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541  Local / Konu Dışı / Re: Halka arzlar = Türkiye sahipliği on: May 10, 2023, 03:51:49 PM
Satıp napican, sigara mı alıcan?
Türkiye sahipliği > On paket sigara

Kurumsal yatırımcılar hisse senedi alacakları zaman profesyonel değerleme yöntemleri ile araştırmalar yapıyor. Aynı şekilde satış yapacakları zaman da özel değerlendirmeler yapıyorlar. Küçük yatırımcıların çoğu satın aldığı hisse senedini ilk tavanda sigara parasına satar. Ben de kriptoparalara girmeden önce borsadayken aynı şekilde davranıyordum. Benim arkadaşlarımın birçoğu SPK'nın izahnamesini bile okumadan halka arza katılan insanlardı. Kendi aramızda konuştuğumuzda öyle bir şey mi varmış ben ilk senden duydum diyenler vardı. Türk insanı kendine özgü dinamikleri olan değişik bir millet. Ben artık çevremdeki birçok insanın davranışını sorgulamıyorum. Çözümleyemediğim çelişkilerle boğuşmak yerine bazı davranışları olduğu gibi kabul ediyorum.

Bir şirketin gerçek değerini bulmak bana göre kolay bir şey değil. Şirketin bilançolarına bakmak ve şirketi yerinde incelemek gerekir. Bir şirketi tam ve eksiksiz olarak incelemek bizim için bile imkansız.

Ancak, muhatap olduğum küçük yatırımcının ağzından çıkan bazı kelimeler beni de rahatsız ediyor. Örneğin birçoğu borsa oynuyor musun diyor. Bunun bir oyun olmadığını anlatmaya kalkıyorsunuz. Örneğin bir çoğu tüyo var mı diyor. Bunun bir at yarışı olmadığını anlatmaya kalkıyorsunuz. Bu iki kelimeyi kullanan insanlar ile karşılaştığım zaman kiminle muhatap olduğuma dair kafamda bazı ipuçları belirmeye başlıyor.
542  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Football Transfers Speculation, Odds and Predictions on: May 08, 2023, 04:27:37 PM
After this season, Messi is no longer in PSC. This French League club wants to leave Neymar as well as Messi. 

Messi is likely to return to Barcelona but Neymar has been shown more interest by some of the biggest clubs in the English Premier League. However, Manchester United is ahead of everyone in the fight to take Neymar. 

But recently there have been rumors of Neymar and Messi returning to Barcelona together. Anything can happen in a football transfer. After the departure of Neymar from Barcelona, there is no other player like Neymar in the left winger position. Barcelona may want to fill that gap, coach Xavi. 

If the rumors are true then Barcelona are about to have the best forward line ever. Because Lewandowski is already in the club. If that happens, the team will form the best attacking division with Messi, Neymar, and Lewandowski.

I was aldo predicting that Messi would return to Barcelona, but I've been reading news lately that he may sign with Al-Hilal. It would be really surprising for me if he transferred to the Al-Hilal team, but Ronaldo made a similar transfer. Messi can surprise everyone with a similar transfer. Therefore, I cannot say to myself that such a transfer will definitely not happen. Also, we had previously read news that Newcastle and Chelsea are planning to sign Neymar. The English Premier League would be a good experience and a good challenge for him.

However, it would be better if both players return to Barcelona at the same time. If Barcelona manage to transfer these two players despite their financial fair play problems, some memories will come back to our minds.
543  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: May 08, 2023, 03:03:38 PM
We still don't know if Dortmund can take back the first place in the league or not because in the remaining three games, nine points can change and we know that's enough for Dortmund to be the champions of this league or lose everything they worked hard for it, but I expect to see Bayern Munich losing points and give Drtomund the opportunity until the end of this season.

I think Bayern Munich's match against Leipzig will have a decisive role in the league championship. Bayern Munich will most likely win their other matches. However, if they win that match, they can complete the remaining matches of the season without loss and become champions.

Bayern Munich have risked their championship chances this season due to the mistakes of club managers. I think Lewandowski leaving the team was a normal development. However, it was an unacceptable development that Bayern Munich managers did not sign a striker with the number 9 feature to replace him. If they win a championship under the current circumstances, when that day comes, I'll say they did a really good job.
544  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2022/2023 on: May 08, 2023, 02:30:50 PM
Arsenal's victory against Newcastle I think means nothing to Arsenal anymore, they will not be able to catch Manchester City's points, now that they are 4 points away with 4 remaining games this season, of course it is almost impossible for Manchester City to drop points in 2 matches.

