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421  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24 on: March 08, 2024, 03:55:17 PM
Barcelona has not lost recently, but there are matches where they have drawn. It seems certain that they will see tight defense against Mallorca. It's very important for them to score early, otherwise the match will become even more difficult for them. Injuries were a bit annoying. Still, I think Barca will make the moves to win the match.
Mallorca's offensive line, consisting of Muriqi and Larin, is very effective. They can score goals too. In this respect, both teams to score or over 2.5 goals can be played.

Mallorca only score twice in their last 7 away league games, I doubt they will be able to score against a full-team Barca.
But some of the Barca key players such as Araujo, Balde, Pedri and De Jong are absent from this match.
And dont forget that they must face Napoli in the Champions league on Tuesday.
I still have faith on Barca to win this match and Over 2.5 should be win if Mallorca can score.
422  Local / Ekonomi, Politik, dan Budaya / Re: Hak angket pilpres Mau di bawa kemana on: March 08, 2024, 02:47:35 PM
tapi wacana pemakzulan itu kencang.
bahkan ganjar tidak hanya mewacanakan hak angket saja tapi malah mau interpelasi. dan statement nya di youtube juga ada
kalau interpelasi ya sudah jelas tujuan nya mau kemana
https://www.cnnindonesia.com/nasional/20240221094821-32-1065317/mengenal-hak-interpelasi-yang-juga-didorong-ganjar-mahfud-md

Karena kemungkinan besar karier politik beliau akan memudar perlahan dan tidak akan pernah bisa bangkit lagi.
Jika hanya diam saja bisa habis popularitas dia dimata pendukungnya dan partai.
Atau bisa jadi kehebohan tersebut hanya digaungkan sebagai politik tawar menawar dengan pemerintahan sekarang dan berikutnya.

https://www.detik.com/jogja/berita/d-7228734/dilaporkan-ke-kpk-terkait-dugaan-gratifikasi-ini-kata-ganjar

Mungkin ada kaitannya dengan ini, entahlah hehe.
423  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: The Monte Carlo fallacy on: March 08, 2024, 01:56:36 PM
- snip -

Perhaps the majority of gamblers know this , especially the professionals and old-timers. Personally, I always fall into this trap.

-What is your analysis about this trick?

Always keep in mind that with provably fair or RNG - random number generator = any previous outcome wont affect a future outcome.
For example, the previous outcomes of throwing a single dice were 2, 3, 4, 1, 2, 2.
On the next round, the probability of each number will always the same which is 1/6.
The probability/odds will always the same, no matter what the previous result was.
424  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Premier League 2023/2024 Discussion Thread ⚽ on: March 08, 2024, 12:33:44 PM
I would say that the team that loses this match will have to give up their hopes of winning the title. This match is very important for both Liverpool and City. Liverpool team is ahead of Manchester City by only 1 point.
If this match is a draw, and if Arsenal win their next match against Brentford, then Arsenal will be at the top of the table.


Source: 365scores

This is Liverpool vs Manchester City last 5 head to head stats. Manchester City have played very well in their last three matches against Liverpool. However, Manchester City lost in the previous two matches. And Liverpool vs Manchester City matches are always very competitive. Both Liverpool and Manchester City are in very good form right now. So it is difficult to predict which team will win. Betting on this match is also very risky. I will take my  betting decision after looking at the starting XI of the two teams.

Liverpool will be the host this time, and since 2004 (22 games) Liverpool at the Anfield only have lost once against Mancity back in 2021.
In theory Mancity is stronger than Liverpool, but in this season (all competitions) - there is no team able to beat Liverpool at the Anfield.
Its been a year since the last time Liverpool lose at home, Madrid beat them 5-2 in the Champions League.
While for Mancity, they have lost 3 times when away against Aston, Arsenal and Wolves.
Perhaps I will pick Liverpool with asian handicap and both teams to score.
425  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Even as a sport fan be careful! on: March 07, 2024, 01:09:10 PM
Quote
Two English men, in their 20s, were attacked shortly after midnight.
The attack took place in Via Cavour near the Colosseum

Quote
The men suffered stab wounds before their wallets and documents were stolen, Italian police have said.

It happened after the match ended and far away from the stadium area, I think its a robbery not by hatred because the victims are a Brighton fan.
Im sure the police will catch all of them soon, there must be many of CCTV around that area.

