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4121  Economy / Speculation / Re: Is this Forum full of 'normal people' who over the years became filthy rich? on: November 22, 2017, 01:19:40 PM
All rich people are 'normal people', just like the non-rich.

The elites and the media want to brainwash you to think they are somehow special and put them on a pedestal.
4122  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 22, 2017, 01:02:46 PM
I said nothing much during the previous bubble and I'm not saying much during this one either.

Once upon a time people insisted that it was inconceivable for Bitcoin to go below a previous ATH. It did that with ease in 2014. Then people identified some 234 day cycle and predicted an ATH in July 2015. Nope.

Anyone declaring anything based on Bitcoin history will be shown to be a silly sausage.

Very true. We can be excited for what appears like more adoption and a subsequent price increase. But what we don't ever know is if the current price truly reflects a public buying demand or not. In 2013, it did not. Which is only something that you can see in hindsight, after a downturn and a subsequent bear market begins.

What I do know is that as the Bitcoin market cap gets bigger and bigger, it takes much more money to move the market, even with some leverage available. In the past with the market being so small and illiquid, there was much incentive by whales with deep pockets and massive 100x leverage to PnD the bitcoin market for a few months and then go short.

Now I think the reverse is true, in that there is more incentive for deep pockets to go long (i.e., as a true long investment) because getting a lot of REAL money back out quickly after a lot of buying in for several years would be difficult. The market is spread over so many exchanges now. The mass public can find avenues to buy in easily and quickly. Shorting is getting more dangerous. Plus, Bitcoin has proved itself to have real staying power as a real deflationary financial instrument, and not just an overnight flash-in-the-pan. The public's perception is changing.

call me what you want but i would not recommend to buy bitcoin now to friends and family.  its a long way down and regular first time investors will pay the price again, as the bitcoin mafia buy some more castles.
Thanks for revealing your deep seated, troll like nature

/ignore

4123  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 22, 2017, 03:25:59 AM

Jamie Dimon: "Ohh I guess we'll allow it.... but but it's still a FRAUD I tells ya!" <grumble grumble>

http://www.businessinsider.com/bitcoin-jpmorgan-might-get-involved-even-though-jamie-dimon-hates-it-2017-11
4124  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 22, 2017, 03:07:05 AM
Still on the silly Tether thing, I see.

Still the hand-wringing and paranoia.

You guys are kinda proving to the FUDsters that FUD still works, ya know that riiight?
4125  Economy / Speculation / Re: Is is still a good time to Invest in Bitcoin? on: November 21, 2017, 04:32:34 PM
I can see that you are new here.

It is never a good time to buy Bitcoin! Haven't you read all the negative MSM articles? Don't you know it is a fraud and a scam? Can't you see that it'll crash any day now?

You should run far away from Bitcoin, and never buy any ever. Especially not right now. It will never benefit your life to hold or spend it. You should always make sure to listen to what the industry experts have to say about Bitcoin, listen to your friends, family, and co-workers, and try not to think for yourself. Do NOT think for yourself! In fact, just follow the crowd sentiment on this one.

And if you do slip up and get a wild hair to buy some, you should dump it almost immediately after it rises like $5 or $10.

You're welcome.


/s
4126  Economy / Speculation / Re: What'll happen when USDT collapses? on: November 21, 2017, 03:47:15 PM
I have read that there is no official audit data provided by a competent body.

Then what you read was wrong. I have read the actual audit report from a well-established accountancy firm that most certainly is competent.


You may be right, but we don't know if this accountancy firm is on the level.

To this day it still blows my mind that for years now, trusted people like Andreas Antonopolous makes themselves known and available to the crypto world as a trusted independent auditor (who at one point he was even offering this service for free). And yet none of these exchanges will have him come in and do one.

In my mind, that speaks volumes.

It reminds me of Janet Yellen's garbage responses:
Q. "Why won't you let the Fed be audited?"
A. "The Federal Reserve is one of the most trusted and transparent organizations.. blah blah blah...."
4127  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 21, 2017, 02:07:17 PM
I don't think the market will miss a beat. The FUD is by design, the FUDsters need another reason to short/dump the market and cause another panic. It's getting comical at this point. After every rally, there is always some "magical FUD" that appears out of nowhere and gets everyone all frazzled.

You guys need to chillax. Also, why do you guys consider Bitfinex to be the center of the Bitcoin universe? They suck, everyone knows it, no one trusts them, and hardly anyone I know even trades there.

I'd rather say that it's not the right time for this 'news' to make an impact.
The market will probably rise until it gets too far ahead of itself does its full bubble thing. Then it will need a trigger to implode.
Back in 2014 the market shrugged off good news just like it is shrugging off bad news now.

Let me help you out a little here.

