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6341  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2022/2023 on: January 30, 2023, 04:23:19 PM
If I am asked to mention the teams that are quite stable in the EPL top 4 in the last few years, I will mention Manchester City, Liverpool, Tottenham, Chelsea, and Leicester. But this season, only one amongst these aforementioned teams is doing well. It's not bad that different names are now written on the top of the table. Times like this do come in football,  so I don't think we shouldn't be so perturbed about the changes cuz a time shall come when clubs like Brighton, Newcastle, or Fulham will also be leading the race.
6342  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A) on: January 30, 2023, 04:02:42 PM
  I wouldn't believe Juventus can still loose to monza at a critical point like this. They have now recorded just 3 wins only in their last 7 matches and this is quite unhealthy for series a title race. It's very interesting to see The likes of Ac Milan, and Juventus who use to be the serie A top contenders now struggling to have a permanent place in the top 4 standing while Napoli remains unperturbed upon all the turbulence going on in the itali serie a title runs.
6343  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: French Soccer League Predictions and Discussion Thread (Ligue 1) on: January 30, 2023, 02:07:35 PM
An equalizer by Reims at the Parc des Princes denies PSG a victory. Despite having all three stars, this PSG team looks like medicare. At the moment, PSG is struggling. When did they last win a big one? Messi, Neymar, and Mbappe played together to secure a draw against Reims. For PSG, Neymar scored, and for Reims, Balogun scored.

Psg got a really surprising result.  I honestly thought they would win this game by a big margin.  Their draw has been one of the most surprising results in recent weeks.  Despite being in a bad position in the league, Reims caused Psg to lose two points.  Psg is lucky as it's been an unlucky week for Lens.  Their leadership in the league is currently in jeopardy.  Now they have to win every game.
It's been quite challenging for the teams at the top since the return from the Qatar FIFA world cup, and PSG isn't an exemption. Most clubs leading the top flight in the different leagues are having a hard time winning 3 to 5 consistent matches. The same effect reflects in Germany's Bundesliga's top standing, the same is also happening in Netherlands Eredivisie. I am not surprised at the PSG result cuz I know that many more title-leading clubs will be having defeats or draw, mostly from the teams that are either trying to fight their way out of the relegation zone or that are fighting their way into the top 4 standing.
6344  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Betting strategy question on: January 30, 2023, 12:43:13 PM
Winning a bet is not all about the amount being involved or staked down on a particular bet while gambling, it's goes along way either the strategy adopted and the pattern used in playing, it's good enough to see a numbers of strategies and techniques gamblers have shared as their experience which had work for them in one way or the other, but a gambler also need time to study his own unique pattern which may obviously be different from others' and develop it of which this same path is how others have also come up with their own recommended strategies that once worked for them, ifnyoubsense something then make moves.

I agree with you, it makes no sense to try and follow a strategy by someone else that we heard about and was sold to us as a successful gambling strategy. We need to invest our own time and make a decision for ourselves if the strategy suits our playstyle. When it comes to sports betting and casino gambling I would be careful to trust other people who want to sell us their profitable strategy. Just because they made money with it doesn't mean we are going to do the same. It could be that they were lucky in the past and the strategy is not really that good. It also comes down to our own gambling habits and how comfortable we are to stick to one strategy. For me it works best to switch around with different strategies. For example there are days where I blindly follow my martingale strategy, there is no real decision making to be done. When I am tired it's the best strategy for me. And then there are days where I want to be more active and change my strategy.
It is not that necessary that everyone should develop their own betting strategy
It is not everyone that has the capacity to develop their own strategies but to me what is very important is whichever strategy you adopted from someone should be tested and retested by you to be very sure that it is working for you then you can continue using this strategy. Do not follow any given strategy blindly because someone else won with it.
6345  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: January 30, 2023, 12:33:33 PM
Dortmund win against Bayern Leverkusen moves them to 4th with 34points, Bayern Munich have really lost points since the restart if the league after the world cup drawing all three games. On the other hand union Berlin are taking up points and are now just a point behind Bayern Munich with leizig in third.

