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5281  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 09, 2017, 11:14:50 PM
The thing you forget about "sensible people" is that there are "non-sensible" people born every minute, or come into this space. I argue that my estimate of 2 to 3 years is conservative and as long as there are people, as long as they think "so, there's a chance" ... ICOs or some variation of them will continue to exist.

That may be true that some variation of the ICO market will stick around indefinitely. But there are only so many times that you can continue to say things like "ETH is Bitcoin 2.0!"
"Oh no wait, not ETH, now it will be XXcoin that is the next Bitcoin 2.0!"
"Oh no wait, it's not XXcoin, it's going to be XYcoin that is the next Bitcoin 2.0!"
"Oh no wait, not that XYcoin stuff, it's YYcoin that is the next Bitcoin 2.0!"
... and on and on...

After a while, people will start to see the ever revolving door of the perpetual scam that is "This is the next Bitcoin! Trust me!"
5282  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 09, 2017, 04:59:24 PM
Give me at least $5K/btc

Trust me, it will get there. I wager we will see a $5K floor, yes floor, by the end of 2020. Supported by miners and by true long holders. Bitcoin will be seen as the only sensible crypto and the true value play. The price of bitcoin will of course continue to increase into the future, but likely more slowly over time. I guess we shall see. 99.99% people have yet to even buy some.

All the other shitcoins are supported by nothing but the pumpers and FOMO hype. When all that changes, and it will someday, the ICO market will get fully labeled as 'SCAM MARKET' and the sensible people will never return there again. They can only pull off the mega scam once.
5283  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 09, 2017, 04:39:01 PM
I could use some of dat parabolic movement in BTC

Going from a low of 200 to 2900 is not 'parabolic' enough for you?

Wow, greed.

And Bitcoin is not ever going to do 1000% in month or two, or even years. It's too big now, and it would take a Herculean amount of money now with like 500X-1000X leverage to do something like that, and there would have to be an unlimited amount of coins on exchanges (which there are not).

If Bitcoin ever spiked like that, I would be very afraid.
5284  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 09, 2017, 03:29:30 PM
Should be an interesting du.. hum day

This kinda reminds of the summer of 2014. Sell in May and go away. Back then the price barely moved for 6 weeks.

Except we are likely still in a bull market instead of a bear market.
5285  Economy / Speculation / Re: what happens to bitcoin when the ico thing gets hammered? on: June 08, 2017, 11:51:18 PM
I guess all the newcomers who are clamoring for these stupid ICOs will need to learn a lesson the hard way.

Once they get scammed badly and lose all their money, they'll either do one of two things:

1) Walk away from crypto forever, head on over to r/buttcoin and join the ranks of those that got burned to disparage crypto until their dying days

2) Realize that they should have just bought Bitcoin and HODL for years like all the vets were telling them
5286  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 08, 2017, 09:02:27 PM
It's because the noble metals are the most suitable thing for use as money on earth

Scenario:
Apocalypse happens, but the worldwide internet still works.
But you and your family find yourself starving for food, about to die.
You have 10- 1oz. gold coins.
You meet a man on the street that has two chickens.
You ask to buy one of the chickens.
He asks you if you have some bitcoin.
You say you don't.
You then ask him how much gold would he take for one of the two chickens.
He says all 10 of your gold coins.
And you know what? If you're family is starving, you'll give him all of them or you will die.

Congrats, you just paid $13K for one meal for your family, and now you don't have any gold coins left.
Even if you haggled him down to just 1 coin, you still probably overpaid.

Yeah, gold is so perfect as a form of barter.  Grin
5287  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 08, 2017, 02:15:45 AM
Luke-Jr has lost his mind:

Quote from: luke-jr
While I don't agree with everything they do/have done, or their approaches, I don't consider Ethereum to be a scam.

Anything claiming to be a "decentralized currency" and then holds an IPO is obviously a scam.  You can't have an IPO for something claiming to be decentralized because nobody controls the money supply of something "decentralized" by default.  It's literally a 1:1 replica of the movie Wolf of Wall Street and nothing more, or the central banker model who issues currency out of thin air for their own benefit.

Well, I kinda agree with you here r0ach.

