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4521  Economy / Speculation / Re: S&P took quite a hit today on: March 17, 2020, 01:46:53 AM
Vodafone seems to have taken a huge hit too, I'm down 50% with them.

But everything's down. Tesco and morrisons both had a stock fall and you can't say people haven't been using grocery stores these past few days...

Utility companies are also down, but tha tight be reasonable since there may be issues with sewage in a few days/weeks if people couldn't use toilet rolls and couldnt be bothered to step in the shower.
4522  Economy / Economics / Re: Oil price War will Bring real War soon in Middle east on: March 16, 2020, 10:17:04 PM
Indeed. But it is likely hard to avoid interference from these countries. Oil price war will attract the attention of those big countries and they probably analyze how they can get involved. Then, we may see some drama that leads to real war. And the victim is the Middle East country itself.

It's a bit of a monopoly for the other three, hopefully Europe has the sense by now to know it's much safer to spectate than to participate (for its citizens).

And the other countries have a bit of aonopoly on ammunition, whereas we just have nuclear (lots of it but it's more of a defensive weapon afaik).
4523  Economy / Economics / Re: Oil price War will Bring real War soon in Middle east on: March 16, 2020, 08:02:21 PM
The middle east don't rseem to have the resources for a war... I thought Iran were the only miners of it too and they're the main power over there...

As long as Russia, the US, China or the European forces don't get involved, it will probably just have an isolated effect...

Also, are the middle east not already at war? I predict them to go to war yesterday! Woooo me
4524  Economy / Speculation / Re: S&P took quite a hit today on: March 16, 2020, 02:15:01 AM
I'd look to break 5850 and then 6000 before thinking of opening a long for contract trading. Standard buys should've executed by now at 5050-4300 and anywhere between... Only time will tell what we're going to end up doing. Although 2k in either direction isn't unexpected for me anymore



Other ineresting news, on etoro, only 62% of investors lose money. That's a very low number afaik the average is around 72-76%...

4525  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Dealing with a country in lockdown on: March 16, 2020, 12:51:50 AM
Regarding Italian lockdown, it's still possible to live. Food stores and chemists are still open for business. You can't get a haircut, go to the dentist, or buy a new car, but you can still buy pasta.

Wow you're in better shape than the UK then! You can't buy pasta here .

Do food shops still deliver? Can you still buy cutlery?
4526  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Technical Support / Re: Generating a Paper Wallet on Chromebook on: March 16, 2020, 12:48:38 AM
It's very unlikely Ubuntu will be cracked and you can normally verify its signature when you download it on a chromebook.

I don't know why they recommended bit address when a mnemonic seed would give you a lot of addresses and will be less likely to cause errors. It also depends on how long you store this stuff for too, I have papers from 15 years ago that are still good but if the qr code you print off is small, you run the risk of it not being scannable when you come to redeem your funds.

And from the bitcoin wiki: https://en.bitcoin.it/wiki/Paper_wallet
Quote
Paper wallet
A paper wallet is the name given to an obsolete and unsafe method of storing bitcoin which was popular between 2011 and 2016. It works by having a single private key and bitcoin address, usually generated by a website, being printed out onto paper.

It's unsafe because a tiny bit of water can damage the ink thst you write a key with and everything's gone... Writing a mnemonic isn't much better and I'd urge you to buy at least some sort of waterproof case for it.
4527  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Technical Support / Re: Generating a Paper Wallet on Chromebook on: March 15, 2020, 04:59:50 PM
This all depends on how much btc you want to store, if it's value is more than 10x of a cheap but well built laptop, you might be better off getting one and keeping it permenantly offline.

If you're not going in with thst much just jet, I'd suggest booting Ubuntu from a USB and download electrum. Make a new standard wallet writing down your seed and put your public key on your chrome book with electrum on it so you can send funds there, keep several copied of the seed mnemonic and potentially keep a copy on another USB drive or other media (encrypted) for extra reproducibility.
4528  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Dealing with a country in lockdown on: March 14, 2020, 11:24:01 PM
2nd wave already hit the shelves, almost everything's gone...

