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5961  Economy / Speculation / Re: Accumulation/Distribution question on: April 12, 2012, 11:23:50 PM
Just a quick glance suggests to me there is a great deal more selling this time around.  This is enough to explain it for me, but I'm not much of an A/D trader.
5962  Economy / Speculation / Re: Accumulation/Distribution question on: April 12, 2012, 11:20:14 PM
Volume in USD


Volume in BTC
5963  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin up. on: April 12, 2012, 11:09:39 PM

Right.....
5964  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: A letter to the community from Matthew N. Wright on: April 12, 2012, 11:08:19 PM
I'll be interviewing applicants to fill this troll void.

I'd like to apply.

Hey, A55H@T, you don't apply for the position of Troll. You take it.

Any respectable Troll, isn't a Troll. And anyone interviewing for the position of a Troll, is a Troll.

Trolling trolls troll trolling trolls trying to troll.  Grin



J/K

I can't be a respectable troll no matter what I do.  For example, you obviously don't find me a respectable troll.  You sir, have been trolled.
5965  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: A letter to the community from Matthew N. Wright on: April 12, 2012, 10:51:23 PM
I'll be interviewing applicants to fill this troll void.

I'd like to apply.
5966  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin up. on: April 12, 2012, 10:09:52 PM
When 4g rolls out in China, AAPL will kill Samsung.

Why?  I'd still rather have an Android phone.  The Chinese have seen plenty of Samsung Android phones.  What can Apple add that will overtake the first-mover advantage?  Unless their next model blows the world out of the water, Samsung will remain dominant.  They may drop to 2X Apple's market share, but it will take a big surprise to do better than that.
5967  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin up. on: April 12, 2012, 08:58:37 PM
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-16540681

Yeah theres no crowds gathered for iphones or anything..

Still, Samsung has 3X the market share for smartphones in China vs. Apple, and it's market share is still growing:
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-03-11/iphone-fails-to-gain-china-share-as-samsung-lead-triples-tech.html

Also, iPhones are only capable of the highest speeds on roughly 34% of mobile networks in China.  Samsung already has hardware out for all of the networks.

Sure, the April 24th earnings will get a little boost from the pent-up demand that was released, but growth will certainly slow if not stall.
5968  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin up. on: April 12, 2012, 08:33:24 PM
Naw. its just a lil pullback before it pushes up again..

The global smartphone market isn't saturated yet, AAPL still has a bit of room to run.

But China and India want Samsung, not Apple.
5969  Economy / Speculation / Re: It's called a correction (waveaddict's bitcoin charting subscription thread) on: April 12, 2012, 06:15:50 PM
His counts are longer term.  Wave counts are unreliable short term in such a small market.
can u talk in days weeks moths because short/long term means different things to ppl

I'll let waveaddict respond if he feels these details can be publicized.
5970  Economy / Speculation / Re: 80% of you are way to optimist on: April 12, 2012, 06:09:17 PM
Depends on the timescale...
5971  Economy / Speculation / Re: It's called a correction (waveaddict's bitcoin charting subscription thread) on: April 12, 2012, 06:08:47 PM
@waveaddict a simple question(i dont pay you...yet): in your charts do you see the next wave down ? because for me if this continue it looks like that Grin

His charts cover both directions and the case for each.
then the wave count is wrong

His counts are longer term.  Wave counts are unreliable short term in such a small market.
5972  Economy / Speculation / Re: Catalysts on: April 12, 2012, 06:01:56 PM
Catalysts:

- A mayor retailer (amazon, itunes,..) or internet based service provider (rapidshare, ebay, facebook,..) accepts BTC
- A country accepts BTC as legal tender
- It is revealed that large investment funds plan to invest in BTC (large scale money influx)
- BTC experiences growing adoption among retailers and customers
- BTC proves to be a safe investment oportunity (like gold)
- Mayor wave of media attention (we have seen nothing yet!) ...
 imagine:Weinstein Company Blockbuster, starring Shia LeBeouf and Jennifer Lawrence, in supporting roles: Kurt Russel, Jennifer Tilly
  and Justin Timberlake
in "The Bitcoin Network"!!![/size]
  directed by Zhou Thong

Cataclysms:


- Zhou Tong directs the above pictured movie
- 1st mayor ruling in any country (especially any european country or the US) making BTC illegal
- a mayor flaw in the source code of BTC is discovered
- MTGox experiences a huge theft < 1 Mio. USD stolen
- Mayor botnet gains and stays in control of 51% of the network
- Satoshi returns from space and announces BTC is a SCAM!