Edit: BBC provide a better information, "Brighton & Hove Albion fans stabbed before Europa match in Rome" here is the link https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-england-sussex-68501921

Quote
Brighton fan Joey Thorpe told BBC Radio Sussex: "We were walking home from a bar and being casual, no chanting and in normal clothes. We just got jumped from behind by about six guys all in balaclavas, all wearing black and hiding their faces."
There is no indication whether the attackers were Roma supporters.

426  Economy / Gambling / Re: 👑 CoinRoyale.com - Original Bitcoin Casino | Trusted Since 2013 ✔️ on: March 07, 2024, 12:16:11 PM
I have checking the CR, but still not update something.

I interested playing with CR, but those only accepting bitcoin. Yes I know we are able to deposit using swap services, but that is not the main problem.

The main problem is fee of trasactions took a lot  $ for me.

Would you update for betting with alt-coins please.

The bitcoin fee is quite cheap at this moment, perhaps its a good time for you to deposit (and good luck!)?



And if you decide to do that another time, then you can check the fees from time to time here https://mempool.space/
Also nowadays the bitcoin fees is not so expensive as 2 months ago. 
427  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: March 07, 2024, 11:36:57 AM

Even though Real Madrid qualified for the quarterfinals of the UEFA Champions League, the Real Madrid vs Leipzig match shouldn't have ended in a draw since Real Madrid players know that if Leipzig won by a goal difference, they would end in a penalty shootout, and Real Madrid fans would be praying for Leipzig not to score first against Real Madrid. 
Yes, of course Real Madrid doesn't expect that and it's impossible for them to give Leipzig the freedom to develop their game. Leipzig, who still had hope, was also able to play an open game to catch up on the deficit, but Los Blancos were really able to maintain their defensive line well to avoid conceding. For me, Real Madrid is still the top team in this tournament and now they have qualified for the quarter-finals. Madrid is one of the strong candidate teams to win this season.

Many people disappointed with the result Madrid vs Leizpig, and I guess it happens because most of them bet on Madrid.
A draw doesnt mean Madrid in crisis or under performance and the most importantly it doesnt mean they are not able to win the Champions League.
Leizpig must win with 2 goal difference at Madrid home to qualify, that is why they have launched a ferocious attack since the beginning.
428  Local / Ekonomi, Politik, dan Budaya / Re: Hak angket pilpres Mau di bawa kemana on: March 07, 2024, 10:19:43 AM
Saya masih penasaran mengenai isu pemakzulan ini, bukannya Jokowi sebentar lagi masa jabatannya selesai? jadi untuk apa cape cape di makzulkan. Maksudnya gini saya mengutip pernyataan sejuk dari Puan Maharani : Siap Menang ya harus Siap Kalah. Simpel tapi saya rasa cukup untuk mengambil kesimpulan bahwa memang harusnya seperti itu, biasanya bagi mereka atau golongan yang ngotot banget ada kecurangan ini itu karena terlalu percaya diri menang sebelum pemilu, shingga ketika sudah disuguhkan dengan kenyataan pahit kecewannya 1000x kecewa gitu sehingga melakukan segala cara untuk menentang hasil.

Alih alih terus ngotot mending ikutin apa kata Puan aja, eh tapi tumben bu Puan pernyataannya sejuk. Karena beberapa politisi PDI justru sebaliknya dari pernyataan tersebut.

Hak angket itu untuk menyelidiki kecurangan pemilu, bukan untuk pemakzulan Presiden walaupun arahnya nanti bisa kesana.
Hak angket juga tidak bisa mengubah hasil pemilu, jadi hak angket ini sebenarnya hanya untuk mengiring opini dan menaikan popularitas saja sepertinya.

