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501  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: April 03, 2024, 10:05:53 AM
Well at least there will have a chance. But I don't think they even have that chance in the bundesliga right now. And I do not believe in any curse but the Harry Kane one looks to be real

I think it's a good curse because Harry Kane is the Bundesliga's top scorer at the moment. At the moment only Tuchel cannot maximize the potential of the existing players. So Kane came in superbly, he has become Munich's attacking solution. But indeed I don't fully blame only the coach, there is a factor in the strength of other teams that are developing better and that happened to Leverkusen.
Kane curse has been discussed since he first joined Bayern Munich and some people keep saying that Kane might become a top scorer but the curse will come when the team has difficulty winning the title.
I may sometimes believe in this curse but it would be better to see the results of the UCL competition later, whether Bayern Munich will also fail in the UCL and if they succeed in getting the title in this prestigious competition, it is likely that the curse is not real, but this is Tuchel strategy to prioritize the UCL compared to the Bundesliga.
and for bad performance like this there is no need to blame any party because a situation like this could happen to any big team when it experiences a decline in performance.

but if we say who is at fault, actually sometimes the coach is the one who is blamed because the coach is responsible for the future of the team he manages and the decline in Bayern Munich performance occurred during Tuchel coaching period.
so I understand when some people say this is Tuchel fault but sometimes they don't see from the other side that sometimes there are other factors that influence the team to lose consistency, such as some players who don't like the coach.
502  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Europa League 2023/24 Season on: April 03, 2024, 09:25:41 AM
I do not see Roma as a club that will be that difficult for Milan to win, and this is why I don't see Roma in the list of the clubs playing the semifinals. I cannot say if West Ham would be able to defeat Leverkusen and qualify to the semifinals. This is because Leverkusen have being doing great since the beginning of the season. They have an unbeaten record, and they are also topping their league. This shows how strong they are, and they will be ready to prove that in the quarter finals against West Ham.

West Ham might be strong, but not to the extend of stopping Leverkusen from advancing to the semifinals. If they are very strong, they would not be on 8th position in their domestic league.
regarding Roma who will face Milan, I will never say which team will qualify because the chances of these two teams winning cannot be underestimated and if you know or remember last season when a team that was not the favorite candidate for the European League title like Sevilla was actually surprising everyone can make it to the final round and secure last season's title.
in a competition like this, when several teams come from other leagues, they will definitely put in all the performance they have to chase the title and maybe in the domestic league Milan is much better than Roma, but in the European league all that is not guaranteed.

and for Leverkusen who will face West Ham, most likely without any doubt and without using deeper predictions, it is quite easy to predict that Leverkusen will continue to dominate the match.
just comparing the performance of these two teams, it is very clear that Xabi troops are much stronger than West Ham except that, as a surprise, several Leverkusen players are injured and that's when Leverkusen will experience difficulties.
503  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: April 03, 2024, 09:02:37 AM

The contiuation of the UCL will start from next week and i can feel the hype from all of football fans because there will be so many big matches to happen at the same time, it makes me confuse on which match to watch. The upcoming matchday also creating the hype becomes even bigger than before caused by almost all of big clubes were qualifying for the next round. The next week will be starting with Arsenal vs Bayern and Madrid vs City.

There will be a lot of great matches to come and these matches are worthy to watch, and I'm very happy to seeing that if we see a match between City and Madrid. A lot of people already talked these match caused by they thjought that if it was too early for city to face madrid but this is the reality that shall be accepted. Many became even increasingly skeptic of Manchester City's performance at Santiago Bernabeu, particularly since the club is expected to lose some key players that are very important for the squad. The latest news suggest that that Walker and Akanji will miss the game against Real Madrid in the future after pep has announced if they are suffering serious injuries. So here are the odds for the upcoming match.

