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41  Local / Oбcyждeниe Bitcoin / Re: Стоит ли сейчас инвестировать в Биткоин? on: June 22, 2024, 09:21:34 AM


Все же есть опасение у людей. Страх делает свое дело и не пускает выше предыдущего максимума. Нужен сильный драйвер на рынке, а его пока не намечается. Где то радикальное событие, которое способно стать триггером?

Если посмотреть историю битка и как он ведет себя когда достигает АТХ, то мы увидим что ничего нового не происходит, АТХ и боковик перед дальнейшим ростом, по крайней мере так всегда было до этого. Единственное что на этот раз было не так, это АТХ до халвинга, а значит сокращение периода к достижению хая, но я не вижу ничего плохого в том что в циклы могут вносится коррективы, более того считаю это нормальным признаком здорового рынка. Так же считаю что циклы со временем должны меняться, иначе все большее количество людей будет это понимать и пытаться воспользоваться этим. А пока в боковике походит в биток и на осень в рост. )
42  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ UEFA Euro 2024 in Germany ⚽ - Qualifiers👉Group Stage on: June 22, 2024, 09:12:19 AM
In today's match Türkiye vs Portugal two teams will face each other and these two teams are very strong in the group stage. The two teams are in first and second position in Group F and it is difficult to say which team will win today's match. But we can relatively estimate that this match is Portugal compared to strong Turkey so if you bet for Portugal as the favorite team it will definitely be possible to win. According to today's Mays budget odds we can see Portugal under the win as Portugal is more likely to win.

I have no doubt that Portugaya is much stronger than Turkey, and the odds for the victory of Portugal is quite good, I thought it would be lower. I think that in the match that will take place today the Czech Republic will beat Georgia, and Portugal will want to get 3 points in order to retain the leader in this group. I also expect Belgium to beat Romania today, perhaps the victory of Portugal and Belgium can be a good multibet for 2.55 today. Glad Ukraine was able to beat Slovakia yesterday, this is a very important victory.
43  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Football Transfers Speculation, Odds and Predictions on: June 22, 2024, 08:45:53 AM
It's true, there are no eternal players in football, what happens is that new players will be born and old players will retire, and so on. However, what makes the difference is whether the player will retire when their abilities are still very good and are still very much needed, or they will retire when they no longer have the ability to play. And Toni Kroos has decided that he will retire while his abilities are still very good and are really needed by his club and country.

It is quite difficult to find a player like Toni Kroos, but it is not impossible that there will be a new player born who will replace Toni Kroos. This is a very normal thing in football, because we cannot expect players to be able to play forever. Many star players have to retire and we have seen this from generation to generation. There is always renewal, therefore the regeneration process will always exist.

If he felt that it becomes more difficult for him to maintain such a high level of the game as before, then it is better to leave when everyone will remember you as best of the best. Moreover, he did not completely leave football, he will continue to work in Real, and will train young players, and perhaps once decides to try to continue his career in the role of a coach. He has every opportunity to leave football in his life as long as he wishes.
44  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: June 22, 2024, 08:32:10 AM
I think that is happening with all of major leagues, not just the English Premier League. Except for Series A, which is a non-farmer league. EPL has done their best for this, however it appears that they did nothing. Manchester City has won several Premier League trophies due to their strength and consistency.
There is nothing wrong here because Manchester City earned their trophies through legitimate ways. But still, the EPL is the league with the most viewers.Roll Eyes

Guardiola did a lot of work in the team so that the City could achieve such a result, and the top league, is possible one of the best, and the competition there is very high, in other championships there is no such thing, mainly the confrontation of the two leaders, or the domination of one team. It is difficult to compete with City and not only because they have good players, Guardiola has a very well developed training strategy, he always calculates the strength to the team to reach the optimal form by the end of the season, this is very important.
45  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: Most Traders are Not Profitable on: June 22, 2024, 08:12:33 AM
Actually, having a trading knowledge is cool but it really depends on the skills and experience. That's why it's really hard just to rely on your trading knowledge but if you don't have the experience then you will just lose your money.

