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5921  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Do people running full nodes gain anything? on: January 21, 2015, 09:07:55 PM
I see a lot of people are eager to get their nodes up and running are they earning from this or are they trying to secure the network more?

I don't think you gain anything from running a full node but it does make the network transactions more secure.

Full nodes are a little more secure and private because they access the blockchain directly.
5922  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Fully synced but BTC is not showing up. Lost? on: January 21, 2015, 09:06:31 PM
First, check the address that you sent to and make sure the bitcoins are there. You can use blockchain.info or blockr.io. Then, check the address in the wallet to make sure the wallet owns that address. Use dumpprivkey <address>.
5923  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Can't understand the next block halving and it's impact on the price. on: January 21, 2015, 05:12:46 PM
Well if the block reward is getting halved from 25 BTC to 12.5 BTC, it literally means there's less more Bitcoins in circulation.

FTFY. Bitcoins are not consumed. The number of bitcoins in circulation will continue to grow despite the subsidy being halved.



It will take many block halvings before Bitcoins actually become scarce though. Even with 12.5 Bitcoins created on average every 10 minutes, it's still very inflationary.

"Scarce", in the economic sense, means "limited". Bitcoin is "scarce" because there will never be more than 21 million. It is true that if demand is very high then bitcoins could be hard to obtain because of their limited nature, but bitcoins are "scarce" even if the demand is very low and they are not hard to obtain.

During the time when the subsidy is 12.5 BTC, the rate of increase in the money supply will be about 4% per year.
5924  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: GAW Miners, Josh Garza, Paybase, Paycoin - SEC investigation on: January 20, 2015, 09:20:53 PM
Quote from: coinfire.cf
... a statement from Mr. Garza in August of 2014. Mr. Garza stated that a percentage of the profits for ZenPool came from “day trading.” The fact that he stated it was from day trading created a situation in which, according to various securities laws, makes it a security.

So the ZenPool is not a mining pool? It's a "day trading" fund!

I have never understood their Paycoin. Why deviate from what they were doing well before (mining) and introduce this Paycoin thing and created a media crisis and now investigations by the SEC.

I would like to see that comment at its source. If it is real, then I have no doubt GAW that is running a ponzi scheme. Pirate also claimed his Ponzi scheme derived its profit from day-trading. When they start obscuring the sources of their profits, then you can be sure that it is a scam.
5925  Economy / Economics / Re: Why do most people think that the price will rise because of the block halving? on: January 20, 2015, 08:42:14 AM
When the demand exceeds the supply, the price rises. If the supply of new coins is cut, then the supply will rise more slowly, making it easier for the demand to exceed the supply (assuming that the demand is rising). Because the supply of new coins is such a small part of the total supply, the effect of the halving is not very significant.
5926  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: Which Exchange to Check the Price? on: January 20, 2015, 08:26:25 AM
The one that makes the most sense is the exchange that you use to buy and sell bitcoins.
5927  Economy / Economics / Re: Serious flaws in Bitcoin monetary policy on: January 20, 2015, 08:03:03 AM
The main problem that you state is already a moot point imo. How in hell Bitcoin isn't elastic? You could live off a single Bitcoin giving its so damn divisible. I dont see the practical problem in the 21 million cap. It's like complaining about gold being limited in earth. A limitation is needed, otherwise you always end up with the current fiat problem.

"Elastic" means that the price doesn't change much as the supply or demand changes. One ideal for a currency is for the value to remain constant (a.k.a. stable). A non-elastic currency has a difficult time doing that because the supply cannot be easily adjusted in response to changing demand. Bitcoin is fairly non-elastic because the total supply is fixed.

Note that the OP assumes that a central bank has the ability to correctly adjust supply to match demand. History has shown that to be false -- all those failed currencies, and inflation has been a major problem in the U.S. ever since the Fed was formed.
5928  Economy / Economics / Re: Debt economics on: January 19, 2015, 11:03:02 PM
The video is pretty basic and the information is good. However, the video fails beginning with this line: "if one link in the debt chain fails, the whole system falls apart."

Debt is not a chain. It is a web. It is decentralized. Of course, if a big player (such as the U.S.) fails, everyone will be affected to varying degrees.
5929  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: I understand Bitcoin but on: January 19, 2015, 08:45:15 AM
1. A wallet does not actually hold bitcoins. It holds private keys. The private key is used to send bitcoins stored at an address. If the blockchain.info wallet does not hold the private keys that you printed out, then the wallet's password won't help he hacker get those private keys.

2. Blockchain.info stores an encrypted copy of your wallet. When you access your wallet, the site sends you the encrypted copy and you decrypt it with your password. If someone steals your password, they can log into your account and access the wallet, too.

3. Cold storage is a wallet that is not accessible from the internet. It can be stored on paper, or a USB flash drive, or a computer -- as long as it is not connected to the internet. A "hot wallet" is a wallet on a machine connected to the internet.

4. The term "online wallet" is ambiguous. A site that holds your bitcoins for you (e.g. an exchange or Coinbase) has full control over your bitcoins. You have to trust that they will give you your bitcoins when you want them. All sites accessible using a browser have some security risks (primarily phishing).

