HOT ! Manager: HhampuzNazwa kampanii: BestMixerIle do zarobienia/tydzień / ilość postów: 0,00030/post - 25$/15 postów max 35 postów (50$) Jakie rangi: 1x senior Dodatkowe informacje: edit: Full after 2h 40 min |
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Sorry if I've misunderstood, but did you stick to one outcome or change it for example if betting on roulette you stick to black all the time? I'm no mathematician but I've always thought that there must be some way to expand your chances of winning with Martingale, but then if there was I'm sure a smarter guy than me would have cleaned the casions out by now. When I was gambling I never changed the higher or lower and kept the odds at the default of whatever it was so it was nearly 50/50 (minus house edge) and just kept going but I'm sure there are better ways at doing it.
I've tested various of community ideas. Like betting on red only after combo of 3 black in a row appear. Or tripling after lost bet instead of doubling and many more. All inside this topic. F.e. https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5112216.msg49864179#msg49864179At the end its all about nr of bets: The more you play the more you loose and the less probability of winning you have. Optimal strategy is to bet all your money in one go and go home with 0 or profit. |
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We already had in the recent history a couple of "bull trend starting" periods, as you can see in the image.
I hope that it's a bull trend, but it's safer to say it's just a minor rally and keep your eyes open for what's to be next.
Yep. Currently we've only retested 5500 support after breaking it few months ago. That's normal and happens very often. Its much too early to assume that bull run has started. Price was pushed quite hard but it was mainly done by short liquidations and short stop losses. |
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I think I've found a winner. Any solid facts to justify the sudden pump of market these days? Looks very unnatural with no signs of catalyst whatsoever. News said 20,000 bitcoins are ordered but around 100m to trigger a 40billion bullrun? That's really fishy considering they can profit way more than their buys, what are your insights on this? Organized whales or institutions strategy?
I think it was because of the news that China governments and regulatrary agency has shut down mining activities. Many traders and investors see this a good news and since this is going to lower supply they believe that it is time to invest because price is going to surge. Senior member... 2 years on bitcointalk forum not knowing how bitcoin works... How is it even possible to be such an ignorant? How is it possible to write 2700 posts with such low knowledge? I think that if he only read OP before posting that's 2700 OP that he must have read - lots of knowledge that bounced from his head. |
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I don't have any good strategies when I play roulette game, I just bet on red or black, starting my first bet as low as possible, and then I do the 2x or 4x when I lose, but not on every loss.
Seams like you are using some type of martingale strategy. According to probability that's not the best strategy. Just check my simulation. https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5112216.msg49832531#msg49832531 |
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We had 4.5 months at the bottom in the $3000s. Smart money was filling up the bags. But I saw plenty of people on here adamant that it would continue crashing to 2000s or 1000s or some ever said it'd drop to like $800 haha. I remember arguing with someone that people need to be buying the bottom ($3000s) to get the best deal, and he was arguing that its better to buy higher later on once it has started going up (makes no sense to me!).
So to all you who refused to buy at the bottom, waiting for a price that now obviously won't ever come, are you buying now? Are you still hoping for a magical 50%+ drop from these prices? Will you wait for like $7000 or $8000 or $10,000 before you start buying? What is your strategy now that you watched the entire bottom go on by are missed it entirely?
You are too proud and confident to be professional trader. I guess you have maximum of 1-2 years experience. You need to learn a lot to understand how market works. I was speaking with trader with 30 years experience a lot. Calm and always ready for a punch. That was his attitude. When i came excited and said that i've earned 30% in short term on stocks he only ask - Did you sold and withdraw? No.. You earn nothing than. Even the best analysis won't protect you against the black Swan. You predicted middle term bottom which might only be retest of 6k resistance (very often situation) forming bart formation (very often situation) and crash (that is still possible) and you created topic to laugh at all of traders that didn't believe that 3k is a bottom. With this attitude you will be hit so many times by market just like i was few years ago. You lose the most when you are sure that you will win |
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Its pure technical.  That formation is well known in crypto on every time frames. How it works? And why that happened? From the end of November bitcoin was in 3200-4200 consolidation. For four months on medium volume traders was trading without realising waste/profit waiting for move. Majority of traders that opened their long position set stoploss around 3100, all who opened short position set stoploss around 4200 (based on supports and resistance from AT). For four months amount of unrealised stoplosses was growing. It was like a ticking bomb. Stoplosses was only tip of iceberg. There were 500 mil worth overleveraged shorts (only on bitmex -https://cryptopotato.com/500m-usd-of-liquidated-short-positions-bitmex-responds-to-the-futures-auto-deleveraging-events/) that was liquidated during this pump pumping price even further. The fuse was fired. Price crossed 4200 resistance. Let's summarize who is on market currently: Demand: 1- TA traders buying due to TA buy signal (breaking resistance) 2- stoplosses on shorts That push price sharply 3- overleveraged shorts get liquidated that push price even further 4-more and more stoplosses and liquidations fired one by one at higher and higher prices Supply: Almost none. The Closest resistance is around 5400. Why sell earlier? Would you do that? what happens if there are many buyers and the lack of sellers? Price surge... and that's what happened. Any solid facts to justify the sudden pump of market these days? Looks very unnatural with no signs of catalyst whatsoever. News said 20,000 bitcoins are ordered but around 100m to trigger a 40billion bullrun? That's really fishy considering they can profit way more than their buys, what are your insights on this? Organized whales or institutions strategy?
