Correlation is not causation. Notice he doesn't predict the specific event that correlated to a turn date on his cyclical models.


If his model really works, he should be abundantly wealthy already. Advancing the known science would be the next logical goal for someone who claims to value humanity so much.

I've granted him some extra leeway because if he was indeed put in Supermax prison for 7+ years on a bogus (framed) and unconstitutional contempt-of-court charge, then it's understandable he would need to rebuild his resources and catch up on lost years. It's easy to have empathy if this story is the true and entire story. But there's also a scenario one could imagine wherein this entire jail thing was constructed to create a martyr in our eyes, and then to manipulate us. Nevertheless, I lean towards believing him.


It's easier to make money off naive people who believe without proof.

I've been an Armstrong supporter (even perhaps the most adamant supporter in this thread!) because I feel he has raised important issues and been somewhat prescient. But I'm not convinced that he has invented any new science. But I'm not accusing him of not. I'm just saying I will be skeptical until Armstrong explains his work in technical terms, not just glossing over the details to convince laymen.

EDIT: Armstrong appears to have responded even though I didn't message him:

The civil war (and disintegration into red and blue regions) ahead for the USA:


I believe Armstrong's models are correct that we're moving to a NWO where nation-states break up back to historical cultural regions some decade(s) after 2032^.95, and of course I believe Bitcoin was created by the Zionists as part of the creative destruction (of the nation-states) to have world central bank, reserve currency, and eventually governance model for these upcoming proliferation of micro-states. They knew they needed a great crisis in order to shift from a nation-state model to a world governance and not just disintegrate into a lack of global cooperation. So I think they're maximizing the crisis ahead by every means possible, which could also explain the desire to pump global debt to extremes and misdirect humanity away from preparing for a Maunder Minimum (global cooling) with the man-man global warming junk science propaganda, feminism, egalitarianism, socialism, etc.. Climatic effects will vary from colder, drier, wetter (and the concomitant sand storms, mudslides, and ice impacting the food supply and economic activity). Sixteen inches of snow in the Sahara desert for only the 3rd time in the past 37 years. See the wall sized murals at the Denver airport for a depiction of the tumultuous times ahead as we replace the nation-state and industrial age model (which replaced the monarchy and agricultural age model) with a NWO and knowledge age model. However, another POV is that it's just on auto-pilot and no group is pulling any significant strings. So for them I guess Satoshi was a brilliant independent, anonymous inventor who simply made mistakes in his design (yeah right  ).

Trump's booting the violent central americans from the USA. I toured southern Mexico and central America in 1993, then Colombia in 2001. More violent than the Philippines. I was noting today how much more violent and less society-wide cooperative the filipinos are as what I'm accustomed to in my childhood culture. Either you're in their tribe, or it's antagonistic (if they can get some money from you, that appeases them for that moment). The northern Europeans are extremely cooperative and this works well towards civilization coming together to accomplish goals, but then it also creates a morass of those who game the collective and extremist idealism, which has Nazi-like megadeath end games. Tribalism doesn't seem to accomplish as much but also the failure modes are a continuous violence instead of a rollercoaster of idealism into megadeath abyss. The highly obedient Chinese and their idealism is not a counter example and the idealistic megadeath repeats.

Oprah Winfrey's American "Stepford Wives" utopian nirvana is not one I would like to participate in much, given its past record of carnage. In her version, it's not the husbands who have brainwashed them all. The details are in the Dark Enlightenment thread. Contrast that with "Mad Dog" Mattis' sober, meaningful reality.

Btw, the linked article about the importance of the NFL in our culture reminds me that my hometown NFL team the New Orleans Saints are back in the SuperBowl hunt for probably the last time of Drew Brees' career (age 39). I remember at age 40, I could still play the game fairly competitively. Might have to wear my #87 Joe Horn jersey this coming Sunday versus the Vikings. At age 53, I still have an itch to play the sport actually. But I think perhaps I'm too slow now. We'll see if I'm able to clear these numerous liver and spleen cysts, what might still be possible athletically. Was surprised that while watching the game against the Panthers (which New Orleans won) that I still have that excitement for the game. I've been trying to workout as intensely as my gut health will allow me to daily, with no rest days. I'm a long way though from being super athletic. It's a long way back from Tuberculosis and cysts all over the spleen, liver, and one kidney.

What I can't decide easily is whether I want to abandon the USA entirely (give up my citizenship and forget living there again). I don't have much in the way of family ties. But American football (not that pussy sport soccer or that lack of aerial passing in rugby) isn't the same any where else in the world.

To all the immigrants in the USA who don't share my childhood culture in the USA, you can have the cities. I'm not against you. I think perhaps we just need to have our separate governance and cultures. USA though even in my childhood was not a homogeneous culture, even though there's distinct commonality and differences of the common culture of for example the Bible Belt. My Mom recently explained it well when she said while standing along the road in New Orleans, the black female bus driver pulled over the bus (even though my mom had not flagged down the bus) and said, "Girl you need to get on this bus darling". That just doesn't happen in the North or West.