-snip
in the UCL match which will start soon it will be even more difficult to predict because there are so many teams that have almost the same squad and performance and in this UCL match we as bettors may not have the choice of just supporting the favorite team but sometimes we think about getting profit of betting on the underdog team.

and regarding the Arsenal vs Bayern Munich match, even though everyone has been talking about whether Bayern Munich will still qualify for the semi finals, but for the first leg match I am a little sure that Arsenal can beat Bayern Munich in the first leg and then Bayern Munich will be able to beat Arsenal in the second leg with a higher aggregate score.
so anyone who chooses to bet on Arsenal winning the first leg will probably do the same.

regarding Real Madrid vs Man City, even though Walker will appear in the match I will still bet on Real Madrid winning and this is not about me being a Real Madrid fan but also because Real Madrid has the advantage of playing at home to have a greater chance of winning.
and when I heard the news that several Man City players were injured and absent from the match, I became very confident that Madrid could win and most likely the bookmakers favored Man City as the away team just because Man City performance was still trusted like last season.
504  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Premier League 2023/2024 Discussion Thread ⚽ on: April 03, 2024, 08:42:53 AM
The Etihad Stadium is a home for winning top opponents and there's more to this, it becomes more formidable for Manchester City when they starts because they're currently the best team and top favorites. Let not all the praise go to Pep Guardiola and Manchester City, we have Jurgen Klopp and Liverpool, Mikel Arteta and Arsenal. Pep Guardiola was all known to be one of the fierce manager in the English Premier League, he knows his threats and how to handle them. Why blaming Manchester City for the incapacity of accumulating three points against Arsenal.
away or home for top teams or big teams in the EPL sometimes does not provide a guarantee of victory, whereas Arsenal and Man City are part of the big teams in the EPL.
whatever the result in the match at that time, it didn't surprise me and I really understand the draw because both teams both wanted to win the EPL title this season but also didn't want to lose points and in the end both teams appeared very careful.
draw in the match at that time seemed to be the best result for both teams because Arsenal and Man City could still get 1 point, but this draw gave Liverpool the opportunity to be at the top of the standings after successfully getting 3 points from Brighton.
Whatever results Man City and Arsenal get, no one needs to be blamed because there are several factors that encourage these two teams to share points equally and remain in the top 3 positions.
maybe Guardiola is famous for his very precise strategy, but Arteta as Arsenal coach certainly also has an alternative strategy to destroy Guardiola strategy.
505  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Football Transfers Speculation, Odds and Predictions on: April 03, 2024, 08:21:46 AM
Alexander Isak the player of Newcastle had an amazing performance in all the games we saw from this team so far and because of the good performance he had in Newcastle, it seems there are some teams that want to have this player for the next season.
Tottenham and Arsenal are two teams that sent offers for Alexander Isak. However, Newcastle said they are not going to let Alexander Isak leave unless they pay 130 million euros for this player which is a huge amount of money for any team but I don't think if they can even make the team to spend this money for a player like Alexander Isak.


I'm more confident that Newcastle will keep Alexander Isak in the next few seasons because I'm sure Arsenal or Spurs won't want to spend 130m just for 1 player and Arsenal usually prefer to look for players who are younger and have a price below 100 million.
Isak contract period with Newcastle is still very long and Newcastle condition is currently in an inconsistent state which requires support from players like Alexander Isak.
so it is very likely that they will be retained and the reason why Newcastle said they would let the player go was if another team was able to spend a large amount of money, in fact that is just one way of retaining the player because surely Spurs and Arsenal will also think longer about spending 130m.

this case is the same as the offer made by Napoli last season when Osimhen was offered at a price of 100 million and it was an effort to retain the player.
506  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: French Soccer League Predictions and Discussion Thread (Ligue 1) on: April 03, 2024, 06:53:04 AM
-snip

As for Metz, even though Ligue 1 still has several games remaining until the end of the season, it will not be easy and quite difficult for them to escape the relegation zone. unless Metz is able to win all the remaining matches they will play, but it doesn't seem like an easy matter for them. We'll see, can Metz move up to a safer position and stay alive next season in Ligue 1. Or, Metz has to return to Ligue 2.
As for Monaco, IMO, their probability is quite large to finish in 2nd place until this competition end.

