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4541  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: Is it known that every block CAN produce a hash under target? on: April 17, 2013, 05:51:05 PM
for every possible value of the nonce? If so, what would happen?
Only there is only about one valid nonce in 8,974,296 candidate blocks now. Meditate on this and you will be enlightened.
4542  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: Vulnerability found that affects privacy of OLD miners, including Satoshi on: April 17, 2013, 04:04:40 PM
I hereby grant you exactly the salary I receive for working on Bitcoin. Tongue
4543  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Satoshi's Fortune lower bound is 100M USD(DEBATE GOING ON, DO NOT TWEET!) on: April 17, 2013, 12:47:52 PM
I don't believe in luck. I can't believe in luck, since I have some cryptography background.
Then why are you not hysterically warning about the miner who mined http://blockexplorer.com/block/00000000000000001e8d6829a8a21adc5d38d0a473b144b6765798e61f98bd1d having enough hashpower to replace the entire history of Bitcoin in an hour?

It's worth pointing out for posterity that you've gone and edited your claims in this thread to back them off from their previously falsified forms. This is somewhat discourteous to the other participants here, because it makes it look like you didn't take the positions that they've argued with.  I'm glad to see more accurate claims being made, but I'm wondering when you're going to go revise them further to point out that you were completely wrong and that your extranonce data strongly supports the position that there were multiple people mining the whole time.

I'm not even particularly computer savvy compared to many guys, just stumbled across as a proposed replacement to torbank, so surely many others did the same to a bigger degree.

However I would be surprised if guys who were mining in 2009 not only continued mining, but had the foresight
Yup. Exactly. But that kind of view doesn't let you generate ALL CAPS headlines.
4544  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: Recovering from a drop in hashing power on: April 17, 2013, 12:38:52 PM
Rolling difficulty roughly halves the computational cost compared to quantized difficulty to mine a fork down to diff 1 in order to keep an isolated node tricked with a fake chain.

Generally these schemes are vulnerable to subtle design and implementation errors. Personally, I don't think it's worth worrying about: If you lose more than 3/4 of your hashrate you have much bigger problems— and you can recover with a manual update that just resets the difficulty to be wherever you want it.
4545  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: Vulnerability found that affects privacy of miners, including Satoshi on: April 17, 2013, 12:16:52 PM
so I thought the counter only reset on orphan blocks..
Why did you claim it was only reset on restart?
4546  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: The Well Deserved Fortune of Satoshi Nakamoto, Visionary and Genious on: April 17, 2013, 12:15:20 PM
How does this contradict anything at all that I or death and taxes said?  In fact, it seems to __thoroughly__ refute the claim you were making that Satoshi mined alone the first year. Unlike you, however, I'm not going back and editing my posts when people point out that they cannot possibly be correct.

Why do you keep posting all these claims without even bothering to look at the source?
4547  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: Vulnerability found that affects privacy of miners, including Satoshi on: April 17, 2013, 11:41:32 AM
I haven't checked all versions of the Satoshi client, but I believe  all are affected by the vulnerability.
When you say you haven't checked 'all versions' you mean to say 'any versions except one really old one'?

Currently it's reset on every block:
Code:
    if (hashPrevBlock != pblock->hashPrevBlock)
    {
        nExtraNonce = 0;
        hashPrevBlock = pblock->hashPrevBlock;
    }

I don't mind correcting you because that took all of two seconds ... but ... really?  "vulnerability"?

What is your motivation in not spending two seconds to actually look before claiming that "all are affected by the vulnerability"?

Even back in October 2010 (e.g. v0.3.14):
Code:
            if (nNewTime != pblock->nTime && bnExtraNonce > 10)
                bnExtraNonce = 0;
It also spent some time with the wrap at 0x7f.

4548  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: [In Dev] 28nm mining FPGA on: April 17, 2013, 12:10:38 AM
Avalon is selling chips in bulk at much cheaper prices.
It seems the only benefit of FPGA, for now, is that it can be re-used for other applications, and thus have resale value (whereas ASIC's will be trash if faced with some kind of catastrophic failure of bitcoin). Also, FPGA's delivery time might be better - shouldn't be too difficult to beat any of the ASIC developers at this time.
I can most likely have 1000 pcs of artix on my doorstep tomorrow morning. The same is not true for Avalon— AFAIK they've not given much in the way of dates, but it looks like their pipeline is a couple months long (though hopefully shortening).  Re-usability is a benefit. It's not the only one.
4549  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: [In Dev] 28nm mining FPGA on: April 16, 2013, 11:34:18 PM
The Spartan's typically used were $150 each. Even if bought for $100, that's only maybe ~270MH/$100. I'm not knowledgeable on all the pricing (bulk or otherwise), but wouldn't an Artix be proportionately as costly - if not more?
I would expect them to be substantially _less_ costly per MH.  E.g. fitting potentially 400-900MH/s in an $100 part. Beyond the basic process improvements the Artix/Kintex parts have a substantially improved architecture.  Of course, the S6LX150 designs have had a lot of effort applied to optimizing them.