The competition in the German bundles liga is becoming tougher as only 3ponits separates Freiburg on 5th position from Bayern Munich on first position it's been a long time we saw this kid of competition in the bundles liga.
Now the Bundesliga is looking fierce again with lots of competition from five teams that are already in the top five provisional standings and when one of them loses in the next match, there will be another position change. This is something that all Bundesliga fans are really looking forward to because when the competition gets fiercer until the end of the season, fans will also really enjoy the Bundesliga this season.
We saw this level of competition in Italy serial A and England last season but I am surprised that Bundesliga want to follow similar step. Apart from Bayern who didn't even find it easy to be at the top, every other clubs are competing very well and even the Bayern, if they relax they could lose their position. This season may likely end with a surprise if other clubs will realise money and get good players for their teams.
6346  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: We lose on the long run through return percentage on: January 30, 2023, 12:21:08 PM
yet my point is that no casino offers 100 percent payout
Isn't it?
That there is no casino or gambling site that gives 100% payout is true because they are business institutional and one of the goals of making it is to get profit and profits are obtained from taking a certain percentage of each player's bet. But why can gamblers still lose all their balances because they can never know when to stop and be patient to start gambling again and greed is one of the reasons players end up with nothing.
Just like other businesses or like a shopping mall. There is no how you will tell.me that you beat the shopping mall after shopping. Even if you are given a loyalty card which you shop with, there is no discount. They are simply reducing the price of some products and increasing some and give you at what seems to be a cheap price, which is not in a real sense.
So, we all lose on a long run and the business owner takes the profit while we take satisfaction which could be fun for gamblers.
6347  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Football Transfers Speculation, Odds and Predictions on: January 30, 2023, 12:14:42 PM
Chelsea is having a very big problem and they can only be better after this season. I have not lost hope in Potter. I know Chelsea will have a better team with the kind of transfers they are signing now. It only takes patience and trust to believe the system and have trust till things are better. Meanwhile Chelsea should be very patient with their coach
At least give potter some times to prove it. Todd has been fully believes in what has already been done by potter. Potter needs to build what he was thinking that's gonna be making the club able to win trophy again. It needs time for the new players to adapt to the play style of Chelsea.
Trust is actually needed in this case. You have so many new players and how can you expect good results from all of them without giving them all more time to play? It's just getting started and I do believe chelsea will come back again as a deadly club in EPL next season.
Chelsea is now trying to build the new generations in the club.


One thing with the Chelsea management and her supporters is impatient with coaches and that is why they could have the highest number of  former coaches due to the high rate of dismissing and employing new coaches. This method may give you instant results but it will not give you a consistent result on a long run.
6348  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2022/23 Season on: January 30, 2023, 12:10:51 PM
they've already spent quite a bit of money on it. and they should have been prepared to raise their game to a better level.
meeting with Dortmund is getting closer. and if they don't finish what they want to achieve soon, it looks like this season they don't have any targets. and maybe next season we will see him play better, maybe also with a new coach.

I don't know if Chelsea actually have a plan with the amount of signings they're making. I cant even keep up with the amount of players they've singed since the new management took over. I hope they are not just trying to please the fans with these signing because some of the players are not necessary. They have signed about 14 players and none of them is a natural top 9. Another problem is all these players might need a little time to adjust and understand each other both in and off the field.

I don't see them achieving anything this season. They might win Dortmund in the UCL because Dortmund are not in really good form too but Chelsea would be lucky to make it to the Semis.
Chelsea has plans for their players, it takes a good analysis to see that. Next season may not be favorable to some clubs who only have a good first-team squad with no second-choice players and I believe if you look at it this way u will understand that all of Chelsea's new signings are useful.  The club is still competing in two leagues, and This season is still ongoing, it is too early to assume that chelsea will not achieve anything.
6349  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Tom Brady's Gambling and HUGE loss. on: January 30, 2023, 12:09:27 PM
Do you want my thoughts? nothing, it's normal.

He was gambling & investment, that's mean he is already aware the risk and cons for what he did. So, nothing surprise at all for what he get right now. Even the loss is effected on his economy, the easy things about celebrity or famous people.

He still can use the famous of his name, to gain at least some source of income.

