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4461  Economy / Economics / Re: Inflation and Deflation of Price and Money Supply on: September 05, 2017, 10:00:59 AM
An area dedicated to discussing the differences of these two terms and the theories supporting them.

I'm looking forward to an in-depth discussion on the subject! I've noticed that confusion between the two seems to come up quite a bit on the forum, and thought it may be reasonable to dedicate a thread on the matter.

Pulled from a discussion in Wall Observer



Price-Deflation is what you are used to hearing about in Bitcoin. That term is used to describe the prices of goods/services as they decrease, because the value of Bitcoin goes up.

Price-Inflation is the opposite. When prices of goods/services increase because the value of Bitcoin goes down.

So, when dealing with Price-Inflation or Deflation, there is an inverse relationship of price and value, in regard to goods/services and Bitcoin.

Example: As the Bitcoin price goes from $10 to $20, the prices of goods/services goes down from 20BTC to 10BTC. As the Bitcoin price goes from $20 to $10, the prices of goods/services goes from 10BTC to 20BTC!

Why does the price of Bitcoin go up and down? The price of BTC goes up and down based on the exchange rate, or market price, which is set by buyers and sellers, or traders. They directly trade the Bitcoin currency with all sorts of other currency, and even some with gold; the most popular being the USD (US dollar). They set the price when executing orders to buy or sell. I will get into the actual reason of why the price fluctuates in the last section.



Now that we've gone over PRICE Inflation and Deflation (which honestly, to me, is a term made popular by Keynesian's to hide the real facts, as price inflation/deflation is simply the market exchange rate, reflective of the money supply into a currency from itself and other currencies), let's go over the REAL inflation/deflation of a currency (otherwise known by many as Monetary Inflation).

MoneySupply-Inflation is when the value of Bitcoin decreases when the total supply of Bitcoin increases. In our current state, this is at a generation rate of 25 BTC every 10 minutes.

MoneySupply-Deflation will essentially never occur. It is when the value of Bitcoin increases when the total supply of Bitcoin decreases. This may happen, say, when someone loses their private key and all the BTC associated with it are lost. This effectively "makes the rest of us richer". That being said, there is a SET DECREASE in the generation rate of BTC, so you have sort of a "deflationary effect" in the value, as long as more exchange occurs for BTC at a rate which is faster than that set generation rate.

When all 21 million coins are produced, the MoneySupply will be neutral, and the value will continue to increase (prices will decrease, consequently), as long as people continue to exchange in BTC.

This leads me to the last section.



What determines the PRICE of Bitcoin? The VALUE of Bitcoin at a particular moment.

What determines the VALUE of Bitcoin? The SUPPLY and DEMAND of Bitcoin in the economy.

What determines the SUPPLY of Bitcoin? Currently, the MoneySupply-Inflation rate of 25 BTC every 10 minutes, and traders willing to SELL Bitcoin to BUYERS in exchange for other supplies of money (currencies).

What determines the DEMAND of Bitcoin? Traders willing to BUY Bitcoin from SELLERS in exchange for other currencies.


Therefore: BUYERS, SELLERS, and MONEYSUPPLY-INFLATION (miners) determine the VALUE of Bitcoin, which determines the PRICE of BTC as BUYERS and SELLERS trade based on that VALUE (or supply and demand) of Bitcoin.


We don't exactly know the totality of the supply and demand. Sure, we could try and aggregate data from all the exchanges, but we will never be accurate as there are exchanges which can not be accounted for (OTC). The cool thing is that we DO know the MoneySupply rate, and we DO know the exchange rate. From this, we can determine a real value of Bitcoin when simply multiplying the two factors; a sort of inflation-adjusted view of the currency.

Effectively, the quantitative analysis of supply and demand is really what the currency exchange traders attempt to accurately determine which is conveyed through buying and selling of Bitcoin, setting a VALUE via the PRICED exchange rate of the currency. On a side note, most of the big Market Makers (FX Traders) use this price movement as a way to make a profitable living, as well. Especially when price fluctuations are a consequence of hype or fear (bubbles, cliffs), not factual supply/demand data, and are wildly out of the real price range.

Thus, if you analyze the proper macroeconomic data in an attempt to forecast future DEMAND for more Bitcoin (price increase), you will realize some very interesting things, and have a more accurate picture of where the price is going...

Happy trading! Wink
Involving
commodities in the same sense in economics as inflation is near the impossible.
Right now digital currencies are considered Commodities that's the easiest way
to consider it from now until at least another year from now. It's just going
to get really confusing if you try to manipulate that as a cash flow versus
inflation index.
4462  Economy / Economics / Re: The phrase to describe Bitcoin on: September 05, 2017, 08:44:30 AM
In this phrase is how I explain Bitcoin in all senses.

"Bitcoin is the most free and pure form of a crowd-economy, free from the oppression of governments."

