1. First off, there is only a 3% fee deducted when the players buy their tickets, therefore this is not a rake.
How is this different than a poker tournament that costs $100 to enter and $97 goes to the prize pool, 3% to the house. people buy tickets to participate in a game; buying more tickets offers more chances of winning the pot True, but the more you buy, the lower your return on investment will be. The value will remain the same though, each ticket sold is worth 97% of whatever they paid for it. Betroom does NOT have any odds of winning in any of its games and, most importantly Huh? If there are 10 players who each bought the same amount of tickets, would they not each have a 10% chance to win?\ |
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GameProtect is a scammer and is #1 on the least trusted users of all time list on this forum (check his reputation here), don't waste your time and get your hopes up with his 'service', he'll waste a ton of your time and then try to get you to send him money. You can check by yourself if you are within the 4% house edge:
With every 10 Euro you statistically lose 40 Cents.
If you made 100,000 bets = 1 million Euro then you should have lost 40,000 Euro.
To lose 400,000 Euro you must have made 1 million bets!
If you made 1 million 10 Euro bets they did not scam you.
He was making $750 - $1500 bonus buys. On a high variance game, losing $400k could happen real quick. So I don't mind losing. I understand how gambling works. But in the past 3 days I have bought over 150 bonuses on kong. Out of those 150 buys maybe 3 of them paid more than the initial buy amount and not one paid more than 1000 euro in profit. I have now lost over 9 BTC in just 48 hours on Kong alone. Here are my deposits to bitcasino: https://imgur.com/a/F0J4YYlThis morning I bought another 20+ bonuses which all resulted in losses of 50% or more of the total buy. Maybe bitcasino is working with the provider to milk me for as much as they can and they are limiting my wins. I don't know. This just isn't right. Perhaps it's an extremely high variance game? If each bonus buy has a 2% chance of paying back more than the original bet and a .1% chance of paying out 750x or more, streaks like the one your on would be pretty common even if the house edge was 0%. |
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Today Bolton said he would testify in a Senate trial if subpoenaed without going to court first. https://www.nytimes.com/2020/01/06/us/politics/bolton-testify-impeachment-trial.htmlLots of interesting questions now. Keep in mind that other than Trump, and possibly Mulvaney, nobody knows more about the situation than Bolton and he can't be flagged as a 'never Trumper' or Democrat. He's as conservative as it gets. He also called the whole thing a 'drug deal' while it was going down and claims to have relative information that has not been made public. - Does the Iran situation have anything to do with his announcement? - Are there 4 Republicans willing to vote to subpoena him? ( They need 51 total, Romney seems to be a yes, Murkowski and Collins are wishywashy, but are in a tough spot politically, there are a couple other maybes) - Would Mitch be willing to agree to allow a vote on whether or not to allow any witnesses before the trial begins? - Would Mitch be able to find a way to not allow a vote after the trial starts? - How long does Nancy sit on the articles if Mitch doesn't budge? |
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Apparently the DoD sent a letter to Iraq earlier today saying they were moving troops around to prepare to leave Iraq. Media started reporting it, then the Pentagon responded saying "nope, we're not doing that" and everyone was like 'wtf'? Then a couple generals held a press conference (rare) to announce “It was an honest mistake", "That letter is a draft, it was a mistake, it was unsigned, it should not have been released.” https://www.nytimes.com/2020/01/06/world/middleeast/iran-letter-withdrawal-iraq.htmlI don't have very strong opinions on what Trump should or should not decide to do regarding general peace in the middle east stuff other than if it goes well, he'll get more credit than he deserves, and if it's a failure he'll get more shit than he deserves. I sure hope that this whole appearance of our Military being so unorganized they accidentally send a letter saying they're preparing to leave one country a couple months after they withdraw a bunch of vital troops from another country without any preparations at all, and all the other examples of US military drama, is all part of some plan to make our enemies underestimate our capabilities. Less organization = Less power. It does seem that we won't be leaving Iraq any time soon. A few thousand were deployed in the last week, probably much more in the near future. It would be a real bummer if things don't calm down soon.
Will this thing autoupdate from GitHub or am I just going to have to take a look at the GitHub every so often. This is an absolute lifesaver, thanks so much Twitchy. Don't want this to get too popular though, or they'll block it!
It won't auto update, but you shouldn't run into issues for the big sites. Anyone can submit PRs to add to the list, or remove sites that add hard paywalls though. It's been banned from Chrome and Firefox official extensions already. If anyone really wants to just read an article, you can always open a private browser window (incognito in chrome) and google the article title. You should find the complete article within the first few results. |
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3. There is a way that people can increase their chances of success - buying more tickets. The more tickets you buy, the more chances you have to win the pot. To keep things fair, each additional ticket purchased costs double than the previous one.