Everyone knows the rule of not investing more than you can lose. Gamble only with certain percentage of your income, not your keys, not your coins. But the truth is that the masses don't obey these rules until things go wrong before we will remember these rules.
With the value and acceptability of FTX, nobody really thought that it will end this way, however this is a big lesson to everyone.
6350  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Europa League 2022/23 Season on: January 30, 2023, 11:54:37 AM
Manchester United are favorites for the Europa League, I never thought it would be. But it is true that Manchester United's performance at the start of the season was erratic and poor. But after changing the coach, their performance has also changed. Now their performance is somewhat stable if not strong enough. Manchester United is not favorite for the Europa League title. I think they will be eliminated from the Europa League with a defeat against Barcelona in the next round.
the European league is one of the competitions that I most want to watch and Manchester United will fight one of the other favorite champions, Barcelona, both team matches will be exciting because Manchester United has started to rise with Ten Hag and Barcelona is getting sharper with Xavi.

In the past when ever Manchester United and Barcelona meets to challenge it is always interesting.  I think this one will be interesting too which unpredictable to tell which of the club will win the match.  Manchester United effort is becoming better from day to day .

If I can remember well the meeting between Manchester United and Barcelona is always interesting. But in the recent meetings Barcelona had been the winners more than Manchester United.
One thing to consider now is that Manchester United team has been increased my Ten.
The team is fit to challenge any football team in the world presently.
6351  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: French Soccer League Predictions and Discussion Thread (Ligue 1) on: January 30, 2023, 11:41:09 AM
An equalizer by Reims at the Parc des Princes denies PSG a victory. Despite having all three stars, this PSG team looks like medicare. At the moment, PSG is struggling. When did they last win a big one? Messi, Neymar, and Mbappe played together to secure a draw against Reims. For PSG, Neymar scored, and for Reims, Balogun scored.
I wonder what Galtier did, why did he have to put Mbappe as a center forward while Mbappe is very suitable as a winger and he should have made Messi in that position. I think the draw that occurred between Reims was purely due to the failure of Galtier's strategy.
Could it be that the coach was experimenting something? He wants to discover a new way to play Neymar, Mbappe and Messi. But playing Mbappe in the middle is an error to me because he could be marked from the middle but could be unmarkable from the side because of his Pace and skills.
The coach should rather focus on stabilising the team for champions league rather than some experiments
6352  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Football Transfers Speculation, Odds and Predictions on: January 30, 2023, 11:32:59 AM
Yeah and now, for me, who wants to go to Chelsea now and sit on the bench? Only people who don't mind not playing (aka not hungry enough). Something tells me it's not just about Chelsea being idiot in transfer, I wonder if also about Potter not knowing what he's doing or can he really be blameless here?

I don't think he's got a say in it to be honest.
Who wants to have a team of 35 players - that is an unmanageable situation for any manager, let alone an inexperienced one (which Potter is on that level).

They are making some sort of a long-term plan, bringing in young players with potential and giving them 10-year contracts.
I have said it before but I'll repeat it once again - I see this backfiring spectacularly.

Chelsea is having a very big problem and they can only be better after this season. I have not lost hope in Potter. I know Chelsea will have a better team with the kind of transfers they are signing now. It only takes patience and trust to believe the system and have trust till things are better. Meanwhile Chelsea should be very patient with their coach
6353  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2022/2023 on: January 30, 2023, 11:18:02 AM
Currently, Klopp's career at Liverpool is on the line and it is clear that they cannot relax in the current conditions because at the moment it can be said that their performance is still not going smoothly.

Liverpool has a lot of star players in their squad. Since they are not performing well despite having many experienced players, it can be assumed that it is the failure of the coach. Coach Klopp is unable to stabilize the team. And the important thing is that Liverpool's match strategy is not stable. The bond between the players is now weak due to a lack of match strategy. In this case, if Klopp cannot stabilize the team and Liverpool's performance is not regular then Liverpool management may decide to sack Klopp.
We should be in a hast to blame the failure of a club, because many factors make up for a club,  We may not dispute the fact that Liverpool has loads of good players in their squad but their front line is still lacking a replacement because if you follow Liverpool's performances you will notice the.
-Liverpool always played good football in all their games, but the problem is to score goals.
-due to the lack of a striker in the team, the Liverpool squad lack the willpower to make a breakout record in most matches their by leading to their present poor position on the league table.
Liverpool performance ever since the arrival of Clopp was top notch until this season where they had to sell and as well buy in new players. Even as of now they still have good wingers, and Nunez has come to fill in the central attacking position making it a balanced attacking Line but yet, Liverpool aren't giving expected results. Is it not enough to believe that the signings are all not playing to the expectation? No doubt they did absolutely well in their former clubs but EPL is a different sphere. Clopp isn't the problem, it will be inappropriate to start criticising him.
6354  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Too accessible of online casino grows addiction faster? on: January 30, 2023, 11:16:51 AM
I think this argument is pretty accurate. Consider how much screen time of people increased since we have smartphones. Online casinos mean you don't need physically need to be in casino. So it makes casinos 1000 times more accessible to everyone that have laptop/smart phone and internet access. When one person wants to quit gambling he/she should stop entering that online casino. It is way harder to achieve than not going to casino in physical life.

