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401  Economy / Gambling / Re: SatoshiDICE.com - The World's Most Popular Bitcoin Game on: December 02, 2012, 02:43:49 AM
Looks like there are some significant delays with ALL many wagers made on SatoshiDICE right now:
 - http://satoshidice.com/lookup.php?tx=&limit=1000&status=ALL

Even better:
http://satoshidice.com/lookup.php?tx=&limit=1000&min_bet=10&status=UNKNOWN

What causes this?
402  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis on: December 02, 2012, 02:42:47 AM
http://satoshidice.com/lookup.php?tx=&limit=1000&min_bet=10&status=UNKNOWN

What causes this?
403  Economy / Games and rounds / Re: 10 BTC 4 U 2 STEAL - Protected by a weak 5-letter password - crack & it's yours! on: December 02, 2012, 12:20:51 AM
By the way, this money is going to get taken one way or another, even if I have to start leaking bits of the password to speed up the process.

Tell me the first 4 bits and I'll get it in no time.  Cool

That means if I don't tell you the first 4 bits, you'll get it in 16 * (no time).

But if you know some way where just 4 bits would give you more than a 16x advantage, please share!

No time≠0, it would be the time it takes to manually guess the password.
404  Economy / Speculation / Re: It's quiet, too quiet. Especially after everyone predicted a major rocket. on: December 02, 2012, 12:18:46 AM
There have been some very promising developments and news articles and what I like the most, the overall quality and tone of news articles has been improving significantly. People are getting more interested and people who dismissed it before are taking a second look. Bitcoin adoption has had a lot of rejection for many reasons but that is changing. Personally I feel we're getting close to an explosion that will surpass June 2011. That seemed far-fetched to me some time ago but right now I actually believe it's possible.

What we're seeing now is somewhat similar to the period of stability in early 2012. We were around the $5 area for a long time. Now we've been between $8 and $15 for a long time and recently between $10 and $12 specifically. Within a few months I believe we could be seeing a massive breakout. Of course I could be dead wrong but this is just my honest feeling at the moment.

You're not alone in your thinking  Wink
405  Economy / Games and rounds / Re: 10 BTC 4 U 2 STEAL - Protected by a weak 5-letter password - crack & it's yours! on: December 01, 2012, 11:43:05 PM
By the way, this money is going to get taken one way or another, even if I have to start leaking bits of the password to speed up the process.

Tell me the first 4 bits and I'll get it in no time.  Cool
406  Economy / Speculation / Re: It's quiet, too quiet. Especially after everyone predicted a major rocket. on: December 01, 2012, 11:41:00 PM
It may not be the time to buy, but does that mean it is the time to sell?

Its definitely not time to sell. People hearing about bitcoin from wordpress/halving should soon have some cash flowing in. On another note, google trends is still doing well:
http://www.google.com/trends/explore#q=bitcoin&date=1%2F2012%2012m&cmpt=q
407  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin Price Alerts on: December 01, 2012, 08:25:31 PM
your whois is private.

what are you hiding?

^^
Well you guys are sure off to a rough start lol
408  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker on: December 01, 2012, 05:15:47 PM
Just the usual weekend slump?

1% rise fallowed by a 1% drop, I call that stable.



Wasn't arguing against it being stable, just pondering if this 1% drop would have happened if it were not Saturday.
409  Economy / Speculation / Re: It's quiet, too quiet. Especially after everyone predicted a major rocket. on: December 01, 2012, 04:59:10 PM
I'll throw in my 2 cents.

I think a good model of the bitcoin price is like a ticking bomb. Any day, we might hear that Reddit will accept bitcoins, or some other big business that BitPay is quietly working out a deal with. Or similarly that some very wealthy investor decides to take a chance and buy $500,000 USD of bitcoin.

I for one, would like to see more indicators that track various aspects of the "network effect" (not saying there aren't any right now).