Quote
If I'm not mistaken, an Avalon is about ~280MH/BTC.08 (today's rate that equates to ~280MH/$5.50). So, unless you can purchase an FPGA with a performance/cost that beats that, then I don't know how this can work. Perhaps, this is just an academic pursuit for you.
A batch 3 Avalon cost 75 BTC and delivers 68GH/s. At the current market price that is  $75/GHs.   So maybe a 28nm FPGA ends up being twice the price per MH initially.   But: It would have a smaller basic unit size (probably a 2 or 4 chip board) which would create a larger customer base and it could potentially have better supply.  What does it matter that _in theory_ an Avalon is $75/GHs now when you can't actually buy one??

Plus, once there is a ASIC miner on a better process in widespread use the avalons will either need to head to the landfill— or at least Alaska for use as heating units, while a 28nm FPGA may have better reusablity.

I imagine that if someone had a board like the x6500 based on artix _right now_ they would be selling out. In a month? who knows.

So I don't think this is interesting just as a novelty project... though if it's just an "okay idea that won't make much money" vs an amazing one depends a lot on how the asic miner supply plays out, how the bitcoin market price plays out, etc.
4550  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Why is ripple claming simulatenous block confirmations? on: April 16, 2013, 05:00:51 PM
I think it's highly questionable that Opencoin's Ripple consensus model will achieve both decentralization and security (one or the other seems more likely).  See the thread I created at https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=144471.0 in particular the later posts where it show some topology diagrams.

I'd love to understand what the simple necessary and sufficient criteria is for ripple's consensus to be secure, but I don't think _anyone_ (not even the people creating ripple) actually know precisely what the criteria are.
4551  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: Where are the 28nm FPGAs? on: April 16, 2013, 01:01:13 AM
The really high end FPGAs are targeted at people doing large scale logic simulations and other stuff that _cannot_ be done in a smaller part and so they have a premium price, they also often have very fast specialized IO hardware and other stuff that mining doesn't need.  I wouldn't expect them to be the most effective for mining. I expect mining to be most cost effective on whatever the largest or second largest low end devices is in any product line— keeping down the per chip costs and also dodging premium product pricing.

Of course, nothing beats actually simulating a design. Smiley
4552  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: Vanitygen: Vanity bitcoin address generator/miner [v0.22] on: April 15, 2013, 09:23:51 PM
Hi all.   I'm really surprised that vanitygen hasn't switched to generating compressed keys.

Uncompressed keys have public keys about twice the size of compressed ones and this means that when you use vanitygen produced addresses you end up paying more in transaction fees, causing more increase in blockchain size, etc.

I have modified my own copy of vanitygen to produce compressed keys— and as a bonus it's about 15% faster. ... but I've only done CPU support, and at the moment I no longer have any ati GPUs (having sold off my GPU mining farm)... and I can't really justify putting in time to add support for features I don't need and thoroughly test it when I have so many other things I need to do for myself and others.

Are people still using vanitygen?
4553  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Litecoiners: Idea to make Litecoin importance skyrocket in Bitcoin ecosystem on: April 15, 2013, 05:08:04 AM
A few people seem to be getting thrown by the mistaken belief that Litecoin's SCRYPT is ASIC incompatible— it's true scrypt itself was designed to flatten the playing field between specialized hardware an general purpose hardware by being memory-hard— but because litecoin uses only 128k (instead of the 8mb - 40mb discussed in the scrypt paper)  it's not really all that memory hard, I wouldn't be surprised to see LTC ASICs with _more_ efficiency gain simply because LTC-scrypt runs fairly poorly on GPUs.

But none of this is what Mike is talking about in this thread, his argument doesn't depend on the qualities of scrypt vs sha256 as a POW.  What Mike is basically saying is that if you have to make 10 chip-types rather than 1 chip type you don't get as much manufacturing scaling (e.g. you get 10x the mask costs).

