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I am interested in your opinion about Crystal Palace vs. Leicester; what is a safer bet, Leicester to win or Over 2.5 goals? I expect a result 1-2 but maybe Palace could surprise. Remember, they scored 2 against Arsenal.
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Usually I use the concept of value when betting. I look at the odds and decide if the odds provide enough return compared to probability of event. So if odds are to low, I don't place a bet even if the event/outcome is likely. On the other hand, if I see value in a bet (odds higher than I expected) I stake small amount even if I think probability of winning is less than 50%.
I noticed that people usually bet on favourites even if bookmakers set the odds very low so yes, sometimes I do bet against majority.
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Guys i have almost a year playing a Dice gambling site.
I have different account in every gambling site just to try my luck.
I set it into 60% chances of winning per betting the dice and the target multiplier is 2.
but now focus to gamble at bustadice, and what's your's?
Sharing your strategy is highly appreciated!
I mostly bet on sports and politics but when it comes to dice game which i play at times, i use the martingale strategy. Initially i used to set for automatic role but then moved to manual with 60%, 70 % and 90% rates. I would suggest you to try other kinds of gambling as in dice games , it is purely based on luck and there is no such strategy involved. Please explain your modified martingale system. Of course I know what martingale is but I don't understand how much you increase stake when you lose a bet. The whole purpose of the system is that you recover all previous losses, so why do you suggest changing 100% raise? |
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My tips for the weekend: Tip 20 Bravo - Maribor Maribor @1.61 Stake 6/10 Tip 21 Tabor Sezana - Rudar Tabor Sezana @1.72 Stake 7/10 Tip 22 Mura - Olimpija Both teams to score @1.74 Stake 5/10 (odds are from FortuneJack, because bet365 doesn't offer this bet yet) Tip 23 Aluminij - Domzale Both teams to score @1.77 Stake 6/10 (same, FortuneJack) |
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I have bad experience with Paxful although it was mostly my fault so I don't want to blame Paxful. I'm just saying there are many scammers there, so if the offer looks too good to be true, it most probably is.
I sold BTC to someone (he has a ton of negative feedback now, so no need to mention the name) who offered PayPal payment in EUR at 1.5 times the real price. He sent payments from random PayPal accounts (yes, plural). My mistake is that I didn't demand that he sends photo of his ID card and I didn't request that he sends payment from his personal PayPal account. After 5 days I started to receive emails from PayPal that transactions are reversed (chargeback), I provided detailed explanation and screenshots but PayPal didn't even try to investigate the case, they simply ruled in buyer's favour and returned the money. I even went to the police station but they told me they can't do anything because all parties involved (Paxdul, PayPal, buyer) are foreign so they can't demand personal information or anything unless I sue them. It wasn't a small amount but lawyer would likely cost me even more and there is a chance that the case would never get resolved, in case they used fake identities for example.
TL;DR
On Paxful trade only with very trusted users (50 positive feedbacks is not enough to trust the user, he could farm that feedback quickly) AND demand that he send you a photo of his ID card AND tell him that you will accept only payment from his personal PayPal account. One option, probably the safest, is that you tell the buyer you will only accept PayPal payment if it will be sent as "Family and Friends payment", because there is no chargeback option with this payment method. Make these things clear before starting a trade.
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User ID: 0024615
Match: Hoffenheim vs Paderborn
Prediction: 2-0
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Will AC Milan win tonight?
Their bad statistic is not giving big chances, but talking about "big numbers" they have to win one, is the odd @1.50 enough to risk today?
I think betting on goals will be the best bet in this game, because AC Milan are not reliable, their last home win was in August against Brescia, ever since then they lost 2 and drew 1 at home, if possible they win, they might concede a goal also, Italian league is getting more interesting, the smaller clubs are now showing up a good performance, we could see what happened to Juventus against Genoa, won't be surprise if such happens tonight I myself will predict how many goals will occur in this match, I am sure both teams will score each goal against his opponent, Prediction Milan will enter 3 goals and SPAL 2 goals so my total prediction is 3-2 and I will bet with score so. Not a chance. AC Milan is struggling to score goals unless they get a penalty. They rarely score more than two goals. On the other hand Spal is simply never scoring when they play away. Under 3 goals is my prediction. |
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Any website that allowing bet with BTC ? always used website did not provide Boxing betting.  It is available in all the sportsbook that i am wagging including sportsbet.io if anyone looking for fiat based you can find that in bet365. Paul Logan is the favorite and the odds are decent. KSI odds 2.41 and Paul Logan 1.50 in sportsbet. I wouldn't suggest betting on Paul at such odds. I think the fight will be very equalised and if KSI holds up till the last, 6th round, he could knockout Paul. Remember, Paul was very exhausted in the last round and lack of headgear means a knockout is more likely. |
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Bitcoin Cash halving will happen in 160 days from now (April 8, 2020) which is more than a month before Bitcoin halving takes place. This could be problematic from a network security point of view. BCH mining will become much less profitable compared to BTC mining because in that period of time between both halvings, BCH block reward will be half of current amount while BTC block reward will stay the same. That is why more and more people are warning about possible network vulnerability after BCH halving, for example Dan Hedl, Director of Business Development of Kraken exchange. [ source] What do you think, will BCH price increase till April 2020 and convince miners to keep mining BCH despite halving, or there is realistic threat of 51% attack? |
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User ID: 0024615
Match: Union Santa Fe vs Independiente
Prediction: 1-0
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User ID: 0024615
Match: Betis vs Celta Vigo
Prediction: 1-0
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Since there is no thread for English League Cup, I will post my thoughts here.