Calling Ethereum "not a scam" is kinda like calling SnapChat "not a scam". On a purely technical level you could say that SnapChat is not a scam because the product works as intended. But launching a company with a silly-premised phone app that makes literally zero money, and will never be monetized, yet IPO'ed with a $24B valuation and made the founders INSTANT multi-billionaires overnight is the very DEFINITION of SCAM in my book.

In fact if I could put Evan Spiegel's photo next to the definition of "Scam Artist" in the Webster's Dictionary, I would.
5288  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 07, 2017, 09:21:02 PM
I'm pretty sure BTC is supposed to be huge. Not a tiny right wing nerd economy on the fringes of the dark web.


Huge in the way that network cabals or the world banks can eventually co-op it, centralize it and take it over, like they intend to do one day with the likes of ETH or some other corporate beloved shitcoin?

Then no thanks, I'll take my chances with the "small" fringe Bitcoin market. Core principles of sound money actually matter more.
5289  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 07, 2017, 09:13:08 PM
I'm a pretty long-term BTC enthusiast. However, I have become rather nervous about BTC's future the last several months. Even moreso now than at any point since 2013 or so.

If UASF doesn't pass, I really don't see how BTC can possibly move forward, and stop ETH from eating it's lunch. And as of now, it looks like UASF is very unlikely to make it.

There'll always be a crisis of some sort on the horizon. Make your peace with it.

I don't really care if ETH eats Bitcoin's lunch. If it completely buries Bitcoin I'll be going with it. It has nothing to do with what crypto should stand for.

Yep. Price and marketcap driving forward in a crypto as the only measure of success, devoid of the core principles of sound, trustless, decentralized money with a POW system that Satoshi laid out, is completely hollow and meaningless.

People in that camp might as well be chasing a hot new stock or some other bank-driven investment derivative. Or maybe their state lotto.
5290  Economy / Speculation / Re: what will bitcoin be worth in 5 years {2020} ? on: June 07, 2017, 04:09:50 PM
If Bitcoin becomes a kind of digital gold, not for small transactions, but as storage of value, the price can reach as high as $ 10,000 or more.

Bitcoiners don't want to admit it, but it's primary use has been exactly that for years now. No one is out there buying hundreds of thousands of $$$ in bitcoin just so they can have unlimited number of coffee purchases in the future.

It wouldn't even matter if transaction fees came back down to $0. People still won't be buying coffees and croissants with bitcoin. Too much work, easier to use fiat debit cards, esp. when the fiat purchasing value is falling virtually every day. Why would I want to waste my bitcoin on a cup of coffee when I have fiat?

Again, the community can be ridiculously disingenuous to what is actually happening with Bitcoin now and in the future.
5291  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 07, 2017, 02:59:28 PM
Awesome interview with Andy Hoffman about Bitcoins and PMs markets:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FlMKI9fcLMs

I esp. like his last minute comments @ around 35 min mark about Bitcoin vs. Altcoins. This is information we all know already, but I still think a lot of altcoin lovers haven't done enough research into their altcoin du jour to understand.

Andy gets it. Bitcoin is the only one he is remotely interested in, and for good reasons.
5292  Economy / Speculation / Re: can my bitcoin drop to nothing on: June 07, 2017, 12:33:25 AM
I will go on record to say nope, not a chance in hell that it will ever go to zero. Unless maybe the world blows up.

Bitcoin has about the same probably now to go to $0 as BRK/A stock does. Or Gold going to $0.

Zilch. Zero. Nada. Ain't gonna happen.
5293  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 07, 2017, 12:24:33 AM
It is very demotivating for me to come into work when in one day I made more money than almost 2 years salary.

You should re-read what you just typed, because there's probably hundreds of people reading your post who have had the exact same feeling with some altcoin before, then they tried to ride the profits higher and they vaporized taking them back to square one.  The fact is, the second any type of life changing profits occur in any asset, the price always craters right after.  What % bitcoin can rise in a short duration before said action occurs is up for debate though.  Having any type of life changing profit occur and then not taking any profit off the table is the definition of insanity.

