, but the earth itself is cooling. You know, from former fireball to a crust we call land and so on. Now the real question is what will happen first. Will the earth's core cool down completely leaving a lifeless cold husk floating through space or will the sun go giant first burning the inner planets to ashes? My money is on the former.
With anywhere from 58 petawatts to 180 petawatts of sunshine, I'd say it is a sunny day everyday, for the next 5 billion years.

Then a red giant will turn earth crispy.
3670  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: [Announcement] Avalon ASIC Batch #1 Ships on: January 31, 2013, 01:04:35 AM
I'll buy and sell grocery from my local foodstore for your BTC. (10 to 20% markup though). Wink
3671  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: [Announcement] Avalon ASIC Batch #1 Ships on: January 31, 2013, 12:59:09 AM
Would be neat if the modules are upgrade-able.

They are upgradeable, FSVO.  The entire kit is modular, and future, faster, better modules can slot right in.


Have you seen any overclocking ability in the software?
3672  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: [Announcement] Avalon ASIC Batch #1 Ships on: January 31, 2013, 12:51:33 AM
so, yifu...how much for an additional module?

Not really hard to calculate..
66gh/s for 3 modules

22 gh/s per module.

Prolly about $350 per module.

You know what would be neat. If he allowed us to trade in Icarus boards for additional modules.
Would be neat if the modules are upgrade-able. Therefore allowing us to sell used modules to each other.

Now that is something you couldn't do with a BFL Single.

Lets hope in the future they have 33Gh/s modules or 50GH/s. Lets hope that develops.
3673  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: Clown prophet prediction for ASICs future on: January 31, 2013, 12:47:59 AM
Are sceptics (Septic tanks?) the same as Skeptics?
3674  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: Facts Based Thread on: January 31, 2013, 12:45:51 AM
That would shut up 99% of us and we would say.. uh yea.. they got something there. Can I order now?
Are you sure about that?
Do you have 500ish radeon 5830s to point to a public pool to fake what would happen if they
pointed 3 of those 60 gh/s asic monsters to it?

No? hm.. kinda hard to fake such a thing. unless of course the pool operator is now in on it.
It'd be hard for the average user, but there are people who can do it. Between people running multiple BFL MRs or any other FPGAs, proxy pools, or botnets, it can be pretty accessible to direct 60GH/s to a pool for five minutes.
See, anything can be faked. And many can subsequently believe it to be faked.

60 gh/s? Sure. But they made, supposedly, 300 of these units. Turn on 5 of them. 300 gh/s at btcguild.com would get noticed
from one user. Turn on 10 of them! Whatever.

But now if this conspiracy has grown to include people not even directly connected with avalon.. well.. they pulled off a good scam.
Getting a person to assist them with that kind of hashing power is doable but you just show so much hashing power it becomes
impractical to fake. Just for 30 minutes or so. Then donate the money made to some cool thing and reap in the kudos.

What bothers me about your way of thinking is.. why show anything at all if everything can be faked? That is silly.

But another poster had an excellent idea too. Wait until a 3rd party actually gets a fricking unit they said they shipped. Delay the
2nd batch sale until then. But eh.. it sounds like they have no idea when that will be.
I hoped you would have realized I was being facetious.
3675  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: [Announcement] Avalon ASIC Batch #1 Ships on: January 30, 2013, 11:54:01 PM
Second level of verification seems to be put into play:

3676  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: [Announcement] Avalon ASIC Batch #1 Ships on: January 30, 2013, 10:52:41 PM
Lowers the Alert level to Defcon 4.

3677  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: Avlon has delivered first Acsic on: January 30, 2013, 10:41:52 PM
Quote
note: It is still possible for our unit's speed to increase. in addition to a secret that will only be revealed when the units are in customers hands.
So what's this "secret" that will make Avalon worth it all in the end? Can we get a closer look at one of those 3 modular boards?

Hopefully someone will disassemble the unit after they report on the power consumption and hashrate.

That's a massive single heatsink, I guess there are multiple modules that connect to the visible PCB 'backplane' via ribbon cables. Then 3 backplanes at ~22 GH/s @ ~6 watts per gigahash yields ~132w which could be easily powered by a pair of 6-pin PCIe connectors. Top of the unit looks like a bundle of just yellow and black so.. PCIe connectors. Can't wait for someone to tear this thing apart.
Hopefully Jeff has a meter like a Kill-A-Watt.
3678  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: [Announcement] Avalon ASIC Batch #1 Ships on: January 30, 2013, 10:30:24 PM
At last, so at least the goddamn conspiracy noise will drop to only the most paranoid who don't believe any amount of evidence.
We can only hope, next they will say that they only shipped out one unit.

<Sigh>
3679  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: Avlon has delivered first Acsic on: January 30, 2013, 09:53:23 PM
Someone ought to sticky this thread.
3680  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: [Announcement] Avalon ASIC Batch #1 Ships on: January 30, 2013, 09:51:04 PM
Ah well - it did finally arrive - and it has DHL all over the outside.

Looks the same as the Version 2 picture ... now which pool will he show it off on ...
I tried the tracking number on the front but it doesn't work.

That forwarder (or DHL) is doing a real bad job entering tracking into their system.
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