little hope that Metz will survive in League 1 if you look at the remaining matches this season, Metz has very difficult opponents such as PSG, Lens, Lille and several other strong teams.
unless you have luck you can win against this big team, but isn't that impossible when Metz has to play against a strong team in League 1?
and Monaco does have a chance to get the runner up position at the end of the season, but it seems that it depends on how Brest maintains its consistency, which is currently trying to continuously maintain its consistency.
but in my opinion this can be determined when in the next match Monaco will play away against Brest and if in that match Monaco is able to beat Brest, I think Monaco deserves to be in the runner up position.
507  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: April 03, 2024, 06:25:43 AM
-snip

Lukaaku is one of the best strikers in football, but Chelsea treated him like he wasn't good enough for the team. Chelsea has been loaning Lukaaku for the past two seasons, and he is performing well in serie A. My advice to Chelsea is to get Lukaaku back the following season so that he can help the team, as they currently need a strong striker to make the squad strong.
what I know is that the reason Chelsea did not use Lukaku in their main line up and chose to loan him out was because Lukaku was deemed unable to make a good contribution when he was at Chelsea and before he was loaned to Roma, Lukaku was used several times during Chelsea matches at the start of the season. but the fact is that he seems more suited to being in Serie A than being in the EPL.
taking Lukaku back actually makes sense, but if Chelsea management already has that kind of confidence, the best way to sell Lukaku would be to bring in a player who has almost the same quality of talent.

on the one hand, if you say Chelsea needs the best striker player, in my opinion Lukaku is not the best striker and he is just a striker with a big body without any special talent, whereas there are still many strikers who are more suitable to strengthen Chelsea.
who knows how to explain it, what is certain is that whatever happens in the end, Chelsea management will sell Lukaku and will never use him as an important player in the team.
508  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: April 01, 2024, 12:41:06 PM


after successfully sharing points with Man City, Arsenal will next compete against Luton and in this match, as hosts, Arsenal will be favored by the bookmakers with very small odds.
as a bettor, I will definitely look for big odds with smaller risks, as we can see, even though Arsenal victory is guaranteed, I choose to bet on Luton score.
there are several reasons when I bet on a score of 0.5 when I look at the match history of the previous 10 matches. Luton can always score, even if they play away or at home, they can always score at least 1 score.
and even against Liverpool, Luton also managed to get 1 score.

so for me betting on my choice is more feasible than betting on Arsenal winning with small odds not worth the risk
509  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: April 01, 2024, 11:19:14 AM
I don’t see this as a disgrace to other teams but a wake up call to strategize their playing style again in order to come out victorious like Bayern Leverkusen in preceding seasons. Bayern Leverkusen finishing the league undefeated will be their biggest achievement and that doesn’t mean other teams haven’t done it before but coming from a team that it wasn’t expected makes it more thrilling. Bayern Munich will only try again meet season and hope that they’ll win the Bundesliga title that time around because it is as if their birth right and have dominated it more than any other team in the league since the existence of the league.
Bayern Munich is still a good team in the Bundesliga if you look at the ranking they currently occupy, it's just that Bayern Munich itself has been surpassed by Bayer Leverkusen this season by occupying first place as a team that has never lost this season. However, on the one hand, I also agree with what you said, that things like what Bayer Leverkusen have done can also be done by other teams in the future if the abilities of certain teams have improved as Bayer Leverkusen has experienced now in the Bundesliga.
Bayern Munich is still one of the best teams but it is not good to bet on their matches.
I mean, although Bayern Munich is currently ranked runner up, for me its performance is inconsistent or often loses control, it looks very unstable and in a performance like this it is very difficult to predict the results of each match, sometimes it looks very strong against small teams but sometimes also looks very weak against a team far below him.
we probably never will or what Munich is planning and what is happening to this team that can affect performance to decline drastically but it would be better not to have any expectations this season.
of course, currently Leverkusen is in first place leading the Bundesliga and that is very well deserved because Bayern Munich toughest opponent has lost its good form towards the end of the season.