Free from government oppression-yes,but not free from miners,"hard fork supporters",big holders trying to manipulate the market price and "off-chain" supporters.I think the term "crowd-economy" is meaningless,what are you trying to say with this?Every economy is a "crowd economy".Obviously we need people (crowd) to have an economy.
Maybe he wanted to say that it is people currency meant to be ruled by people. We all know that all other state currencies are not in the control of common man whereas bitcoins provide everyone with same opportunity of earning profits. Bitcoins provide complete freedom to the users.
4463  Economy / Exchanges / Re: If you are trader on: September 05, 2017, 06:35:41 AM
This is interesting. Do you have a website up and ready?

I suggest having support for Bitfinex and Bittrex too. As I think more and more people are moving away from Poloniex, due to their funds being locked up and their customer support not replying for months. So you probably wont have enough users using your site.

+1. You definitely need to add other exchanges. Developments at Poloniex do not look good. It's a red flag when withdrawals are held pending indefinitely and you can't get any response from customer support. I certainly won't risk my coin there.


are these poloniex signs going to crumble? I see some people online in poloniex only 2k people, whereas before 400k people can get online there, and now troll box also been deleted, I am very afraid if poloniex indeed colaps, because my assets are many there.

I'm not sure mate, but if I were you I would try to get my funds out of Poloniex ASAP as they indeed might and will most likely collapse in the future in my opinion. What I think is they currently have a problem that they couldn't fix/fund. Move them ASAP to better exchanges like Bittrex.

Here are some complaints:
https://www.reddit.com/r/CryptoMarkets/comments/6sevhr/update_poloniex_not_letting_me_withdraw_my_funds/
https://www.reddit.com/r/xmrtrader/comments/6g8jp2/poloniex_withdrawals_who_else_is_still_waiting/
https://www.reddit.com/r/BitcoinMarkets/comments/6ssti7/poloniex_holding_funds_even_after_withdrawal/

Poloniex is not a better option when you are dealing with exchanging in bitcoins. Due to lack of security, long terms waiting for fund transferring, high fees, not a better interactive system handling. It has been rejected many times on this forum for better trading.
4464  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Gambling loses and wins on: September 04, 2017, 03:50:54 PM
Don't gamble again is all i would i say forget that 60$ it doesn't matter just save you will be able to make more just trade some coins or invest in the site you will easily recover your loss in few weeks of you invest a good sum. I didn't understand rest of your post all i would recommend is don't try to recover that loss
I will also suggest the same. There is no need to bet again. It is better to go for trading. Even trading in altcoins is far better than gambling. I would prefer bitcoins for investment but at present they are very expensive. Trading produce long term profits so go for it.
4465  Economy / Economics / Re: How to invest in bitcoin? on: September 04, 2017, 02:54:27 PM
I have seen many ways to earn bitcoin, and still not familiar with some of it. I am a student and I wanna ask how to invest in bitcoin, and if students like me are capable of doing that already?

Please share your thoughts. Thanks.


When i first started here I also dont know how to invest in bitcoin but after reading some of the posts here I learned how. I joined signature campaign they pay you according to your rank so I invested the payment i got in bitcoin. For now I didnt use the money I earned I just keep and hold it in my wallet.
Yes, there were so many ways to earn btc even if you are a student or not, you can be  a part time earner, and so it can help your some finance in school and some things you need.
4466  Economy / Services / Re: NOTARY Platform Sig and Avatar Campaign on: September 03, 2017, 04:12:19 AM
Btctalk name          :  TheGreatPython
Rank           : Member
Current post count   :   110
BTC Address  :  1NGeVpgunUA1JuzNNddtceYHqYCfPaZBXT
Wear appropriate signature  : Yes
4467  Economy / Economics / Re: Factors That Make One Cryptocurrency Worth More Than Another on: September 01, 2017, 08:31:03 AM
From an economic standpoint, which factors make one cryptocurrency worth more than another?

1) current number of coins
2) maximum number of coins
3) rate of growth in the supply of coins
4) how many people/businesses accept it as a form of payment
5) total number of users
6) technical aspects of the protocol
7) number of exchanges that allow conversion to other cryptos or fiat currencies

Discuss.
There are not really much factors all that matters is just the demand and the supply of the currency, if the currency gets a lot of demand and its limited in supply then the price is going to go up, but if the currency isn’t being demanded for, then there might be no change in price, it might even start decreasing
4468  Economy / Economics / Re: Is America a failed nation? on: August 31, 2017, 05:52:27 AM