And traders will be profitable if they are earning $100+ a day if they are doing future trading, and on spot trader it would be $500 - 1000 a month

It is very difficult to calculate the trader’s profit for the period, if this is medium -term trade, then you should forget about such concepts as earnings in a month. Long -term or medium -term transactions can last months, and you have no guarantees that they will be profitable. Only after the closing of transactions, you can calculate the profit, and if you want to divide it by the number of months, to understand what average profit you received in a month. In trading, making money is not easy, and this requires a lot of practice and experience.
46  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24 on: June 21, 2024, 10:07:24 AM

Now the two teams are very different, they can no longer be compared and even for the next few years I think Barcelona will not be able to match Real Madrid's level, the Barcelona team has quite a lot of problems and thus it will be very difficult for them to recover.
Barcelona's management made mistakes several seasons ago which resulted in them experiencing a financial crisis and now they have to bear the consequences of it all and the efforts that are being made are maximal, but let's be realistic, building a big team using young players is not easy. it takes a long time.

But Barcelona is not building a team with young players, they have many experienced players in all positions, Flick will give young players a chance because he has no other choice, but Barcelona has formed a strong team base that can be competitive. I don’t know what will happen in the next few years, teams have ups and downs, look at the first season when Xavi came to Barcelona, ​​they became champions with him, although it seemed that Barcelona was in a very bad position.
47  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Football Transfers Speculation, Odds and Predictions on: June 21, 2024, 10:00:15 AM
Chelsea may seem to have made a mistake by buying Mudryk, but the club's unfavorable conditions could also be one of the reasons why Mudryk looks so bad at Chelsea, changing head coaches at the club very quickly means Mudryk cannot be optimal because each coach has his own assessment so he didn't get a main place at Chelsea.

Mudryk has a very long contract at Chelsea, around eight years, this is too long a contract and Mudryk's career will probably get worse if the new head coach doesn't give him a place to play and I also doubt he will get it because Enzo has many choices at Chelsea. Selling him cheaply makes Chelsea lose even more, but even if Chelsea sets a high price, it's impossible for any club to be interested, so once again this is not a good situation for either of them, maybe Chelsea can loan him to another club.

Maresca will definitely give Mudryk a chance, but it depends only on him how much he can take advantage of this chance. Pochettino has given him many opportunities to show what he can do, but so far he has not been able to fulfill his potential. And there is no point in trying to sell it now, because I think that there will not be many teams willing to buy him, and it will need to be sold at a much lower price, and of course there is no point in this. Chelsea paid a lot of money for him and signed a contract until 2031, but for some reason I doubt that he will stay in this team for that long.
48  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Do not get discouraged by the current price of Bitcoin on: June 21, 2024, 09:53:39 AM

Sometimes we don't need to listen or blame people who think Bitcoin is a scam, because it has appeared a long time ago when Bitcoin started to get a lot of people's attention and these people may be confused or don't get the right information about why Bitcoin's price fluctuates, fiat also experiences the increase or decrease in intention compared to other fiat but it is not as big as Bitcoin, and what makes people start to say or also think Bitcoin is a scam when the price starts to fall when people think the price will continue to rise. Not only is Bitcoin a scam, but the Bitcoin bubble is also spreading to people, not just those who work in government, and we shouldn't have to worry about this.

It seems to me that now that large funds are buying Bitcoin and different governments have it, the spot Bitcoin ETF has been adopted, it is difficult to talk about some kind of fraud. Everything has reached such a level that one can only regret why he didn’t buy Bitcoin earlier. People don’t want to understand the issue thoroughly, they hear something somewhere and draw conclusions based on some rumors, in which case it is clear that in the end they will only regret that they still don’t have Bitcoin. Anyone who can independently analyze is able to consider great opportunities in the early stages.
49  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ UEFA Euro 2024 in Germany ⚽ - Qualifiers👉Group Stage on: June 21, 2024, 09:41:53 AM

This game is a crucial one for the both teams which will be definitive on who's to leave or stay in the Euro... This year Euro, Croatia team has quite fallen below expectation with just a point in their group B after two games.  On a current stats, Croatia don't stand a better chance to win their next game against Italy who were very unlucky after a tough battle in the meeting with Spain  narrowly winning that game with an own goal from Calafiori. Same Spain that had a cool time beaten Croatia 3 nil.

Except history decides to repeat itself by favouring Croatia against Italy. In all of their 9 meetings record has it that Croatia has won 3 games while Italy won 1 with 5 draws. So probably if Croatia can show a bit of  improvement in that match come 24th June they could light up their chance of surviving the group stage, but a draw won't be of any good for them at all.

