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6381  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: June 07, 2015, 06:35:32 AM
Would any of you guys care to comment on these two articles that assert that :

1) We are already hitting the 1MB block limit "an average of more than four times per day so far in 2015"

I haven't had time to read the articles (links at quoted post above) but my initial response to the claim is that is suggests the "hard crash" theory is wrong. If we are already hitting the limit regularly, then the system is able to handle that. People will learn to use higher tx fees to prioritize urgent transactions, just as they learned to stop using zero fee for urgent transactions a year or two ago, and slightly longer term probably a bunch of spam will get forced off the network altogether. The market mechanism is working.

I've personally run into very slow confirms of low-fee-paying transactions twice, but it wasn't he end of the world (with a ten minute avg block time you have to be prepared for slow confirms anyway). The next time I do a transaction if I care about urgency I'll probably increase the fee a little above the default.

this just tells me we'll never reach an agreement.  and i'm sure you fully believe what you're saying.  i'm sure if fees hit $100/tx you'd probably say it's fine, it will just settle out with time.  the problem is, many ppl are going to quit using Bitcoin well before then and adoption won't go anywhere and probably will go into reverse.

but it's useless debating this anymore b/c opinions are entrenched.  those of us who want to fork off will just have to do so for us to realize our vision of a more widespread network effect.  and that will be ok.  you can do what you want.

I don't really have a strong opinion on the block size. I'm perfectly comfortable popping some corn and watching Gavin and MP go at it.

If I were king I would increase it modestly (less than 20 MB).

I don't know whether $100/tx would be fine. As a reserve currency it might be fine. As a transactional currency it obviously wouldn't.

I also don't know that $100/tx is a realistic estimate any time soon given that we are now at something like $0.05 to nearly aways get into the next block (and getting into the very next block is not always needed -- for a lower fee you can be still be very confident of getting in the next several blocks).

6382  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [ANN] AEON Gen 2 Cryptonote, Anon, Mobile-friendly, Scalable, New roadmap+Dev on: June 07, 2015, 06:29:38 AM
We have received some generous donations recently, increasing the project development fund by 100K+.

Reminder: the bulk of the fund is expected to be apportioned among the development team as incentive for working on the project, but there is a mandatory vesting period, including for the lead developer, which means the coins won't be moving at all for a long time (at least a year, but generally longer). Donating to this fund helps support the project but also help support the coin value by visibly locking up supply.

A portion of the development fund may at some point be sold and used to pay for project resources and direct expenses (hosting, etc.) but that won't be done at all until the coin has established a meaningful market value, and in the near term at least these expenses are expected to be very small. Currently the lead developer is paying all of the hosting costs.

balance: 417317.031120095562, unlocked balance: 417306.182423885751
6383  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: June 07, 2015, 06:19:54 AM
Would any of you guys care to comment on these two articles that assert that :

1) We are already hitting the 1MB block limit "an average of more than four times per day so far in 2015"

I haven't had time to read the articles (links at quoted post above) but my initial response to the claim is that is suggests the "hard crash" theory is wrong. If we are already hitting the limit regularly, then the system is able to handle that. People will learn to use higher tx fees to prioritize urgent transactions, just as they learned to stop using zero fee for urgent transactions a year or two ago, and slightly longer term probably a bunch of spam will get forced off the network altogether. The market mechanism is working.

I've personally run into very slow confirms of low-fee-paying transactions twice, but it wasn't he end of the world (with a ten minute avg block time you have to be prepared for slow confirms anyway). The next time I do a transaction if I care about urgency I'll probably increase the fee a little above the default.
6384  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [ANN] AEON Gen 2 Cryptonote, Anon, Mobile-friendly, Scalable, New roadmap+Dev on: June 07, 2015, 04:55:26 AM
I'm still mining. The diff is crazy low just now. Only wish I'd mined near the start with higher block reward. I'm looking forward to a GUI wallet. The only other respectable coin with a GUI using CryptoNote protocol (that I know of) is Boolberry, so it'll do wonders for this coin when it arrives. Nae pressure smooth Wink

is XDN considered 'not' respectable?

