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541  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 17, 2020, 05:47:16 PM
WTB TP@xxx

Anyone?

All big supermarkets here are overrun by idiots, though the small grocery stores in the villages are stocked up to the ceiling. I could choose between 7 different kinds of finest ass-wiping-material a few hours ago.
That said, if you can afford the shipping I can send you literally shitloads of TP.

I have to smile heartly when I imagine the FOMO moving from TPR to BTC in the very very near future. Moon could possibly be closer than it ever was.

guess selling TP could be the new schema to get rich quick.  Cool

Wanna buy?? How many sheets you want?  Grin

In the very near future only coiners will be able to afford a few sheets of toilet paper every month (TP whales will be trading full rolls on black market).

Nocoiners will have to wipe their butts with dirty, thin, single-layered, rough and cheaply made USD.
542  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 17, 2020, 02:27:59 PM
WTB TP@xxx

Anyone?

All big supermarkets here are overrun by idiots, though the small grocery stores in the villages are stocked up to the ceiling. I could choose between 7 different kinds of finest ass-wiping-material a few hours ago.
That said, if you can afford the shipping I can send you literally shitloads of TP.

I have to smile heartly when I imagine the FOMO moving from TPR to BTC in the very very near future. Moon could possibly be closer than it ever was.

543  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 13, 2020, 09:37:24 AM
Italy has a 3.5% mortality rate with one of the best health systems in the world.  It’s not the fucking flu.
Dude. 15113 infected, 1016 deaths, 1258 recovered. That's either 45% or 27% depending how you prefer to calculate it. Yeah, not the fucking flu.
I agree with HM that its not a common thing atm, I think it will be a common thing in the future and people will be waaaaaay more relaxed when a vaccin is out for easy buying
Viruses mutate. An effective vaccine is highly unlikely.

If the idea is there already that there is a vaccin is already enough, alright later on the virus will mutate, but now when it’s contained they will keep working for new vaccines and not like when SARS was contained to stop working on it...

Problem is that the powerful players ('big pharma') are not the slightest interested in developing a vaccine due to lacking financial incentives. Why bother developing a vaccine to be sold for a few bucks the shot when you can sell cancer therapies that cost mio's each shot. All the successful big players sold their vaccine research years ago as no good profit is expected there.

Also by the time they would come up with a vaccine, the flu could be gone already (at least in public perception) and the money spent for nothing as once the fear and panic wears off nobody will buy that vaccine. Other diseases are more certain to stay and give good profits (i.e. cancer, alzheimer etc.).

We should all engage in a nice group hug and then get fucking drunk to just sit it out. Time is working for us hodlers but against almost everything else I believe (or maybe just hope).

As always, prepare for the worst, hope for the best, enjoy the ride.
544  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 11, 2020, 09:03:49 PM
Switzerland has (as of posting this) 645 cases reported / 613 confirmed, 3 death so far (all already in critical condition before infection). These numbers will change once the ICU capacity is used up but it's still looking like a slightly more contagious but slightly less dangerous flu.
Hold up. The flu has a 0.1 lethality. How is that higher than 0.5?

I clearly said "cases reported".

I'd say a majority of people tested have strong symptoms at least or are already critical when they are tested. The very vast amount of cases are untested (hence not reported) - unlike with the seasonal flu where you need to see a doctor for a medical certificate when you don't go to work, therefor most of the cases get reported.

So, say for everyone tested, there are dozens of untested cases (and recovering silently, some even without noticing they had a flu). None of them dies, a lot of them have Corona and recover just unnoticed from any statistics. At 5 untested and recovered per one tested you get already completely different numbers and I am sure the ratio is even higher.


545  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 11, 2020, 02:00:56 PM
<snip>

- Slovenia, Switzerland closing borders with Italy.

<snip>


TFTFY, the federal council publicly rejected any rumours that it's closing borders to Italy. There are health checks in place now, and people that do not work in Switzerland get recommended to return to Italy by customs, but there is no legal base currently for rejecting entering Switzerland. Who wants to cross the border can cross the border.

Also this most probably will not happen, as the healthcare in southern Switzerland (Ticino) is basically run by Italian cross-border commuters ('frontalieri').
Same is valid for northern Switzerland, there it are the German and French cross-border commuters keeping healthcare running.

Switzerland has (as of posting this) 645 cases reported / 613 confirmed, 3 death so far (all already in critical condition before infection). These numbers will change once the ICU capacity is used up but it's still looking like a slightly more contagious but slightly less dangerous flu.