some people or Bayern Munich fans will definitely say that maybe this is Munich plan not to chase the Bundesliga title but will get the UCL title and I will also say the same thing, but if a performance like this is used in a UCL match, it will definitely be very embarrassing.
and on the one hand, Arsenal this time cannot be underestimated, after being able to consistently improve and look more stable, they could get rid of Bayern Munich in the quarter finals.
in the UCL match later I will only see when playing away from home whether Bayern Munich will concede a large number of goals and if in the first leg Munich concedes a large number, I will decide to say Bayern Munich failed this season.
510  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A) on: April 01, 2024, 10:58:23 AM


Bologna vs Salernitana

this time Bologna has a good opportunity to continue the positive trend when they have to compete against a weak team from the bottom of the standings like Salernitana.
everyone can already tell which team will win this match and of course Bologna has a very good chance with the situation which is currently in a very consistent state.
from H2H history, Salernitana has never beaten Bologna but was only able to hold the match to a draw and I wouldn't be surprised if in the previous match Salernitana was able to hold a draw because weak teams can always provide surprises that we can never predict.
maybe most will bet on Bologna but the odds are very small and I decided to bet on BTTS which has bigger odds and is worth the risk.

currently, even though Salernitana is playing away, I think they can at least score 1 score in the second half.
the current score is that Bologna is ahead by 1 score.
511  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: French Soccer League Predictions and Discussion Thread (Ligue 1) on: March 31, 2024, 09:38:54 PM
Marseille was suffering 2 losing streak in all competitions i think these records is proven Marseille performance is still not fully stable and actually today they want to return to the winning ways but apparently Marseille wasn't lucky because their opponent today is PSG

Marseille should try to reverse their luck in their home even though PSG are way better.
Marseille need these three points to catch Lens and Nice in order to have a chance to promote themselves to Europa League.
PSG if they could win they will be 12 points away from Brest so additional three victories will equal the Ligue 1 title.
I think PSG will win this match with 2 goals difference.

The match was over and PSG won with a score of 2-0 and yes, I think because in thismatch Donnarumma played well, so that made Marseille unable to make a goal. Because anyway, although Marseille lost but the reality is that Marseille had a very good effort in this match but unfortunately, PSG's defense in this match played well and that factormade Marseille fail to make a goal. Because anyway, so far this season the reality is that Marseille is very good for home matches, but very bad for away matches . Therefore, Marseille should be able to score in this homematch and also be able to hold PSG to a draw. But unfortunately, the great effort thatMarseille had in thismatch was well overcome by PSG, so PSG managed to win with a clean sheet.
had thought this was one of the surprises when PSG could get a victory without the score printed with Mbappe.
when you say this time the PSG defense is very strong but for me without saying this we already know that since then PSG has always been the strongest team with the quality of players who are far greater than other teams.
PSG may initially be considered to only end in a draw against Marseille but after I saw the formation used by Enrique seemed to use Mbappe in the first round and hereby I was still sure if PSG could win finally what I thought was right.
Beraldo might have to leave the match when he gets a red card but does not prevent PSG from being able to beat Marseille and bring home 3 additional points.
512  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24 on: March 31, 2024, 09:19:25 PM
Even though Xavi still managed to give his best result for Barcelona this season and also, even though Xavi managed to make Barcelona finish in second place but still, that factor will not make Xavi stay at Barcelona. Because after all, the decision to leave Barcelona at the end of this season was Xavi decision and not a request from Barcelona. Therefore, whatever results Barcelona gets this season will still make Xavi to leave and therefore, ofcourse Barcelona must move quickly to get the right coach to handle Barcelona in a situation like what is happening now. Because ofcourse, considering the bad financial situation but in the same time Barcelona big desire to win trophies, then of course this will put pressure on the coach.
Xavi strong encouragement must leave Barcelona next season only a criticism that continues to come when Barcelona failed to win the La Liga title and on the one hand Barcelona also seemed to have blamed Xavi when defeat several times at that time.
so Xavi felt pressured while in Barcelona who should have been given praise but instead got bad criticism from outside the team and in the team that made Xavi decide to leave Barcelona.
this decision is very wise to me, when a great coach makes a good contribution but not valued it would be better to move to another more feasible team.
513  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: March 31, 2024, 08:09:56 PM
I will not react excessively to the defeat of Bayern Munich or Dortmund because Bayern Munich has no real interest in this match because they should let go of the Bundesliga title which is no longer possible to achieve and focus on their match in the Champions League.

