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4521  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: "Don't buy bitcoins" on: April 26, 2011, 12:39:40 AM
Actually I agree the guy looked very likeable.

When writing "get him" I was interested to find out who he is, now knowing that you know him, even better: Now we may be able to explain a bit better what the benefits of bitcoins are.

I am facebook friends with him.  I know exactly who he is, he's stayed over at a friend of mines house.  As I said before, there's no point in trying to convince him anything once his mind is made up.  He's still convinced Dick Chaney personally installed thermite in the WTC.

bs. It was me. I was just overly balding that day
4522  Economy / Economics / Re: 6,000,000 BTC on: April 25, 2011, 04:08:39 AM
No way, Scrooge McDuck has a vault full of gold that he swims in. I saw it.

I vouch for that!
4523  Economy / Economics / Re: Globalization, Marxism, and Technological Development as applies to BitCoin on: April 25, 2011, 03:23:01 AM
I'm not sure I have properly caught the sense of your post, LanYu, but it seems you are saying that socialist nations would embrace a decentralized currency. Somehow I don't see that happening, like... ever
4524  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: concern for bitcoin and the environment on: April 25, 2011, 03:16:31 AM
@Gusti: I don't disagree that the "flat" economy is energy intensive. However, I don't think we can easily compare them yet. Bitcoin is hardly a smudge compared to the US economy. Will it scale proportionally? And if so, is it still greener?

@goatpig: Not that its really that relevant (it has nothing to do with energy for me), but I own neither a video game console or a high end graphics card. I can steer clear of the mining, but I would still be supporting an energy intensive system. Sure mining for gold is energy intensive too, but I still have to wonder the same thing I asked Gusti above.

@sgornick Looks like you posted while I was typing this. I see the argument, but as an engineer, I like to see numbers and evidence. It very well could be that this system is much more efficient. If it is, awesome! I just want to see numbers and some scaling bounds.


However, something that was not addressed is the fact that we can throw as much energy at the block solving problem as we want and still get the same output. Yet, as people get interested in mining, the energy used will invariably increase. What will prevent this from skyrocketing and people wasting lots of energy? My only thought on the bound would be that the difficulty would increase to the point that bitcoins are equal to the cost of energy required to produce them.



Well, as you say, Bitcoins can't logically out cost the energy the network needs to validate the transaction. As such, you have an upper limit of sort, which doesn't exist on fiat money. The other thing you need to consider is that while Bitcoin adopters do expect the currency to valuate alot, you have to keep in mind that this valuation means there is less wealth circulating in the fiat system as a consequence. So even if Bitcoin is a concurrent system to fiat currencies, it isn't concurrent on the energy level.

As for scaling, I can only provide an opinion, I have no figures to contribute, but I expect it to be widely less energy intensive than the systems it is aiming to replace. Also, considering the amount of electronics drawing power for no other purpose that leisure, I think the return from the energy spent is worthwhile on its own.

I will agree with you that Bitcoin mining is highly compatible with home electric production solutions.
4525  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: concern for bitcoin and the environment on: April 25, 2011, 02:27:02 AM
If you feel bad about playing a video game on a 3rd generation console or high end graphics card, then I guess you can feel guilty about mining Bitcoins. But keep 2 points in mind:

1) To run a miner is not a requirement to use Bitcoins. If the energy use deters you, you can simply stay clear of the mining.
2) The power used to mine Bitcoins is far less than let's say, mine gold, smelt it and secure it in bunkers or print paper money.
4526  Economy / Economics / Re: Bitcoin and "religious" interest-less lending on: April 25, 2011, 01:59:28 AM
Loophole found Cool

Ya, it's part of Islamic religion. There's a whole banking system set up around it.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Islamic_banking

It's also part of Judaism, and Christianity.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Interest#History_of_interest

I heard it wasn't part of Judaism, but definitely part of Christianity and Islam, which is allegedly one of the historical reason Jews are associated with banking, since the Christians and Muslims had to go to the Jews for loans.
4527  Economy / Economics / Re: 1 BTC = 20 USD on: April 25, 2011, 01:57:02 AM
I agree more exchanges would be good, but Mt Gox is offshore.