2019 ~210'000 patients in Switzerland saw their doctors due to a seasonal flu infection. ~1500 died 2019 in Switzerland from the seasonal flu.
And mind you there is even a vaccine for the flu, so this might be much higher without the availability of a vaccine.

I hate to disappoint the millenials but unfortunately this surely won't get them rid of the boomers.
546  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 09, 2020, 11:54:45 AM
Get paid to have coronavirus: Scientists will pay volunteers £3,500 to be infected in experiments to develop a vaccine.

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8090761/amp/Get-PAID-coronavirus-Scientists-London-pay-volunteers-3-500-develop-vaccine.html?__twitter_impression=true

Once they raise it to 2BTC at least, I might become interested infected.
547  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [ANN]AIB-Advanced Internet Blockchains || https://www.aib.one on: March 06, 2020, 09:36:16 AM
Hi,

Can anyone help please.
I'm using wallet aib-5.13.3.15 on Ubuntu 16.04 and it just gets stuck at block 1912336
I have tried the 2 block chains and merged them as per the github, i have deleted everything and started from scratch, always stops at same block approx 43 weeks ago.

These are my connected peers
"addr": "144.91.108.90",
 "addr": "104.238.153.71",
"addr": "207.246.100.84:31415",
"addr": "157.161.128.59:31415",

./aib-cli getinfo
{
  "version": 5130314,
  "protocolversion": 70015,
  "walletversion": 130000,
  "balance": 0.00000000,
  "blocks": 1912336,
  "timeoffset": 0,
  "connections": 5,
  "proxy": "",
  "difficulty": 27439.60440065933,
  "testnet": false,
  "keypoololdest": 1583063051,
  "keypoolsize": 100,
  "paytxfee": 0.00000000,
  "relayfee": 0.00100000,
  "errors": ""

J

Got the very same wallet version as you. After a lot of fiddling I got it synched up to block # 2354097 but I am unable to send any coins to Stex (worked on Tradesatoshi).
Looking at the block explorer the block height seems to be # 2260554 so I assume we are on a fork since quite some time.

Otherwise the diff shown in the block explorer is 0.015.. which is strange for a Scrypt AUXPOW coin.
548  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 04, 2020, 11:48:41 AM
Zoom out and look at the big picture: 3600 were on board, 6 of them died.


A cruise ship is a true incubator/hotbed for any virus, just check the number of cruise ships quarantined for norovirus outbreaks every year.

Cruise ships are basically floating retirement homes (2/3 of passengers are >40).
549  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 03, 2020, 08:25:42 PM

naah, they all just fell down stairs or drowned in swimming pools or other 'natural causes'.

<snip>


In other news: people in countries with sub-optimal health care conditions are more likely to die from a flu.
Still waiting to see people here in outbreak territory fall over on the streets like seen in the authentic footage from China.
550  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 03, 2020, 03:27:22 PM
Never seen so much panic about most likely nothing too horrific



Hell, an average of ~102 Americans die every single day just in car accidents.

Exactly, and ~7 Americans die from falling down a stair every single day. 
About 2 a day drown in a swimming pool.
And lets not forget about all the fine Sackler products that kill ~118 people in the US each and every day. (1)

The wars kill too (especially having been there and returning home): 22 suicides of US army veterans in average per every day, roughly one per hour. (2)

If any of this is shocking to you, your personal risk assessment is terribly biased. For starters I highly recommend Dan Gardners "risk". (3)

(1) https://www.iii.org/node/32171
(2) https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_military_veteran_suicide
(3) https://www.amazon.com/Risk-Science-Politics-Fear-Gardner/dp/0753515539/


I would also like to point out, that every single person that dies from (or with) a Corona infection is counted. But only people with serious health problems get tested and therefor counted, plus a few that come under suspicion from contacts they had.
Nobody knows how many people just had and eventually self-cured Corona in the last weeks, it's not like it's much different to regular flu - except being very mild. Ask yourself if you are going to inform the authorities when you feel like having the flu but are not in critical condition? I'd sit it out at home and don't tell anybody as I don't want to be quarantined. All these are then non-lethal infections that are not counted toward the recoveries and therefor giving a way to high lethality ratio. That leads me to conclude that while Corona is more contagious than seasonal flu atm, it is not as dangerous.

Wrt to the economy and markets it's a different thing. Extreme fear is appropriate there (hell, panic is even fine). That's the typical bespoken weak and ill patient catching a little cold that can kill him. Corona being the little cold for economy.
551  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 02, 2020, 02:22:03 PM
Regarding the carnival that was canceled in Greece, well, not really.
What was eventually canceled, was the parade and the authorities support - after mayors were threatened with jail time if they disobeyed.