Also to sustain someone for 120, I worked out, would take 12kg of rice and 12kg of pasta: imagine going to a checkout with that much at once (unless its tesco since they do sell bags that huge)...


The next debate would be where I store something that huge too...
4529  Economy / Speculation / Re: S&P took quite a hit today on: March 14, 2020, 03:30:22 PM
It already looks to be recovering yes... And this sint really the optimum season for spending anyway... Its not like its Christmas.

We just need bitcoin to recover now  Grin...

Edit: Sorry, I didn't realise you merited me before I merited you, just realised now. I was meriting for the spy spx justifications...

Edit, if I put 60k in an investment now-2 years time, what's the likelihood of the markets 10xing like they have done in around 40 years? ()

That'd be some nice retirement...

The bounce has also continued on etoro.
4530  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Don't buy facemasks for the coronavirus! on: March 14, 2020, 02:58:03 PM
I bought 24 rolls before Christmas and have enough for another 12 weeks... I'm pretty good on that front 🤣.

I anticipate a supply chain issue of about 4 weeks in advance so i buy everything non perishable a month in advance...
4531  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Don't buy facemasks for the coronavirus! on: March 14, 2020, 02:07:05 AM
These masks would be great for a porn site. I bet there would be a load of pervs joining up. Smiley

I remember reading that Darth Vader used to get some very explicit letters from women.

If you don't mind filming and editing the footage then I'd be in on that (I do NOT want to see the end product though Grin).

Besides, toilet paper oil filters are best. So, they probably would be best for CV, as well.

Can you breath through them or does air not come in through the sides?
I watched a guy making one, he did a consetina and stapled rubber bands to the ends (to hold the paper in place too) and then put round his ears...

Oxygen mollecules are 150 picometres in size
Water mollecules are 275 picometres in size.
4532  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Technical Support / Re: what is this pk means on: March 14, 2020, 01:57:53 AM
Looking through a couple of sites it seems to be a description of how to send the funds to your client (as in a placeholder for the address the funds are sent to), this'll generally be the address of the user receiving the funds.
4533  Other / Politics & Society / Dealing with a country in lockdown on: March 14, 2020, 01:38:15 AM
I'm curently looking at the speculation of the UK going into lockdown and I'm wondering how Wuhan has managed grocery shopping so far, if things have been in enough supply or if there are aspects we're not hearing but probably should.

The UK and US seem unprepared for a lockdown if nothing is offered in advance (I do buy non-fresh groceries 4 weeks in advance - in case of supply chain issues - but I doubt many people do this). And recently seeing pasta leave the shelves, along with eggs and flour but lashings of dolmio and homepride pasta sauces that stay there, also the tinned food doesn't seem to be going down well... Is it worth preparing for a potential 40 day isolation with enough food to handle it?

Typically speaking, per person I could see this being:
• 10kg of potatoes/6 packets of stuffing (or equivelant)
• 40+ cans of soup/curry/instant noodle stuff
• 5 or 6 cans of veg (peas, carrots, sweetcorn)
• A tub of dried milk (for tea and porridge) - some skimmed milk can make up to 25L from a 400g tub
• 5 kg of oats
• 2.4kg of dried fruit (1.2kg of each fruit)
• 8 loaves of bread (6kg flour, 8 yeast sachets - or a tub, 320ml oil, and traces of salt and sugar)



I don't imagine anyone having as bland a diet as this but I think it would tide you through for the 40 days with a potential for adding stuff at a later stage, I mean they can't expect you to keep going for much longer than that anyway.
4534  Economy / Speculation / Re: S&P took quite a hit today on: March 13, 2020, 11:48:47 PM
Now that you mention it, Tim West predicted a 1987-style dump in the stock market a few months back. He's now appeared with a bottom call:
Be interesting if that is the bottom, I highly doubt a bottom will come in so quick. I haven't lived through a crash before and watched the markets but it looks as if a crash is followed by a capitulation that's generally quite long.