So is the whitehouse and the pentagon.


It is operated from Japan.  ACH deposits go to a Chase bank account, and the web server is in kentucky (IIRC).

Aren't the USD deposit at Gox dealt in liberty reserve dollars? If anything that what I'd pick so if the gov cracks down on Gox my $$ will be fine
4528  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Don't buy bitcoin thread on mises.org on: April 25, 2011, 01:48:43 AM
No offense, friend, but you're fighting against the tide here.

These threads really boil down to someone saying "well, I don't think it's worth anything so I'm not going to use it." And then we all just wasted 50 posts talking about economics, misapprehensions about digital currencies, what open source means, the fed, libertarianism, drugs, and all kinds of irrelevant bullshit.

I've followed about fifteen similar threads and I've never seen anyone change their mind about anything, on either side of the debate.

I have a feeling that these threads will stop occurring as frequently when a bitcoin acolyte can point to a list of online stores and say, "if you had bitcoins you could shop here."

That said, don't let my negativity stop anyone. I just think convincing people to use bitcoin is a bit of a waste of time because when they're already contrary to the idea it is unlikely that you can turn them around.

qft
4529  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: How do we prevent money laundering and assasinations? on: April 25, 2011, 01:12:46 AM
I think the point is, if the powers that be want to shut down bitcoin, they will find an excuse to shut down bitcoin. Doesn't matter how squeaky clean we are. What we want to do is give them incentive to participate in bitcoin rather then shut it down. Above all else, Republicans don't want to die poor.

What we need are lobbyists. Maybe make campaign contributions with bitcoins somehow. Give them a vested interest in the network.

I see where the people that are afraid of a governmental shut down are coming from. If they can that is. Did Wikileaks go down? No, and yet it is a non profit group. What could they do to a whole economy then? Not to mention they'd have to track people down on Tor... or completely shut it down, which they still haven't done, given all the outstanding reasons for it.

Wikileaks is a much more resilient entity than Bitcoin may be.  all they're doing is disseminating info.   as i see it, BTC is an entirely different matter.  the point is to try an create a functioning economy based on trusted tx's worldwide using BTC as a new currency.  how well is that gonna work if the Feds start shutting down every merchant good or bad b/c the currency, BTC, is getting a bad rap for being the ideal vehicle for assasinations or laundering?  

First of all, Bitcoin doesn't need merchants to exist and flourish. Hell, you can't buy squat with gold yet it is a highly sought after store of value.

Second, Wikileaks is non profit and resisted quite a severe attack. I think a profitable p2p network would be much more resilient than a non profit, single entity fueling on donations.
4530  Bitcoin / Mining / Re: Bitcoin mining pointless? on: April 25, 2011, 12:52:02 AM
I did already.  You seem more interested in beating your chest and insulting me than in thinking about the problem.  The example I gave is as follows:  the choice of SHA256 and its particular use in Bitcoin will, if Bitcoin grows, create incentives for the development of better GPUs and create economies of scale for those organized on principles like AMD's.  That can have positive effects for those who use the cards both for Bitcoin (which is internalized) and for other purposes (which is an externality, from Bitcoin's perspective).

Excuse my Wikipedia: "In economics, an externality (or transaction spillover) is a cost or benefit, not transmitted through prices,[1] incurred by a party who did not agree to the action causing the cost or benefit."

What you are describing is the direct consequence of AMD's business strategy, which graphics branch produces parallel computing processors and have decided before Bitcoin existed to widen their driver support to other tasks requiring parallel computing. Confusing externalities with a business plan, that only confuses the discussion. Once more, be rigorous. Unless you are going to pretend to me that miners nor gamers want faster, more power efficient hardware.

Then again this a discussion on semantics. If your point all along was "Bitcoin should be designed to have good impact on the world oustide of being a crypto currency", my answer doesn't change too much: it has no room for such a thing, nor does it users care. The existence of Bitcoin alone is cause enough.

