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3781  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 14, 2018, 11:00:53 AM

You guys seeing what I'm seeing?

3782  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 14, 2018, 08:57:05 AM



https://www.blockchaintransparency.org/

Quote
Top 25 BTC Pairs

Included in this report we have calculated the true volume of the CMC top 25 BTC trading pairs. Most of these pairs actual volume is under 1% of their reported volume on CMC. We noted only 2 out of the top 25 pairs not to be grossly wash trading their volume, Binance and Bitfinex.  

OKEx has been moved to our Exchange Advisory List as we found just about all of their top 30 traded tokens to be engaging in wash trading when processed through our algorithms.  It appears they have benefited the most from the CMC referral traffic, as our estimated adjusted volume for them would still keep them in the top 10.

Huobi was also found to be wash trading many of their top 25 pairs volume numbers, but to a lesser degree than OKEx.  HitBTC’s top 25 has shown clear evidence of wash trading as well. Both of their adjusted numbers for this report have also landed them on our Advisory List.  Please contact us for full reports on any pairs on any exchange.  

We checked into Bithumb after numerous reports and found a large amount of wash trading primarily with Monero, Dash, Bitcoin Gold, and ZCash.  Top wash traded tokens on Bithumb appear to change depending on the month.

See link for more further details
3783  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 14, 2018, 08:43:33 AM
If she died with me then they’ll be lost bitcoin’s.

Unless... you'll find some way to communicate... from out there... 

Tattoo it on your taint 
3784  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 14, 2018, 08:25:52 AM
Woke up.

Bullish.



But seriously, what if you failed to wake up, how to communicate the seed words to your loved ones? Ouija board? That's so 19th century... There must be a better way.

1.  Put them on cryptosteel.

2.  Bury the cryptosteel under 5 foot of concrete and rebar under the slab under your house.

3. Tell your loved ones where to find it.  Let them know they will need to bring an excavator. 
3785  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 14, 2018, 07:55:38 AM
Which cryptos?  Bitcoin?  or something else?

It's not specific:

Quote
The number of verified users of cryptocurrencies almost doubled in the first three quarters of the year even as the market bellwether Bitcoin tumbled almost 80 percent, according to a study from the Cambridge Centre for Alternative Finance. Users climbed from 18 million to 35 million this year.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-12-12/ranks-of-crypto-users-swelled-in-2018-even-as-bitcoin-tumbled

How about they report user growth excluding January. 
3786  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 14, 2018, 07:38:43 AM
Top ten google “what is” searches in Australia for 2018.  And it looks like one of our forum members morning activities have made an appearance.



3787  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 14, 2018, 07:32:37 AM
3788  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 14, 2018, 05:00:54 AM
Security for civilian contractors or something else?  Ok if you cant say. 
3789  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 14, 2018, 04:43:04 AM
before I found a job in Afghanistan

Ok now you have my attention.  Please share.  

Inverted H&S forming on 1H.  Lisa action to follow. 
3790  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 14, 2018, 03:31:01 AM
Probably none except payments by the scammers themselves
3791  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 14, 2018, 02:25:39 AM
Will Trace's proofofkeys affect anything one way or another?
I am curious and leaning toward participation.

Interesting.  Had not heard of it previously.  
3792  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 14, 2018, 01:24:39 AM
3793  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 14, 2018, 01:07:04 AM
3794  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 13, 2018, 09:14:29 PM

I don’t think we will see $6k again before 2020.  


Agreed it's prudent to watch our hopium intake, Hairy, but 2020 seems awfully long for a return to $6k. Granted, we had a nearly 2-year downturn after Mt Gox from 2014-5 with little to no good news, but as far as fundamentals go, 2019 seems ripe for recovery.

What are your assumptions on big ticket items? To name a few expected in the first half of 2019:

Van Eck/CBOE ETF (admittedly low chances)
Bakkt
Fidelity Digital Assets
Nasdaq Futures

Are you thinking these things won't happen or rather they simply won't make much of a speculative difference? Are you weighing your prediction primarily on prior halving cycles? Are you correlating with global stock market expectations?

I worry that speculative interest is becoming a self-fulfilling prophecy of chart analysis and pattern matching. The 2014 overlay to 2018 is eerily similar, yes, but is this simply a case of humans seeking solace in pattern matching?

Meanwhile, the lightning network is exponentially expanding, BCash is conveniently self-immolating, blockchain investment and employment numbers are steadily increasing, etc etc.

Sure, miners seem SOL, nothing new there; but I suspect new miners will find new places to slurp up cheap/stranded power, further decentralizing the network.



Thank you for your thoughtful post.  I will respond a bit later when I can give it the attention it deserves.

Mick I can't find the article anymore so will also respond.
3795  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 13, 2018, 08:44:51 PM
Quote
He said, “You should outlaw [crypto assets],” because many have lost savings due to the significant slump in the crypto markets. “I am personally surprised that regulators haven’t stepped in harder.”
Allianz Investors Chief.

Yeah, ban things because people are being stupid. Good bye cars, internet, food, water, life.

OFC an insurance salesman never sold anything dodgy or anything that could never pay out etc. etc.



Quote
Allianz and four other insurers, as a result of regulator action, are refunding more than $118m in total to almost 213,000 people who bought add-on products from car dealers.

Allianz has told the banking royal commission its conduct, which was investigated by the Australian Securities and Investments Commission, fell below community standards.

https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2018/sep/18/banking-royal-commission-allianz-to-refund-456m-over-junk-insurance-products
3796  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 13, 2018, 08:41:23 PM
Someone tell Peter Brandt that head and shoulders is a reversal indication not continuation pattern.  



https://twitter.com/peterlbrandt/status/1073315241017163776

3797  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 13, 2018, 08:31:07 PM
Longing at 4x

Using leverage against the dominant market trend is generally not a great idea. 
3798  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 13, 2018, 08:28:11 PM
That’s how the triangle crumbles
3799  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 13, 2018, 08:20:37 PM
Security ! 
3800  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 13, 2018, 12:12:44 PM
i bought a bit more just in case but most of my ammo still not loaded, will average down anyway if needed

looks like we're in a mini triangle, breakout soon up or down imo

It’s a 10 month downtrend.  Odds are you break down. Trend is your friend.   Eventually you will break up but you don’t know when that will be.  
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