The indices and ETFs are closed but futures already went there and are trying to form a spring. I wonder if a relief rally is finally in order.

I thought the FED were pumping $1.5 trillion into it to try to encourage a relief rally and support the price. I don't watch anything to do with mainstream media anymore but I think the US are worrying about all this quite a bit from what I've seen on Youtube. AFAIK the booming economy was Trump's main push forward into the election. We're at least at a yearly ATL.

It seemed to bounce of 2500 (the s&p) so we may see a small break and a potential trand upwards. However, the stock market often rises on a friday (I think it's a day a lot of people on the informal/freelance markets get paid so they can put funds into stocks but I could be completely wrong).



Separate question, SPX and SPY are different right? They're both on "etoro" and at different prices.



Also I calculated the down wrong, it's a 26-27% loss afaik, I put the wrong number in first and got 1/1.26 (~88%).
4535  Other / Meta / Re: Where to start computer hardware discussion threads. on: March 13, 2020, 09:12:30 PM
Yeah I think posting in off topic is like posting in altcoins. No one really goes there very often afaik but i guess a secondary board for this sort of stuff might be nice, especially since moderation policies in mining are a bit strict and some hardware questions could move over from there too).
4536  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: Tether Treasury Mints Another $60m USDT!! is it going to effect bitcoin price? on: March 12, 2020, 08:07:02 PM
The graphs of supply of usdt v btc often show this trend, I don't know how the correlation has gone recently, but in the past when tether saw a spike in its supply, btc took a few days to follow so it'll likely still be doing the same again.

If anything it opens up an increase in liquidity without having to kyc and go direct to fiat as its a half way step... And more liquidity generally means a safer looking investment.

It recently seems that with so much volatility that usdt vs btc relationship is very tight, and from what I've seen today both varied quite a lot though how strong their dependencies are I'm not sure about. At this rate, it would seem logical to assume that whatever happens to one the opposite effect will follow shortly on the other one. It also looks however that all of the markets are in the red zone, so good time to buy in but not so much for selling!

It's normally quite a delayed reaction too. Like after a week has passed, then it happens...

Definitely not within a few days.
4537  Economy / Speculation / Re: S&P took quite a hit today on: March 12, 2020, 07:55:16 PM
That chart is quite interesting, it looks to have been falling for the past month. Currently at 84.8% ath, it's a transport index afaik so does it generally fall by less idk? Surely it had a lot of assets that can keep being profitible...
4538  Economy / Speculation / Re: S&P took quite a hit today on: March 12, 2020, 07:40:41 PM
Does anyone know if we're in a recession yet? We're about 23% down from what I can tell and I thought it was anything below 20% (unless that's a bear market).

It is indeed a 20% drop to make a bear market. I presume to declare a recession you need to analyse a longer period of time before calling it. I would not be too surprised if they decide to just fake the figure even when everyone's pants are clearly on fire.

UKX (I think that's vanguards ftse 100 tracking for the UK) isn't at a 20% drop yet, probably closer to 15...

I guess the higher you fly the harder you fall...
4539  Economy / Speculation / Re: S&P took quite a hit today on: March 12, 2020, 05:07:18 PM
Guess who put $250 on a short and turned it to $500...

That's probably the first time I've called the trend too so my losses are almost recovered.

Does anyone know if we're in a recession yet? We're about 23% down from what I can tell and I thought it was anything below 20% (unless that's a bear market).
4540  Economy / Speculation / Re: How low will BTC go? on: March 12, 2020, 02:16:58 PM
A vaccine hopefully shouldn't be needed as the world should be able to iradicate it by then, if the un picks 3 weeks, tells everyone to save up to then and gives everyone a certain amount to live off etc then the virus should be well contained (at max a month) but they ought to try to do something if this hasn't gone away by Christmas.

It's probably useless to try to guess how far btc can fall. It could go to zero or it could stop at $4000.... Or it could see a short squeeze at $5k and go straight up...
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