Hey, great post but:


I think it doesn't matter what data you have. You can't predict future price behavior. Models can give you an idea, but this is not an algorithm. We've seen enough models fail this year, and with the stock market it's the same thing. Models are useful to get an idea, and better to explain the past than to predict the future, which, when they do, is usually more by chance than by causality.

Too many things can happen in the real world that are not included in the models and influence the price.

No way. Bitcoin is already profitable enough, or at least has been so far, to risk losing it for a few percent more. I prefer to have my keys and a long-term investment vision, doing DCA, and forgetting about other returns.

This screams scam to me.

I hope no one is naïve enough to fall into the trap. It has too many contradictions: for starters it talks about passive income and says that you have to complete tasks, etc. It is nonsense.

I'm going to red tag the OP.

I am surprised by this. Is it the same as ever localbitcoins? I haven't used it but it used to be used quite a bit until they introduced KYC measures. In any case, I think you should provide more evidence apart from that one image, or see if someone comes to support what you are saying.

High risk gambling, I would say.

When people see figures like that, they think about how much they could have made if they got to buy, say $1K or $10 $0.0009702 and sold at $422.42. For that you might as well try to match the lottery numbers, which you know is not rigged. All the look of a pump and dump scheme.

I believe that this topic has already been discussed and I commented that I have seen changes in other forums... for the worse. I hope that the forum is not changed while we are at it, but it seems that it is still in the pipeline no matter how long it takes. Does anyone know if Theymos is still willing to launch a new software after all these years?

Once we all agree that it is normal for people to trust the USD more than Bitcoin, another question arises: can you imagine some time in the future where people start trusting Bitcoin more? It would be like a trustflippening. I hope to see it someday but I think it's a long way off.

I take it not many people replying to this thread have looked at the darkweb stores today and what currency they are paid with. They are paid with Bitcoin or Monero. At least the ones I have seen. And it's not that I visit them a lot, I don't even have Tor installed now but I did look around to see what was there.  Logically, whoever uses bitcoin to buy weird stuff must use security measures to avoid being identified.

Yeah, well, I've heard that story before.

The Fed will do whatever it takes depending on the circumstances. They are announcing that now because they are seeing the clear inflation and they hope with the announcement they can moderate it a little bit, but if by stopping printing bills and buying in the repo market there is a clear economic slowdown, they will go back to printing.

I think they are in a dead end. What Nixon did worked for decades, like ponzi schemes that always work for a while, but there comes a time when the bubble gets so big that whatever you do it will burst.

I've got mixed feelings about this.

And I think they are more negative than positive. On the one hand, I think in that generation there are a lot more people who can understand what Bitcoin is and how it helps us to get rid of the clutches of governments and central banks to some extent.

But on the other hand, I think the majority of that generation doesn't see it that way. They just want to be millionaires with minimal effort. Playing games from home and recording bullshit. The fact that they talk about crypto and not Bitcoin makes me think that for most of that generation it is not a question of ideology but of wanting to make a killing.

I don't know what this thread is doing in the B&H section.

No, of course not. The world changes and with it change the topics to discuss. Even topics already discussed can be discussed in new threads depending on events. Bitcointalk discussions will have a long life.

I think they are two different things. On the OP's side, he is at fault for sending his money to the wrong wallet and also it smells fishy that he already had problems in the past with the casino and continues to play there. Another thing is that, assuming it is true what he says, the support is unresponsive, which is a characteristic of Lightlord, lack of proper communication.

Kind of contradictory, talk about Bitcoiners who do not invest in Bitcoin. After seeing the answers, I partially agree with you that there are Bitcoiners who have not invested in the sense of exchanging their Fiat money for Bitcoin, but if we talk about the examples that have been given, for example, someone who saves everything he earns in signature campaigns, that is an investment, not a monetary one, but an investment nonetheless. Even the one who spent a lot of time collecting money from faucets was investing his time in that.

Hi, Mpamaegbu. You say it as if it were an easy thing (like when you say "safely trade"), and it is not, it is rather easy the opposite. In the stock market only a small percentage of traders are able to make money in the long term. I speak from memory but the percentage is less than 10% and in the crypto market it will be similar or worse, with all the volatility there is.

On the other hand, HODLing Bitcoin has given an average return of over 150% per annum. If we take into account that Buffett has a 20% return over the long term, not bad at all, eh?


I could say the same about trading. Only increase your Bitcoin if you are one of the small percentage of traders who are able to sustain profits over the long term. If you're like the vast majority, you're going to lose Bitcoin.

I would stay on the forum, but I would post a lot more in the WO thread and a lot less in the rest of the forum, spending less time overall. Getting paid incentivizes you to write, and getting paid well, more so. I think you would notice a drop in posts from the better paid members of the forum, and I'm not just talking about the CM campaign.

I edit to say one thing I forgot: if paid signatures would disappear, and the moderation policy of the forum would be the same, looking for quality, we could clearly say: bye bye Bitcointalk. I think that for the forum to have life after removing the paid signatures, it should be possible to post in the whole forum as in the WO thread.

I think you are confused. There is no such thing as a physical Bitcoin. There are coins that represent Bitcoin, which can be made of gold and other metals, but they are not Bitcoin, and besides, we could say that you have "physical" Bitcoin, if for example you have a paper wallet with the keys that you can import, as explained above, but in reality Bitcoins are not physical. They are not something you can touch.

Yeah, well, here's a tip: spend fewer hours at the computer and have more of a social life.

If you have something new and interesting not shared here yet and you share it you will get merits for sure. Just don't be in a hurry, I think you are capable of getting better and better and at some point getting merits frequently will be normal for you. But do not give in to temptation and don't plagiarize, don't cheat.

I am curious about this. I have never bet on sports gambling but I understand that it is similar to poker in that skill can make you money in the long run. I don't know if there are any programs that keep the data and show the statistics in the long term and not just for a week.

I say this because even a fish in poker can have a lucky week and then be a long term loser. I guess this will be the same.

In any case, congratulations.

Why not?

Look at what he created. It is normal that the first few years it was not given much attention, but more than 10 years later we find an asset/currency/whatever you want to call it that has reached $1T market cap and has done so much faster than other assets. It poses a threat to governments and central banks and hence the reaction of some (in vain) trying to ban it. Others, the majority, regulating it because they have no choice and finally, others, a few welcoming it.

It is a genius invention, and the fact that Satoshi disappeared, along with the first Bitcoin mined untouched, gives a halo of mystery to the story that arouses interest, it is normal.

I don't understand why he waited so long then. He could have signed a message, couldn't he? He didn't need to move them. If he really moves them, will he have done that to create expectation?