With a 3% fee, each ticket is worth 97% of the price, so the more tickets you buy, the more you lose, right? It s called a SERVICE fee, and compared to the 97% that traditional casinos rip from total players' betting pool, the 3% is nothing in comparison. Since we don t have any odds of winning in the games, we only charge a small service fee, half of what ticket sellers charge for concert tickets. But buying more tickets increases your chances of winning the pot as well. In poker tournaments they call it an entry fee, at poker cash games they call it rake, at bacarrat they call it a commission. In the end, the only difference between taking a fee or having an edge is variance. 3% fee = every single day the players will overall lose 3% over whatever the risk. The more they risk, the more they lose. The more they lose, the more you profit. 3% edge has variance, but over time same result. There's nothing wrong with this, it's how gambling works. You should make money, especially if you offer a good product. But telling players that the more they risk the more success they will have, and that's what makes your site different than all the others, means you're either dishonest or ignorant. |
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Who benefits most from $400m in US Milt. Aid to UA rebels in Crimea? Russia.
Russia benefits the least when the country they are invading (Ukraine) receives military support. Ukraine benefits the most. US and allies also benefit. This isn't a new thing, we've been supporting Ukraine for years, when Russia invaded Crimea the aid increased. For Trump to piss off Putin regarding UA/Crimea he needs something BIG in return and so does Putin.
Congress controls the money, not the Executive branch (Trump). At least thats what's in the constitution. The reason Ukraine has support from the west is to encourage democracy and discourage Putin from invading other countries. The funny side is the Ukraine and Russia were always on the same side. Russia wanted Crimea and warm black sea and it was difficult for Ukraine to just let Russia take it. They made a strategy, made US fund for Ukraine to fight against separatist sponsored by Russia. And in the end, Russia keeps crimea, Donbass and Luhanks goes to Ukraine. Ukraine doesn't join NATO. Russia and Ukraine has open border and trade. They are literally at war right now, killing each other and taking prisoners. He is right you are just too blind to see and ignorant of the history of the region. A coup was conducted in Ukraine. Funny how much Ukraine has been in the media lately isn't it? TEC, could you please clarify your stance on the 2014 Ukranian Revolution and what you believe the relationship between Ukraine and Russia have been since 2014? |
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3. There is a way that people can increase their chances of success - buying more tickets. The more tickets you buy, the more chances you have to win the pot. To keep things fair, each additional ticket purchased costs double than the previous one.
With a 3% fee, each ticket is worth 97% of the price, so the more tickets you buy, the more you lose, right? |
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GameProtect is a scammer and is #1 on the least trusted users of all time list on this forum (check his reputation here), don't waste your time and get your hopes up with his 'service', he'll waste a ton of your time and then try to get you to send him money. You can check by yourself if you are within the 4% house edge:
With every 10 Euro you statistically lose 40 Cents.
If you made 100,000 bets = 1 million Euro then you should have lost 40,000 Euro.
To lose 400,000 Euro you must have made 1 million bets!
If you made 1 million 10 Euro bets they did not scam you.
He was making $750 - $1500 bonus buys. On a high variance game, losing $400k could happen real quick. |
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this is a sick amount of money to lose on a bonus buy
I am familiar with this particular game and it should not be hard capped at 750x, I have seen people win xthousands
although it is mostly streamers accounts, so you cannot be sure if the whole thing is not rigged to the max
all in all , casinos like that promise RTP of 98+ % , don't remember the exact figures for this slot but should be around this figure
if you are losing on a 10 euro stake with such a huge amount of data , there must be something weird going on
Here is this mornings session. Lost over 2 BTC on bonus buys just on Kong Megaways. Every single buy resulted in 90%+ loss. https://imgur.com/a/3E9oMrd2 More buys: https://imgur.com/a/r2jAGwF 1 of them had 10 dead spins at 10000 megaways Do you keep dumping money into this game in hopes that it will increase your chances of getting a refund? Or do you just really enjoy playing the game at 750 and 1500 euro a pop? The provider is regulated with Alderny, you could contact them, but "i'm losing too much too often, it's not fair" is not really a valid complaint. Your sample size wouldn't be enough to prove anything. It's up to the regulator to audit the software, maybe they'll audit it and determine something is wrong I guess. Claiming you have hundreds of videos that prove it's a scam, and then continuing to play for large amounts of money doesn't make sense though. |
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~snip~
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Who benefits most from $400m in US Milt. Aid to UA rebels in Crimea? Russia.
Russia benefits the least when the country they are invading (Ukraine) receives military support. Ukraine benefits the most. US and allies also benefit. This isn't a new thing, we've been supporting Ukraine for years, when Russia invaded Crimea the aid increased. For Trump to piss off Putin regarding UA/Crimea he needs something BIG in return and so does Putin.