Mark my words, there WILL be another FUD-driven dump coming. Likely on or before 12/14. Or even shortly thereafter. But there will be another huge dump (likely -30%), and it will try to get people to panic sell. The FUDsters are likely already planting the seeds for this crap. It's probably to help out their Wall Street buddies to get in to Bitcoin by opening big short positions.

There, I said it. Prepare accordingly. Let's all make this the one major FUD dumpage that we all saw coming a mile away.

Now can we stop with all the hand-wringing?
4128  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 21, 2017, 01:54:20 PM
Tether website gone offline. $30 million "hack" last night. Not liking this

I cannot imagine what taking USDT out of play would do to the ecosystem at this point.

Thats only part of the potential problem. If they (bitfinex/tether) were issuing tether without any backing ($670 million remember) and using margin on top of that to pump btc, We are in a lot bigger trouble. Not only will everyone who holds tether have a worthless token but we have no idea what any coin is actually worth in the real market.
Its been 24hours since bitfinex said they would be releasing an official statement.

I might be getting paranoid here but it feels like de ja vu (goxed)

I don't think the market will miss a beat. The FUD is by design, the FUDsters need another reason to short/dump the market and cause another panic. It's getting comical at this point. After every rally, there is always some "magical FUD" that appears out of nowhere and gets everyone all frazzled.

You guys need to chillax. Also, why do you guys consider Bitfinex to be the center of the Bitcoin universe? They suck, everyone knows it, no one trusts them, and hardly anyone I know even trades there.
4129  Economy / Speculation / Re: US Inflation on: November 21, 2017, 01:14:24 PM
Maybe some of you guys were too young to remember, or maybe you were in school at the time. But I remember the Financial Crisis of '08/'09 very well. It wasn't my first rodeo either living through a major market crash ('00/'01).

But when I saw all the talk about major financial institutions and banks failing, and talks of massive govt bailouts for the Central Banks, and at the same time all these sleazy, narcissistic banksters were still receiving massive $$$ million dollar bonuses, I knew that this time things really were different. Knowing the old saying about how the world's wealthy elites "Privatize successes and socialize losses", I knew that there was no way in hell that the Powers That Be were just going to let the free market run it's course and wipe out those ill managed financial institutions that the wealthy elites rely on for their wealth, status and positions. I KNEW that they were going to somehow "socialize all of the losses" of these massive bank bailouts, and now ten years later we are seeing the knock on effects of those socialized losses through lack of GDP growth dragged down by mega govt and corp debt, massive money printing, 0% interest rates, and thus lack of wage growth coupled with a significant increase in yearly inflation.

This how they had always planned to spread those losses throughout the population. This was by design. As if no one would notice. Every working man and woman has basically seen their total purchasing power cut in HALF during the last ten years, and their wealth decline, their debts level increase, etc. while the wealthy elites have actually gotten exponentially WEALTHIER during that same period. They never suffered a minute long, and never will. That's why they act so indifferent to what's really happening on the ground to Average Joe. Meanwhile the rest of us have suffered. The elites' paper wealth will also continue to rise, because the Central banks are committed to pumping cheap money into the stock markets pretty much indefinitely and buying up everything. In fact all of the FAANG stocks are in the process of being nationalized by the world banks right under our very noses. The U.S. stock market is in a melt up.

And I believe that it is gradually going to get worse. Over the next decade, GDP growth will continue to be anemic for the major countries, govt and corp debt will continue to balloon out of control, healthcare premiums will skyrocket, entitlements will suffer and start to default, inflation will still creep up at a steady 6-8%/yr rate, and wages will cap out for most of the middle and upper middle class.

The only way to combat all of this is to fight this insidious inflationary, stagnant environment that's going to be with us for some time. To invest in your future. Live a modest lifestyle based on what you can pay cash for. Stay active and healthy. Pay down and wipe out all of your personal debt, and invest like crazy in all of the deflationary assets that you can: Bitcoin, gold, silver, real estate, land, art, collectables, etc. Use it all to build up your wealth, and then diversify to have your money make more money.
4130  Economy / Speculation / Re: What'll happen when USDT collapses? on: November 21, 2017, 12:40:41 PM
The most likely outcome for the death of USDT is a shutdown initiated by the US. Tether only exists to bypass regulations. Soon enough they'll punish that and put the frighteners on the exchanges trading it.

Lol. Yeah they'll shut it down eventually, only to replace it with their own one day.

Tether is essentially what USDFedCoin will be when it launches. Both are fractional reserve, inflatable, and backed by nothing.

And Bitfinex is really not getting it if they don't think they have been put on notice for all their scamming. I wouldn't be surprised one day if their office gets raided and someone led out in handcuffs.
4131  Economy / Speculation / Re: FUD From All Sides: In Defense of CME's Bitcoin Futures Plan on: November 21, 2017, 01:59:53 AM
Well if the author is being honest and truly believes what he is writing, then this passage really made my year:

Quote
Overwhelming demand

When Terry Duffy, CME's CEO, says it's offering bitcoin futures in response to customer demand, I'm sure he’s right.