Italy focused on defense, and they could do almost nothing in attack, only 1 shot on target in the entire game, which is too little to count on even a draw. And Spain made 20 shots on goal and 8 of them were on target, perhaps the beginning of the match was more or less even, but then Spain controlled everything and they had opportunities to score more. Perhaps Italy will try not to lose to Croatia, because this result will be enough for them, and Croatia will only need a victory.
50  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: June 21, 2024, 09:32:50 AM
Bayern Munich will remain a strong challenger to Leverkusen next season even though they do not have an experienced coach because in terms of experience Bayern Munich is a strong team with complete players in all positions. Leverkusen has the opportunity to retain the Bundesliga title as long as Xabi Alonso can maintain the quality of his players and not let the opportunity to play in the Champions League be an excuse for not playing consistently in the Bundesliga.

It's not easy to defend the title with the minimum number of players and last season's moments are difficult to repeat. Bayern Munich and Dortmund have new coaches so they have to be able to adapt beforehand so this is the best step for Leverkusen to maintain their title and play more solidly.

Bayer is doing without big transfers for now, they are not selling players, but they are not in a hurry to buy new, so far there are only rumors about possible purchases. I agree that Kompany is not a very experienced coach, but when Alonso came to Bayer, he was also not very experienced, but to gain experience you need to do something. The Kompany was entrusted with the position of a coach, perhaps there are risks in this, perhaps Bayern should invite a more experienced coach, but this is their choice.
51  Local / Трейдеры / Re: Биткойн-оптимизм. on: June 20, 2024, 10:06:44 AM
Ну, что, оптимизма относительно курса биткойна к доллару подкидывает в топку брокер Бернштейн, который говорит, что крупные банки и инвесторы планируют одобрить свои программы участия в ETF на биткойн во второй половине этого года, что приведёт ещё солидную долю институциональных денег на крипторынок. Если Бернштейн прав, то ожидаемый бычий рынок будет, и он будет со вполне себе ракетой на Луну. Потому что, как видим, считанные миллиарды долларов на текущем этапе всё ещё способны разгонять курс биткойна на вполне приличные значения.

Новый СЕО бинанса, Тенг  тоже весьма позитивен в своих прогнозах. В интервью с Bankless выразил мнение, что до конца года цена первой криптовалюты преодолеет уровень $80 000. По его мнению следующий год будет лучше для цифровых активов, чем текущий, благодаря улучшению макроэкономической среды. Тенг также отметил, что одобрение биткоин-ETF и предстоящие запуски аналогичных фондов на базе Ethereum привлекут дополнительную ликвидность на рынок криптовалют, способствуя развитию бычьей фазы.

По его мнению, в конце этого года можно ожидать смягчения монетарной политики ФРС, что создаст благоприятную макроэкономическую среду и более разумную политику процентных ставок. Это, по его мнению, приведет к дальнейшему росту цен криптовалют в 2025 году.

52  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24 on: June 20, 2024, 09:58:47 AM
Barcelona prefer waiting for signing player have been free agent or looking opportunity with some player sign them as loan option, its the fact Barcelona get financial problem and difficult to sign most qualities players at higher price because their financial not stable yet in last several season.
Next season seems Hansi Flick will priority for promoting many young players to senior team after Xavi Hernandez success achievement promote Lamine Yamal, Pau Cubarsí, Fermín López and Alejandro Balde.

Barcelona lack difficulty with financial condition and must promote youth players to senior team if want compete with Real Madrid for winning La Liga tittle, seems next season has potential loss two key players João Félix and João Cancelo after getting difficult give them permanent contract due higher fees transfer must to pay for their club Atletico Madrid and Manchester City.

With Felix, everything is not so simple, he is on loan and Atlеtico do not want to let him go just like that. In fact, it is financial difficulties that constrain Barcelona's capabilities, and the education of young players and their transfer to the main team takes a lot of time, and Barcelona needs results now. You can only get out of debt if you cut costs. I think Flick was made to understand that it would be difficult with new transfers, so he is only counting on the players he has now. I understand that it is not easy for a coach to work only with those players that he has at his disposal, but this is the reality, he knew where he came.
53  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Why you should only hold Bitcoin on: June 20, 2024, 09:43:20 AM
Bitcoin was designed to be a currency from the start. The fact that now people considers it to be "digital Gold" is another story. The deflationary model, and limited supply might have something to do with this. Since "Wall Street" is now in the game, Bitcoin's use as "digital Gold" is unlikely to change anytime soon. Especially with the high fees and slow confirmation times.

