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4321  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 26, 2014, 10:53:29 AM
All in or go home.
4322  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 25, 2014, 09:59:21 PM
the network effect of new network protocol with first mover advantage is easy to replicate ... yeah, ok, I guess that's why the stolfi and buffet alt-coin pump 'n dump is going so well  Roll Eyes
4323  Bitcoin / Press / Re: [2014-12-22] Research Firm: Virtual Currencies Will Be a Major Disruptive Force on: December 23, 2014, 12:08:55 PM
It is all playing out exactly according to the script. It is amazing how reticent large firms are to even investigate the possibility that they are not the light at the end of the tunnel but the deer in the headlights.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Disruptive_innovation
Quote
What they have shown is that good firms are usually aware of the disruptive innovations, but their business environment does not allow them to pursue them when they first arise, because they are not profitable enough at first and because their development can take scarce resources away from that of sustaining innovations (which are needed to compete against current competition). In Christensen's terms, a firm's existing value networks place insufficient value on the disruptive innovation to allow its pursuit by that firm. Meanwhile, start-up firms inhabit different value networks, at least until the day that their disruptive innovation is able to invade the older value network. At that time, the established firm in that network can at best only fend off the market share attack with a me-too entry, for which survival (not thriving) is the only reward.[3]

I would say that if threatened encumbents do not have a bitcoin strategy by now/soon they are destined to become obsolete.
4324  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: December 22, 2014, 04:21:20 AM
Belarussian ruble going down.

"Belarussians lined up for hours to clear out their bank accounts and swept store shelves to secure their savings, stocking up on foreign-made appliances and housewares."

http://news.asiaone.com/news/world/belarus-blocks-sites-closes-stores-stem-currency-panic

Insta-inflation in the connected age ... hyperinflation is so passe now.
4325  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: I am pretty confident we are the new wealthy elite, gentlemen. on: December 22, 2014, 04:16:01 AM
You guys realize that the current wealthy elite sacrifice your children in bizarre religious ceremonies that involve sexual defamation and torture as a show of dominance right?  

The wealthy elite of some tribe in Africa?

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/crime/11306575/Five-Westminster-paedophile-rings-probed-by-Scotland-Yard.html
4326  Bitcoin / Hardware wallets / Re: [ESHOP launched] Trezor: Bitcoin hardware wallet on: December 21, 2014, 12:59:34 PM
It should be mentioned that any of the attacks currently being discussed will defeat most on-line banking sites and on-line payment systems, web shopping, etc.

If your machines are this compromised you probably should not being doing any kind of money (or personal information ) management with them.
4327  Economy / Speculation / Re: rpietila Wall Observer - the Quality TA Thread ;) on: December 20, 2014, 04:42:41 AM
Gresham's Law has several crucial assumptions about the role of the State in money that you have ignored to arrive at a wholly incorrect conclusion.

More reading for you before you begin spouting again I would advise.

4328  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 20, 2014, 04:06:17 AM
hungry bears heading ripple's way ... looks like a big, plump, juicy end-of-rally berry patch
4329  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 20, 2014, 01:42:29 AM
closing time ... bears, you're drunk, you don't have to go home but you can't stay here.
4330  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: December 19, 2014, 09:44:53 PM
Quote
Now thanks to a new report by ESMA titled "High-frequency trading activity in EU equity markets" we know: in the lifetime total of all orders, HFT accounts for 76% of all orders by, 49% of all trades and 43% of total value traded.
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-12-19/hft-accounts-76-all-orders-europe

the day the EU market slips, there will be no mercy. robots just dont do mercy.

I think the bigger problem is now that every time the robots figure out that it is time the market crashed then the humans panic and turn the robots off, reset and claim 'fat finger' foul or otherwise ... and this gives rise to those crazy spikes and flash crashes, etc.

Then there are the robots doing the work for the Fed and Treasury (ESF) that are more like closed-loop control algorithms working large multi-variate arrays of pricing to 'stabilise' the whole system using cash as a control input, priming humans expectations of pricing and thus financial incentive structures ... which all seems to work fine on 'normal' days but start demanding massive cash inputs on panic days (like 'hey the system just disappeared $700 billion, how did that happen? start bailing and pumping or this thing is gonna lock up')
4331  Economy / Speculation / Re: rpietila Wall Observer - the Quality TA Thread ;) on: December 19, 2014, 08:28:04 PM
What's happening is not by accident... The price pressure, the timing of the auctions, articles like "is bitcoin done?" etc are co-ordinated.