Just FYI, it's major not mayor.
5973  Economy / Speculation / Re: It's called a correction (waveaddict's bitcoin charting subscription thread) on: April 12, 2012, 05:59:26 PM
@waveaddict a simple question(i dont pay you...yet): in your charts do you see the next wave down ? because for me if this continue it looks like that Grin

His charts cover both directions and the case for each.
5974  Economy / Speculation / Re: Rally!!!!! on: April 12, 2012, 05:49:15 PM
Rally seems to be going the wrong way right now... can someone point them in the right direction?

Just turn your chart upside down... Rally on!
5975  Economy / Speculation / Re: wow, bitcoin's astro birth chart is full on! on: April 11, 2012, 02:11:10 PM
if you can state a hypothesis, we can discuss this. all you've said right now is "the rate of receipt of EM radiation (light) from the sun changes hurr durr".

yeah, it actually fluctuates wildly every day. that is what the phenomenon of day is.

what mechanism do you propose links this differential to anything that has to do with predicting future events, individuals' personalities, or anything of the like? what experiments can you run to demonstrate such a mechanism? btw, have you ever heard of Carlson's Experiment (astrologers could match individuals to signs at a rate no better than chance) or the Mars Effect (a single statistical analysis seemed to suggest that Mars' location affected athletes but such a correlation has never be independently verified).

I'm not inclined to get into this with you again.  You proved your stubborn, closed-minded attitude very clearly last time.  Now, can you leave us idiots alone to circle-jerk with our pointless calculations and comparisons?

i ask you a pointed question which you can't hand-wave your way out of so you resort to ad hom's and asking me to 'leave you alone'. nice. regardless of whether or not you think you can convince me of your position, you ought to at least think about the question for the sake of your own intellectual honesty, don't you think? seriously, all sarcasm aside.

Actually arepo, please don't -- your increasingly huffy posts are beginning to amuse me

there is nothing huffy about my posts; i merely find that if i do not ask extremely pointed questions, we never get further than ZOMG YOU DON'T BELIEVE IN HOROSCOPES YOU'RE SUCH A CLOSED-MINDED FOOL.

Also, doesn't your precious big bang theory say something like everything started from a singularity, that contained the entirety of the physical universe in one single item?  If that is the case, why WOULDN'T everything affect everything else, despite distance between objects?

it's just plain sad that you're turning this into a tribal issue. seriously, my theory? what are you, a creationist? regardless, i can pm you all sorts of information about cosmology and the ramifications of the theoretical singularity if you're actually interested. something tells me you're not. maybe it's because you could inform yourself much more easily as you clearly have an internet connection and yet you remain ignorant.

here's the deal: i promise never again to make huffy posts in your little astrology clubs if notme actually attempts an intellectually honest answer to my question (bolded above) and you actually attempt to educate yourself on the finer points of big bang cosmology. aren't you curious whether or not the empirical data does in fact support such a belief? you're right, naively, a singularity produces the suspicion that everything IS connected in some way or another. but of course it's more complicated than that. you'd have to be able to demonstrate a mechanism for the specific effects astrologers claim the orientation of planets and the like have on terrestrial events. can you do that?

Execpt I've considered that question far more than you I'm sure.  Also, we've done this dance before and I know you won't even consider my arguments.  Go read that other thread if you really want to rehash. My point is not to move beyond your question, but to ignore it since it has nothing to do with the topic.  It's exactly like everyone who comes into a TA thread and tries to derail the discussion by saying TA is bogus.  I don't give a shit about convincing you, but I would like to have a discussion with those who do believe.  So yeah, fuck off.
5976  Economy / Speculation / Re: Trading Bots on: April 11, 2012, 07:24:05 AM
indeed, atm it is live and in operation but only with a tiny amount of BTC.