Sadly, I don't think it works out this way. If you know that to be successful you'll need 10 POW implementations you'll just make a single chip that implements all ten. You'll need more of the since you're using up more area but you're back into the realm of good manufacturing scaling.   Ultimately, what counts is that the attacker isn't outspending the honest users... how you dice up the spending doesn't matter much.

Beyond that— some surprise is useful. If the attacker didn't _know_ that he was going to need 10 POWs at first, but after he sunk his costs and began his attack the honest users switched then he could indeed be caught with a useless weapon.  But now you've told him, so he knows. Good job! Tongue

There is an advantage in pooling resources so that the honest users aren't divided among multiple things— thats why merged mining was created after all.  It's a shame LTC went on the failed anti-GPU lark instead of using it.  Should such an attack happen, we could do as mike suggests— merge Bitcoin onto litecoin in order to undo LTC's mistake of dividing the resources of the honest user and making them choose... I don't see any particular advantage in doing anything in advance, however.  Public preparation would only better equip the attacker.
4554  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Satoshi's Fortune lower bound is 100M USD on: April 15, 2013, 04:00:22 AM
No, you're making up reasons for why they are not reliable because they do not facilitate your argument.
I am? Can you cite one of those reasons?  As far as I can tell I simply asserted it— it's obvious enough. We can't tell if the timestamps are reliable or not. That's part of the purpose of having the headline in the genesis block.  For all any of us know someone forked and replaced the first 50 blocks, or any of a zillion other things. Who knows. You've totally missed the point, but I can't figure out why. We don't know who created blocks past the first one or two. I suggested ignoring them because it gets us squarely in the realm of what we know for sure... But don't— if you like. if it suits your particular obsessions.  There weren't any conclusions being drawn from it.

Quote
And you've spent a lot of time arguing that CPUs were so unbelievably slow "back in the day", even using anecdotal arguments that are likely unprovable to lend weight to your claims.
And they were, compared to current software on current hardware Sergio spent a lot of time here arguing about numbers like 7.5MH/s on a single desktop. It's _laughable_.
4555  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Satoshi's Fortune lower bound is 100M USD(DEBATE GOING ON, DO NOT TWEET!) on: April 15, 2013, 03:56:43 AM
Gmaxwell and DeathAndTaxes have many BTC. They are here from long ago.
[...]
So I understand why Gmaxwell and DeathAndTaxes and now zemario responded so emotionally to this thread.
I can't speak for DeathAndTaxes, but it's not true for me.

In fact, I don't currently own a single coin that was created prior to the date you registered on the forum (June 16, 2011) what little I'd mined before then and hadn't lost I've long since sold.

In general I'm unimpressed by your ad hominem, but I suppose I must reply to it before it gets repeated as fact in some future thread. I responded here because your posts don't make sense and because they don't fit the history as I and many others experienced it. Not because I don't want people to think Satoshi made a pretty penny— I sure hope he did: Bitcoin is a beautiful invention.

Quote
But since I have not a single BTC, nor any other virtual coin, I have nothing to loose, nor anything to win.
Everything I do here, I do it because I like to. Not because of money, not to become rich.
You certainly don't shy away from promoting your name or your company, or shy from making sweeping claims that might get you press... Even in this thread— I don't see a quest for knowledge. You didn't ask a question, you didn't seek people's experiences. You made a bunch of easily falsifiable assumptions (which you didn't bother to try to falsify) in order to justify a headline grabbing assertion.  I could speculate about your motivations, but I don't need to— your conclusions here are incorrect no matter what motivated you to draw them.
4556  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Satoshi's Fortune lower bound is 100M USD on: April 15, 2013, 03:24:17 AM
You are drawing what you're saying from the time differential between blocks 0, a block that comes with the software, and block 1, the first block to presumably be mined either in anticipation of immediate release, or just after release. From block 1 on, there is hashing power to maintain a near 50btc/10min,
I'm ignoring the timestamps in the blockchain, as I said.

Quote
PS - the announcement and the first blocks mined "in the wild" were on the 9th,
You might want to update the wiki.