If you have a day job that sustains you, and you have tens, hundreds or even thousands of btc, then "taking profit" on them now will be a huge regret 5 to 10 yrs from now.  

If in just 8.5 years a bitcoin can go from $0 to $3000, with 99.99% percent of the world not even invested yet, then surely it has plenty of room to run to $20K, $50K, or whatever in the next 8 years. It is not inconceivable in the least.

And you keep blabbering on about it having a chance to "go to zero." Not a chance now, no way. I'd wager that even if a 0 day, network-killing flaw was found tomorrow, bitcoin would still not go to zero.
5294  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 06, 2017, 11:54:49 PM
hold guys hold. once btc hits 3,000 USD, i will see the headlines in major news sites which will give a pump to right away to 3500. since it is a nice number BTC is 3,000 for the first time in headline in cnbc or cnn would be a nice pump for holders. so closeee Smiley the media effect is on the way.

You total have that backwards dude. Every time the media prints a new headline like "Bitcoin breaks XX for the first time, new ATH!" or some shit, esp. a round number like $1000, $2000, etc. it immediately dumps a few days later.

Every. Single. Time.
5295  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 06, 2017, 11:50:46 PM
A 2 day old article, but I thought the author articulated very well the three main factors of Bitcoin speculation and what makes it a great long term play for store of value.

http://www.coindesk.com/why-no-crypto-bubble-ico/
5296  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 06, 2017, 08:49:51 PM
Maybe we should all wait with bated breath on what Trump or Obama thinks about Bitcoin too? Or maybe the Pope?

Aren't they all infallible? What do we mere mortals know?

Lol.

It humors me that the great fools of the world, instead of saying "Yeah Bitcoin is awesome because I've always thought we've needed something exactly like that to exist", are the first ones to instead chime in and say "It'll never amount to anything, it sucks. Don't take it seriously".

They say that precisely because a) they live in a world where a threat to fiat currency is a threat to their own existing fortunes, and b) because they don't have the intellectual capacity to both understand and embrace it.

These are the same fools that exclaim "Bbut, but, Bitcoin is not backed by anything!" But when you ask them "Well what are stocks backed by? What are Gold and Silver backed by?" then there's that stunned sheepish look on their face, like you've just asked them "What's the sound of one hand clapping?"
5297  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 06, 2017, 08:13:13 PM
http://www.cnbc.com/2017/06/06/mark-cuban-calls-bitcoin-a-bubble-price-falls.html

There you have it folks,  the drop was due to Cuban
 Roll Eyes



It's very nice of him to tweet that and let us all know. Thank god for Cuban. What a guy.

I love it when guys with huge egos feel compelled to chime on subjects that they know nothing about or have any sway over. As if the market or it's worldwide participants will give a fk what they think.

Maybe we should all wait with bated breath on what Trump or Obama thinks about Bitcoin too? Or maybe the Pope?
5298  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 06, 2017, 05:32:04 PM
I remember so called financial experts popping up on CNBC in late Nov. 2013, when price first hit $1000, saying that Bitcoin would be hitting $2000 "soon". Not only were they wrong, they were off by 4 full years.

I'm fine with going up 200% every 4 years. See you in 2021 at $5000/btc.

Me too. Which at that rate, would still spank every other investment vehicle on the planet.

People need to lower their expectations.
5299  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 06, 2017, 04:50:02 PM
Quick someone PM kwuckduck, we need a new doom thread. Haven't had one in a few days weeks.
5300  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 06, 2017, 02:45:31 PM
So in hindsight you all knew everything. Now it's a guessing game. Roll Eyes

Why will nobody admit they know nothing?

I knew that Bitcoin was going to be huge someday, and the price would surge when the masses started to realize it.

The only things I didn't know is when, by how much, or for what reason. Lol.

Don't trust anyone to claims to be an "expert" on cryptocurrencies and where they are going to go. They don't have a fkn clue, but will act like they do. I see a ton of these snake oil salesmen now on Youtube who have suddenly come out of the woodwork since January.

I remember so called financial experts popping up on CNBC in late Nov. 2013, when price first hit $1000, saying that Bitcoin would be hitting $2000 "soon". Not only were they wrong, they were off by 4 full years.
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