Manchester City - Southampton, kick off in 40 minutes
After catastrophic defeat, Southampton's players are not looking forward to today's cup game which could end in a similar way. City will rest some first team player but they should win with 4 goals anyway. My pick is
Asian Handicap Man City -2.5 odds 2.15 @bet365
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MU fans probably are dreaming about winning Europa league and reaching Champions league through, same like Mourinho did few years ago, cuz there is no chances to finnish in TOP 4 in EPL. But c'mon, they are struggling against teams like Partizan and Astana. If they continue to play like now, they will be eliminated by first more solid team in playoff round.
I agree with you. I don't think ManUTD have enough quality this season to win Europa League, and we can expect new coach soon. Manchester United have been in a major crisis for a very long time. When Mourinho won second place with them it was a failure and now they can't even get into the Champions League. Mourinho even stated that winning second place with Manchester United was one of his greatest career successes and was ridiculed for making this statement. They are getting worse every year and it seems that their decline has no end. Winning the Europa League? Don't be ridiculous!? United will walk through the group stage relatively easily. First place is not questionable I think. So they will get easy opponent in the Round of 32. After that, they only need to beat 3 more teams (Round of 16, Quarterfinal, Semifinal) to reach the Final. I think they can manage that, especially if they get some quality signings in January. Odds for United to win Europa League are 7.00. I think it's worth playing a bet on them at such odds. |
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I don't understand how you related hash rates to the current price for BTC. I'm pretty sure that like every other coin out there, BTC price is determined by simple supply and demand though. Even if we do think of Rational Price as something different from normal price, determining it based on Hash rates seems to be wrong. The recent news and events affect supply and demand so if we kind of force it, we can say that it indirectly affects the price and thats quite a legitimate explanation.
Besides, Miners are just like us, speculating on BTC price. I doubt they could set the price of BTC depending on hash rates involved even if they wanted to.
Miners cannot have any affect in the bitcoin price as its as simple as they lend their electricity, Internet and mining device for a small commission and they cannot do much when it comes to pricing and infact users are losing interest in mining as it gives too little profit and I have stopped it as well if more users does then the transaction speed will be reduced that's all. As far as price is concerned it's purely demand and supply and people should get this straight into their head. Not true. Miners do have impact on Bitcoin price. How would you explain why block halving affects the price so much. Simply it's because miners begin to receive smaller block rewards and they are not willing to sell those bitcoins at the same price anymore. So they don't put their bitcoins on the market until the price rises enough so that mining is profitable again. |
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Looking at that weekly chart from exstasie, I noticed there's a chance for upward "3 bar play" pattern. Last week was wide range igniting bar, current week should trade between roughly $8800 and $9600 and next week we can expect breakthrough towards 12000 or higher if price breaks the resistance at 9700.
I am not very experienced in TA so can someone confirm if this scenario would be considered as 3 bar play.
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User ID: 0024615
Match: Brescia vs Inter
Prediction: 1-2
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One way or another, everything's going well for City. Many teams are struggling, including Real Madrid. Therefore I think the City looks great. I think City fans should enjoy today, contrary to what you say. The next stage will be challenging opponents and tighter challenges.
Facing easy teams in the first stage is not something good generally.. In the next round, many games are already fixed and coaches can test their substitutes... Would you prefer being in easy Champions League group or having difficult opponents? I don't understand how facing easy teams is NOT good. You can rest your key players and secure promotion to knockout phase soon. Manchester City had luck with a draw this year. In contrast, Barca has difficult group and both Borussia Dortmund and Inter are serious contenders for 1st place in the group. So Barca will need to play with their best team, risking injuries and so on. The only reason why being in difficult group could be beneficial is money from ticket sales. Man City didn't sell out their matches against average teams like Dinamo Zagreb or Atalanta, while Barcelona sold 86000+ tickets against Inter and it will be similar against Dortmund. |
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I see that one Hero member is disqualified so there is one open spot, am I correct? I would like to take that spot even though I am a Legendary. If a Legendary spot becomes available, please move me there. Bitcointalk username:： Swordsoffreedom
Amount of earned merit in the last 120 days: 6
Number of Start posts: 3627
VIPGAME username: C8jmpGEuwq0p
The BTC deposit address in VIPGAME wallet: 35gMTaNTcsf49sLT6d7UA7tAkm1a6xMUoJ
Telegram username: @swords1 |
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Tip 19
Domzale - Bravo, today 19:00 local time
Domzale @1.72 Stake 7/10
2:0, won, +5.04 Balance +11.52 |
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User ID: 0024615
Match: Flamengo vs CSA
Prediction: 3-0
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