Let's try to keep this thread on topic, and focus our enthusiasm on where AEON is going (admittedly slowly at the moment).
6385  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [XMR] Monero - A secure, private, untraceable cryptocurrency - 0.8.8.6 on: June 07, 2015, 04:50:38 AM
Plot of The Social Network: taking an idea that's been done (Friendster, Myspace) and borrowing a tweak of that idea (Harvard Connection) and building it into a scalable machine that will change the way the world works (Facebook).

And now they compare Facebook with monero...  Cheesy Roll Eyes

Monero is more profoundly innovative than Facebook. Facebook was an interaction of MySpace. Monero is the first system of any kind in all of human history to provide untraceable, unsinkable transactions in a completely trustless, decentralized, end-to-end manner.

6386  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [ANN] AEON Gen 2 Cryptonote, Anon, Mobile-friendly, Scalable, New roadmap+Dev on: June 06, 2015, 07:55:52 PM
Everyone died here?

I'm still here. Development has slowed down a bit due to some other priority, but it will continue soon.
6387  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: The Reality of Masternode Centralization on: June 06, 2015, 02:48:52 AM
There are several GUI available other than www and you know that very well, so don't play dumb.
Who cares if there isn't written "official" on them? We're talking decentralized open-source project, not corporations products.

I'm not going to download any unofficial wallet that only 5 people are using because I don't trust it. I'm ok with downloading an official wallet or using a Bitcoin wallet such as Multibit or Armory because thousands of people are using them and any malice or fatal bugs would've been found already.

We all know you are perfectly capable of using a command line wallet. Quit trolling.

As for masternode ASICs, you're smoking some good shit. Too bad we're not all in the same place, you could at least share it.




6388  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: June 06, 2015, 02:09:43 AM
there's a fundamental disconnect with developing new altcoins that Bitcoiners should be able to migrate to or exchange for.  it's called instability or even inflation.

this ties in with Bitcoin's promise of being open source and being programmable money.  if Monero or any other coin is proven to be successful to the point of forcing all Bitcoiner's to switch, then i think crypto money as a concept fails.  why?  it's b/c that process causes so many ppl to lose money in aggregate from the migration process.  this is why i don't like SC's b/c it can force the same thing if a SC becomes dominant.  ppl can't afford that and it destroys stability and thus confidence.  it would appear as if crypto were a ponzi scheme, luring in ppl to one scam, only to take their money and create another.

I think its more likely that people like you who refused to hedge will get badly burned (conditional on this scenario playing out, and I'm not calling it likely), but many others who did hedge or picked a winner will do extremely well. To observers, the dynamics of greed make the latter narrative far more compelling than the former.

So no I don't really see a few cyperdocs losing money as the death of the concept, it is more like once-dominant Blackberry getting leapfrogged and steamrolled by iPhone and Android. Except of course, as I said earlier, Bitcoin isn't even dominant at all. If Bitcoin gets leapfrogged or fails, the popular perception of that event will be basically non-existent ("What ever happened to that Bitcoin thing we used to hear about?")
6389  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: June 06, 2015, 01:34:07 AM
makes Monero roughly 1% of my assets

Some of have publicly commented that you ended up coding less for Monero than they had hoped.

If I said that hypothetically if I was a dev on a coin and my holding in the coin was only 1% of my assets then I wouldn't have much incentive to work on it full-time (forum posting not included as work); would this strike you or anyone else as being unethical or in any other way incorrect or inappropriate?

I am getting at whether a dev having a large stake in a coin is detrimental or positive?

I understand Cypherdoc criticizes Gregory's stake in Bitcoin because Greg is on the other side of the block size increase debate. And he seems to be jealous that Greg was gifted some hardware in exchange for (and/or to aid) his development work.

Seems to me that there will always be jealously, but Satoshi seems to mostly get a free ride. Is it because he is anonymous, gone, or because he caused a star to appear in the eyes of the Bitcoin supporters?