What happened was great masked/themed parties throughout the cities & clubs, probably even better than they would have been - exactly because of the lack of the parade(s).
The people were already there. Nobody gave a fuck.

Unlike northern Switzerland where a lot of people also didn't give a f*ck that all carnival activities were officially cancelled and actually forbidden, so police went and closed down all restaurants for a day to make sure partying folks really go home.
Funny enough the carnival 1km over the border in southern Germany was carried out as normal.

In Switzerland currently all sports events are completely forbidden and no games will take place (no hockey playoffs, football season interrupted and most probably the hockey world championship in May will also be affected if not cancelled).

Meanwhile medical emergency stations are overran by idiots with a running nose that want to be tested against THE flu. Canned food, milk, sugar, flour shelves are constantly restocked to fill demand as people are hoarding food.

And in other news, my Chinese contacts start to tell me that business is starting to resume around Shenzhen this week and they are ready to ship within the next days.

My popcorn is stocked up to a 4 week supply.
552  Bitcoin / Project Development / Re: Timestamping documents with the blockchain on: February 29, 2020, 12:50:35 PM
Since this is in Bitcoin I am somewhat hesitating to refer to FLO (Florincoin), but nonetheless it could be relevant depending on your requirements regarding security and space for notarizations.

FLO obviously doesn't offer the level of security that BTC has due to much lower hashrate, but it allows you to store up to 1024 bytes of flodata per tx directly and easily from the wallet.

HTH
553  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [ANN]AIB-Advanced Internet Blockchains || https://www.aib.one on: February 28, 2020, 06:43:24 PM
What is the current wallet version or github tag to use?

I am getting
Code:
  "warnings": "Warning: Unknown block versions being mined! It's possible unknown rules are in effect"

TIA
554  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 28, 2020, 04:06:48 PM
(Run your own DNS servers ffs)

Intriguing. I always pictured being a DNS server would require industrial grade infrastructure. Do you run a DNS server?

HEY! Maybe my Namecoin will be worth something someday. Smiley

One of my secondary DNS servers for >100 zones + backup resolver for ~80 nodes, doing 2 queries/s over 24h avg runs on an embedded 486-class embedded system with no complaints since years.

For home or SoHo, an old embedded system that can run Linux w/ at least 64MB RAM will do just fine.
555  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 28, 2020, 12:44:13 PM

[snippage ensues]
I still own a pair of (working) Compaq 'sewing machine' 8088-based PC clones. DOS on floppy, store to floppy. Woo-hoo!

I keep an 8 inch floppy disk at my desk, beside my 5 pound IBM Model M keyboard. Winderrs keys are for losers! The Model M is a daily driver, the 8 inch floppy is just a momento.

yeah i have an old IBM AT keyboard. old IBM keyboards were the standard (aside from its Selectric typewriter) and still kick ass. prolly weights more than some entire computer setups now.

The true BofH like clickety-clickety when "cleaning up" annoying users home directories can only be made with these. Loved them but my vivid temperament in younger years didn't let me use a keyboard for more than a few weeks...
556  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 27, 2020, 05:01:25 PM

Most linux distributions can be run on read-only filesystems (same as from cd) BUT the only true security hole is running them as root, because volumes can be remounted in rw mode on the fly. I'm using this strategy on my raspberryPi that is running the game console emulators for the kids. They don't do no shutdown, they just pull the plug/wallwart. Roms are stored on etx4 USB, mounted read-only. This one is just mounted in rw mode on the PC, to manage the roms and emulator binaries.

Just make sure you run linux as unprivileged user. Privilege escalation is a thing though, but unlikely on patched systems. However, when you're not connected to the net, i doubt there is a fair chance of catching a successful exploit via USB.

Again, your postulated security described above is utterly dependent upon the rando USB device implementing only a storage class endpoint.

Whatevs. Good luck with that.

I would care less if i am running as unpriv. user on a system that is not network connected. I didn't mention that i'd never use a host with actual user data on it. I thought that would be clear because i was replying to Dabs' "frozen sysimage" approach. I would definitely not use a guest VM but a dedicated box that i can reset via dd or similar disc imaging tools, i wasn't clear on that, as i just recognize while typing this.
And yes, it's part of the very basics: there is no 100% security, only 100% security against certain (and therefor known) attack vectors.

I’m gonna say this one last time. Your postulated recovery is weaksauce against anything other than a disk-resident vector.

dd ain’t gonna do nothing for you if malware-containing USB infects the BIOS.

