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Question: What happens first:
New ATH - 43 (69.4%)
<$60,000 - 19 (30.6%)
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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26371434 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 3 users with 9 merit deleted.)
_morghulis
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Bisq Market Day - March 20th 2023


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December 22, 2022, 11:51:08 PM

Just For Fun  Cheesy only Legend  can understand  Grin Grin



Oh I see you met.  PENIS

I'm no legend but I got it correctly.  Grin
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December 22, 2022, 11:57:15 PM
Merited by Gachapin (1)

Just For Fun  Cheesy only Legend   can understand  Grin Grin



Oh I see you met.  PENIS

I'm no legend but I got it correctly.  Grin

correct, but it's like a middle school level humor, sorry.
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December 23, 2022, 12:01:21 AM


Explanation
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December 23, 2022, 12:15:18 AM
Last edit: December 23, 2022, 04:52:29 AM by Biodom
Merited by JayJuanGee (1), newbtc101 (1)

If someone wants to listen to a macro story:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EI_M4o2mrs8

F. Zulauf is amazing, I wish i listened more to him at the end of last year.
He used to be Barron's round table member for decades.
However, they did not discuss bitcoin, just stonks and bonds.

From their discussion: Fed will probably pivot in Q2 and it will be risk-on in the second half of 2023, but before that-recession and earnings decline.
I figure, end of Q1-early Q2 might be a perfect time to buy pretty much everything, including bitcoin.
However, they predict that this would be just a cyclical rally with more interest rates jump in 2024 into 2025.
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December 23, 2022, 01:01:17 AM


Explanation
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Cлaвa Укpaїнi!


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December 23, 2022, 01:11:22 AM

@OP (Santa poster) and WO gays...sorry, I have no idea what "muscled" Santa manifested, lol.
Perhaps, I can guess, though.

Ho-ho-homo! I don't think many WOers are actually gay (apart from Bawb obviously). It's just a good old tradition which is believed to help Bitcoin rise!



It's neither good nor old, it's a kidnapping of the cat christmas card tradition, and as you can see, it makes bitcoin go down.
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December 23, 2022, 01:23:00 AM
Last edit: December 23, 2022, 01:58:18 AM by Gachapin

@OP (Santa poster) and WO gays...sorry, I have no idea what "muscled" Santa manifested, lol.
Perhaps, I can guess, though.

Ho-ho-homo! I don't think many WOers are actually gay (apart from Bawb obviously). It's just a good old tradition which is believed to help Bitcoin rise!



It's neither good nor old, it's a kidnapping of the cat christmas card tradition, and as you can see, it makes bitcoin go down.


WO gay Christmas card quantity becomes uncorrelated (or even inverse) to BTC price?

What should we post instead?  Any suggestions?





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December 23, 2022, 01:30:13 AM
Merited by JayJuanGee (1)

If someone wants to listen to macro story:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EI_M4o2mrs8

F. Zulauf is amazing, I wish i listened more to him at the end of last year.
He used to be Barron's round table member for decades.
However, they did not discuss bitcoin, just stonks and bonds.

From their discussion: Fed will probably pivot in Q2 and it will be risk-on in the second half of 2023, but before that-recession and earnings decline.
I figure, end of Q1-early Q2 might be a perfect time to buy pretty much everything, including bitcoin.
However, they predict that this would be just a cyclical rally with more interest rates jump in 2024 into 2025.


If 2023 repeats 2019 then Q1 - Q2 promises btc going up. If F Zulauf is right and the Feds will pivot in Q2, shouldn't the market react 2-3 months before that due to "insider" info, so we will see btc go up sometimes in February?

You lost me ... Why then the end of Q1 would be a perfect time to buy rather than now?

Also isn't Q2 2023 will be the point when Mt Gox will (likely?) release that big chunk of btc...

Surely 2023 will be interesting for btc 
Arriemoller
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December 23, 2022, 01:35:33 AM

@OP (Santa poster) and WO gays...sorry, I have no idea what "muscled" Santa manifested, lol.
Perhaps, I can guess, though.

Ho-ho-homo! I don't think many WOers are actually gay (apart from Bawb obviously). It's just a good old tradition which is believed to help Bitcoin rise!



It's neither good nor old, it's a kidnapping of the cat christmas card tradition, and as you can see, it makes bitcoin go down.


WO gay Christmas card quantity becomes uncorrelated (or even inverse) to BTC price?

