okay so 500 + 500 + 330 =




1330 mhs

you burn about
2kwatts

2 x 24 = 48 or 50 kwatts a day

at 20 cents = 10.00 usd
at 15 cent =    7.50 usd
at 10 cent =    5.00 usd
at   9 cent =    4.50 usd
at  8 cent =      4.00 usd
at  7 cent =      3.50 usd
at  6 cent =      3.00 usd

if you mine at viabtc 1330 mhs = 1.33 gh which is  1.33 x 0.01158 ltc = 0.0154 ltc a day

and 2000 x 0.0154 ltc = 30.8 doge

31 x .0773 = $2.40
.0154 x 65.77 = $1.01

so they earn $3.41 a day before power cost


so if you are at 8 cent power or higher you are losing money

I would advise you to mine solo 1 day a week and shut the gear off the other six days if your power cost is over 10 cents.

I would advise you to mine a steady pool 6 days in a row then mine solo for 1 day if your power cost is 8-10 cents

if your power is 7 cents or less I would mine the steady pool every day except for the 1st of the month mine solo on that day.

Well the problem is the printer was here all of 2022.

They were printing money for all Long Term Care insurance companies.
They were printing money for all social security benefits.
They were printing money for all I savings bond holders.
They were printing money for all TSP holding the G-Fund.


Do the math for the above and the money already dished out to the people above is remarkably close to 1.7 trillion dollars.

But the mass media did not talk much about the above.

Oh in 2023 all of the above are still on schedule for more more more.


1) Now as an I bond holder - nice
2) as an 401Tsp g fund holder - nice
3) as a social security beneficiary starting in 2023- nice
4) as the caretaker of the owner of a Long term care policy - nice
5) as the husband to a person that has a federal pension getting 8% raise - nice

as a BTC miner - not nice
as a BTC holder - not nice
as a guy trying to be like JJG Just DCA - neutral to nice.


All of the above illustrates why hedging is okay to do.


Only USA people can do the I-Bonds
So do some 1 a month for 100
and DCA at least 100 a month for your BTC

or just complain that the telegraphed moves by the fed suck even when they are easy to hedge.

Am I fortunate that I get a benefit from all 5 listed not really.

1)It means I live in the USA - lucky I guess not sure

2)It means my wife's 401 tsp never got big stock gains last 10 years.
3)It means I am older (66 in 30 days)
4)It means my bro-in-law is really sick (dementia)
5)It means my wife is getting older 67 in 3 months

As for 2-5 I rather be 35 years old and working hard as long as I was with my wife.


Oh to all of W.O

My test show 24.5 watts per th on low.

I will open this in January of 2023.


Edit:

Opened this a few hours ago.


I quoted this at 12/07/2023 10:20 pm set

You know the Greenland meltdown is getting quicker maybe it melts out in 20 years and raises sea levels 20 feet. That should be even to get some real push at fusion reactor power.

The key is zero debt and cheap power.

I have cheap power and zero debt..

Guess what I am making far less than 2021.

Our gpu's used to earn 9000 a month with me getting 25% this was 2250 a month
Our gpu's earn 700 a month with me getting 25% that is only  180 a month


Our LTC/Doge used to earn 11000 a month with my share 2200 a month
it now earns 4000 a month  with my share 800 a month


I won't reveal BTC numbers

but they are down.

If I had debt I would go broke. As it is my alt coins dropped from 4450 a month to 980 a month

Well my Friday dca hit.

11/04/2022
11/11/2022
11/18/2022
11/25/2022
12/02/2022
12/09/2022
12/16/2022
12/23/2022 8x btc


pretty much all good numbers

and 16x in supplement buys. means 24x btc since nov 4

farm added a lot over 200x btc in sha gear

and 20x in LTC/doge

likely this goes on till APRIL-JUNE

Russia vs Ukraine war could alter this
Alien invasion could change this
New pandemic could alter it.
Greenland Ice caps melting out in a super speed raising the seas 20 feet in 90 days would also change my predictions
Putin dying Russia leaving and admitting full guilt by pointing finger at Putin could alter it.

So many other outside macro events could alter use fed plan of hiking until the April- June time frame. the list gos on.

Pros and cons to isolating from rest of country last year we saw a shit ton of cons'   And the leadership should have been jailed for failing to cold proof the systems.

they were not jailed so it got cold lets see if they fixed their shit.

In every case it allows the powers to be to freeze out well over 60% of its people. SO it seems pretty well planned to me.

I would guess you can have 5 or more acres and two large propane tanks. This allows you a 2 year supply of fuel.

It allows means you have a nice explosion risk with that much propane.

Fireplaces can be helpful in an emergency. It is pretty easy to store a few cords of wood. Even if you only have a 1/2 acre of land you can store a lot of cut wood.

As a suggestion you should have the moderation option just in case a troll decides to attack the thread.



you need to lock this one. then open a new one do not post the thread.


click addition options first thing




this page with some choices will open
click  self moderated

Likely correct they will pivot say mid may but rates will rise again down the road.

Juggling interest rates in a way that  the multi trillion dollar long term care industry can survive means higher rates for a while.

by moving them up in late jan 50 bp and mid march 50bp then one last bump in very early may say 25 bp

LTC funds will get much more stable..

Pause rates in late june and august to assess the various finances of other companies .

of course the Ukraine 🇺🇦 vs Russia 🇷🇺 conflict could alter shit radically.

lots of variables  there.