Mungkin mereka hanya cari muka dan cari selamat saja di depan pimpinan partai PDI, suara PDI di legislatif/pileg masih mendominasi tapi Capres/Cawapres jauh berbeda dengan pileg.
Pasti ada yang salahkan dengan strategi para caleg dan pastinya harus ada juga yang disalahkan atas kejadian tsb. 
429  Local / Ekonomi, Politik, dan Budaya / Re: Kaesang Baru Jadi Anggota Kemaren, sudah jadi Ketum!, Salut!!! on: March 06, 2024, 04:02:38 PM
Orang yang bandingkan salinan C1 dengan hasil di si Rekap ya pasti terkejut lihat perbedaannya.
Kalau disebut salah input di si Rekap tapi kok begitu massive terjadi dibanyak tempat untuk suara PSI ini?
Terus kalau dipikir secara nalar, pasti akan ketahuan kalau penggelembungan suara ini benar apa adanya karena partai-partai politik punya salinan C1 sebagai bahan perbandingan.
Sebenarnya rawannya pergeseran suara ini mungkin terjadi dalam proses dari TPS ke kecamatan.
430  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: March 06, 2024, 03:15:36 PM
Shefield United have been a team every team are using to get three points in the premier league this season,they have been in terrific form that has kept them at the bottom of the table.They were beaten by Arsenal last match,and will still be beaten in their next game. They will be among teams that will not escape religation this season.
Where as the the  for the top four race is really getting intense.Aston Villa who flogged Arsenal,Mancity and other big teams are sittted right behind Arsenal at fourth position,and they will ensure they win all the games possible to be able to maintain that spot,else,their position is under threat.

Yes, Sheffield 100% will be relegate back to the Championship league again.
There are 11 games to go until the end of the season but Paddy power even already paid out on bets for Sheffield to get relegated.

All three top clubs in the Premier League table are serious about winning the trophy this season. I think Arsenal will get close to the top of the Premier League table soon. This weekend, Arsenal will enter second place in the Premier League table if they beat Brentford on Saturday, because Liverpool or Manchester City will drop points on Sunday.

Correct, no matter what is the result between Liverpool vs Mancity - Arsenal will be in the top 2 of the league if they able to beat Brentford.
This month will be crucial for Arsenal, if they able to beat Chelsea and Mancity they might become the first if Mancity able to beat Liverpool.
431  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: March 06, 2024, 02:03:41 PM
The first match was extremely suspicious, as if Bayern lost on purpose, and especially strange was the fact that previously consistently scoring Bayern did not score even one goal. This time everything fell into place and Bayern won without a chance for Lazio.
The most amazing thing is that after many years Neuer and Muller are still playing well at a high level.
There is also hope that Harry Kane will get his first trophy this season.
Tuchel is also good coach that after learning that he will leave at the end of the season did not start to scandalize, and calmly coaches and still strive for victories.

Lazio are really free now and can concentrate on Serie A.

Yep, unexpected result of the 1st leg but I dont think its suspicious.
In the 1st leg Bayern got a red card and a penalty for Lazio, also Lazio defense was quite good at that time. Bayern have 17 shoots but none of them is on target.
Neuer and Muller contracts have been extended to 2025, so we will still see both of them playing for Bayern until next year.
432  Economy / Gambling / Re: Can gambling sites provide proof of auditing that was done on their RTP? on: March 06, 2024, 01:11:13 PM
From what I know, its call the RNG audit not RTP audit.
RNG (random number generator) program on slots is responsible for determining the outcome of each spin, and RNG guarantees that the past outcomes do not affect the future results.
And this RNG usually tested by independent audit labs such as Itechlabs, Ecogra, etc.

For online slots, some of the gaming providers provide a variable RTP setting but the slots operator/casino will not able to set random numbers.
For example, slot A standard RTP is 96% and the gaming provider of slot A only provides an option to pick 94% or 96%, because of that the casino will not able to set it to any number beside 94% or 96%.
Also to change RTP, the slots operator/casino is not able to change it anytime they like because they have to request it first to the gaming provider or via the 3rd party casino software provider and it will not happen instantly.

Some of you might aware that the same slots have different RTP at different casinos, it doesnt mean that some casinos are cheating with lower the RTP but because its legal and they are allowed to do that.
I suggest to play only slots with the standard RTP from the gaming providers, how to check it?
Google it or visit the gaming provider site to check it then compare with the RTP of that slot on your favorite casino.
To check the RTP, load the game then go to Setting or Information. Any casino will not able to change any info in the information tab including the RTP info about that game.
For example,


Because of the reasons above, the slots operators/casinos dont need nor able to provide an audit of the RTP/RNG because the slots operators do not have a direct access to that program.
And Im sure many people are still not aware that they play their favorite slots with non standard RTP on certain sites.
 