What should be post instead?  Any suggestions?







Kittens, thats how it started.

Arriemoller
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December 23, 2022, 01:38:32 AM

philipma1957
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December 23, 2022, 02:00:59 AM

If someone wants to listen to macro story:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EI_M4o2mrs8

F. Zulauf is amazing, I wish i listened more to him at the end of last year.
He used to be Barron's round table member for decades.
However, they did not discuss bitcoin, just stonks and bonds.

From their discussion: Fed will probably pivot in Q2 and it will be risk-on in the second half of 2023, but before that-recession and earnings decline.
I figure, end of Q1-early Q2 might be a perfect time to buy pretty much everything, including bitcoin.
However, they predict that this would be just a cyclical rally with more interest rates jump in 2024 into 2025.


Likely correct they will pivot say mid may but rates will rise again down the road.

Juggling interest rates in a way that  the multi trillion dollar long term care industry can survive means higher rates for a while.

by moving them up in late jan 50 bp and mid march 50bp then one last bump in very early may say 25 bp

LTC funds will get much more stable..

Pause rates in late june and august to assess the various finances of other companies .

of course the Ukraine 🇺🇦 vs Russia 🇷🇺 conflict could alter shit radically.

lots of variables  there.
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December 23, 2022, 02:01:17 AM


Explanation
JayJuanGee
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Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"


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December 23, 2022, 02:56:49 AM

He is way smarter than I will ever be

That's true.  But you are not really saying much.

Government passes a hugely inflationary spending bill and we're heading down? Logic.
people want high fed rates for their bonds.

If you have $$$ and get a five year bond at 3.71% they are betting rates go up and they will stagger up.

Ie buy a five year today at 3.71
buy a 5 year in six weeks at 4.20
buy a 5 year in 12 weeks at 4.71
buy a 5 year in 18 weeks at 5.21

then hope for pivot.

you are loaded up for next 5 years with rates between 3.71 and 5.21

and the USD is the best dollar token there is.

This does not attract a guy without $$$

but if you have $$$ it looks like a good play.


Buying govt bonds is not as great of a play as you are making it out to be.. especially if you were to understand bitcoin... In other words, just don't over do it with those govt bonds... sure if you are 65 years old, you can play around with that nonsense a bit more because your likely timeline is shorter.. but if you have a 4-10 year plus timeline, be careful NOT to overallocate in that kind of stuff.. maybe no more than 20% of your starting out investment portfolio at the most, and careful about being too whimpy on bitcoin too... bitcoin should be 1% to 25% for those starting out in investing, and of course, tailoring to your personal circumstances is important.. on the lower end of the range if you are a scaredy cat in regards to bitcoin, and up to 25% if you are more bullish on it.. and then go from there.. let's see how it goes... try to do your own thinking too (not talking about you specifically Philip.. but just generally, because we're on a public thread).


[edited out]
If 2023 repeats 2019 then Q1 - Q2 promises btc going up. If F Zulauf is right and the Feds will pivot in Q2, shouldn't the market react 2-3 months before that due to "insider" info, so we will see btc go up sometimes in February?

You lost me ... Why then the end of Q1 would be a perfect time to buy rather than now?

Because Biodom is "whimpy" don't you not know nuttin?

Also isn't Q2 2023 will be the point when Mt Gox will (likely?) release that big chunk of btc...

Surely 2023 will be interesting for btc  

Yep.. will be interesting.

Is the bottom in or not?  We might not know if the bottom is in until end of 1st quarter or even well into the 2nd quarter of 2023..

I would be worried about concluding the bottom is in while BTC prices are still under the 200-week moving average (which is currently $24k).. and I may well require more than that on a personal level.. even though just getting back to the 200-week moving average or getting above it might cause bullish sentiments.
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December 23, 2022, 03:01:20 AM


Explanation
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December 23, 2022, 03:50:11 AM

Think outside the box. #BTC   


TheBTCTherapist
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December 23, 2022, 03:56:35 AM
Merited by El duderino_ (5)

Think outside the box. #BTC   


TheBTCTherapist

hey... are you still proclaiming 20k+ on Christmas ??

wanna bet some BTC?  Grin


Double Click Mistake

do you know that you can delete posts ?

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December 23, 2022, 04:01:17 AM


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December 23, 2022, 04:03:23 AM

Think outside the box. #BTC   


TheBTCTherapist

hey... are you still proclaiming 20k+ on Christmas ??

wanna bet some BTC?  Grin


Double Click Mistake

do you know that you can delete posts ?