BTC is the one crypto that started it all. So it makes sense to hold it in the long term. I'm confident it will reach a new ATH soon. As long as you don't invest more than what you can't afford to lose, there should be nothing to worry about. Wink

I also think that the bull market is not over yet, its final bullrun phase awaits us, then Bitcoin will show growth and reach ATН. But I’m interested in what will happen next, how much of the bear market we are used to will continue, could it be that the funds and the adoption of the Bitcoin ETF will somehow affect the price of Bitcoin, for example in such a way that the price will not fall again in a bear market, as we are used to? Or the intervention of funds will make bearish cycles longer than we are now accustomed to.
54  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ UEFA Euro 2024 in Germany ⚽ - Qualifiers👉Group Stage on: June 20, 2024, 09:29:20 AM
Albania's draw against Croatia was quite fair for both teams because they both played very well with a strong mentality, especially for Albania who were able to score a goal at the end of the match to avoid defeat.
Now Albania and Croatia still have a chance to qualify from the group phase even though it is difficult because Albania's opponent is Spain and Croatia will face Italy in round 3.

For today's match Spain vs Italy is a very big match and this will be quite difficult to predict but that doesn't mean we have to miss out on betting, each of us has our own point of view and our own predictions for this match.
I think Spain will be able to win the match later and I will bet on that.
From the first match between the two teams, we can conclude and make predictions for the next match.

Croatia didn't have enough to get the victory, and it's even more disappointing when you lose the victory at the end of the match, in extra time. Croatia have not improved their game, they still have a lot of problems, and if they are not able to beat Albania, then they are not ready to move on, there will be even tougher opponents in the playoffs. Switzerland decided that it was better to keep a draw than to try to win, and they played the second half more carefully.
55  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: June 20, 2024, 08:39:29 AM
It will certainly take a lot of time before Aston Villa will be able to win the premier League because they are too far behind most of the clubs like Manchester City, Arsenal, Liverpool, Tottenham Hotspur and so many others because if there are more clubs that should have a chance it should be the above listed, though I'm not saying that Aston Villa is not a strong club but just like you observed the reason why they even managed to go far on the premier League this season was because the champions League was distracting most of the clubs from concentrating on the premier league but however in terms of there performance this season we cannot compare them with Chelsea because regardless of anything they were more in a good shape than Chelsea.

Actually, this season Aston Villa got ahead of Tottenham and left them without a CL zone. And Aston Villa is still behind the main group of leaders, but they are making good progress. I don’t know if Emery is able to compete with Arsenal and City, I think that he did not start on very equal terms with the leaders, and perhaps at the end of the season they did not have enough depth in the squad because there was a decline, but they finished the season in the top 4, which I I think this is a very good result in the conditions of such great competition.
56  Local / Трейдеры / Re: Последний вагон на север on: June 19, 2024, 08:47:42 AM
Всё по плану, откупил по 0,33  Grin

Я уже давно убедился что рынок всегда дает хорошие возможности, самое главное не спешить. Если хорошо продал монету то не спеши откупать, рынок обязательно даст еще одну возможность затарить пониже. Где то видел, кто то из великих трейдеров говорил, что то типа, - если хочешь купить, то подожди еще немного и рынок тебя отблагодарит. Я пока продолжаю сидеть ровно, то что продал не откупают, то что не продавал держу, какого то явного разворота не вижу, так что биток вполне может сходить еще ниже, пока наблюдаю...
57  Local / Трейдеры / Re: Торгуем банковский кредит в крипте. on: June 19, 2024, 08:36:06 AM
Кредит это просто средство расширения капитала, если бы не было бы кредита, то возможно все так бы и сидели в пещерах. Собственно кредит берется под рост, ожидание прибылей, хорошего дела, а значит что в итоге должно появится больше денег\продукта. К тому же очень часто кредит брать просто выгодно, как например с ИИС, когда 13% + облагации\акции могут отбивать даже высокие ставки.
Например большая часть коммерческой недвижки строится без эскроу и льготных программ, там 80-90% заемные и ничего и банки и заемщики спокойны, невозвратов мало, а если и есть, то рост цен на коммерческую недвижимость все перекрывает, а общий капитал растет.
Без кредита тоже был бы рост, но не такой бодрый, можно посмотреть на бюджетный импульс 22-24 года и посмотреть как ожила экономика и пошел рост, по сути из-за того, что пришли гос деньги в нее, а не складывались в непонятную кубышку, которую никто в общем и не видел.


