Previous day's resultMarket will move between 716 to 734 today.
Market went till 737 (accuracy : +/- 0.4 %) Today's signalIf the price goes below 716 level for more than 1 hour, then it could fall down to 712 level, within next 12 hrs. If the support at 712 is broken,then could slide down to 690 level.
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India is poor because we haven't conquered foreign soil since last 10,000 years for resources.
There is only 2 options always, no third option -- 1. conquer or be conquered 2. enslave or be enslaved 3. rule or be ruled 4. humiliate or be humiliated Our country has realized it, since we became truly and legally united in 1947. Unfortunately, this is the stark truth, that utopia of perfect balance in society and world, had been a fry cry for humanity.
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in the first bubble Are you sure you know what a bubble is? Trolling over the word "bubble" ! ![Cheesy](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/cheesy.gif) Economic Bubble - wikipedia abstractAn economic bubble (sometimes referred to as a speculative bubble, a market bubble, a price bubble, a financial bubble, a speculative mania or a balloon) is "trade in high volumes at prices that are considerably at variance with intrinsic values". It could also be described as a situation in which asset prices appear to be based on implausible or inconsistent views about the future. Because it is often difficult to observe intrinsic values in real-life markets, bubbles are often conclusively identified only in retrospect, when a sudden drop in prices appears. Such a drop is known as a crash or a bubble burst. Both the boom and the burst phases of the bubble are examples of a positive feedback mechanism, in contrast to the negative feedback mechanism that determines the equilibrium price under normal market circumstances. Prices in an economic bubble can fluctuate erratically, and become impossible to predict from supply and demand alone.
While some economists deny that bubbles occur, the cause of bubbles remains disputed by those who are convinced that asset prices often deviate strongly from intrinsic values. Many explanations have been suggested, and research has recently shown that bubbles may appear even without uncertainty, speculation, or bounded rationality. Going through the definition,it is clear that I have not 'trolled over the word "bubble" '. If I was trolling my estimations would n't have been consistency correct. Bitcoin price jumped from 20 $ to 263 $,last lowest level was 75 $, so taking the same ratio, crash may happen at 986 USD/BTC.
This estimation was correct as the maximum price (@ BTC-e) went upto 1080 USD/BTC on 30 November 2013,which is within +/- 9.5 % ![Smiley](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/smiley.gif) The time (November 19, 2013, 12:10 AM UTC) when prediction was made, bitcoin was trading at 560 USD(which was all time high till then). Today's indicator :Market will move between 716 to 734 today.
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@ spndr7 & arepo : so if i am understanding what you are saying, for the next 5-10days, there is an up band at aruond 770 from which it could then skyrocket to 900ish and a low band at around 705 where it could then drop to 600ish.. or have i completely misunderstood?!
edit: I figured that between 700-750 is the correct price for bitcoin ATM and considering all the recent fuzz around it
You have compeltely understood, and your comment is a precise summary of our recent discussion.
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two possible moving supports on the 6-hour RSI, both robust with 3 points of contact. the most recent bounce off of BLACK corresponds with the price threatening to break out of its lower bollinger band in your figure. as a side note, it is always wonderful to see agreement between two technical measures as it is one of the few ways to show empirical consistency in this practice.
unless we actually break under this support, there is no bear signal i can see.
--arepo
Thanks for comparing your analysis with mine, and deriving insightful conclusions. There is a chance to cross that RSI support,even after the third bounce (as indicated in your graph) Where is the single most make or break issue affecting Bitcoin in this present time, reflected in your charts?
Market would trade between 623 to 778 band till January 9,2014 (if any extreme news doesn't come in this period),although there is chance of break of this upper-band in next 4 days .
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care to explain what exactly is the bearish signal here?
It can break 705 level bollinger band,due to recent negative volume. all i see is a divergent consolidation channel, at the end of which one would expect a resumption of the uptrend from $600.
My prediction is more or less the same (resistance at 623 level).
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Markets could easily drop to 634 to 645 in next 48 hours from now. ![](https://ip.bitcointalk.org/?u=http%3A%2F%2Fxchang.in%2Fxcharts%2Fblog%2Fimages%2F4.png&t=663&c=Tnk3kNn_aJJRrg)
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bitcoin is not illegal in india. why should it? but when you open a business and dont care about laws and regulation, you get punished.
Bitcoin is not illegal in India,but fiat money laundering (through the point, where conversion of bitcoin to rupees takes place) is certainly illegal if established norms are not followed.
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What about jan 9th - do you expect it to skyrocket? What is the significance of jan 9th?
Can't be said anything from now,but now market is near to the identical positive volumes (that propelled it to 1090 on 30 Nov 2013). If the surge continues, market may breach resistance 778, in 3-5 days. After that breach, it can easily go till 960.
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I have sent an email to Aadhar development team for access to their Authentication system on 24th Dec, but I have not received any response so far. They are currently running it on a trial basis. If any of you can get me an intro that would be a good way to start.
API for UID Know Your Customer
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Long term perspective from now: Market would trade between 623 to 778 band till January 9,2014 (if any extreme news doesn't come in this period),although there is chance of break of this upper-band in next 5 days . Today's signal
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Today's scene
Markets had to rise till 752 till 26 December 2013 otherwise collapse may be huge.
Market went to 739 today ( within +/- 1.7 % of predicted value in the given time frame ). UPDATE: No error - Reached 752 level at about 1930 hrs GMT - 26 th December 2013.
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This reads as though you think it is still going to go down just not as low as was anticipated by most. Is this correct?
Yes it is correct. As said earlier,if the price stays below 645 - 660 level for next 4 days (till Christmas) from now,then major fall to 215 to 240 level is very likely.
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Market is continuously sustaining its positive volume, since yesterday.
It could reach 695 level in next 24 hours, if resistance band of 615 to 625, is crossed, for at-least 8 hours.
Markets reached 670 (accuracy +/- 3.6 %) Today's sceneMarkets had to rise till 752 till 26 December 2013 otherwise collapse may be huge.
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Market is continuously sustaining its positive volume, since yesterday.
It could reach 695 level in next 24 hours, if resistance band of 615 to 625, is crossed, for at-least 8 hours.
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The level of 581 to 534 is crucial for BTCUSD market.If market remains below 534 level for 3-4 days then, it would take at-least more than 20 days to recover to current price level.
Short term buy signal If in next 2 hours from now, 593 to 602 level is crossed,then market could reach 618 level, within next 6 hours from now.
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As said earlier,if the price stays below 645 - 660 level for next 4 days (till Christmas) from now,then major fall to 215 to 240 level is very likely.
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