Things do look abysmal with how things are going currently and the path we seem to be taking, over the decades we made so much progress and it seems we've taken a wrong turn. I don't think we're a failed nation though because we see a lot of resistance to status quo now and people are saying, 'THIS ISN'T RIGHT!' marching and protesting on the street too. So I think there will be a rebound from all of this.
Talking about a Super Power country, it is never appreciated to say this thing that America is a failed nation. Ups and downs come on each and every country, but learning from your previous mistakes makes you a great nation.
4469  Economy / Economics / Re: Is bitcoin a good way to invest your money ? on: August 29, 2017, 02:40:11 PM
I say a capital NO to the question in the OP. No, Bitcoin isnt a wise way to invest! It's volatile and unpredictable. It's a risky venture but sadly a lot of people see it as a kind of get rich quick engagement. But if OP expands it to the cryptos (the altcoins included) I would say yes it is a good way to invest one's money. Just look out for potential coins out of the over 900 cryptos and buy to sell off in the future. That way one makes money.
You must be from some other planet. How can you call bitcoins a bad investment? There is no crypto currency that is stable in nature. The volatility of bitcoins is a blessing as well. You must be unaware of the facts that bitcoins have made many people achieve their goals. You should start reading articles and news to stay updated.
4470  Economy / Economics / Re: Best way for steady income on: August 29, 2017, 02:10:36 PM
Getting a regular and permanent job is always the best option for a steady income. Bitcoin is just like another sideline for us.

I think you should learn more about the opportunities of bitcoin earnings. People around us are leaving the real jobs because they get paid more in the bitcoin forum as compared to it. They get the time for themselves as well as for their families too. What would you need more than this and real job will never give you such freedom in first place. Bitcoin has started giving the opportunity for steady incomes and it's no more just sideline but real business for many. There are not single ways of earning and that makes us free from worrying about unsteadiness in it.
I personally treat bitcoins like mainstream investment because they deserve it. Bitcoins have changed the lives of masses and this is a fact that people are leaving their jobs because of bitcoins. They are damn tired of getting ruled and snubbed all the time by their bosses who even don’t deserve to be called boss.
4471  Economy / Services / Re: LAToken Signature Campaign on: August 29, 2017, 05:28:19 AM
Btctalk name  : TheGreatPython
Rank  : Member
Current post count  : 105
BTC address  : 1NGeVpgunUA1JuzNNddtceYHqYCfPaZBXT
Wear appropriate signature : yes
4472  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: what is bitcoins split? on: August 28, 2017, 10:43:55 AM
That’s the splitting of the coin which is Bitcoin and Bitcoin Cash which is BTC and BCC, I don’t have details of why the split occurred but that’s all I know about the stuff right now. There are now two sort of like factions of the crypto
4473  Economy / Micro Earnings / Re: Bitcoin Faucets And Cloud Mining Sites. on: August 28, 2017, 08:50:09 AM
Bitcoin faucets and mining sites are everywhere these days and sometimes you can’t even tell the legit ones from the scam ones because they’re all showing both real and fake payment proofs. The only faucet I’ve tried is freebitco.in
4474  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Service Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: TELEGRAM CHANNEL TO LEARN TECHNIQUES AND NECESSARY CRYPTOCURRENCY EDUCATION on: August 28, 2017, 07:37:21 AM
That’s a great thing to do. But a bot cannot and will not and will never teach you all you need to know about cryptos you should also take your time and read books on the topic and am sure you would be glad you did
4475  Economy / Economics / Re: Interested to invest in REIT on: August 28, 2017, 07:06:30 AM
That’s cool though, but using bitcoins to invest in real estate investment trust might not be a great idea, I would advice that you, convert your bitcoins to cash and use it to invest, if you use your coins to invest directly you might be regretting when the price increases and you’ve sold your coins
4476  Economy / Economics / Re: Pros and cons of bitcoins for consumers and businessmen on: August 26, 2017, 08:53:49 AM
Bitcoin is a great idea for people who want to use it to do their businesses but it has some flaws upon how great it is, the price could keep rising and falling so you can’t be able to say how much capital or cash you presently have at hand.
4477  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: Turn $10,000 into 1 Million on: August 26, 2017, 08:17:12 AM
That would only happen if you invest your money wisely and its not going to just turn to 1 million overnight or in a month, it’s a gradual process and you should be patient enough for your investment to mature so you can feast and party hard
4478  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: Is there any recommended amount or percentage of each coin you should hold? on: August 26, 2017, 07:44:00 AM
There isn’t a recommended amount to hold, just follow your instincts and don’t let what anybody said change your mindset, you should just keep what you think would be sufficient for you when the market is booming
4479  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: Is bitcoin better or paypal? on: August 26, 2017, 07:11:29 AM
Paypal is better, but bitcoin is the best, paypal has a customer care that can help you out incase you got scammed or you have issues with your account, with blockchain or bitcoin you’re left with your senses to guide you through every transaction
4480  Other / CPU/GPU Bitcoin mining hardware / Re: Mining Bitcoin Using Old Computers and Retro Gaming Consoles on: August 26, 2017, 06:06:15 AM
It’s a great idea, but it might to be very productive and energy efficient to use, since latest miners are using the latest technology in the market and are high end gadgets, the miners can generate bitcoins for you anyways but they will not be as efficient as the latest miners
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