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Really?  The examples are endless.  A particular file format for storing graphics could be more or less amenable to steganography than its competitors.  A music file format could encourage or discourage the sale of particular kinds of speakers, based on the frequencies that the format faithfully replicates; that in turn could influence how music is written and enjoyed.

None of these are ACTUAL examples. Just chimeras in your head. My tendency of thinking you're a troll is that you have failed so far to provide anything but speculation when asked otherwise. My insistence in asking for an actual, real life example of your claims is so that you understand the detachment your perception of this project has with the reality of its development. What incentive would one have to spend efforts in researching positive externalities for Bitcoin when building and updating the project unless these externalities have a direct consequences on the project, in which case they are not externalities anymore, are they?

You do understand that to incorporate externalities implies limiting your choice in developmental possibilities by rules that are not directly related to the goal of the project. Which begs the question:

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Of course many features of it are.  Chances, and judgments, were taken in the original design and in the modifications throughout its ongoing adoption.  Magic numbers are always in some sense arbitrary, but they're a necessary feature of the design of many protocols.  But the choices and judgments don't stop there.

How can externalities be voluntarily implemented if the design choices are arbitrary? Surely if the functionalities the project has to deliver are precise and legion, this will restrict the design choices, which hurts your idea that any precise piece of software is designed on lsd at 4am. This isn't a governmental project afaik.

Is Facebook a crap shoot? Yes. The problematic is far too unclear for a precise developmental line to be isolated. Is h.264 a crap shoot? Certainly not. But somehow you are thinking that there is a lot of leeway in Bitcoin's developement. So again, I'll tell you, the conditions needed to establish a decentralized, currency worthy, virtual commodity are pretty restrictive.

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The adoption by any P2P community of any software is in some sense arbitrary and based on marketing, goodwill, and the vagaries of self-interest and public-interest.

There is no marketing in Bitcoin's, since there is no one selling you access to it. As for self and/or public interest, what is arbitrary about that? This isn't a dc++ vs torrent turf war, it is the establishment of a currency. Again, precise guidelines, known problematics.

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I didn't mean to threaten you in any way, but I appear to have triggered a needlessly emotional response.  I don't know why.  You don't have to continue in the conversation if it upsets you or if you think I'm producing noise without purpose.  That I'm being as respectful to you as I am, with huge restraint, should be an indication that I'm not trolling for angry responses.

None of this. I am being perfectly respectful with you by explaining why you are ignorant on the matters you are discussing, by pointing how detached you are of certain realities of this project. Was I to praise you for them, then I'd be a hypocrite, wouldn't I? To summarize this discussion, you go something like "Hey, cars polute and waste energy by using oil, why haven't you guys built an engine that turns oil waste into pizzas?", then I come in, tell you that's not gonna happen for several reasons that I outline, and you call me a combustion engine jingoist. My stance is the same as someone witnessing a newcomer question a research group on energy about why they're not researching perpetual movement.

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But I agree with you more generally; you're hitting on something important.  Ignoring spillover effects is the methodology either of the impractical academic or the philosophical conceptualist; it would be like saying "don't think about global warming; we're designing CARS here."  The typical way to address a highlighted spillover effect satisfactorily is to show either than it's not important or that it's impossible to address . . . .

Scuse me what? If that company can make a business of selling polluting cars, so be it. The responsibility lies on the consumer, not the manufacturer. No one is forcing you to buy that car, and by buying it and using you are ruining the atmosphere, not the manufacturer. If you only buy clean cars, manufacturers will have to adapt and integrate that to their business strategy. This about as bad as saying guns kill innocents so manufacturers should only sell rubber bullets.
4531  Economy / Economics / Re: A modest amount of inflation should be part of bitcoin on: April 24, 2011, 10:08:03 PM
And of those currencies traded on Forex, are any of them not mandated by policy of one or more countries, or are not already entrenched as having worth? Barring having some authority telling you you must accept it as payment, or having an established-and-widely-accepted imaginary value, Bitcoin is already "pushing shit up hill".

Having more and more people accept it as a form of payment would help it become actually useful, which it seems to me is an effort that's choked if someone mines BTC as part of a pool, buys some services off a merchant, then the merchant decides to speculate on the BTC's worth and sits on the coins.