433  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: March 05, 2024, 12:44:35 PM
The 1st leg result was 2-0 for PSG, not 2-1. That is why PSG ML odds is quite big because in theory, draw or losing with 1 goal difference in the 2nd leg = they will be qualified into the quarter final.
This match is unpredictable, better to watch it live and see how they play before placing any bet on this match.
PSG had difficult group phase but they look to be lucky with draw for round of 16. With result from the first leg, they have high chance to participate in quarter finals and I wonder will they surprisingly win Champions League in a season they less expect about it. With some months left till leaving PSG to join Real Madrid, will Mbappe be on fire with his maximum contribution for the club in Champions League?

He is a key player for PSG attacking system and has important role in knock out matches. He can help PSG to have decisive goals in knock out matches and PSG only need him for 6 more matches in Champions League.

There is a chance that we might only see Mbappe play only in the 1st half again, same as the last match against Monaco last week.
Enrique said,
"Sooner or later, we will have to get used to playing without Kylian. It’s a decision that I made with the aim of doing the best for the team."

I didnt agree with Enrique statement, Mbappe is the top scorer of Ligue1 for the fifth consecutive season.
He also the all-time top goalscorer for PSG and he is the 1st PSG player to score 5 goals in a match.
Why waste his skill while there are still 3 months left for Mbappe in PSG?
434  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Cashing Out BTC in Exchanges Questions on: March 05, 2024, 11:28:13 AM
So what happens if people who are long term holders start cashing out decent amounts of btc in exchanges like coinbase or gemini or kraken?  Thus they send the btc from their wallet to their exchange account and then sell and these are for big amounts or amounts?  Now whether they kept their btc in their hardware wallet or electrum for a long time, there should be no issue right?


The thing is with btc price going up so much, well what happens if someone wants to sell an amount that is like 5 or even 6 figures worth of usd on coinbase or gemini or kraken?  Like imagine someone that trades btc for fiat and vice versa for hundreds of dollars but never sold for a long time because they just hold.  But now they want to sell a lot of btc that could be 5 figures worth of usd or even higher.  Do they have to be concerned if the exchanges freeze their account because they have never done a transaction like that before?  The thing is if someone is a long term holder, well they will have a good amount of btc etc.

Coinbase user able to apply a request to increase the withdrawal limit, after they agree about it then the user will be asked to provide additional documents.
https://help.coinbase.com/en-au/coinbase/trading-and-funding/buying-selling-or-converting-crypto/limits-and-account-levels
To withdraw 5 or 6 digits they must be asked for the source of funds or/and source of income to make sure the legality of the crypto you sell to them.

Coinbase do not limit how much crypto you can sell but there is a withdrawal limit $100k limit per day.
Someone ever asked how to wd $1M from coinbase on reddit, and the coinbase representative there answers like this:

Quote
Given the current limit of $100,000 per transaction, you would need to make 10 separate transactions to cash out $1 million. Please note that each transaction may be subject to fees as outlined in the context. It's always a good idea to plan your transactions ahead of time to ensure a smooth process.
source: link
435  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24 on: March 05, 2024, 10:46:27 AM

Girona lost it's confidence after they lose against Real Madrid, this might hit them hard and since they haven't experienced in this position, it's not easy for them to comeback and fix the issues.


Against Mallorca was crucial to the season, and they decided to pull out.
From 1 point behind Madrid to 7 points. Their spirit was no longer there.
Girona's football bubble burst. The free fall begins
There's no denying that they've had an incredible season, and  It was entertaining while it lasted, but they're running out of fuel.

Cant use the same strategy again and again in the big league such as LaLiga, especially when the club only has a few skillful players.
At the beginning of the season their away record is magnificent, but now they havent won at all in the last 6 away games.
Michel must do something about their strategy and their mental when away, if not - then there is a big chance they will end at the top 4th in the league under Barcelona and Atletico.
436  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: March 05, 2024, 09:55:10 AM
It's crazy the money line odds PSG to win is @2.75, that's really big considering PSG is leading and they will play with full squad. I don't expect Real Sociedad would win, probably a draw or PSG would win.

While the match Bayern Munich vs Lazio, honestly it's really unpredictable, betting Bayern Munich to win is not profitable because the odds is very low. I think both teams will score because both of them will try to score, Munich is looking for win while Lazio can find a space when Bayern Munich is too focus with their attacks.
Real sociedad is going to give PSG problem today. It's not going to be an easy game for PSG that's why their odd is so big. Sociedad are a strong side in this season champions league, the score in the first leg ended 2:1 in favour of PSG, I was thinking PSG was going to score more goals in that game but it turned out to be a close win. Sociedad will be giving their best to make sure they win this game. The PSG odd is looking pretty enticing but I don't see PSG wining this game.