I think it was because of the news that China governments and regulatrary agency has shut down mining activities. Many traders and investors see this a good news and since this is going to lower supply they believe that it is time to invest because price is going to surge. That's the stupidest thing you might say. Do you even know how bitcoin mining works? Supply is always the same. No matter if there are bunch of mining factories or 1 single PC handling whole network. |
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micro.com.br
Here usdt is supported. Poker rooms are available in usdt only. usdt is easy for pure gamblers.
There is also Dice, roulette and microng. They also have build in exchange with ... 7 pairs that seams not to work. They have their coin (mic) that is not yet listed on CMC. Interested by risk on being scammed is bigger than risk of bitcoin price crash - I mean that i would rather stay with bitcoin casinos. |
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as i just see in the leaderboard for dive is at 2700m while the spacemen is at 35000x
and it's the highest crash i have ever seen
When i've seen this contest i've opened highstores and saw 2000x on spacemen. I say ... meh ... no chance. Now its 35 000x. Who set target that hight. That's insane. Does it have any limit like x50 000 or in theory it might go to ~infinity (of cours with close to 1/infinity probability). |
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Lotteries are the best way to lose your money. Just take a look at probability: In powerplay we have: 1: 292 000 000 to win 40 mil out of 2 tokens invested (20 kk times intial bet) - (94% house edge) Lottery pays 6% out of bets to cover jackpot 1: 11 236 000 to win 1 mil out of 2 tokens invested (95% house edge) Lottery pays 5% out of bets to cover second price ... 1:26 to win 4 tokens out of 2 (double) (92% house edge) Lottery pays 8% out of bets to cover last price average - 6% There are 9 rewards. Estimating that all of them needs 6% of income to cover gives us 54%. That's 46% house edge - the worst in every possible gamble game. How else you can win that much with better probability? Putting all on single number in roulette multiple times. To win more than 20kk initial bet you will have to guess single number 5 times in a row. You will win 60 mil initial bets with 1:69 000 000 probability. Now you see the difference? 13% house edge vs 46% house edge. |
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So wheel is already invested. Why exchanges do not apply that? The only explanation is that they are letting their users to buy coins 100x higher for their own profit. Perhaps they are manipulating with order of orders that way that their coins are being sold on the top of that 1 min candle with 10-100x profit. Avoid creating orders in first 5 min of any listing. You will mostly loss majority of them.
The pictures shared by you are of coin listing on Binance. Binance hardly lists any new coin which isn't already trading on any other exchange. Almost all new listing are already trading on other exchanges which could easily be seen from CoinMarketCap. I don't think investors are so dumb that they don't see the existing price of coin before putting buy order on Binance. Only explanation could be price manipulation! Many investors try to create simultaneous buy and sell orders in order to inflate the starting price, then dump their whole holdings and exit the market. It is common practice in unregulated market. There is nothing an exchange could and should do. When the value of cryptocurrencies is non-intrinsic, why does exchange limit it? That's not price manipulation. When you look on celer you can see that first candle is big red one with small bottom candlewick. It means that first trade was made with price 3000 sat. Every other was made below of that. How to manipulate price to do that? You would have to put huge buy order before trade opening to set fixed price that high but instantly you will be the most scammed person because you will be the only one buying that high. The only explanation of that is that there was no price fixing and exchange fulfil orders order by order matching market buy orders without limit price with x100 sell orders made for fun. |
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Oprogramowanie o które pytasz nie jest ogólnodostępne. Zgodnie z tym co napisał wwzsocki. Wątpię jednak tylko, czy managerowie kampanii podzielą się skryptami za darmo.
Polecam jednak rozważyć ponownie zatrudnienie do tej kwestii profesjonalistów. Nie chodzi tu nawet o fakt, że zrobią to lepiej czy gorzej ale o fakt, że maja pod sobą tysiące bounty hunterów. Bounty wystartuje od razu z przytupem i od pierwszego dnia będzie przynosić oczekiwane skutki.