TPTB want to highlight in every financial and mainstream media the message that "the worst investment of 2014 = bitcoin". Just count the number of articles with that theme in the next couple of weeks.


yep, the on-song trolls started with 'the message' a few weeks back.
4332  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 19, 2014, 02:24:37 AM
in your case the trolling identifiers are implicit
4333  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 19, 2014, 02:01:10 AM
buy now or forever hold your peace.
4334  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: I am pretty confident we are the new wealthy elite, gentlemen. on: December 19, 2014, 01:59:49 AM

60minutes and 60seconds : not sure why :


Because the Babylonians counted in base 60.  No joke.  They were there first in astronomy, and they divided the heavens with units denominated in base-60. 

For them, this *WAS* the metric system.



base60 is where it is at ... prime divisors 1,2,3,4,5,6,10,12,15,20,30, and it is three sets of total human digits.
4335  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: December 19, 2014, 01:47:10 AM
The Swiss National Bank (SNB) is imposing an interest rate of –0.25% on sight deposit account balances at the SNB, with the aim of taking the three-month Libor into negative territory. It is thus expanding the target range for the three-month Libor to –0.75% to 0.25% and extending it to its usual width of 1 percentage point. Negative interest will be levied on balances exceeding a given exemption threshold.

http://www.snb.ch/en/mmr/reference/pre_20141218/source/pre_20141218.en.pdf

This is in response to capital flight from Russia with the collapsing currency.

Now imagine if that capital flight one day starts to direct itself into bitcoin (or gold) instead of to another fiat currency as is the norm today.

Just think of all the fiat currencies today, only very few desire or could handle a large influx of new capital (well maybe the Ruble right now). Their managers actively discourage it by slashing interest rates, even into negative as the SNB are so terrified of having a 'strong currency'. They all know that if there is ever a strong preferable currency it would become 'THE ONE'.

Enter bitcoin, a global electronic currency that welcomes and encourages the prospect of appreciation in value. Wonder what happens next?
4336  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: December 18, 2014, 03:52:57 AM
...blockchain.info not affected but certainly Circle and CB affected.
I think that'll be a really interesting question. I agree that blockchain.info *shouldn't* be affected, since all they do is deliver client-side tools, and offer a hosting service for user-encrypted files, but I'm very skeptical that a regulator (or a judge) will understand that.

their ignorance in these matters is almost guaranteed, people are betting on it in effect.

The more they draw the lines the easier it will be to see how to straddle, side-step or tunnel under them.

Time-locked, multi-sig with an untrusted 3rd party and 2FA? Huh?
4337  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: December 18, 2014, 01:52:38 AM
Quote
There is a growing body of evidence that bigger government means slower growth of real GDP. Once the level of total government spending as a percentage of GDP reaches a tipping point, estimated to be from 15 percent to 25 percent of GDP, additional expansion crowds out private productive investment and slows economic growth. When government overreaches, economic freedom is diminished and private exchange opportunities are lost — that is, the range of choices open to individuals is restricted.

This is hardly a revelation, most of the communist economic experiements of the last century have demonstrated this is abundance (well total lack of abundance). The question I suppose is how much communism is too much? 15%, 30%, clearly 100% is fatal, and anything more than 50% is probably also terminally toxic. Optimally operating economies seem to have around 5-10% govt. share of GDP but it also depends on strong justice and legal systems for protection of individual freedoms.
4338  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 17, 2014, 11:02:35 PM
noone has ever lost money buying bitcoin on declining difficulty  Wink

What about september 2011 - november 2011?

why did you sell then?
4339  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 17, 2014, 10:27:05 PM
noone has ever lost money buying bitcoin on declining difficulty  Wink
4340  Economy / Economics / Re: Ruble in freefall... Too bad for those people they outlawed Bitcoin! hahaha on: December 17, 2014, 09:50:06 PM
“At the end fiat money returns to its inner value—zero.”
- Voltaire

Bitcoin is by definition a fiat currency:

The value of fiat money is derived from the relationship between supply and demand rather than the value of the material that the money is made of. Historically, most currencies were based on physical commodities such as gold or silver, but fiat money is based solely on faith. Fiat is the Latin word for "it shall be".
http://www.investopedia.com/terms/f/fiatmoney.asp

fiat means "by decree" ... as in the govt says "this piece of paper shall be money" and the people take it on faith (shared illusion).

Oxford english definition of fiat

Quote
A formal authorization or proposition; a decree: e.g. the reforms left most prices fixed by government fiat

Investopedia is a lightweight useless reference source it seems.

Bitcoin has collectable, numismatic, utility and cost of production value as determined by the market and NO government has decreed it as money. It is demonstrably NOT a fiat money.
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