I have some questions for you:
1/ Why did you never raise your concern about the block reward in 2014, 2015, 2016, 2017, 2018 or 2019? Don't tell me you suddenly had an epiphany in 2020, because anything you say was already true in 2014/2015
First of all, in the early years this wasn't a problem. Mining and masternode operating profitability were far closer to parity. (Remember that price has an asymmetrical effect on them respectively since mining costs are variable and MN costs are fixed). Then two things happened leading up to 2017:
• price skyrocketed, sending redundant masternode revenue (holder "profit") into orbit
• the masternode network became fully populated
Since then we've experienced a 3 year continuous bear market and collapsed out of the rankings almost to doge coin level.
The second thing was that I was forced to review the way I looked at and accounted for my own holdings. This was because, up until 2018 I had always casually regarded MN returns as a growth in capital (and took accounting advice to that effect also). So a growth in holdings would represent a capital gain if the overall value of the holding had increased and a capital loss if it had decreased.
But at the end of 2018, the UK tax agency released a fairly detailed document on how crypto holdings and earnings should be accounted for which specifically required the likes of masternode rewards to be reported as income (in line with how other countries do it). As professional background, I've spent around 30 years developing custom business software and doing systems analysis for corporate clients, much of which is based around double-entry bookeeping concepts. Given that background, when you think "revenue" you immediately think "cost". i.e. where's the other side of the entry, at least conceptually.
This lead me to think the whole crypto-mining business model through much more fully than I had done before and consider how it actually works in terms of capital flows and where value gets stored etc. It also brought to the forefront that the masternode revenue was "idle" in the sense that it wasn't retained in the network the way mining revenue is.
Later, Ryan released his famous "tokenomics" presentation. That was what finally woke me up out of my stupour. If he had gone in the other direction (increasing the proportion of the chain that's mined) then at least our thinking would have been congruent in principle. But that was the time when I realised that his thinking was 180 degrees out of whack with mine.
The way I reconciled it was that he's looking at it from an optimal resource usage perspective. In other words he sees the economic objective as being to create coins and transfer them as cheaply as possible and now that we have chainlocks, hashrate isn't needed for that. If that was indeed our objective then he would be right. But it isn't. We're not just building a monetary messaging network but a synthetic store of value which is based on real world monetary archetypes. In this case, a completely different set of criteria applies in which Ryan's perspective is positively toxic IMO because it destroys the store of value dimension. To realise this you have to appreciate the mining model's capital dynamics and how it preserves value by putting a "price" on the extraction of a block from the blockchain. (Seems obvious but it got lost in our obsession over utility IMO).
Think of it this way. If you invest in Visa you're not actually buying units of a monetary asset. You're buying equity in a company. Where does Visa's value lie ? In its merchant subscriber base. Visa sells access to markets. The 3% fee the merchant pays is a marketing cost not a transaction cost so it's a brokering system, nothing to do with money really. Meanwhile gold sits in a vault and does nothing all day long. They are very different and we do not want to model Dash on Visa because it's not designed for that. It's a bitcoin clone who's core mission is to store value like gold. What it has over bitcoin is the decoupling of the service layer so we can have on-chain services VERY CHEAPLY without much loss of mined capital. But if we overpay for that service layer we'll just kill the store of value role.
See ? We've come to exactly the opposite conclusions but not because of different or flawed thinking, rather different starting points as to what we're actually building here.
2/ Suppose you are right, what is your ideal proposal in terms of block reward? I remember asking you and you told me something like 90% miners / 5% masternodes / 5% dcg ? Just state it here for the record. Maybe some day we can all look back at it and agree that we were all fools and that you were right.
Right now, any adjustment that exposes more blocks to mining competition would help turn things around IMO. The lowest reward setting is what would cover:
1. the treasury requirements and
2. masternode operating costs
...as a minimum. The highest setting would be what we have at the moment (45% ?). So lets say 20%. That still gives masternodes 10 x over cost and guarantees profitability. This profit margin will only increase with Dash price. Ideally I'd make masternode rewards an inverse function of network difficulty but that's dreamland. Such a relationship would IMO lock in a virtuous cycle whereby all of the new supply was put to maximum use in one of the three dimensions of Dash's economic "engine":
• wealth preservation (mining)
• service provision (masternodes)
• forward investment (treasury)
Anything else is just waste, most of all what I have come to call "non-performing masternode margins". They are also corrosive from a statutory perspective because they generate a large tax liability which creates constant selling pressure. Again that tells you something's way sub-optimal. At $1000 per Dash the masternode network would get paid $300 MILLION per year. Can you fathom that ? Since most of it's pure profit there's a theoretical, say $100 million worth of Dash that needs to get sold just to pay tax authorities and hitting the highest tax rate bands. To me this is bonkers. This doesn't happen with mining.
Capital gain is the game. ROI cannot be measured in Dash, it must be measured in dollars and take the capital gain/loss of the collateral into account otherwise we're simply deluding ourselves (To be precise, the way that the reward is generally accounted for on a statutory basis is through 2 transactions, not 1. You received USD, then you bought Dash with that USD. From that point on the capital gain or loss is calculated and the market price at reward time is your cost base).
3/ Also, if you feel so strongly about it, why not use your bloated ;-) masternode return to enter a proposal with your analysis and desired block reward split? At least you could say afterwards that you really tried
Because there's a job of persuasion to do first. There's no point is floating a proposal that doesn't already have well rooted support and a chance of succeeding. In my opinion the community has barely scratched the surface of this debate. It simply hasn't thought much about these aspects because most people's minds are stuck back in the 2014 "anything goes" world where if you create enough hype and fireworks pumps will come. Also I think that quite a lot of people just want out and would like to stfu till the pump comes. I am not in that category as I genuinely see a future for this project, but only as a "highly mobile bitcoin", not as "Visa with store-of-value".
...let's not drag it out endlessly.
Any systems of governance worth their salt have a permanent opposition. One of the reasons we're in this mess (IMO) is because there was no formal alternative presented when DCG floated their "tokenomics" proposal. It was a "follow the leader" exercise. (That's not DCG's fault, it's the community's). Hopefully that will change but we have the choice of either permanent constructive challenges from within the community or permanent trolling from outside of it IMO.
****
P.S.
****
I've never actually changed my view on this. If you look back my posts from years ago you'll see I've always promoted Dash for its advantages as a versatile mined asset. The subject only became an issue when DCG diverged from this path by signalling their dismissal of mining as a priority factor in store of value. Then the masternode vote endorsed this. So it's the path of Dash that's changed. My line of reasoning has remained the same.