My algorithm is to basic atm, but I have all the structure there. Currently Im working on making the trading algo modular so I can run simulations on multiple algo's.

Mine just plays the spread with stop orders at medium-term technical support and resistance.  When we move big, my stop makes sure I catch most of the move with enough of my capital.  Then, it goes back to liquidity-bot mode and I adjust the stops.  I haven't really backtested it, but it has a decent amount of live testing with small amounts.

What languages are you guys using with your trading algos? I'm using PHP in mine but it lacks some of the statistical analysis tools that I need for trading the basic technical indicators.

Mine is ruby... I'm not really using stat tools as I adjust the stops manually, but I'm sure there are some good packages out there for ruby.

Since mem's is called bitperl.pl, I'm going to guess it's in Perl, the Pathologically Eclectic Rubbish Lister.

Hey notme, forgive me if i'm being naive but surely you must do some kind of price analysis to form your strategy. Does it read off day high/lows to establish your spread? Does it enter/exit positions?

I manually adjust the spread as conditions change.  It is very much not a set it and forget it type of bot.  It maintains orders above and below the current price at double my spread. When an order is hit, the opposite order is placed at the spread.  It has some escape conditions based on past experiences of getting caught heavily against the trend, as well as stop loss orders.
5977  Economy / Speculation / Re: Trading Bots on: April 11, 2012, 06:10:39 AM
indeed, atm it is live and in operation but only with a tiny amount of BTC.

My algorithm is to basic atm, but I have all the structure there. Currently Im working on making the trading algo modular so I can run simulations on multiple algo's.

Mine just plays the spread with stop orders at medium-term technical support and resistance.  When we move big, my stop makes sure I catch most of the move with enough of my capital.  Then, it goes back to liquidity-bot mode and I adjust the stops.  I haven't really backtested it, but it has a decent amount of live testing with small amounts.

What languages are you guys using with your trading algos? I'm using PHP in mine but it lacks some of the statistical analysis tools that I need for trading the basic technical indicators.

Mine is ruby... I'm not really using stat tools as I adjust the stops manually, but I'm sure there are some good packages out there for ruby.

Since mem's is called bitperl.pl, I'm going to guess it's in Perl, the Pathologically Eclectic Rubbish Lister.
5978  Economy / Speculation / Re: Trading Bots on: April 11, 2012, 06:07:46 AM
if you want ~3weeks of time,buy,sell logs for running sims send me a PM Smiley

Meh... I can pull all the data from bitcoincharts.com in a few minutes, but thanks anyway
5979  Economy / Speculation / Re: Trading Bots on: April 11, 2012, 03:59:02 AM
indeed, atm it is live and in operation but only with a tiny amount of BTC.

My algorithm is to basic atm, but I have all the structure there. Currently Im working on making the trading algo modular so I can run simulations on multiple algo's.

Mine just plays the spread with stop orders at medium-term technical support and resistance.  When we move big, my stop makes sure I catch most of the move with enough of my capital.  Then, it goes back to liquidity-bot mode and I adjust the stops.  I haven't really backtested it, but it has a decent amount of live testing with small amounts.
5980  Economy / Speculation / Re: Trading Bots on: April 11, 2012, 03:21:30 AM
Maybe this is the wrong section, but I think you guys can help me here. I want to make a trading bot that will execute trades based on parameters I set according to technical indicators. Thing is, I have almost zero experience with coding. I don't just want to use someone else's code though, I want to build this from scratch, using custom and unique indicators. Is there any resource that I could use that would teach me how to go about creating and implementing this bot?

TL;DR Noob coder needs help building trading bot.

I have already written one, its called bitperl.pl but atm is a private only release.

On a good day it earns 0.7% of capital.

What about a bad day?

The worst Ive seen is it flat line waiting to sell coins for 4 days (back when he had  a good sized slump to 4.60). Once  the price came back  to normal it resumed its micro trading.

I see... careful with that type of strategy.  If it moves too far and you don't have a stop you'll miss the big moves.
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