Congress controls the money, not the Executive branch (Trump). At least thats what's in the constitution. The reason Ukraine has support from the west is to encourage democracy and discourage Putin from invading other countries. The funny side is the Ukraine and Russia were always on the same side. Russia wanted Crimea and warm black sea and it was difficult for Ukraine to just let Russia take it. They made a strategy, made US fund for Ukraine to fight against separatist sponsored by Russia. And in the end, Russia keeps crimea, Donbass and Luhanks goes to Ukraine. Ukraine doesn't join NATO. Russia and Ukraine has open border and trade. They are literally at war right now, killing each other and taking prisoners. |
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Who benefits most from $400m in US Milt. Aid to UA rebels in Crimea? Russia.
Russia benefits the least when the country they are invading (Ukraine) receives military support. Ukraine benefits the most. US and allies also benefit. This isn't a new thing, we've been supporting Ukraine for years, when Russia invaded Crimea the aid increased. For Trump to piss off Putin regarding UA/Crimea he needs something BIG in return and so does Putin.
Congress controls the money, not the Executive branch (Trump). At least thats what's in the constitution. The reason Ukraine has support from the west is to encourage democracy and discourage Putin from invading other countries. |
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Always looking for an interesting podcast to check out, figured a thread might help. Rules: No personal attacks. No Trolling. Respect peoples opinions. No shit posts.
I've been a talk radio/podcast addict for years. Started with Rush, Paul Harvey, Loveline and Art Bell on AM radio (those were the choices at night), now I usually spend 5-10 hours/week actively listening podcasts while commuting, working out, cooking or something and pop in the ear buds to fall asleep 3-4 times a week. Here's my list: Political (most objective to most opinionated...in my opinionated opinion while attempting to be objective):Reasonable Doubt (Adam Carolla and Mark Geragos): Weekly. I don't miss an episode. Pretty objective, I'd say a little leans to the right. Both hosts are Republicans (I assume) but Adam has no problem ripping apart anyone for any reason and Geragos is a big time lawyer that more often than not sides with Trump and also defends Colin Kapernik and Juicy Sommelier. The Daily (NY Times) 5 days a week, 20 minute episodes, each episode has a single topic. I probably average 1.5 a week, all depends on the subject. Whenever they break a really big story, they'll usually have a contributor be interviewed the next day. Stay Tuned With Preet (Preet Bharara) Weekly. I don't miss an episode. In fact, I pay $5 a month to listen to two episodes a week instead of just the one free one. Overall I think he's very objective, but his resume will be a turn off for many. He's the former US Attorney for the SDNY, (The guy that took down silk road and prosecuted Ross Ulbricht), that was famously reported as refusing to resign when Trump fired him (that's not what really happened). He was also Chuck Schumers aid in the Senate for a while. He's super qualified to discuss the technical aspects of todays politics and does a really good job of making it clear when he switches between personal opinion and lawyer mode. First 15 minutes he answers listener questions about current events, then ~45 min interview with a guest. The episode with George Conway (Kelly Annes Husband) was really good. The Ben Shapiro Show (Ben Shapiro) 5 days a week. I probably average 0.9 episodes a week. I disagree with a lot of his opinions so listening kind of feels like taking some medicine at times, but he's changed my mind completely on several issues and often convinces me to look at something differently. Very smart, very articulate and rational and I appreciate his humor. The Chuck Toddcast (Chuck Todd) Weekly. I probably average 2 a month. He's a liberal MSM personality. Also a total nerd when it comes to anything election related, which is what the podcast is focused on. You'll learn a lot about the primary process listening to this one. Pod Save The World (Tommy Vietor and Ben Rhodes) Weekly. I listen to most of every episode, depending on topic/guest. It's focused mostly on topics that aren't only related to the US. Both hosts were in the Obama administration and they make no attempt at hiding the fact that they think Trump is a disaster. Ben Rhodes is an expert in foreign policy and played a major roll in many of Obamas biggest deals, including Iran Nuclear. They're both pretty funny and it's interesting to hear them fuck around a bit and tell stories about working in the White House and traveling with the president. They get some pretty interesting guests like Tony Blair. Other:Stuff You Should Know Conan Obrian Needs a Friend Joe Rogan Experience This American Life Planet Money Swindled The Catch and Kill (kinda political) |
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One thing is for sure, Trump and TECSHARE have been choosing to trust the same media outlets past 8+ years. This thread and Trumps first "war with Iran is definitely coming and it will be so bad and the democrats fault" tweets were within weeks of each other. over 8 years ago. The "see, that was an attack, I was right!" tweets/posts also line up.   |
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Just want to note that the link in OP is a WSJ article credited to a WSJ white house reporter and a WSJ middle east correspondent. PrimeNumbers link is an editorial (opinion piece) credited to the WSJ Editorial Board. Not dissing either one, WSJ is respected and I recommend reading both, but I don't think an editorial should be considered a 'better source' for someone just looking to figure out wtf is going on.
Off topicish, but I use https://github.com/iamadamdev/bypass-paywalls-chrome to pretty much bypass all major news paywalls. Little bit of an effort to install, but then everything just works. Probably a simpler way for each individual news outlet (incognito or new browser user or the outline extension works for most, but not WSJ, Financial Times, Bloomberg, New Yorker or a couple others). |
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