I agree with you completely. Most of us know bitcoins are going to be worth more than $12.50 in the future, we just don't know when or if they will drop down to $5 again beforehand. Very much a ticking time bomb.
410  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker on: December 01, 2012, 04:52:20 PM
Just the usual weekend slump?
411  Economy / Gambling / Re: y4x.com: BTC awarded on first block that has a bid on: December 01, 2012, 04:38:28 PM
Ok, sounds good. Some thought how possibly get more traffic to your site:

1. Tweet account with alarms some time before next game starts (maybe worthless, if you have regular times)
2. Some http code to be shared so others could include your game to their site.

When I think the psycology behind my own participance on the game, I think the initial prize could be smaller. With 0.1 initial bid, I hesitated participating to the game. When someone bidded 0.2, I ended up stopping, because I was afraid I could lose much.

With 0.001 or 0.01 bids, I could play that just for fun. Now the cost is a bit too big (~1€). Also with lower initial bid, the users who has only free BTC they have collected by watching youtube videos, could also play.

I think in the end it would not drop the income; when there are enought players, the bid will rise just as high as the players have guts to rise it.

One possibility to test good initial bid is just try several amounts. First game 0.1, next 0.01 etc?

Of  course, these are just one player's thoughts..


Agreed
412  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker on: December 01, 2012, 12:09:41 AM
so walls are unreliable
No, walls are not unreliable. Euro walls are just much further apart, as can be seen on mtgoxlive because Mt.Gox charges a hefty percentage for currency conversion.

okay they deal mainly USD everything else has to convert to USD before trade?

Not everything, you can have a sell order of 1BTC for 10EUR, and someone could buy that 1BTC for 10EUR without ever converting to USD. Its just when there isn't enough market depth in the other currency, they start buying/selling into USD orders.
413  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoins are not coins at all on: November 30, 2012, 11:54:22 PM
414  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker on: November 30, 2012, 11:46:08 PM
Guys, you finally found me on MTG/EUR. EUR/USD has it's own rally for quote some time now: )
Anyways, there was some nice argumentation going on on the last 6 pages. Great threat, no need to post a lol cat now. The smaler numbers when trading EUR or GBP also mean smaler fees / bigger spread/ less risk. Now we only need to break this wall at 9.73€ to make it rain. But in general MTG/EUR is less volatile.

Hang on, isnt there the same spread, fees and liquidity with all currencies on MtGox, because they are all pooled together?

then the jumps are people accidentally paying too much for bitcoin, miscalculated their conversion ratio?

Where do these walls come from on the EUR market?

Wild guess:
Its MtGox placing the walls themselves to add lucidity to their EUR market
When a wall is taken down on the EUR market, MtGox buys the coins off the USD market
They place the walls on EUR market high enough for them to be able to do this without losing money
This is all done automatically.

could it be?

This is what happens, its been confirmed before. Its all automatic.
415  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Official Newbie BitInstant Support Thread (Active Customer Support) on: November 30, 2012, 10:34:13 PM
Thanks!
416  Economy / Marketplace / Re: [Q]: mtgox "green adress" like "mixing"? on: November 30, 2012, 07:33:21 PM
say i deposit 500BTC to my mtgox account.
i then, next day, withdraw 500BTC to another adress via the "green adress" feature.

other than directly looking into my mtgox history, there will be no connections between both transactions, is that correct?

Yeah, I do this when moving coins to cold storage.
417  Other / Off-topic / Re: It's the end of the world as we know it (but I feel fine)...Mayan zombies itt on: November 30, 2012, 07:31:10 PM
Maybe we will have a little bad weather. Not expecting much else.
418  Other / Off-topic / Re: So, I cut the tip of my finger off on a razor. (Moderately Disturbing picture) on: November 30, 2012, 07:23:12 PM
Owch!
419  Economy / Gambling / Re: y4x.com: 1 BTC awarded every block that has a bid on: November 30, 2012, 07:07:14 PM
for me

-1

not verifiable

There have been multiple games where there was only 1 player (2 of them were me), so in the past he hasn't cheated.
420  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker on: November 30, 2012, 08:04:49 AM
BAM!


Edit: Aaaand its gone?
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