Jeśli planujesz płacić w ICO tokenach to wiedz, że bez sprawdzonego managera się nie wybijesz a kampania będzie świecić pustkami. Nikt już nie ufa takim kampanią. Korzystają z nich głównie spamerzy, którzy i tak nie mają nic do stracenia. (fakowe konta na FB/twitterze z fakowymi znajomymi na zasadzie fallow za fallow, multikonta z red trustem na BTT).
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At the beginning we used to win which is a way to keep the user keep playing. Here user needs to make perfect moves to make the winning. Some out of luck wins big, and majority losses out of greed. Always it is good to spend little by little, and further can increase the betting amount. This will keep us travel long even when we are unable to win.
In fact that's the worst strategy if your purpose is to win big.  As you can see with every 1000$ bet you end up with 970$ on average. The more bets you put the more statist output you get - you are closer and closer to 970$ output. If you have 1000$ and you put 10$ each betafter 1000 bets sum of your bets is 10 000$ - output 9700$ - 300$ waste. You are left with 700$. (with 1000 bets you will be very close to that because that's enough to be almost sure to hit statistic distribution) The best way to win big is to put all your money on single number. If you win and that's not "big money" for you than put all on single number again. That way you have 1296 times initial bet with 1:1369 probability. All other strategies only decrease probability of winning big. |
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in the beginning maybe you will win, but in the long run I don't think you will win because casino algorithms and gambling sites will easily know your strategy and you will lose in a row and make your money run out, do it with a quick time! #imo
In fact, as my simulation shows, casino don't need to cheat to win against martingale strategy. In fact its more profitable for casino to have bunch of gamblers with strategy that they believe in because they will put much more money into it. Trustful casinos earns much more than shady scam one because they have more gamblers with bigger wallets and they are winning in every game due to statistic advantage. Without cheating. |
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Manager: HhampuzNazwa kampanii: BitBlenderIle do zarobienia/tydzień: 7,5$ / 15 postów max 30$/60 postów Jakie rangi: member Dodatkowe informacje:Płatne w BTC (przy cenie 5000$/btc) [$]Niestety do tej kampanii na razie nie przyjmują nowych członków ;( a szkoda bo też zacna... Zresztą jak chyba wszystkie ze stajni Hhampuza According to spreadsheet and 1 post, number of Members in signature campaign decreased from 5 to 3  Does it means that there are 2 free spots the signature campaign is closed for new participants? No new Member Positions as of now! Właśnie ten post przeczytałem, tylko moim oczom umknęło "No". No cóż. Odlinkuję z OP i gotowe. Post może się przyda w przyszłości. Dzięki za czujność. |
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Manager: HhampuzNazwa kampanii: BitBlenderIle do zarobienia/tydzień: 7,5$ / 15 postów max 30$/60 postów 0.0001 BTC/post Jakie rangi: member Dodatkowe informacje:Płatne w BTC (przy cenie 5000$/btc) [$] |
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elephants can manipulate prices right on exchange without having to worry about legal issues. therefore, exchange managers do not need to set up an anti-manipulation system.
This is not anti-manipulation system. Thats anty random price buy system. I've explained that. I know that the stock market has security and offers optimal favor for traders. But in the crypto market, the exchanges work 24/24 and they don't have time to edit.
I'm talking about listing... not regular trading. |
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I take a look into this new bounty campaign but I can't figure out how much will a senior member get paid in a week for a signature campaign and if this is more or less as in Bitvest or 777casino campaigns managed by @HHampuz.
Does anybody know how much it is?
There are 100 mil tokens each worth 0.01 $. That's 1 mil $. 10% is reserved for signature (100 000$). There would be max of 100 participants. That's 1000$ each (average for each participate considered that all of them worked same amount of weeks). Currently there are only 11 people accepted so we are getting to 9 000$ each. That's too good to be true. Is MBL tradable? |
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In order for your theory to work,the exchange must have really low liquidity(low amount of buy/sell orders). The market buy order should use the average market price of the coin(which is a sum of all buy/sell orders of that particular coin)at that time,not the x100 order of some douchebag.  Anyway,most of the crypto exchanges don't care wether or not their users are losing money due to this bug.You,as a crypto trader,have to know that you are using every crypto trading platform at your own risk. Listing on binance always create huge amount of orders. I'm talking about trade opening process in which exchange is fulfilling orders order by order instead of with fixed price. Celer listing was crazy. 400% amplitude in first minute. That's not because of low liquidity. Thousands of bitcoin was traded there. |
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Manager jest świetny - łatwo można z nim się dogadać, szybko odpisuje i w razie problemów stara się wszystko wyjaśnić (nawet jeżeli ktoś nagle dostanie red trust).