Quote
But of course that ever devious satoshi cooked up a plan to make it look like he had enough hashing power for a difficulty of 1 on his own, and then to hide his tracks and make people not realize this, he manipulated the timestamps to make it look exactly like he had what he was trying to hide. BRILLIANT!
I dunno who you're arguing with there, cause that all sounds just as nuts as Sergio's claim that he had some multiple of the hashpower required for diff 1 and but mystically the network stayed at diff 1 because??? If anything that crazy argument suggests, perhaps, that Satoshi didn't mine full time. (not that I believe it— but it's the logical conclusion of the argument that he had more hashpower than was observed in the network)

Quote
It sure does bring the total hashing power of the network well within one person or a small group for the first 30k+ blocks, though.
Sure, even if it was 100 machines worth that would have been true regardless— even if it took a sold 100 machines to get there.. And?
4557  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Satoshi's Fortune lower bound is 100M USD(DEBATE GOING ON, DO NOT TWEET!) on: April 15, 2013, 02:53:28 AM
SHA256 processes 512 bits, not bytes, per block. A double-SHA256 is 1024 bits. So:
111 MiB/sec * 8 (bits/bytes) / 1024 ~= 870 khash/sec.
Indeed. And I've said this about a zillion times on IRC whenever someone asks about using commercial crypto accelerators for mining. ... But in all those times I'm talking about megabits not megabytes. Doh. It's easy to make doofus mistakes when they agree with the values you expect. Still doesn't get within a factor of factor of four of the numbers I was disputing, and it's still a measurement on unrelated software.  Thank you for the correction.
4558  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Satoshi's Fortune lower bound is 100M USD on: April 15, 2013, 02:50:02 AM
Quote
— all we really know for sure was that there were at least two blocks created between 03/Jan/2009 and 11/Jan/2009.
That's all we know for sure? We don't know that the next blocks were all minutes apart and there was hashing power at the very dawn of the network to maintain something close to 50BTC/10min? And your argument for completely ignoring this is "the timestamps may not be accurate"?
Ignoring??? I'm drawing what I'm saying precisely from there.  The dates in my post are from the headline in the genesis block and from the public announcement.  We don't actually know which blocks were when, because god knows how things were moved around and restructured while testing or in preparation for release.
4559  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Satoshi's Fortune lower bound is 100M USD(DEBATE GOING ON, DO NOT TWEET!) on: April 15, 2013, 02:13:22 AM
gmaxwell, a respected and very highly knowledgeable member of the bitcoin community, just made the argument for Satoshi's initial hashing power being in the order of 14kh/s because of the length of time between blocks 0 and 1. As if he created the genesis block
I was actually taking Sergio's dopey argument and substituting in the data we actually had, I never said it was a good argument.  I also said _lower bound_, which you deceptively omitted in your repetition there.  I also gave a much higher number which was my measurement with contemporary hardware in software, which you've helpfully omitted.

Why does gmaxwell says such an erroneous fact about hashing rate in 2009 ? Maybe he had a Commodore 64 back in 2009.
See http://www.cryptopp.com/benchmarks.html. At the bottom of the page says it was last edited on 2009.
The CPU is a Intel Core 2 1.83 GHz. The performance is 3.4 MHash/sec (111 MiB/sec)
So who's making FUD ?
Because I actually tested the openssl code in the reference software on a PIII that I had been using at the time and got somewhere around ~47KH/s. I'd offer to run it again but I've since moved across the country and no longer have any old computers. But heck, you won't even try the actual software— you keep _miscalculating_ (SHA256 processes 512 bytes at a time, 111 MiB/sec ~= 113KH/s of SHA256^2) based on unrelated software (and even then, it doesn't sound too inconsistent with my figures)! What the heck!  Are you allergic to actually using a computer?

That does not is irrefutable proof, but it's a good indicator of Satoshi PoW: 2^23 hashes/second.
By your own MIB/s numbers you're arguing that satoshi was had roughly <s>73</s>9 of your reference machines worth of computing power. (corrected per posts below)
4560  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: Where are the 28nm FPGAs? on: April 15, 2013, 02:08:32 AM
Could this be turned in with the EasyPath 7, and mass produce a set of EasyPath Chips?
At least the hardcopy results at 45nm were not all that impressive— a bit better than the FPGAs, but you lose all the reconfigurability. I'm doubtful that EasyPath 7 will be enough of an improvement (plus the lead time!) to really be attractive.  My thinking here is that 28nm FPGAs can have short lead times and they're reconfigurable... and this may make up for modest MH/$ and and MH/j disadvantages compares to 100nm+ mining asics.
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