Forget about badUSB/badBIOS as it has already been perfectly documented and evidenced... Maybe you are the right person to ask this, depending on how low level your work or knowledge goes... I have always thought another theoretical attack vector would be in the HD firmware from which it would be possible to on-the-fly replace a call to the boot sector adding some payload to it. I still think so but... have you ever seen any real practical example/exploit of that? Even as a PoC "lab test"?

Well, if you can program new drive FW, and you can get it programmed into the drive’s FW store, then yes - that would be trivial.

Indeed, I’ve shipped devices that provided canned boot sector data before - not as an exploit, but because the operating environment needed such in order to function. Of course, that was a ‘from the factory’ thing, not a field exploit.

However, drive FW development is non-trivial. Embedded computers without public data on memory maps, peripheral specs, etc. Nonstandard SoCs, built on various ISAs, dependent upon lots of in-house developed tools. Very difficult. Albeit doable in theory.

However^2, most (all?) contemporary drives will not load FW that does not have a valid crypto signature. I have never heard of any case of a successful exploit of a drive’s FW sig being cracked.

Though drive companies are just collections of people, and some people in the chain of custody for the root certs may not fully understand their responsibilities. I could see the possibility of a leak of keys happening some day by some vendor or another. At which point, such an exploit again becomes plausible.

Nice. Good to know it is something that hasn't been seen in the wild yet even though I guess, from your description, it is not something completely out of reach for a determined (and resourceful) enough attacker.

It also sounds as something that YOU (or someone you know) could probably do given enough time and motivation. And when I say YOU, I can perfectly mean some/many others. So the risk is real. I guess the real reason it hasn't happened yet is mainly because there are plenty of WAY more cost effective attack vectors. If it were the only one, it would be exploited for sure.


It's not like it hasn't been seen in the wild yet:

https://www.malwaretech.com/2015/04/hard-disk-firmware-hacking-part-1.html

https://www.wired.com/2015/02/nsa-firmware-hacking/

557  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 27, 2020, 01:31:20 PM
The fact of the matter is that it was the boomers who voted in socialism in practically the entire world. They deserve to die, and they need to die before we have even the possibility of building something better.

And I'm saying this as someone with old parents. Good parents at that, even. But a few worthwhile people, if they are, do not make up for an entire world run by old people who deliberately make things worse.

If Corona-chan kills most people over 60 and stops unlimited immigration, then it may in the long run turn out to be a good thing. Even better if the world turns on the chinese for releasing it.

Yeah, sorry for being around longer than expected but as vapourminer said, we're already slowly getting our coats.

I am sure once we boomers are all gone and generation Greta runs the show from a mobile phone App things will finally improve to the better.
558  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 26, 2020, 01:42:58 PM
Regarding the CoronaVirus outbreak in Italy.
Why Italy?
I have a guess.
According to a Bloomberg survey, Italy has the fourth most efficient Heath service in the world.
This Service is basically free, or prepaid via taxes if you want.
Cost control has been tightened, but still the vast burden of it is on the central state (trough local governments) who can then spend how much they want.
I think in Italy a little bit less than 9,000 people have been tested for corona virus.
Other countries haven’t disclosed this information but apparently we are in the ballpark of 7,000 for UK and less than 500 (five hundreds) for France.
So this explains why Italy had so many cases. Other countries have the same percentages with CoronaVirus, yet they don’t know, yet.


Maybe, but maybe it is just because the textile industry in the north or Italy relies heavily on illegal Chinese workers. Rumours are one of these brought a gift from his/her trip home for CNY back to Italy.
559  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Service Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: bye bye bitcointalk  :( on: February 24, 2020, 10:30:33 AM
TradeSatoshi exit scams.

Tells users on their twitter they are closing down and should withdraw all funds ASAP, but disables withdrawals for most (if not all) coins. Then, about 24 hours, their exchange goes down for "maintenance," leaving hundreds of customers pissed off.

Here's one of dozens of horror stories from twitter, a guy had over half a BTC on the exchange that he can't withdraw, as most withdrawal screens give this message:



Any customers able to withdraw their coins? If so, which ones?

Have surprisingly been able to w/d a small amount of DOGE.
Went almost instantly, though that was right when the news broke that they are going to close shop.
Havent' checked but I guess meanwhile you can't either buy DOGE for regular price or the DOGE wallet is in maintenance too.
560  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 23, 2020, 05:21:23 PM
Spend a few days on youtube before coming back.

Youtube? Lawl.
Unironically yes. The best source of reliable news is independent attention whoring people talking into a microphone nowadays.

TFTFY.
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