IIRC He paid the guy the coin owed and was depressed did not want to do it again. We encouraged him to stay.

The operation of this pool is not offering to pay the top guy his 6 btc.


It is a bit different set of circumstances.

people want high fed rates for their bonds.

If you have $$$ and get a five year bond at 3.71% they are betting rates go up and they will stagger up.

Ie buy a five year today at 3.71
buy a 5 year in six weeks at 4.20
buy a 5 year in 12 weeks at 4.71
buy a 5 year in 18 weeks at 5.21

then hope for pivot.

you are loaded up for next 5 years with rates between 3.71 and 5.21

and the USD is the best dollar token there is.

This does not attract a guy without $$$

but if you have $$$ it looks like a good play.

I am still running 1 s17 hoping for a miracle , also driving to the farm to switch out the miner is a long trip.

I will likely go to the farm on tues after Christmas and switch it out then.

So much depends on the power company and if you can grid tie at fair offset rates.

Our largest field for mining does 280kwatts.

we burn 60 and offset 220. We do 5-6 hours a day yeah days last 19-15 hours in New Jersey but first 2 and last 2 hours are lower. So it comes to 5-6 hours depending on season.

So 5.5 year round. thus 5.5 x 230 = 1210 offset.

and 24-5.5 = 18.5 x 60 = 1110 pay back when it is "dark" So we gain 1265-1110 = 155  kwatts a day. this means  mining the gear is negative cost of 155 kwatts which is squared up on April of each year. The warehouse complex use other power so that 155 is spent.

this was an 800,000 build with a 27% tax credit from Feds first year. so 800,000x.73 = 584,000  after 1 year.

and state of NJ offers addition credits  of 10% so 584,000-80,000= 504,000 after first year.

you still get the 10% from NJ for 9 more years so 80,000 x 6 = 480,000 . thus in year 7  504,000- 480,000 = 24,000 on the loan.

This does not count the mining this does not count interest on the loan for the build. they are close to the same. unless there is a bull run.

So by year 7. the loan is done to 24,000 you still have 3 NJ credits coming for a grand total 240,000 over 3 years.

The gear is insured and warrantied.

But this is small scale commercial and it is good for NJ, USA as NJ has good programs for solar.

Yeah but he could be looking down on a woman in this image not a guy.

Well I am not the dullest tool in the shed or the sharpest.

As you can see there is a website devoted to clocking the possibilities of going bankrupt for long term care companies.

I never would have thought to apply it to clock fed rates.

I found it last year when my brother in law got sick.

I used it because I was checking on genworth to figure out if my brother-in-law would be able to keep collecting his long term care insurance.

As I kept checking it the bankruptcy dropped from 45% to 32% and the company became more solvent. In time with the fed rate increases.

Did my research an realized close to three trillion in value is held by long term care companies in usa.

In the last year the industry has recovered 15% in value.  about 450 billion in value gained.

I am sure others check that website to figure out the health of insurance companies like genworth.

The are smart and skilled at guessing the when companies become safer or safe from going bankrupt.

From what I can see these companies could use till June and keep loading up better bonds.

I lean to The June date not the April date for the fed to pivot.

So I believe rally could start in April-May time frame as a response to guessing pivot starts in June.

Lots of outside factors can make all of that wrong.
ie Ukraine 🇺🇦 vs Russia 🇷🇺 has a sudden turn.

Ukraine wins Putin dies Russia gives all of Ukraine back = monster rally.
Ukraine loses Putin becomes more powerful = big ass slump
Ukraine and Russia drags on for a few more years sideways sideways sideways.

my pool issue may have been an optimum provider internet issue.

it is working now. i am pointing two miners to the newer pool and one to the old one.

as for 252 vs 249 firmware I have two on 2.49 and one on 2.52 seem close to the same.

As I have said in multiple posts the fed has found a way to bail out all the USA long term care polices.

How simple raise rates.

If you realize just how much the long term care companies were in the hook back in Jan 2022

and how much they recovered in one year it is pretty obvious that they will continue to boost bond yields which are pretty much the only thing long time care policies invest in.

my brother in law has dementia. he has a policy with genworth a major long term care policy company.

they were rated to have a 45% shot of going bankrupt december 2021
they are now rate to have a 32% shot of going bankrupt december 2022.


https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5430871.msg61478856#msg61478856


read this post and you can see how poorly genworth did with low bond interest the 2019 to 2021 time frame

read how they did 2021 to 2022 with high bond rates.

hint they went from 99 billion to 114 billion

there are 14 companies like them.

all were next to dead december 2021.

all are coming back due to the feds actions in 2022.

I see at least two more hikes to continue to help the ltc industry.

maybe four hikes.

If you check the top long term care company ratings and compare dec 2021 to 2022 you can see this was a huge bailout for them.

btw.  these rates are a huge bailout for federal workers starting jan 2023 and social security payouts.

they will likely not stop.

keep checking on genworth at this website

https://www.macroaxis.com/invest/ratio/GNW/Probability-Of-Bankruptcy

I suspect that rates will rise and improve their bottomline for as much as June 2023 .

Keep in mind there are about 14 companies that are like genworth and everyone of them is getting this “help”

so maybe april but likely june  we flip.

If we reach over 20 k this year it will be a christmas 🎄 miracle