Again, from an outsider's perspective it seems like Bitcoin is 5% actual usable currency, and 95% people saying "these are going to be worth a buttload one day" without actually doing anything to advance them toward being useful. If that's a correct assumption, what can be done to fix it? If it's an incorrect assumption, what can be done to convince outsiders?

Arguing that it doesn't matter as long as speculators will continue buying it for USD... doesn't that sound kind of bubble-ish?

My point was that there is a buttload of dollars, euros, yens and god knows what else going from hand to hand everday for sole purpose of extra some wealth in the process, and yet it isn't hurting the stability of those currency at all, even though this buttload is about 90% of all the usd, eur and yen traded each and every day. So in regard of this long term, real life example, the spending and speculating pattern of Bitcoin is not different from those of government enforced currencies, which proves 2 things: That this speculation doesn't will not stop vendors from joining, and that Bitcoin is functioning properly as a currency.

As for the bubble part, that is indeed true, but keep in mind that any new business will know a bubbling growth until it reaches its actual load capacity on the market.

Also Bitcoin goal is not necessarily to attract vendors and entrench itself in an everyday use. That would be a nice consequence, but the primary goal is to be a proper store of value. Look at gold for an example.
4532  Bitcoin / Mining / Re: Bitcoin mining pointless? on: April 24, 2011, 09:52:05 PM
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For what it is worth, I am an expert in both cryptography and economics, and I have developed a widely used cryptosystem and written many academic papers on related topics.

For what it is worth, this declaration is worth nothing in a discussion where credentials cannot be verified, and as such, any contributor that is genuinly concerned about the questions discussed in a thread would never resort to that kind of sterile attempt. Then again, reading you all over this thread showed but one thing:

You reveal no understanding of cryptographics or coding in general. Else, you could at least provide one strong example of what a positive externality resulting from hashing cryptographic problem is?

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I have not, anywhere, insisted on "reusing the data processed for the hashes," but your disrespectful tone makes it hard to continue the conversation.  You might consider listening to what people are saying and possibly learning from it, rather than rejecting it jingoistically.

What are positive externalities but a beneficial byproduct? What possible beneficial byproduct could result from the use of a piece of software but to reuse part of the data it has processed? Go ahead and name a single piece of software which resulting data can be used for a different, beneficial process than the one it is intended for. None comes to my mind. If your concept of "positive externalities" encompasses the recuperation and reuse of the power dissipated by the hardware, then your question isn't limited to the "design of the network", is it? If you are taking in account the power the consumption, then the problem extends to power efficiency, in which case you need to be more rigorous. Or wait, next you're gonna tell me this isn't about mining anymore, right?

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The question is one about how to design the network.

If I had not understood this question, why would I have bothered explaining every step that results in the existence of mining is necessary for this system to be sound? My point, that you obviously missed, is that the design so far works, and that there are no superficial elements in this design. And on this regard, you provide me with another proof that you have no idea what you are talking about:

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The particular choice -- as the developer of the network, not a client of it! -- is arbitrary, or at least arbitrary within some constrained range.  As a very simple example, imagine that one candidate hash algorithm favors hardware produced by a violent, morally repugnant regime and another favors hardware produced by a regime you want to support; why would you -- again, as the developer of the system, not a user of it! -- choose the former over the latter?

No choices in this process is arbitrary. Your pretense that developer choices are somehow arbitrary shows that you think Bitcoin is just a crapshoot. Your pretended expertize level in economics would indicate that you know the conditions needed for a commodity to be a sound currency. Your expertize in cryptography implies you know the list of steps necessary to secure a decentralized, p2p network that is continuously producing fresh data from within while blocking outside injections.

If you had those pretended skills you would know that there a predefined set of NECESSARY steps in order for such network to function, and the only remotely arbitrary development decision made would be in regards of the seeding constants and hashing algorithm. And even those are established with efficiency in mind. In what world can a voluntary, open source, p2p project afford to randomly choose its mechanics and expect to be adopted?