Meanwhile, Dortmund has much higher motivation because Dortmund is competing fiercely to finish in the top 4, so I think their victory is natural.

This season, Bayern Munich's performance has been very inconsistent, which is why they lost the Bundesliga title. Regarding the strength of the Bayern Munich team, I think they are quite capable, only consistency is their problem this season.
TBH, I actually don't want to say too much about Munich badness in yesterday's match, but the reasons you said are quite reasonable, maybe Munich will prioritize the UCL more than the Bundesliga title, but what makes more sense is that a big team has dominated the Bundesliga title for decades previously, Bayern Munich should not have destroyed their team's reputation with a humiliating defeat such as playing at home with bad results.
even though Bayern Munich could have held on to a score share draw to maintain its reputation with a better draw.
If indeed Bayern Munich has priority in the UCL, at least in the Bundesliga they won't perform badly.

let's see later in the match against Arsenal whether Bayern Munich can beat Arsenal and I will answer that Bayern Munich will definitely qualify for the semi finals.
however, it is not a guarantee that you can beat Arsenal and Tuchel must not underestimate Arsenal or else Arteta could avenge past defeats to further embarrass Bayern Munich.
514  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Have you been kicked out of a casino? on: March 31, 2024, 12:06:25 PM
I have never experienced this problem, but I once saw my friend when we were very young playing a slot machine. my friend cheated by tricking the slot machine and every spin my friend always got the same result.
but the incident didn't happen in the casino, only in the shopping center which had a slot machine and when I was just sitting behind my friend, surprisingly the staff who owned the slot machine approached my friend and asked for all the money from the winnings and my friend was thrown out. I was even kicked out of that place.

this story is very ridiculous and sometimes I meet my friend who still remembers the cheating and laughs together even though it is just an experience that is not worth telling, but this is one of the fun experiences for me.
there are always impressive stories from the past and I'm sure some people here will have interesting stories to read.
515  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: How about your experience in taking part in the same bet with friends? on: March 31, 2024, 11:47:58 AM
Have any of you had any such feelings?

Is there less human pressure if gambling is conducted in the same place with friends?
sometimes a gambler feels bored when gambling online in a room alone and sometimes a gambler wants to feel the sensation of betting with friends making the same bet but when they lose they can laugh together and this is gambling to have fun.
In the past, before the trend of online gambling, I often played poker with other friends and that happened when I was very young and it was really fun betting with other friends, it had fun that we rarely had before, even though losses often happened, but if we got together with friends, everything looked fun.

but all that changes when a gambler who is married usually very rarely bets with his friends and they usually choose to gamble in their room enjoying their free time after working all day and I myself am currently doing the same thing and I have never bet with other friends but still you can enjoy every betting session to entertain yourself.
516  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: What is the #1 rule you live by in sports betting? on: March 31, 2024, 11:34:06 AM
first rule is always to try your luck with a $2 bet on a high risk parlay bet.
next rule when have a bigger budget and there is a match with a very big chance of winning stick to betting on single bets without going over the betting limit of -$100

the 2 reasons that I apply are the ones that I always use in every sports (football) bet. this way it is more consistent and easier for me to manage the gambling budget that I have.
only $2 sometimes provides big profits if we can win multi bets with odds of at least @10+
517  Other / Off-topic / Re: Does having children have an influence on gambling habits? on: March 31, 2024, 08:54:12 AM
When you have one or more children, you have heavy responsibilities. Sometimes you're on a tight budget. Can being a parent change our playing habits? Are losses even harder to bear when you're in charge of a family? What are your experiences in this area?
from my experience as the head of a household, it actually all depends on the monthly income that I will get and if the income we get is greater and we still have a little money left for gambling it doesn't seem like it will cause serious problems.
as I do now, financial management is also very important, even though I have children, I still rarely use money from my job just to gamble or if not, when there is a football match where the winner is very clear, maybe I will use my personal money to bet, but it's very important, rarely because I rely more on the money from the campaign to gamble to try my luck while having fun.
but still, I also have to manage my gambling finances carefully so that within a certain time the budget I have for gambling remains to be used for gambling at a later date.