Yes, the win in this match is not very meaningful for them this season, but Arsenal have a young player squad and such wins mean great experiences for them. The experience they have gained in such matches will be written as plus points for them in the coming seasons.

I think the man of the Arsenal - Newcastle match was Martin Ĝdegaard. He is gradually taking on a role similar to that of Kevin De Bruyne in Manchester City. He improved himself a lot this season and became one of the most important players of the team.
545  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Turkish Super League 2022/23 Season on: May 07, 2023, 11:54:34 PM
Fenerbahçe did the hard thing again. They get many opportunities to beat Galatasaray, but every time they make a mistake. They could not even score a goal against one of the worst teams in the league, such as Giresunspor. During the 90 minutes, they found many chances, there were many attempts to score, but again it was unsuccessful. They took almost 20 shots but only scored 1 goal.
They were able to do it thanks to the penalty kick Cheesy

Fenerbahce did not look like a team that wanted the championship in this match. Football players could not react to the score of the match. Frankly, I am pleased with this situation because I think Fenerbahce have no chance to become a champion anymore, and that's why I think we can say that Galatasaray became the champion this season. Of course, the Başakşehir match we will play tomorrow will be very important, but Fenerbahçe lost this match and completely lost the psychological superiority to Galatasaray. I think Galatasaray will win tomorrow and will increase the difference to 5 points. We scored 7 goals against Başakşehir in the first half of the season. Of course, the result of that match is not a definite criterion for this match, but it can give us some ideas about tomorrow's match.
546  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: About football betting on: May 07, 2023, 10:49:38 PM
Correct me if I am wrong

I am not a football fan and any form of prediction is still a gamble to me, but I have gamble on few different online casinos and I believe that gamblers on casinos gambles with the casino games, meaning it's between the gambler and the casino, but with football it is different, your bet is on the performance of a soccer team and the gambling platform will only win your money if your football team loses, right?

This makes it more cleaner to me, there will be no tampering of the system or fine tunning their games to make gamblers loses more than they win.

Can anyone confirm if this is right? Or wrong.

I generally agree with the point, but I would like to add this. Betting is a fun activity for all of us, but this activity turns into addiction and habit for some of us after a while. At this point, our behaviors turn into psychological cases. That is, to put it bluntly, the people in question may continue to bet even if they are suspicious of the gambling site or sporting event because addicted people do not exhibit rational behavior. However, I largely agree with your view. Football or sports betting are better options than casino games.
547  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: French Soccer League Predictions and Discussion Thread (Ligue 1) on: May 07, 2023, 09:22:10 PM
Lens team is leading 1 0 after an hour against marseille this will be agreat result if they manage to get the three points because they will get marseille second spot but it wont be easy marseille team is dominating the second half and they seem really dangerous i doubt the game will end with this score.
The Lens game against Olympic Marseille yesterday ended in a 2:1 win for Lens. Like I said last week, Lens has been the surprise of the season as no one expected them to be competing for the title at this stage of the French domestic league season.
Their win yesterday closed the gap between them and league leaders Paris Saint Germain to jus three but just that PSG has an outstanding match. Lens has already outdone the expectation of their fans this season but they're still trying to make history by winning the league French Ligue 1 title which I think isn't impossible considering the current happenings at  PSG

After this result, Lens passed Marseille and placed second in the league. I think they can't compete with PSG and it is not very realistic for them to be the leader in the league, but they can compete with Marseille for the second place in the league. By the way, Alexis Sanchez for Marseille was very effective in this match, Fofana for Lens was very effective. Fofana shot like a rocket throughout the match. The first of them almost broke the goal post in the first half of the match. His second shot was a full hit and the goal was scored. I haven't seen a midfielder who shoots so well in a long time. Recently, fast football players with high fighting power have been used in the midfield. That's why watching Fofana is like an extraordinary experience for us.
548  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Football Transfers Speculation, Odds and Predictions on: May 06, 2023, 08:51:06 PM
Saturday's gossip:
Will Nagelsmann and Tottenhamna finally come to an agreement and whether Kane is part of that agreement?
Source: https://www.bbc.com/sport/65501267

Nagelsmann attracts the attention of many football clubs, but no team has yet convinced him. He has been unemployed since March. We've been reading reports that Chelsea and Tottenham are interested in him, but we don't see any clear developments. Maybe some negotiations are going slow as Nagelsmann wants a more influential role in his new club. However, I think teams that want to sign him should act quickly. At any moment we can watch different developments and see another team that convinces Nagelsmann. Because he is the most popular coach in the transfer market.
549  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Turkish Super League 2022/23 Season on: May 06, 2023, 08:22:20 PM
The super league got really interesting after galatasaray last round loss against besiktas, both fenerbahce and besiktas has some remaining tough games, now three points seperate the teams and the last game will be between them which might decide who the champion will be.