I think I'd like the ability to continue to visit the USA, but I've read that if one renounces their USA citizenship, then the State department is likely to deny all requests for tourist visas if you're a citizen of a country that doesn't have visa-free access to the USA. Ah if you're wealthy enough, perhaps you just import those aspects of the USA you want where ever you are. After all, the great part of the USA were the friends and experiences. But last time I was there circa 2006, the people were much less friendly and more busy than I remembered in my childhood. And further West and North, the people can be paranoid and intentionally evasive. Who sits out on their porch any more and greets people as they stroll by? I had still found it in rural areas of the South around the turn of the century. I guess this is what happens when you get old and the youth have moved on to a new lifestyle. Any way, I can sort of go along with the new lifestyles and technologies. I'm somewhat adaptable.

Btw, I had some private discussions about Armstrong recently. And the gist of it, is that I think perhaps Armstrong is applying the scientific method of building cause & effect hypothesis via his stochastic and pattern modeling of events in time, but it's disconcerting that he doesn't open source nor publish any of his work in sufficient technological detail such that real peer review could be done.

So it's possible Armstrong is a con artist, although his extensive knowledge of history and the full body of evidence, causes me to take him somewhat seriously. Yet I also remain skeptical.

Not interested. When Trilema publishes their "research" in a manner that doesn't require busy people to wade through endless masturbation in the logs, then there will be peer review.

Deflecting your inability to address specifics with vacuous bravado is not very convincing.

I don't need Trilema to generate for myself a few $millions up to a cool $billion or so, and to accomplish important implementation on the decentralization issue. Why would I waste my time wading through that Btcbase masturbation. I didn't see much in the way of viable plans over there in the past.

Sorry but I'm not impressed.

I'm leaning towards the notion that Trilema is a grouping of sycophants, as is this thread. As if controlling the narrative here or there is actually important.   A bunch of guys who want to think they're with all the smart and cool guys. Groupthink myopia. Defending the decentralization of Bitcoin with a grouping of sycophants is illogical because the latter is centralization (politics).

Do you guys really spend your time regularly monitoring this thread and the Btcbase logs (and posting adolescent memes). What an enriching and interesting lifestyle.

Where's the humor? Do you still make fart jokes with your underarm also? Do you guys ever step back and look at yourselves from an outside perspective?


You wish to amplify the Streisand effect even more? Please do.

Hopefully you'll make it so arduous for newbies to signup to BCT that it will become entirely the dying echo chamber that sycophants wish for it to be.

Last time I checked, it seemed MP et al were hoping a PoW system that requires unbounded memory would rescue them from those who control the ASIC foundaries, but I had pointed out that it can be DoS attacked (because the requirement for memory is unbounded). Even if it worked, it wouldn't resolve the incentives incompatibility of transaction fees. Is there a new epiphany I should be aware of?

MP seems to underestimate the forethought of the Zionists. He's a large whale unaware of the whaling ship and net that will devour him someday. He's serving a useful role though and they'll play along for the time being.

If you were intellectually honest, you'd admit there's no way to prevent the oligarchy control of Bitcoin. It's inevitable if not already so behind the veil of mining. Research has shown for example that as the revenue for miners from transaction fees exceed the revenue from the programmed block reward, the incentives change such that it will fork off into an unbounded number of forks. This is because miners then have an incentive to bribe other miners to mine of the block they won, by sharing transaction fees. And the Byzcoin design didn't solve this dilemma. The only way to prevent this outcome is for a (probably surreptitious) oligarchy of mining to form.

And your research for BU was more or less debunked.

It's an insoluble problem as long as the only consensus algorithms are proof-of-work, proof-of-stake, or (a permissioned set of validators for) Byzantine agreement. I've studied this very deeply. Have you Peter?

Satoshi was/is not a person. Bitcoin was created by the Zionists who control the ASIC fabs via their control of usury. Bitman is likely a Zionist operative (@Dorky had documented their ties to Israel as one supporting evidence, and I documented that ASICBoost was preordained by Satoshi in the design of Bitcoin). Bitcoin is creative destruction of the nation-state central banks they control in order to gain a one-world reserve currency they control surreptitiously (a workaround for political resistance to the NWO), done in an obfuscated manner which causes all of you who hate them to actually work on their behalf. Deception, compartmentalization, and sufficient plausible deniability to appease nimwits is their modus operandi.

Craig Wright even fucked up the probability math in one of his recent nchain whitepapers and had to yank it. Craig isn't Satoshi, but he may be on the Zionist payroll.

Bitcoin was designed to be a reserve currency, not the transactional currency. The onchain scaling is to be achieved with $10,000+ transaction fees to kick the peons offchain. The $billionaires will pay these transaction fees to the Zionist who control the mining and most of the BTC (who the fuck do you think controls Satoshi's stack).


You're incredibly stupid. Far beyond what can be expressed in words. So stupid in fact, you're incapable of recognizing how stupid[indoctrinated] you are.

Anyone who believes commodification of proof-of-work is not impossible propaganda or who believes Lightning Networks will result in anything other than an oliigarchy for Bitcoin, is ignorant of the technological details. Bitcoin is designed such that it's an insoluble problem w.r.t. to it's centralized control by the Zionists. It's designed to go into their lap no matter what action is taken by the free market.

We're participating in and helping to promote the construction of the 666 system. Cherish the gloating.

@sidhujag, as usual, your technical ideas have multiple issues and failure modes. @realRoach you already know your idea had insoluble centralization issues which is why you stopped pursuing it.

This is an ANN post for my decentralized ledger (not a "block" chain!) project.