The major causes of addiction is availability and frequency. For drinking addiction, drug addiction and gambling addiction inclusive what causes it is when it's always reachable and available and no restrictions. If the person doesn't have self control it will be difficult to avoid addiction. This means that the internet will produce more addicts than before
6355  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Hit And Run Gambling - Can The House Be Beaten This way? on: January 30, 2023, 11:09:41 AM
This is a completely legitimate way to beat the casino. To some extent, winning such a large sum of money in gambling is extremely unlikely. Gamblers have this feeling that once they win one, they'll want to put all of their money, including the profit, back in and play to win more, but to their greatest surprise, they lose everything. People who have the mindset of winning big and never coming back are always the unlucky ones to hit the jackpot big enough to cash out in a single trial.
What happens is they lose after they put in all their money, which doesn't give them any winnings. The situation reversed rapidly, and it was time for the casino to take all the winnings from that gambler. People who think a hit-and-run strategy will work should realize that they cannot hope to do so because the situation will change instantly. They must also think that the casino will not simply let them withdraw their winnings before fulfilling all the conditions.
According to OP. The scenario he painted was that there is no losing for the person. You played and you also won big. But the OP didn't put into consideration what happens since the gambler started gambling. Was it the first time for the gambler to gamble?
In one way or the other the gambler must have lost in some ways to other casino. You may have beaten the house immediately but no overall.
6356  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2022/23 Season on: January 30, 2023, 11:03:20 AM
Liverpool's position is not good now. They are also dropping points against weaker teams in the Premier League. Still they have a strong squad and strong attack. Liverpool is capable of fighting against big teams. However, considering the current performances of the two teams, Real Madrid will be ahead. Coach Ancelotti is very experienced. He knows very well how to strategize matches in a competitive league like the Champions League.
Liverpool as a club needs a total overhauling. I learned that they will soon get a new owner. It is only right that they also acquire needs players who are willing to put in the effort to see that they get back to
their glory days. Maybe they should buy back Mane. They sort of lost their confidence since he left. I would want to see him back in the team. If they can do this,
we are definitely going to see team with the chances of winning the league next season and even more.

I thought about the possibility of buying back Mane, because that seems to be the only way to get things working again for Liverpool. It is unfortunate that Liverpool didn't know the value of Mane while he was in the club. They were decieved by Mane's humble spirit. But now they are suffering the consequences of their bad decisions. Atleast they are spending higher than what they would have spent.
6357  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Football Transfers Speculation, Odds and Predictions on: January 30, 2023, 05:31:47 AM
Brighton didn't wanna let him go even though arsenal has been offering 70 million pounds for him. Brighton is still waiting for another offer from other big club like Chelsea. chelsea itself has been increasing its offer to the enzo fernandes with 100 millions and player as a bonus for benfica. Chelsea looks so crazy these days. I think that Chelsea may even deal with brighten to buy caicedo for 80 millions pounds. The small club was pricing their players so crazy. i don't know how chelsea will be able to get a profit after spending so much money.
There's a new offer from Chelsea to Benfica to sign Fernandez, Chelsea is now offering 120 Millions Euro which is really high, he's not really that worth to spend for 120 Millions Euro. I think Alexis Mac Allister from Brighton is better than Fernandez, he was a giving more contribution in the previous World Cup. Chelsea keep spend a lot money to buy a new player, if the result isn't same like Potter's imagination, I don't know how Todd Boehly will react after this huge spend.