5. They know who you are by giving you a unique address. Every order gets a different address. They know you paid when the see the transaction sending bitcoins to that address.
5930  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: 'Bitcoin Box' Can Process Payments With No Web Connection on: January 18, 2015, 06:58:55 PM
Using bluetooth? so its still vunerable to local attacks and people listening out this could be pretty bad in a high dense population as this could become a frequent attack looking out for bluetooth signals and intercepting them

Transactions are public information and they are secure because they are signed.

There could be a danger of a MITM attack, though. The sender must be sure they are sending to the correct address.
5931  Economy / Economics / Re: If your investment looked like this... on: January 18, 2015, 06:26:18 PM
Charts tell you nothing. The value of an investment depends on it future value. It's past value is irrelevant.
Every stock market and exchange in the world use historical charts. They use sophisticated analysis software to predict how the market will behave. Are they all wrong?

In short, yes.

I can tell by the words you use that you are an investing newbie. Here is my advice to you: Investors make money because they learn, they do research, and they uncover opportunities. There is no magic formula. There is no secret system. People that believe that they can predict the future by looking at charts are nothing more than financial astrologers. Technical Analysis pretends to be a science, but the truth is that it is based on fantasy and superstition, and is supported only by confirmation bias.

A fool with a tool is still a fool...but complete denying of a tool and/or a process... Huh

Astrology, dianetics, ghost hunting, homeopathy, and technical analysis are all well-known and somewhat popular tools and/or processes.  I am completely comfortable denying that they are each based on anything more than fantasy or superstition. Of course, I can accept any tidbits of fact that they might contain (if any), but to wade through a sea of nonsense to find those truths is a waste of time.
5932  Economy / Economics / Re: Serious flaws in Bitcoin monetary policy on: January 18, 2015, 09:08:00 AM
The giant boom-bust cycles ... seem to occur about every 8 years or so, and are very difficult to predict.

An amusing contradiction.
5933  Economy / Economics / Re: Serious flaws in Bitcoin monetary policy on: January 17, 2015, 06:11:52 PM
#1

A. You believe that inelasticity is a problem only because you believe that central bank control of the money supply is a benefit. However, to many people, the central bank is the problem that Bitcoin is trying to eliminate. The idea that an organization can have enough knowledge of the economy in order to control it is preposterous. The central bank only adds another element of instability.

B. Your "problem" of inelasticity is only temporary. I believe that fractional reserve banking of Bitcoin is inevitable, and with FRB will come the inevitable central bank. It will be limited compared to a fiat central bank because it can't print money, but it will give the central planners something to keep them happy, hopefully not enough to really screw everyone.

#2

The difficulty self-adjusts to maintain an inflation rate that eventually goes to 0. The idea that "[when] miners halt their progress, [it] will create more inflation because they can mine more BTC now" is simply wrong.

#3

There is too much speculation and too many unsubstantiated conclusions to comment on. Plus, it depends on #2, which has been shown to be incorrect.

5934  Bitcoin / Press / Re: [2014-1-17] BTCFEED → The Real Reason Of Bitcoin’s Descent, Revealed on: January 17, 2015, 05:31:25 PM
TL;DR: people lost interest.
5935  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin's price seems to be the final indicator of it's success or failure! on: January 17, 2015, 05:07:19 PM
Market cap is a much better metric than price because the price is proportional to the the number of bitcoins.
5936  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Price can continue to fall, but have little worry. on: January 17, 2015, 04:59:10 PM
Basically, you are saying that mining will collapse because the hash rate has increased faster than Moore's Law, but you have not explained how you arrived that questionable conclusion..
5937  Economy / Economics / Re: If your investment looked like this... on: January 17, 2015, 04:16:04 AM
Charts tell you nothing. The value of an investment depends on it future value. It's past value is irrelevant.
Every stock market and exchange in the world use historical charts. They use sophisticated analysis software to predict how the market will behave. Are they all wrong?

In short, yes.

I can tell by the words you use that you are an investing newbie. Here is my advice to you: Investors make money because they learn, they do research, and they uncover opportunities. There is no magic formula. There is no secret system. People that believe that they can predict the future by looking at charts are nothing more than financial astrologers. Technical Analysis pretends to be a science, but the truth is that it is based on fantasy and superstition, and it is supported only by confirmation bias.
5938  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Long list of addresses and (private?) keys on: January 16, 2015, 11:55:37 PM
It's an old joke/hoax.
5939  Economy / Economics / Re: If your investment looked like this... on: January 16, 2015, 11:16:58 PM
Charts tell you nothing. The value of an investment depends on it future value. It's past value is irrelevant.
5940  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Can the pattern of Bitcoin hashing be changed somewhere? on: January 16, 2015, 09:46:26 PM
What I'm trying to figure out is:  Once a block changes, do all the miners of the same equipment model running the same software start hashing in an identical way and thus repeat the work done by other miners of the same model?

The simple answer is that every miner has a different merkle root hash because the address in the coinbase transaction is different. This guarantees that no miner is duplicating work.
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