I know from writing brochures for commodity trading advisors that money managers want non-correlated assets. That's the only reason they own gold.

When the stock market tanks or a terrorist attack happens, that's when gold rallies. After 9/11, the stock market dropped over 7 percent, but gold spiked.

Bitcoin, like gold, is a perfect non-correlated asset to add to an investment portfolio.
I am not surprised that there is such overwhelming demand for bitcoin futures from traders. Now, every trader is going to have the option to invest right there on their screen without having to do the onerous work of buying and securing bitcoin itself.


What that essentially answers then is what is on a LOT of Bitcoiner's minds like myself: Will Bitcoin be treated like an equity or like a hedge asset (i.e., Gold, Silver, etc.) during another market shock?  Sounds like the latter.
4132  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 21, 2017, 01:47:43 AM
Found a rare unicorn, a positive MSM article.

https://www.cnbc.com/2017/11/20/standpoints-ronnie-moas-predicts-bitcoin-will-surge-another-70-percent.html

Price target raised from $11k to $14k, but doesn't say when. I'm assuming end of 2018.
4133  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 20, 2017, 07:46:26 PM
https://twitter.com/danheld/status/932370583400079360

Square fiddling with BTC buys and sells.

Super cool and easy

https://twitter.com/flibbr/status/932658918697918465

Bloomberg keeping their terminal holders up to date.

"The analyst sees the price of bitcoin hitting $60,000 in five years."

Yeah, I could live with that... but I'd prefer it in three.  Smiley
4134  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 20, 2017, 07:32:51 PM
I should go fish my radio from the river. MSM must be having a proper shit about this.

In the UK there has been nothing for weeks again. I am highly suspicious of the BBC at the moment. They must have a gameplan of some sort.


I have also noticed that major U.S. MSM sites are somewhat radio silent right now on Bitcoin's recent ATHs. They're keeping the public distracted and focused on other nonsense. Highly suspicious.
4135  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 20, 2017, 07:09:31 PM
Now I see where all the trolls and MSM naysayers are getting their sensational doom headlines from.

https://99bitcoins.com/bitcoin-obituary-generator/

Fun to play with!  Cheesy

Funny:

"Bitcoin's game over is just around the corner"

"The dream of Bitcoin is a joke"

"Is this the Bitcoin's grim reaper?"
4136  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 20, 2017, 06:51:52 PM
My "sell everything" price was @ $1800, but I fell asleep.

Did I miss it?  Huh
4137  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 20, 2017, 04:31:15 PM
LN on mainnet getting closer...

https://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/7e6qjz/lightning_strikes_18_months_early_zap_ftw/
4138  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 20, 2017, 03:24:21 PM
where is the antonio banderas meme, will ferrell meme, big lebowski meme........

Here ya go: "MFW waking up and seeing the price today..."  Grin

4139  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 20, 2017, 03:04:31 PM
That's the most likely scenario we're heading into. Someone said it best, it's like winning the lottery in slow motion!

Note the years in question. The ones following 2013 were not exactly classics.

Lol, true.

I learned one major thing during that whole '14-'15 bear market. If/when it ever happens again, just hodl and take a long sabbatical if need be. And buy some on the way down. You'll rarely if ever catch the final bottom.

If the price holds I owe you a drink. I converted most of my ETH to BTC at lunch time after reading your posts.  Grin
Cheers.

Oh noes, please don't construe what I said as trading advice. I'm merely voicing my own personal opinion on ETH. I'm sure others here may disagree with me.

Although in the past I've challenged many ETH proponents that have wandered into the Bitcoin Spec forum to show/outline me a long term viable business model for ETH that makes any sense whatsoever.... and they all mumble something about "Smart contracts!" and promptly disappear.  Wink

Warren Buffett basically said, "Never invest in something that you don't understand." and the same holds true for the crypto space. You have to do the research and think through the long term prospect. I DO understand Bitcoin. I don't understand Ethereum. They can't just continue to "fake it until you make it" if the business model doesn't make sense and is not there.
4140  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 20, 2017, 01:36:53 PM
Ethereum promised smart contracts but it was basically a scam on Vitalik Buterin's part to weasel other people out of their bitcoins by pre-mining and then holding the first ICO, payable in Bitcoin. Eventually the smart contract function will be added to Bitcoin via sidechains.

Roostock is coming to Bitcoin 4th December  Cool

So with that, what is the point of Ethereum? Especially since BTC has already been adopted in real consumer payment systems for several years.

As you read in the other thread about ETH, there isn't any. The ETH camp are clueless sheeple that just follow it because of Vitalik, and don't really want to sit down and think through ETH's bogus, non-existent business model. When you do, you find that none of it makes any sense, either in the short term or the long term horizon. The hype is not warranted.

The reason for ETH's existence is complete vapor. That's why the name is so apropos.  Grin
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