Beşiktaş won 3-1 against Antalyaspor. Currently placed in the 2nd place in the league ranking, but there are matches that have not been played yet, it should not be forgotten. Therefore, the fact that the difference in points between the teams is very small does not mean much.
Fenerbahçe's match this week is against Giresunspor, I don't think they will lose points.
But Galatarsaray's opponent will be Başakşehir. Their rank in the league is not bad at all, hasn't lost points in the last 2 weeks and they can gain points against Galatasaray Smiley

Beşiktaş have started to mess with the top of the league by winning consecutive wins in the last weeks. We can easily say that they will not be champions this season. However, if the league had continued for a few extra weeks, the momentum they gained could certainly have pushed them to the championship. They took advantage of all the opportunities they got against Antalyaspor today and got a well-deserved win. However, apart from all these, I think that Beşiktaş have a modest staff. It will not be easy for them to win the championship with football players such as Tayfur Bingöl, Onur Bulut and Wellington. They need to make good signings to secure an assertive position in the title race next season.
550  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: May 06, 2023, 07:58:34 PM
Going into the final three weeks, there are seven teams that will relegate to Bundesliga2, including 12th-placed Werder Bremen. In the matches played today, Herta Berlin won the 6-point match and entered the last 3 weeks with hope to stay in the cluster. If they were defeated today, they would most likely be the first team to be relegated. He still has a chance, but his job is very difficult. Schalke's win yesterday gave great morale. Bremen, Bayern match is of great importance for both Bremen and Bayern. Bremen will want to score points to stay in the relegation. In a possible Bremen win, Dortmund will have a big advantage for the championship tomorrow. I want Dortmund to be champions this year.

Schalke 04 got a win that nobody expected. They won the match with a penalty goal in the final moments of the match. They took the lead twice in the match, but could not maintain their superiority. They won the game with a penalty goal at the last minute and moved a little away from the relegation zone. They won a really important game. They will play away against Bayern Munich next week. I don't think they're going to get points from that game, but they need to score points from the other two games remaining to stay in the league. If I remember correctly, Schalke was promoted to the Bundesliga this season. I don't want them relegated this season.
551  Local / Alternatif Kripto-Paralar / Re: Binance borsası PEPE ve FLOKİ listeliyor. on: May 05, 2023, 11:12:50 PM
Bir aydan kısa bir süre içerisinde 1 milyar dolar piyasa değerine ulaşmış. CZ yine bir şey deneyecek ve neyi deneyeceğini tahmin etmek zor değil. Cheesy

Hacim yapan tokenleri içeriğine bakmadan listeliyor Binance. Delist ederken sunduğu gerekçelerin hiçbirini bu tokenleri listelerken kıstas olarak gözetmiyor. Fomo'ya kapılanların başına kötü şeyler gelebilir. Tabii bir boğa sezonuna girersek birkaç X daha da yapabilir. Ancak, ne olursa olsun meme tokenlere yatırım yapılmaz bence.
552  Local / Ekonomi / Re: Altın onsu 100.000$ olabilir on: May 05, 2023, 10:19:22 PM
Altın binlerce yıl boyunca değer kazanıp değer kaybetmiş ama önemini hiçbir zaman yitirmemiş. İnsanların en önemli değer saklama araçlarından biri olarak varlığını sürdürmüş. Binlerce yıl boyunca da sürdürmeye devam edecek. Altının onsu da günün birinde 100 bin dolar olur. Benim için sürpriz olmaz böyle bir şey. Savaşlar, salgın hastalıklar ve enflasyon altının önemli bir emtia olmasını sağlamaya devam eder. Ancak, fiyat tahminlerini makul zeminlerde yapmak ve rasyonel beklentiler oluşturmak daha doğru bir yaklaşım olur.
553  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A) on: May 05, 2023, 04:18:46 PM

Napoli started the Italian league very well from the beginning and played very well at the end as they were always ahead of the other teams in points. Second-placed Lazio are still 16 points behind Napoli in Italian league Serie A. At least this year it is believed that no other team will be able to overtake Napoli.  Because I have long believed that it is impossible for any other team to win the league past such a huge point gap.
This season Napoli has been blessed because other teams in Serie A have not performed so consistently. In my opinion, it is because of conditions like that that it is easier for Napoli to dominate the top of the standings. But I still acknowledge Napoli's greatness in being able to win the Scudetto.