 OOOO chłopaki - baczność!!! Najważniejszy head-hunter na forum zagościł na naszego lokala - dobrze wie gdze szukać nowych talentów  Zaszczyt Wszyscy w rządku i mówimy grzecznie DZIEŃ ... DO ... BRY Ta jest zajebista, ale problem jest taki, że nie ma aktualnie wolnych miejsc a tutaj mają być tylko takie (a tą stówkę dzielą przeważnie pomiędzy czterech więc jeszcze fajniej! ) Myślę, że trochę trzeba zmienić zasady bo te najlepsze kampanie są zazwyczaj zajęte i tylko co jakiś czas zwalnia się miejsce a chodzi chyba o to żeby mieć wszystkie najlepsze kampanie bounty w jednym wątku. To tylko taka moja sugestia a @TytanowyJanusz jest właścicielem tego wątku i zrobi co uważa za stosowne. Masz racje. Większość dobrych jest stale zajętych i wolne miejsce zwalnia się tylko na 1 dzień po czym manager wybiera 1 osobę spośród 20 zgłoszeń. Celem tego wątku jest umożliwienie społeczności zawsze o tym wiedzieć i być wśród tych 20 osób. Tak, by każdy, kto właśnie zakończył swoją kampanię mógł wejść w ten temat i wybrać 1 kampanię z 4 rekrutujących a nie przeglądać 20 "dobrych" z czego tylko 2 rekrutują lub żadna. Sam widzisz. Nagle skończyła nam się kampania Rocket i nie czekałeś aż bustadice otworzy rekrutację dla 100$. Wziąłeś bitvest za 12$ bo właśnie rekrutował. Przemyślę jeszcze kwestię listy dobrych kampanii, by ułatwić spot hunterom szukanie wolnych miejsc. W zasadzie nie, ale.. jeśli kampania akceptuje posty z wszystkich działów, w tym z locala to skoro i tak piszę to wolę dostać przy okazji choćby te 5dolarów..
Możesz też po prostu grupować kampanie na Bardzo/średnio/ledwie opłacalne
W sumie tu idealna byłaby tabelka ( a może jednak pokusilibyśmy się o arkusz google calc?) , gdzie można byłoby łatwo odnaleźć sobie kampanię z odpowiednią kombinacją opłacalności i trudności.
Co do wymagań, to też fajnie jakby się w Twojej liście znalazły, bo jednak jak mówię, co innego jest nawet te nędzne 5dolarów za pisanie w naszym localu, a co innego choćby nawet i 50dolarów, ale - przy wymaganych kilkudziesięciu postach tygodniowo (albo kilkunastu dziennie ) na określony temat z użyciem wysokiego poziomu języka angielskiego..
Co do stawek to niektóre kampanie mają wynagrodzenie podzielone na TIERy - i czasami tygodniowo jest do zgarnięcia nawet 0,02btc - ale tylko dla pierwszego tiera, podczasgdy wolne miejsca są dopiero w piątym, gdzie dla max'a postów wychodzi ledwo dajmy na to 0,002btc
No i nie zapomijamy o zmienności kursu btc ;-)
Dałem Ci już Merity za inicjatywe i z chęcia dam więcej jeśli pochylisz się nad moimi postulatami ;>
Zmieniłem wymogi na 2 obowiązkowe i co najmniej 1 z 3 dodatkowych oraz dodałem do kampanii znaczniki, które informują, który z parametrów jest spełniony. Myślę, że to zadziała. Od dziś proszę również o dodawania tych znaczników do swoich zgłoszeń. Co do arkusza, to jest max 3-5 kampanii spełniających kryteria, które obecnie rekrutują, arkusz raczej do tego się nie przyda (lista zawieta 4 kampanie i zgłoszenia ustały). W tym wątku ma być sama elita. Najlepsze co może być dla każdej rangi. Co do kampanii, w których trzeba się piąć miesiącami po szczeblach dla 20$ w między czasie zarabiając 1$ zostawmy na inne wątki, chyba, że masz pomysł jak to zakwalifikować uwzględniając ryzyko zarabiania przez 2 miesiące po 1 $ a potem zakończenie kampanii w pierwszy tydzień po awansie na stawki 20$. Tu chcę naprawdę samą elitę. Dopuszczam sytuację, w której przez pewien czas OP będzie puste, bo po prostu wszystko co dobre będzie pozajmowane. Jak podobają wam się zmiany? Macie jeszcze jakieś sugestie? A może jakieś pominąłem? |
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