Once again, your point about the hardware favoring speaks volume about your understanding of Bitcoins. These kind of externalities are absurd. There is a unique nature to the calculation that has to be processed, that's the whole point of cryptography. You can't just go around changing it without hurting its ability to secure your data, nor can you choose something weaker. But hell, you're an expert in cryptography, you should know that shouldn't you?

Your pretense that externalities resulting from the very fabric of the Bitcoin system should be weighted in the design of said system shows that you think the problematic and conditions the Bitcoin project is trying to address are indeed loose and replaceable at a whim. Again, if you were truly an expert cryptographer and economist, you would know better, or you would present us with the better alternative.

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Nobody is suggesting that Bitcoin, in any form similar to its current one, could exist without the need for mining.

If you are discussing design, you are discussing form. Why can't you wrap your mind around the fact that the different parts of Bitcoin form a whole and that changing one would require to compensate with another part or add a whole new concept to it unless one of the foundation of the system is to be compromised, which isn't an option.

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If you're interested, please reconsider the point I made earlier about the broad possible positive externalities from GPU mining.

You made no such valid points. A bunch of 'ifs' thrown in by someone uneducated to the matter do not consist in a valid point. I could just as well walk to a car manufacturer and ask him why he isn't building antigrav vehicules in order to save friction wastes and tires. He'd have the same reaction as I am having with you. Do you really think that if such encryption algorithm that emphasis general computing unit architecture (cpu) against parallel, raw power processing power processors (gpu), that the developers of Bitcoin would have made a point of choosing the GPU one for the single purpose of limiting access to a P2P open source project?

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Your disrespect is coming from ignorance of the economic point I'm making

Your economic point is the result of your ignorance. What do you expect me to do, praise you for it?

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You might consider listening to what people are saying and possibly learning from it, rather than rejecting it jingoistically.

Says the troll... Also a jingoist provides no rationale to his rejection. I gave you a proper counter argument. l2troll.
4533  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: How do we prevent money laundering and assasinations? on: April 24, 2011, 08:21:46 PM
I think the point is, if the powers that be want to shut down bitcoin, they will find an excuse to shut down bitcoin. Doesn't matter how squeaky clean we are. What we want to do is give them incentive to participate in bitcoin rather then shut it down. Above all else, Republicans don't want to die poor.

What we need are lobbyists. Maybe make campaign contributions with bitcoins somehow. Give them a vested interest in the network.

I see where the people that are afraid of a governmental shut down are coming from. If they can that is. Did Wikileaks go down? No, and yet it is a non profit group. What could they do to a whole economy then? Not to mention they'd have to track people down on Tor... or completely shut it down, which they still haven't done, given all the outstanding reasons for it.
4534  Economy / Economics / Re: A modest amount of inflation should be part of bitcoin on: April 24, 2011, 08:18:01 PM
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Bitcoins are only really worth anything through their ability to buy something with BTC. Anything else is pure speculation, and again, I have no facts or empirical observations to back this up but purely as an outside observer it seems like there's a lot more speculation than actual trade going on.

The daily turn over on the forex market is 4 trillion USD. That's like a third of the outstanding federal government debt speculated upon each and every single day. And that doesn't stop you from using USD. What should be stopping you is inflation.
4535  Bitcoin / Mining / Re: Bitcoin mining pointless? on: April 24, 2011, 08:04:58 PM
This point is consistent with mine, though, and with the argument generally being made in this thread.  You can theoretically have the same incentives for mining (and its benefits to the integrity of the Bitcoin network) even if there is a positive externality to mining.  If anything, you would get more of such incentives because people would have reasons to mine in addition to its profitability; nothing depends on that, and it wouldn't be a reliable market force, but it would nonetheless be a benefit to the Bitcoin network.

Ima simplify this thing so you understand the point once for all:

Is mining required? Yes (see proof of work/proof of time). After all this is a virtual currency, you need some sort of validation process, hence cryptography, which leads to hashing to verify it.

Is the difficulty increase required? Yes. Simple increase in network hashrate doesn't mean better security. If a cpu can validate a block in a few seconds at 800 gh/s, then it can inject a falsified a block that easily as well, resulting in double spending and forks from all over the network. If anything, this would be a waste of computational resources.