Let's just say I'm not necessarily a good example to use for generalizations, in part because I practice aggressive risk management, and also in part because I'm perfectly comfortable financially (I have no desire for a castle), so I don't see the need to take extreme risks.

I don't necessarily sign up for the moon shots (e.g. SpaceShipTwo -- see below). But on the other hand I incur large losses only rarely and always have a bullet left in the chamber when opportunity presents itself, so I've done okay.

6390  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: June 05, 2015, 09:39:04 PM
...
However, I'm also realistic that Bitcoin is a lot larger that any of others and my assets are allocated accordingly. I'm one of those guys you were just talking about who is (approximately) 90% in Bitcoin, 10% in Monero. And beyond that also 90% in non-crypto assets, which if you do the math makes Monero roughly 1% of my assets. If you want to call me a Monero shill based on that, go right ahead, but you are fooling yourself, and probably using that as an excuse to avoid objectively considering the points I raise.
...

Smart boy snake called RPietila used XMR to take your money (just 1% but it is enough for him)

I mined ~100% of the Monero I have, and then some.


:-)  ok, then you are serving him for free

I'm pretty sure my return on investment from Monero will always exceed his, but no I'm not particularly profit motivated by it, to answer another question from the thread. It's just interesting technology. If useful ideas from Monero end up being incorporated into Bitcoin (such as the dynamic block sizes), and then Monero withers away financially, i consider that a complete success. If you look at 1000 crypto coins after Bitcoin you will only find a few that actually do anything interesting at all, or even try to. Monero is one of them.

6391  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: June 05, 2015, 09:25:35 PM
...
However, I'm also realistic that Bitcoin is a lot larger that any of others and my assets are allocated accordingly. I'm one of those guys you were just talking about who is (approximately) 90% in Bitcoin, 10% in Monero. And beyond that also 90% in non-crypto assets, which if you do the math makes Monero roughly 1% of my assets. If you want to call me a Monero shill based on that, go right ahead, but you are fooling yourself, and probably using that as an excuse to avoid objectively considering the points I raise.
...

Smart boy snake called RPietila used XMR to take your money (just 1% but it is enough for him)

I mined ~100% of the Monero I have, and then some.
6392  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: June 05, 2015, 08:38:55 PM
even smooth, who offers up decent stuff, was confusing me a while back before i found out he was a Monero core dev.  i couldn't figure out why when i got skeptical about altcoins he'd always quickly negate anything i had to say on that.  also when we got to talking about the 49%-51% attacks against Bitcoin he was posting highly frequently against Bitcoin.  that's ok, he's smart and is entitled to his opinion.  but it was never clear until someone mentioned his Monero connection what was happening.

You're confusing cause and effect here. I'm involved with Monero specifically because I don't buy the Bitcoin maximalism argument, and Monero has technology that is actually interesting and actually adds something meaningful (unlikely dumb clones like Litecoin). At least, I don't buy the Bitcoin maximalism argument yet (at some point if Bitcoin continues to grow, perhaps after another 10x-100x, it will likely be correct). I consider Bitcoin to be a tiny pimple on the scale of global currencies and finances, so if anything the network effect is working very much against it, not for it. Cryptocurrencies have to succeed on the basis of compelling advantages that overcome a network effect, and if Bitcoin can do that, others can too. I see Bitcoin's lead now as being about as relevant as Novell's with Netware:

Quote from: wikipedia
By 1990, Novell had an almost monopolistic position in NOS for any business requiring a network.

Or perhaps in line with platforms that once had a hugely dominant market share and weren't even replaced, directly, by anything (example: Palm Pilot).

But even that isn't right, because Bitcoin does't currently have a hugely dominant market share anywhere, outside of a few enthusiasts. (Don't misinterpret this as "Buy Monero instead" -- obviously Monero has even less of any kind of share.)