Bro every year on the occasion of Christmas day, the price of bitcoins increases a little bit.  But I still think that the Christmas Day Bitcoin price is still optimistic.  Because Bitcoin price has been on a downward trend for almost a year and on average (-65%) the price has only fallen.  I hope to grow a lot.
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December 23, 2022, 04:31:21 AM
Merited by nutildah (4)

Hello Wall Observers, glad to be here. Cool


I would have something interesting to say about your disappearance and reappearance if it were not for the fact that I can surmise, beyond a shadow of a doubt, that you have imitated me and stolen my idea.  Even though you have done a poor job of it.  It is but a shadow in comparison to the sun itself (I am the sun, and you are the shadow, in case you were not able to understand that metaphor (considering the amount of neanderthal DNA I am sure you harbor.).).

But, I digress, and shall elucidate now instead: I left this forum permanently with a promise never to return.  Indeed, more times than someone with your inferior intellect could even begin to approach.

I do not know why you have even chosen to challenge someone as obviously superior to you as I am.  Superior to everyone, yes... but you?  You are a but the dandruff of an ant.  And your continuing to be here is a net-negative multiplied by an irrational number.

It is obvious to anyone here that you are ashamed of mishandling your bitcoin stack.  You make fun of those who obviously did not make your mistake, and deride them mercilessly.  You are like someone who enters a big-dick contest with a dildo in his pants.  And yes, my dick is as much bigger than yours as you brain is smaller than mine.

But enough about you, you ridiculous ant-flake.

I am here, instead, to speak of my latest postulation.  My unifying theory, if you will.  One that even explains why my predictions concerning the future of bitcoin, although technically correct of course, did not come to pass.

It is so obvious to those as gifted as I am, and perhaps only us... And by us I am sure the total number is somewhat less than ... well I will express it here with code, I am sure most of you cannot understand:

Code:
Input :  N = 7, D = 3
Output : 3/3+ 3 + 3
Explanation : 3/3 = 1, and 1+3+3 = 7
This is the minimum expression.

Input :  N = 7, D = 4
Output : (4+4+4)/4 + 4
Explanation : (4+4+4) = 12, and 12/4 = 3 and 3+4 = 7
Also this is the minimum expression. Although
you may find another expression but that
expression can have only five 4's

Input :  N = 200, D = 9
Output : Expression not found!
Explanation : Not possible within 10 digits.

I know... none of you are able to understand, I said above.  That said, I am surprised I was not able to see it earlier!  I am sure I was distracted by some delightful Phillipino beauty (something else Cryptofaker could never know anything about).

And here is my magnificent thesis summed up in the fewest possible words (something neither cryptodildo NOR JayJuanGee seem capable of!):

Martin Armstrong, is... actually... Brian Armstrong's FATHER!!!!

Allow me to, as the first aspect of proof, present you with this image:

https://i.imgur.com/KzLwYcW.png

Notice, if you will.  They are both bald as fuck. And they are also both SMUG as fuck.

Allow me to compare the following search engine results:

Martin Armstrong "most famous  quotes":
https://www.poetrysoup.com/quotes/martin_armstrong
https://i.imgur.com/i4IPXIN.png

Brian Armstrong "most famous quotes
https://www.poetrysoup.com/quotes/brian_armstrong
https://i.imgur.com/GhWbJ10.png

See!  Elucidation!

They are exactly the same.

And Cryotosmalldick (or whatever Greek philosopher he has recently googled) is ...

Well... is NOTHING.

Not even as much as this parody account.
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December 23, 2022, 04:38:41 AM

Think outside the box. #BTC   


TheBTCTherapist

hey... are you still proclaiming 20k+ on Christmas ??

wanna bet some BTC?  Grin


Bro every year on the occasion of Christmas day, the price of bitcoins increases a little bit.  But I still think that the Christmas Day Bitcoin price is still optimistic.  Because Bitcoin price has been on a downward trend for almost a year and on average (-65%) the price has only fallen.  I hope to grow a lot.

...bro this bro that... blabla

are you the kind of guy who is talking out of his ass, making bold predictions, and when held accountable chickens out?

... on this Christmas Day the price of Bitcoin will exceed 20k dollars.

I guess so..

 Roll Eyes




Gachapin is looking for overly bullish users to make a bet.  Gachapin is bearish  --> bottom must be near
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