Если все налажено и ты знаешь что большее вливание капитала в дело ровняется большей прибыли, то кредит в этом случае поможет заработать увеличить прибыль. На самом деле я знаю людей которые очень умело распоряжаются кредитами которые берут для бизнеса, но кредит это не единственный инструмент, есть еще такое понятие как гранты, но это уже высший уровень. ) И одно дело брать кредит для отлаженного бизнеса, и совсем другое для трейдинга, где есть множество подводных камней и возможностей потерять.
58  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Football Transfers Speculation, Odds and Predictions on: June 19, 2024, 08:11:34 AM
Let's forget about his age, Joselu is a good player but you guys forget something about how Ancelotti has been rotating his players. Since before now when Madrid hasn't gotten Mbappe let's say since the beginning of last campaign, has the coach been showing any sign of giving this guy Joselu a better opportunity? He always sit on the bench or sometimes he plays Joselu around 80-85mins just for him to kill the time, sometimes Ancelotti doesn't even play the guy so what's the assurance that he'll have a playing time (base on swapping the playing) now that they have Mbappe? To me Joselu is just there and there's no special reason for him to be there, if Ancelotti wants to do any sub he can even bring in a defender or a midfielder instead of Joselu.

Ancelotti did not give him a chance to start even after his goals in the semi-final against Bayern, so it can be said that Ancelotti is not changing his working strategy and there will always be a place for Joselu on the bench. Moreover, with the arrival of Mbappe, this situation will worsen, I doubt that Mbappe or Rodrigo will be on the bench. But apparently Joselu is happy with this, he goes on the field for twenty minutes, scores several goals, but he plays in Real Madrid, everyone makes their own choice.
59  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24 on: June 19, 2024, 07:51:30 AM
Real Madrid didn't prepare anything, but they have money and are financially stable, that's why they have been able to survive until now. Having competent player assets makes the Real Madrid squad able to become the kings of La Liga, even though spending money on players is not able to match Real Madrid's players.  with all existing aspects, Real Madrid has always been a candidate for the Champions League, so it is not surprising that Real Madrid is always easy with what this club wants to achieve, everything is always achieved easily, even though they are undergoing regeneration, they always apply their players to good and proven patterns in all competitions,  However, despite this, Real Madrid has a weakness that Real Madrid has never achieved, namely the Trible Winner, which Real Madrid has never experienced while having players in the CR7 era.

Proper management of the club allows them to maintain a balance between investments and achievements, they invest a lot of money in players, but by winning titles they receive large prize money which can cover most of the expenses. With the same calculation, Barcelona recruited players, they hoped to achieve big victories and thus get out of a difficult financial situation, but this is not always as easy to do as it seems. When there are financial problems, then among other things, you also need to be able to conduct competent financial planning, without this nothing will change, it seems that Flick shares this point of view.
60  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ UEFA Euro 2024 in Germany ⚽ - Qualifiers👉Group Stage on: June 19, 2024, 07:43:21 AM
Pressure was building for Portugal as the match progressed with 74% possesion and
especially in the closing minutes after the Czech's were able to score a draw. What
a massive decision it was to bring on Francisco Conceicao just after that goal
and for him to score the winner on the 90th minute.

Interesting stat for the Czech team, 1 goal from 1 shot on target!

Germany v Hungary today, its only going to end one way with a Germany win, Hungary are
11.00, Germany 1.24, have to bet over on this one for sure.

Yeah, the first thing you notice is that the Czech Republic was able to score a goal with such statistics. But they didn't have enough to keep at least a draw. For the Czech Republic it was an expectedly difficult match and Portugal had too much of an advantage, so their victory was natural. In the second match, Turkey also won, but everything turned out to be simpler for them, an equal game in the first half and pressure from Turkey in the second. The day passed without unexpected results and that’s good. )
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