The 1st leg result was 2-0 for PSG, not 2-1. That is why PSG ML odds is quite big because in theory, draw or losing with 1 goal difference in the 2nd leg = they will be qualified into the quarter final.
This match is unpredictable, better to watch it live and see how they play before placing any bet on this match.

I think Bayern vs Lazio is easy to predict, Bayern will win this match but the question is with how many goals?
My guess the match could end with 1-0 or 2-1 for Bayern then continue to extra time and maybe a penalty shootout to decide which team qualify to the next stage.
437  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: What Work Now May Not Work Tomorrow on: March 03, 2024, 07:17:24 PM
How about you have you at one time of your gambling experience experienced finding patterns that you think are effective and consistent only to find out later after several days that it's not working anymore..

And are you still looking for patterns that you think will work in the long run for you.


I am a regular sports bettor, so these winning patterns might not apply to sports games. The basics of sports bets is to analyze and forecast the outcome of games and this is very unpredictable. You might find a winning pattern based on the history of teams but this might not be the case all the time. Coaches, players, injuries, suspensions, etc, of a club could affect the outcome of the games.

I have not also found any winning pattern in other casino games because I have not tried any pattern. I just place my bets and depend solely on luck. I have read that some gamblers can take advantage of loopholes in casinos and exploit it. I have no experience in such and I don't also believe that there is a stable winning pattern. If there were such, many gamblers would have made so much money. 

Everything is good until its not - Some regular minesweeper players and other games may have strategies that give them a better chance of winning more often, but its not guaranteed that it will always win all the time.
Even if he able to win a few days in a row with that "pattern" he will lose it again when trying to find a new pattern after the previous one didnt work anymore.
I have ever been using this pattern strategy when playing Baccarat a long time ago, its like a never ending cycle and we know what will happen in the long term.
438  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Premier League 2023/2024 Discussion Thread ⚽ on: March 03, 2024, 05:34:01 PM
Hehe Manutd almost give a heart attack to Mancity fans before Foden scores at 56' minute. But in the end they are leading 3-1 now, and many people who bet on Mancity must be happy right now.
And soon we will hear more gossip regarding Ten Hag in Manutd.
With this result, there is 6 points difference for Manutd to chase Tottenham if they want to participate in the Europa competition.
2014/2015 season was the last time that Manutd not join any EU competition because they finished in the top 7th back in 2013/2014 season.
439  Economy / Economics / Re: 2024 & Prediction of World War III - Effect on Cryptocurrencies on: March 03, 2024, 04:58:58 PM
If WW 3 does really happen then definitely it will become a nuke war. Any countries have nuke might use it at the beginning of the war or when they start losing to their opponent.
Crypto and human will become history, there is no way to survive after US, China and Russia launch all of their nukes.
But I doubt human really stupid to use all of the nukes in this world, if it only less than 5 perhaps human still can survive and there is still a chance crypto will be used again after the end of WW3.
440  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24 on: March 02, 2024, 08:35:49 PM
Real Sociedad is not as strong as last season, they are far behind the top four in the current standings. The defeat against Sevilla again complicated Real Sociedad chances of securing tickets to European competition next season. The best chance they have is to appear in the European Confederation League, with the condition that they have to wait for Real Betis to stumble first. In the last five matches, Real Sociedad was only able to achieve one win in La Liga, maybe in Week 28 they can secure full points because they face a mediocre club, namely Granada. The decline in performance towards the end of the season was very painful, especially after failing in the Copa del Rey.

On the other hand, Real Sociedad chance of turning things around in the second leg looks impossible, because PSG has a 2 goal advantage. It could be said that Real Sociedad progress in the Champions League this season only reached the round of 16, even though in the group phase they managed to finish in first place without being defeated. Only great luck can bring Real Sociedad through to the quarter finals, because PSG has the complete attributes to win in the second leg.

I think it will be impossible for Sociedad to enter the big 5 in the league or even become the 6th to get the ticket to Europa Conference League, due to their next opponents in April and May later where they must face Madrid, Las Palmas, Barcelona, Valencia, Betis and Atletico.



With their present performance , I dont think they will be able to get 3 points from any match above.
Also, should be not hard for PSG to beat them again next week.
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