Source: https://twitter.com/FabrizioRomano/status/1619852397442125824
You are right. Enzo Is not worth that amount. Portugal's premier league is the least among all 6 European competitions, Who knows whether Enzo will survive the pressure in England's premier league? Benfica management only put forward this overplus price tag because they have seen how desperate the Chelsea team needs a midfielder and also because the club has money. Of course, no team will pay such an amount for Enzo even if they have it.
6358  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2022/23 on: January 30, 2023, 03:00:33 AM
What Real Madrid did in the current match was very bad.
Another failure for Madrid now and with this Barcelona is even more difficult to reach because their gap is getting bigger now.
Real Madrid players were unable to score although having a good squad there.. Sociedad made a favour for Barcelona so they were able to increase the gap to 5 points between them and Real Madrid. Hopefully Real Betis could take 2-3 points out from Barcelona in the missed game and Real Madrid to win vs Valencia, otherwise the gap will be problematic!
Real madrid is always playing so bad these days. The gap can become even bigger if real madrid keeps performing like that. Real sociedad was a strong team. Barcelona was able to win against sociedad in copa del rey caused by sociedad got a red card.
This time the situation is different. Real sociedad was picking fully defensive strategy against real madrid. I could see how difficult real madrid to create accurate attack that can give real goal against sociedad.
That's very sad to see that real madrid was losing points. Barcelona is now a bit safe caused by 5 points gap to the real madrid.
Giving out  7 on-target attempts, and 7 off-target attempts without a single goal shows that it wasn't their day. Real Madrid played their best style of football, just that it couldn't work on their opponent who seemed to possess a formidable defense right from the first half of the match. It is just so unlucky for them that their proximity to FC Barcelona has declined and will require them to input much consistency in winning. I hope Ancelotti finds a way
6359  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Eredivisie 22/23 - discussion thread on: January 29, 2023, 10:29:09 PM
AZ Alkmaar 5 - 5 FC Utrecht

this was a game that gave me a big headache, I watched this game and honestly, I kept asking myself: what the hell is going on in this game? when one team scored the other scored a goal in a row, and it was like that until the game ended, I was already thinking that I could lose money if I kept a lot of bets, so I decided to cancel my bet



in just one game AZ Alkmaar conceded 5 goals, even before choosing them for my parlay I thought many times about putting them on but then I put them on my parlay thinking that they were facing a very difficult game, but I didn't imagine that AZ Alkmaar would have conceded so many goals and wouldn't have been able to leave the game with a victory, but I'm happy that despite AZ Alkmaar having tied I'd leave this game with a profit
I knew the match will yield many goals and that was the reason I played G-G and over 2 which gave me 3 odds. Eredivisie is a goal-producing league so I'm not surprised to see matches ending with 2-2 goals and above. Even a slight observation of the goals scored by the top 5 teams in the standing can tell that teams involved in the competition a so eager to score. I'm still surprised to see ajax in the 4th position but yet the highest goal-scoring side in the tournament.
6360  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2022/2023 on: January 29, 2023, 10:19:30 PM
Ever since Chelsea utilized their new signees, I think they have improved in Premier League for the past 2 weeks, they have not lost a single match, and looking at Fulham, they have lost two matches in a row which signifies that they are getting weak or something is actually wrong somewhere. If Chelsea should move on that momentum, they would conquer Fulham with a clean sheet.

The clean sheets isn't our problem at the moment, we need goals. We have been lacking in the goal department and that's what has been making use lose most of our games. Our previous attacking players barely get us any goals or goals contributions. With the new signings
With Mount and K. Havertz leading your attack, how can you hope for any goals. These guys play or shot as though, they've got no target practice in their training sessions. It's more if a "let me just shot this way and maybe the post might be that direction and hopefully the goalkeeper would be caught off-gaurd". I clearly don't see what they are doing nor do I see anyone that could make them better.
Hopefully, the new signings in the team could bring the team to its best. It was impressive when J. Felix played although, he caught a red card.  Ziyech needs to bring some of that performance and Chelsea might be unto something.
If only the team was lacking behind in attackers, I will say that there wouldn't be any changes because as it stands now, hoping on mount and harvert is a bet on the wrong horse.  Why we shouldn't talk about time is because they both has been incessantly used since the beginning of the season but there aren't any changes. No one among them could score a brace, not to talk more of a hattrick. The best of harvert and mount will be seen again in the next season, for now it's time for the new attackers to prove their worth .
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