However, I'm also realistic that Bitcoin is a lot larger that any of others and my assets are allocated accordingly. I'm one of those guys you were just talking about who is (approximately) 90% in Bitcoin, 10% in Monero. And beyond that also 90% in non-crypto assets, which if you do the math makes Monero roughly 1% of my assets. If you want to call me a Monero shill based on that, go right ahead, but you are fooling yourself, and probably using that as an excuse to avoid objectively considering the points I raise.

BTW, I also agree with a lot of your points about sidechains and other bitcoin development issues. I don't fully support the 20 MB idea because I think 20x is just too much too fast, but if it was intended as a negotiating tactic to get something more modest through, then well done Gavin.
6393  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: rpietila Altcoin Observer on: June 05, 2015, 09:35:55 AM
The only distribute-to-outputs method that isn't susceptible to this form of manipulation is to distribute according to the balances.

This is not immune to insiders taking advantage if the point in time when the blockchain is "snapshotted" is only known publicly a posteriori. You can take a fiat loan to own coins just one particular day.
Even if the point in time is announced in advance you still can't have everybody to actually read and be aware of it and it might still be seen as a soft ninjamine.

Yeah I agree, but it is still much better than being able to take 100 coins, split into 100 outputs of 1 coin each, and get 100x as much of the spin off for the cost of a small transaction fee (if that). That's just absurd.

6394  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: [XMR] Monero Speculation on: June 05, 2015, 09:18:26 AM
If I am not mistaken, it is traders who are taking short or long positions, not the platform.

If they play honestly, correct.

But even if they play honestly, we need to remember that if somebody just puts a floor at 0.004 for example, clearing all below that with a market order and refusing the price to go below that value, all the current shorts are burned and their margins evaporated. It is possible that the squeeze sends the price very high IF the platform decides to buy back the losses (they become the losses of the platform when the account holders are wiped out - they just abandon the accounts, but the lenders must be paid nevertheless).

Actually in their terms of use they say that lenders would not be paid.

Quote
Nobody operating a platform would do that. They rather start operating a fractional reserve, don't tell anyone, and pray that the price will recede and they can buy back later.

The operating of a margin trading platform for an altcoin is akin to walking the narrow path between insane and suicidal.

This may indeed be (short run) reputationally preferable to giving the losses to the lenders.

6395  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: [XMR] Monero Speculation on: June 05, 2015, 03:23:59 AM
What if a significant number of coins get in pirate Hand?
The Hacker could dump monero into oblivion

... and what if your aunt had balls ... she'd be your uncle ... world is full of 'what if', just live with 'what is' and you'll be sweet bro

I love that a user with a profile name of extreme facials is more insightful and clever in presentation than our resident troll.

6396  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: rpietila Altcoin Observer on: June 05, 2015, 03:20:42 AM
Ignoring that proof of stake is pointless (it doesn't work unless ultimately centralized, in which case there are better solutions), the distribution method for CLAMs is untenable in terms of susceptibility to fraud, and the impossibility of demonstrating that there wasn't and isn't an enormous hidden premine.

Specifically, there is no way to know that insiders didn't create or control enormous numbers of, for example, non-dust DOGE outputs. Of course other coins could be used but it seems likely that DOGE would be the easiest place to hide such a premine.

The only distribute-to-outputs method that isn't susceptible to this form of manipulation is to distribute according to the balances.
6397  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: June 04, 2015, 10:07:03 PM

<snip>

i smell Monero all over him.

Ok, as you mention it, and this is not meant as an attack on Monero, what I really don't understand is how a truly anonymous coin can survive, regardless of the tech, when the lead developers are public figures (eg Smooth, who was extremely helpful when I asked about the 21inc stuff) and they have a very public 'castle' as the home of one of their lead promoters (Risto).
How does that work if/when  the SHTF ??
Honestly, I have nothing against Monero, but I can't wrap my head around how something that TPTB will obviously fight against can flourish with these criteria. $5 wrench anyone ??

Please enlighten me. I say this in a truly non-confrontational manner - I am truly confused

I have to correct you for a bit here, Monero can be transparant on-demand. I also agree that a fully anonymous coin will probably get into some legal trouble.