Overall Napoli's strength is not completely perfect, we can see how it has done in the Copa Italia and the Champions League, they are completely unable to compete. So for next season I'm not so sure Napoli will be able to defend the Scudetto because next season's Serie A will be more competitive.

Some seasons have special conditions and it becomes easier to win a championship. However, it should be added that Milan and Inter reached the semi-finals of the champions league this season. Roma and Juventus reached the semi-finals of the European Cup this season. I mean, I totally respect your opinion, but I don't think it's fair to say that everything is that easy for Napoli.

Congratulations to Napoli and the Napoli fans. They made the Italian Serie A beautiful for us. We will remember the duo of Osimhen and Kvaratskhelia for their good performances this season for years to come.
554  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Football Transfers Speculation, Odds and Predictions on: May 05, 2023, 03:53:51 PM
It looks like Newcastle are planning to sign Neymar this summer. This would really be a huge transfer for them after qualifying for the Champions League. Neymar is still one of the superstars in today's football in my opinion. Maybe he is injury-prone but his contribution to PSG so far in the season has been very impressive anyway.

Newcastle will have a bigger chance to sign this kind of players of course as long as they finish the season in the PL in top four. Neymar might be one of them who knows.

https://www.90min.com/posts/newcastle-owners-exploring-blockbuster-neymar-transfer-psg

Newcastle United will have the chance to play in the champions league next season. This will give them a high level of self-confidence in every sense. Therefore, it is not difficult to predict that they will enter the transfer season very active. Neymar transferred from Barcelona to PSG. If he transfers to the English Premier League now, it will be a new and ambitious challenge for his career. He achieved significant success in Spain and France. Proving himself in the English Premier League will increase the respect for him. Few players have traveled to the world's toughest leagues and achieved success in all of them.
555  Local / Ekonomi / Re: Martı, çalışanlarına 200 milyon TL değerinde hisse verdi on: May 04, 2023, 11:30:39 PM
NYSE'ye açılan her şirket ülkemiz adına gurur verici ama kişilere ait şirketlerin başarısı beni çok fazla ilgilendirmiyor. Ancak, kişisel başarısını çalışanları ile paylaşmış bir işveren ne olursa olsun övgüye değerdir benim için. Büyük şirket sahipleri kazandıkları paraları tek başlarına yiyemeyeceklerini anlamalı. Çocuklarına bıraktıkları miras kadar olmasa bile kazandıkları servetleri çalışanlarına bir miktar pay etmeyi akıllarına getirmeliler. Parayı kazanırken beraber olmak kadar parayı yerken de beraber olmayı akıllarına birazcık da olsa getirebilmeliler. Cheesy
556  Local / Alternatif Kripto-Paralar / Re: Shit coinlerdeki akıl almaz kazançlar on: May 04, 2023, 10:18:15 PM
Başkalarının ikna etmek için hazırlanmış bir tezgah olabilir. Sizin gibi tecrübeli bir kripto para yatırımcısı böyle efsanelere karşı daha tedbirli olmalı mandown.

Eskiden pampları özetleyen bir gif vardı. Süs havuzunun fıskiyesindeki suyun peşinde koşarken hiçbir şeyi elde edemeyip yere düşen bir çocuk gifi. Pump coinlerini görünce o gifi hatırlıyorum sürekli. Gif ve meme kültürü kripto para dünyasında anlaşılması zor bazı olayları kolayca anlatabilmenin en ideal yöntemi olarak kullanıldı ve bence çok etkili oldu. Cheesy
557  Local / Konu Dışı / Re: Buşido''Savaşçının Yolu on: May 04, 2023, 09:54:27 PM
Doğu felsefesinde ahlak ve erdem gibi kavramlar hep ön plana çıkmıştır. Bushido felsefesi de fazlasıyla bu gibi kavramları içinde barındırıyor. Doğuda felsefe özcü anlamdadır ve kavramları hayatın içinde davranışsal olarak kullanmayı daha çok amaçlamıştır tarih boyunca. Bu yüzden bushido'nun yanı sıra aikido ve judo gibi sporlarda da benzer felsefelere denk gelmek sürpriz olmuyor. Biri savaş sanatı diğeri spor dalı veya savunma sanatı ama sonuçta hepsinin aynı düşünce denklemi üzerine kurgulanmış olduklarını görüyoruz.
558  Local / Ekonomi / Re: Amerika'da bir banka daha battı. on: May 03, 2023, 11:26:49 PM
Binance ile işbirliği yapan bankalar sırasıyla batıyor. Totaliter rejimlerden çıkmış bir girişimci kripto paraların en iddialı ismi haline gelirken özgürlükçü dediğimiz Batı ülkeleri başka sebepler göstererek kripto paraların en iddialı isminin elini zayıflatıyor. Tabii ki Fed'in sıkı para politikaları ve bu durumda start-up'lara olan yatırımların azalması ve mevcut yatırımların finansman geri dönüşlerini gerçekleştirememesi önemli bir faktör ama bazı bankalar mevcut işleyişlerine devam ederken Binance ile çalışan bankaların çöküşü bana biraz manidar geliyor.