so that when I get paid from a real job, I will use it for my daily needs to meet my family's needs and of course, even though I have children, I can still gamble safely and comfortably without having budget problems.
518  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: House always wins? The case of Trump Plaza. on: March 31, 2024, 08:18:14 AM
-snip

One must wonder what happened for a casino of this level and category to get in bankruptcy?
Do you think this is one of the few cases when the house did not win or perhaps it had something to do with factors external to the casino snd it's management?
Have you ever heard about casinos this big failing to the point they need to be completely demolished before? Because I have not.
since I have played in the world of gambling, I have never seen a casino go bankrupt just because it was defeated by gamblers.
but I often hear of land based casinos or online casinos closing casinos simply because poor management causes a lot of debt and is unable to pay back the loans so the casino has to sell or close the casino.
in the case of the Trump Plaza casino, I had never heard of this casino before but I became curious after knowing this news and finding out about all the things that prompted the casino to choose to close the business but it seems to have been answered by other people here and the point is that the casino could went bankrupt but was not caused by the gamblers but was driven by other factors that caused the casino income and expenses to be unequal.
519  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Drake and Bruno Mars An Example of How Gambling Addiction Can Affect Anyone on: March 31, 2024, 08:00:18 AM
The lesson to learn is that gambling addiction is not respecter of Gender, economic status, race, nationality, religion. It will mess you up, bring shame and disgrace to you if you don't abide by the rules of responsible and do all you can to avoid it.
I just discussed in another thread regarding addiction which can always come at any time and anyone can even be addicted without the addict realizing it.
It's all about the mindset and how each gambler views gambling as just having fun and trying their luck or as a place to make a profit.
a big gambler or artist who gambles will not have problems as long as he sticks to his commitment without having to borrow money just to gamble which can result in 2 losses at once, namely the loss of losing all the money and still having to return the money he borrowed.

addiction is just about how we can respond to gambling and control our mindset to remain consistent with the rules that must be obeyed.
some online casino sites have actually given warnings to gamble responsibly, but there are many artists who waste large amounts of money in gambling and incidents like Bruno Mars. We need to look at history to get an idea of not following this way of gambling.
I fully support your opinion that addiction can come to anyone when we cannot control our own thoughts and control.
520  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: International break's in football. on: March 31, 2024, 07:35:05 AM
so will you as a football club fan wish/like it if international breaks is scrapped in football yearly calendar, so we can continue watching our favorite football club leagues and teams all the weekends and midweeks. Are you a fan of international breaks or not let's know your thoughts.
as football fans, there are a small number of fans who really hate international breaks because they can't watch their favorite team's matches, but fans and bettors will definitely not have any problems when the international break starts because they can watch their favorite players playing for their country and can still bet. in the international break.
but for me personally I don't really have a problem with this international break because everything has been arranged in such a way as to remain an interesting sport, not boring.
after all, we can still bet on several other matches, such as other leagues, the SPL, which is still playing matches even though there is an international break.

Another interesting question is this, as a father would you force it on your child to also fan the same club you're a fan to, or you will allow him be himself to fan any club of his choice even if it's your most rival club of all times.
there is no other choice but to just let my child have his own choice never force him to have the same favorite team as me.
It's actually a little strange when I, as a father, have a child who actually likes the NBA more than football.


BTW, I'm not a parent yet, pray for me to get married and have children soon Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy.
come on bro, get married quickly. I'm sure you already have a boyfriend/girlfriend. remember you are getting older bro Tongue Tongue
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