Is the security required? Do I even need to answer this one?

Is the fixed amount of blocks per hour needed? Yes. It makes more sense to secure the system by verifying one big block every 10 minutes than a small block every seconds. As a matter of fact, that's also a measure to save resources. It is beyond me that you could think bandwidth and computational efficiency were not considered in the building of a p2p network... Hell, under your logic, why would people have bothered researching gpu mining, if they're making a point of "wasting energy" to mine, as you portray it.

Can there be positive externalities coming from hashing? rofl... Have you ever coded, have you ever looked at a cryptographic problem? Actually you don't need to, a little common sense will suffice. What other kind of use would you put the data resulting from the process of validating a unique cryptographic problem? Gimme a break... The energy used for hashing is a requirement, period. The difficulty is not optional, the security it engenders either.

Now if you so wish, you can research fpga/asic hashing, smaller die process, supra conductors, better mining software, or hell, a way to recover the heat dissipated by the video cards. But your insistence in reusing the data processed for the hashes for some other benefit just indicates that you don't know what you are talking about.

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This isn't really a response to the argument in this thread, just to the words in its topic.  But as an aside, since I see a related point a lot in the forum, it's important to understand that there is a good degree of both arbitrariness and potential sophistication in the particular mechanism in which Bitcoins were "bestowed" by the protocol and initial network.  Likely the mechanism was a careful strategic choice as to what would successfully grow the network and give the original developers and promoters of the technology a reasonable return in order to encourage that growth, but there are any number of other models that would be equally consistent with most of Bitcoin's core principles, both ideological and technical.  For example, you could have a system very similar to Bitcoin except that it bestowed less of a reward for early mining.  Such a system would probably have better distributional properties than Bitcoin's present system, but it's an open question whether a system like that would ever have taken off.

This response is directly related to the argument ("is mining pointless"), and you even explain why yourself. Proofing the network is a necessity, that it takes resources is a fact. That the Bitcoins need to be distributed in some sensible fashion is beyond the any need for explanation, hence mining is necessary. It allows the network to exist, it secures it and provides a proper way of disseminating the Bitcoins in the network. Try to take one of these elements away and you hurt that balance, in which case I'll simply quote you:

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but it's an open question whether a system like that would ever have taken off.
4536  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: People v. Western Express on: April 24, 2011, 05:24:03 PM
Well f*** me sideways if this becomes case-law...
4537  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: How do we prevent money laundering and assasinations? on: April 24, 2011, 05:22:16 PM
This makes no sense. Responsibility is one the users, not the tool.
4538  Economy / Economics / Re: 1 BTC = 20 USD on: April 24, 2011, 05:13:57 PM
Let's take it easy people, what about something more realistic like 1 BTC = 2 EUR?
4539  Bitcoin / Mining / Re: Bitcoin mining pointless? on: April 24, 2011, 04:50:02 PM
There is no limit to the useful level of security in the network. As people join the network, the wealth it represents increases, so it is more prone to attacks. There is about 9 millions dollars worth of Bitcoins in circulation, about 5~10k BTC sent per hours, and 700~800 gh/s to maintain it, which means you can expect the network to be safe under these conditions considering how much money has to be spent to achieve half of that power to double spend a few grands. Now assume the network doesn't increase in size but the representative wealth is now $100,000,000 and you have a problem.

You also need to take in account that the network hashrate is directly related to the price of the BTC, as the higher the price goes, the more profit there is to make out of mining. The distribution of BTC is also a critical point. You can't just magically bestow 21 millions Bitcoins to one guy and expect people to be willing to buy them off of him. It has to be distributed under a controlled inflation system. The publicized rate of inflation ensures adopters can safely invest in the currency. And what better way to distribute the BTC but to reward the people that are spending resources to ensure the security and validity of the network?
4540  Other / Off-topic / Re: real router and tor? on: April 24, 2011, 01:53:36 AM
http://www.dd-wrt.com/wiki/index.php/Optware

this would be a pain in the ass and you would need one hell of a router, but it could work
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