Başlangıçta kripto ekosistemiyle ilintili bankalar batıyordu ama şu an öyle değil. First Republic'in düştüğü durum bu tezi çürüttü. Hali hazırda ciddi değer kaybı yaşayan ve zorlanan diğer bankaların da kripto ile ilişkisi yok. Kripto ile bağlantılı bankaların daha önce batmasının sebeplerinden birisi görece riskli alanlarla iş yapmaya daha yatkın olmaları olabilir.

Binance ile çalışan bankalar teker teker saf dışı bırakıldıktan sonra Binance ile çalışma potansiyeline sahip olan birkaç banka daha iflasın eşiğine geldi. Bana soracak olursanız genel krizi fırsata çevirdiler ve Binance ile çalışan bankalar başta olmak üzere Binance ile çalışma potansiyeli veya yakınlığı olan bütün bankaları temizlediler.

Küçük yatırımcı olarak yıllardır içerisinde olduğum bu sektörde yüzlerce mide bulandıran olaya tanık oldum. Artık gördüğüm her olayı en kötü ihtimali ile değerlendirmeye şartlandırıldım. Bu olayda gördüğüm şey Binance ile çalışan bankalar iflas ederken Binance'ın kendisi ile çalışacak banka bulamaması oldu. Ben yeni bir anlaşma yapmadılar diye biliyorum hala.
559  Local / Konu Dışı / Re: Türkiye Süper Ligi Ana Konusu on: May 03, 2023, 10:57:44 PM
Beşiktaş Galatasaray maçını izledim. Galatasaray çok kötü oynadı. Bu futbolla devam ederlerse Şampiyonluğu kaptırabilirler.
Bu arada sanırım Muslera dolandırılmış ve çok ciddi para kaybetmiş bu yüzden odaklanma sorunu yaşıyormuş. Son maçlarda ki formsuzluğun nedeni olarak bu olayı gösteriyorlar.

Ben de Muslera'nın ve bazı eski Galatasaraylı futbolcuların dolandırıldığına dair haberleri medyada okudum ama Galatasaray'daki mental çöküş daha çok takımın genelindeki bir problem gibi gözüküyor. İki hafta önce Icardin'in penaltı kaçırması ve Nelson'ın yaptığı bariz hatalar Muslera'nın saha dışı kişisel problemleri ile açıklanacak türden hatalar değil. Bence Galatasaray son haftalarda rehavete kapıldı. Ateşli Galatasaray seyircisi önümüzdeki oynanacak olan Başakşehir maçında takıma gereken şekilde uyarı ve destek verecektir eminim. Ayrıca teknik direktör Okan Buruk ve Galatasaraylı idarecilerin duruma el atacağına da eminim. Son düzlüğe girilmişken kimse şampiyonluğu vermek istemeyecektir.
560  Local / Ekonomi / Re: Gelir Getirebilecek Bir Hobi on: May 03, 2023, 10:35:00 PM
YouTube en kolay mecra gibi gözüküyor ama kolay bir şekilde para kazanabileceğiniz türden kanallar çoktan milyon takipçili hesaplara dönüşmüştür bile. Bence YouTube'da genel izleyici kitlesini hedefleyen türden içerikler için kanal açmak ve para kazanmayı düşünmek zaman kaybı olur. Ancak, işiniz ve mesleğiniz ile ilgili bir butik kanal açarsanız ve tecrübelerinizi çaylak insanlara aktarırsanız kemik bir izleyici kitlesine erişebilirsiniz ve zamanla organik bir şekilde büyüme fırsatına sahip olabilirsiniz bence. Ben günlük alım satım için bin dolar ayırdım bir hesabımda. Hobi olarak günlük alım satım yapıyorum. Düzenli bir gelir oluşturmuyor ama hem riski yok denecek kadar az ve küçük gelirler elde ediyorum hem de hobi olarak beni tatmin ediyor.
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