But doesn't that optional anonymity property of Monero violate its fungibility argument? (smooth apologies if we'd already had this debate and I forgot)

TPTB will again use regulation and monopolization techniques to subsume Monero and force all users to turn off the anonymity else their coins don't transact.

You yourself have made the argument that it is vastly harder for authorities to impose draconian requirements directly on users.

If mining becomes centralized, however, then miners can indeed impose (or be compelled to impose) whatever requirements they want though, such as identifying yourself with secondary information, even if nothing within the primary protocol supports identification directly.

So yes, decentralized mining is a requirement for a coin that uses mining to have decentralized anything (including privacy).

I don't think fungibility is a problem, again as long as mining remains decentralized (and if it isn't then all bets are off) because the coins will get remixed into the fog within several hops, or sooner if people have a reason to mix aggressively.
6398  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: June 04, 2015, 09:54:03 PM
That and ordering. The entire purpose of mining (other than distribution) is to establish ordering so that if coins are double spent the new location of those coins is not ambiguous.
Ordering is a subset of the problem of maintaining the supply of money. Allowing the same coins to be spent twice is one of the ways that the supply can be violated.

Distribution is not a primary purpose of mining. We know this because the distribution function is temporary yet mining will continue even when there are no new coins to distribute.

Linking initial coin distribution to mining was just the least-bad way to get the coins into circulation.

The important point is that ordering is the only hard part. As you say, we've had digital signatures, and ordering is easy to do in a centralized system. Mining is needed to provide ordering in a decentralized system

As far as distribution being unimportant, we probably disagree a bit. I've never been sold on the idea of transaction fees properly incentivizing mining, so I don't really see the system as viable if distribution were to really end. Of course that won't actually happen in the current design for 100+ years so maybe it doesn't matter.

I also don't think think just a few words from satoshi in the white paper (or anything else he wrote) really suggest he did any careful analysis of how or if transaction fees as incentive would work. It seemed more like a kick the can approach, or an error.



6399  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: June 04, 2015, 09:08:56 PM
The blockchain appears to be a ledger, which is a tool to record and thus document transactions. But that is not the purpose of the blockchain, neither do we need it for that. We need it only to ensure the integrity of the system, to avoid double spending and guard against coin fractions coming from nowhere.
That's probably the most overlooked fact about Bitcoin.

Transactions using digital signatures are easy. We've had the technology since the 80s.

Bitcoin is special because it enforces a defined quantity of money without a trusted third party.

All the mining and the verification is done for the purpose of ensuring that that every balance being spent in a transaction legitimately existed prior to the transaction.

That and ordering. The entire purpose of mining (other than distribution) is to establish ordering so that if coins are double spent the new location of those coins is not ambiguous.

6400  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [XMR] Monero - A secure, private, untraceable cryptocurrency - 0.8.8.6 on: June 04, 2015, 08:44:11 PM
the stolen funds are not the problem. the problem would be the main liquidity place gone(assuming polo goes completely down) and the short to mid term chaos (otc/new exchange etc). but as allready said, i guess community could handle it. still, this is not the time to lay back. we have to try to spread the volume better!
At this moment we are not a serious currency. Consider yourself a merchant  who wants to put 200 thousand dollars in monero to cover your steps. What this  become for monero price?
Even worse... Consider yourself a mafioso type person who wants to put 1 million in there. What the price would be?

nothing would happen... you would have a massive pump.... with a a mega bubble and big crash... thats why a currency needs to grow natural. So we not only need to spread volume... for that to be really necessary we need to raise volume. Atm we are sitting at 30000$ daily volume not that much on a regional or even global scale.

Exactly right. Nobody is going to use this for 100K+ transactions right now. People need to use it for 100 and 1000s transactions, then someday for 10Ks, and then finally for 100Ks and beyond. Silk Road and Satoshi Dice played a big role in growing Bitcoin because they did exactly that. People started with smaller transactions -- that the system could accommodate at the time -- and then both the transaction size and the system capacity grew together from there.

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